CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Friday 2/6/09

[Dfjay9]

I'm all over Toronto Denver and Magic.

[solobass]

scratch that, the Hawks just went to +3....

[schaapattack]

I lean towards OKC +6 at home vs. Portland where they have played extremely well lately and i just dont think Portland is ready to go on the road and spot a team 6.


OKC +6

[schaapattack]

I dont think Niagra was ever a SP

[DevilDog]

As far as I know TRENDS have nothing to do with a CK SP. The numbers on the line have to be what his criteria are....and then it is a play. If it is a play, bet it. What else do you need to know? Have you seen the record?

And relating to the "surrender" guys that constantly get on these threads five, ten, or 15 minutes into a game and the game is not going their way......GET A GRIP! First of all there are only a few guys I have ever seen that could scoreboard watch and handle it.

So make your bets and walk away. Watching every second of a game or staring at a scoreboard does NOT change the outcome of that bet. So if it stresses you out...do something else until the bet is over.

[schaapattack]

Why is everyone talking about yesterday..The boss already said keep this thread on todays games.....Question....why is everyone on Orlando -6.5 today?

[handimann]

Man....I got on here last night just a couple minutes into the Davidson CK secret play game and I had to get off before I puked. I couldn't believe all of the white surrender flags being thrown up so soon!!! My entire life I've been a "never say die" kinda guy....I don't see how anybody accomplishes anything in life having the type of attitude that I saw from many on here last night. Granted I know it was probably from a bunch of newbie non CK mafia dudes....but hell I'm a newbie and I don't roll that way. Anyway....I'm through venting.....now lets go get that cash.

i second this. that was just disgusting. anybody who watches sports know it isn't over until it's over. live game time score posts are fine but please refrain from freaking out like many did yesterday.

[solobass]

i second this. that was just disgusting. anybody who watches sports know it isn't over until it's over. live game time score posts are fine but please refrain from freaking out like many did yesterday.

eat some lettuce, it will mellow out your trip.

[Dfjay9]

Why wouldnt you be on orlando?

Granger isn't 100%
Pacers played yesterday on the road.
Magic are rested and proved they can win big without Nelson.

Magic by 15

[repski]

Duke/Miami

Dex,

I like that...Dukies will be pissed @ home..and Miami's still on cloud nine from knocking off Wake...

[ANDYW15]

My picks for today

NBA -

Memphis -5 - Memphis are on a two game winning streak, covering both games, and had a nice win last time out against the Rockets which will give them bundles of confidence going into this game against a side in complete freefall and playing with zero confidence whatsoever and on a 7 game losing streak ATS. The return of some of the Clips starters has not helped this team either who are offering little in the way of defence. I think they win by 8+

Denver -7

The Wizards might be the worse team in the league right now alongside the lowly clippers. They are playing horrible. As has been pointed out Carmelo loves playing the wiazrds and now back with the pace of the game following injury I look for him to have a big night. Billups has also said he will play so this can only enhance the confidence in the pick. We also know its a Morr play as well. Denver by 11+

Other plays

- GSW/Suns over 230.5
- Magic -6.5 - Enough reason why already on this board.

Pucks -

CBJ/Pens over 5.5 - CBJ on a B2B, Dubielewicz in goal for CBJ who has a 4.88 GAA. CBJ have lost their last two games so will be looking to break that streak. CBJ games have have gone over the total in their last 2 games and in 5 of their last 7. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in the Penguins lst 5 games. The over is 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the Blue Jackets last 4 trips to Pittsburgh. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall between the clubs. If this does not scream over I don't know what will.

Dallas Stars -130 - The Stars have seen something of a resurgence lately and look for their fourth straight home win on Friday night against NYR. The Stars are in a B2B and lost last night in Col so i look for them to get back on track at home. Dallas is also allowing only 1.5 gpg in its last 6


GL and all the best to all for another successful day

[repski]

Why wouldnt you be on orlando?

Granger isn't 100%
Pacers played yesterday on the road.
Magic are rested and proved they can win big without Nelson.

Magic by 15

i like em...but the big win was @ home against the Clips...

[Bezerk15]

Ddogg...

As far as I know TRENDS have nothing to do with a CK SP. The numbers on the line have to be what his criteria are....and then it is a play. If it is a play, bet it. What else do you need to know? Have you seen the record?

And relating to the "surrender" guys that constantly get on these threads five, ten, or 15 minutes into a game and the game is not going their way......GET A GRIP! First of all there are only a few guys I have ever seen that could scoreboard watch and handle it.

So make your bets and walk away. Watching every second of a game or staring at a scoreboard does NOT change the outcome of that bet. So if it stresses you out...do something else until the bet is over.

I was just discussing the cap since a couple cats asked about why it was not a CK SP...trust me, I have BET every single CK SP with NO questions asked...everyone was simply trying to move away from yesterday and discussing plays for today...that's all it was money - just disscussion - offering my 2 cents and analysis...no harm brother.

I agree with you on the scoreboard watching - that's how cats lose their hair at 30! hahaha

BOL tonight

[Dfjay9]

Yes but it was also a blowout in the 1st quarter. In my opinion any team beating the Clips by 20 really beat a NBA team by 10. Just my 2 cents. I've been stone cold lately though.

[curious]

curious,

I try to keep my picks on the first page of the threads always. And if i play something else during the night like say a 2nd half pick I put those there too. I don't charge anything for my plays. They are for the CK Mafia and anyone else who comes to visit. Don't worry, if we throw a party in Vegas, I'll get some money out of y'all, even if it's just $30.00.

Thanks boss

[solobass]

just did a parlay Magic -6.5 Denver ML -280 Suns under 230.5

$500 wins $1943

[schaapattack]

I agree with you on the scoreboard watching - that's how cats lose their hair at 30! hahaha

I was wondering why i was bald at 29 years old.

[schaapattack]

Might just stick to the system plays today...Dont like the card to much.

[schaapattack]

LEANS

OKC +6.5
Memphis -5

[Mr Handicapable]

Took a little siesta due to family bs......jumped back in last night w/both feet! The extra half pt at Bodog with the Pacers paid off and went w/CKs special on Davidson too!

Tonite...I ABSOLUTELY LOVE Pacers/Magic Over 214.5!! This is a gift fellas!! They are totally overreacting on the line w/Nelson out imo! When DHow isn't dunking the ball...he will have 3 Pacers draped all over him and a WIDE OPEN shooter in the NBA is usually deadly...Nelson or no Nelson! It was just 135-115 the other night in Orlando with Pacers LITERALLY jumping out of the way in the lane to give the Magic open layups
I guess they didn't want to give up 3 pt plays but thats ridiculously soft!! I'm not kidding...our defense is as bad as I've ever seen and I'm 40 yrs old!! We do have scorers though and we'll get our 105 or so tonite! For whatever its worth...I'm 15-8 on Pacer wagers this season!

Magic 120
Pacers 108

3 units on Over 214.5
1 unit on Magic -6

GL!!

[solobass]

Took a little siesta due to family bs......jumped back in last night w/both feet! The extra half pt at Bodog with the Pacers paid off and went w/CKs special on Davidson too!

Tonite...I ABSOLUTELY LOVE Pacers/Magic Over 214.5!! This is a gift fellas!! They are totally overreacting on the line w/Nelson out imo! When DHow isn't dunking the ball...he will have 3 Pacers draped all over him and a WIDE OPEN shooter in the NBA is usually deadly...Nelson or no Nelson! It was just 135-115 the other night in Orlando with Pacers LITERALLY jumping out of the way in the lane to give the Magic open layups
I guess they didn't want to give up 3 pt plays but thats ridiculously soft!! I'm not kidding...our defense is as bad as I've ever seen and I'm 40 yrs old!! We do have scorers though and we'll get our 105 or so tonite! For whatever its worth...I'm 15-8 on Pacer wagers this season!

Magic 120
Pacers 108

3 units on Over 214.5
1 unit on Magic -6

GL!!

not a bad analysis at all, and i will give this a second look. the nba has been trending overs very hard lately and i see some inflated lines on the board today. the value in the next week or so will be on unders i believe.

[kitsters2k]

Can someone help me with a couple of question i have.

1. Why are the bobcats favorites tonite?? (trap)?

2. Why are the Jazz only -2.5 against the kings?? (trap) ?

[nonsense48]

i'm rollin' with bos-5' orl-5 port-6 g.s.+10' my thought is that boston is highly pissed about last nite and they're going to take it out on the poor nicks. get your cash back that you lost on them last nite.

[repski]

ATL/Charlotte

"The Bobcats host the Hawks in a Southeast Division battle in Charlotte this evening in an ideal scheduling spot. That occurs with Atlanta off an 8-point upset road win while the Bobcats enter off back-to-back double digit losses. With Charlotte spotless (7-0 ATS) in division play this season and 7-1 ATS as a host in this series, look for the Bobcats to avenge a pair of losses suffered earlier this season to the Hawks. "

[ANDYW15]

Took a little siesta due to family bs......jumped back in last night w/both feet! The extra half pt at Bodog with the Pacers paid off and went w/CKs special on Davidson too!

Tonite...I ABSOLUTELY LOVE Pacers/Magic Over 214.5!! This is a gift fellas!! They are totally overreacting on the line w/Nelson out imo! When DHow isn't dunking the ball...he will have 3 Pacers draped all over him and a WIDE OPEN shooter in the NBA is usually deadly...Nelson or no Nelson! It was just 135-115 the other night in Orlando with Pacers LITERALLY jumping out of the way in the lane to give the Magic open layups
I guess they didn't want to give up 3 pt plays but thats ridiculously soft!! I'm not kidding...our defense is as bad as I've ever seen and I'm 40 yrs old!! We do have scorers though and we'll get our 105 or so tonite! For whatever its worth...I'm 15-8 on Pacer wagers this season!

Magic 120
Pacers 108

3 units on Over 214.5
1 unit on Magic -6

GL!!

I agree with this , partic with Pacers on a B2B. Expect to see the 3's raining down as well

[Dexter]

Based on that statement "4th game in 5 nights" - are you looking for a let down from the Nuggets against the Wizards?

Carmelo kills the Wizards, all his folks roll down from Baltimore and he just puts on a show. My local hasn't put down a line yet...should I be waiting or jump the first line posted as I'm sure it will rise througout the day?

Thanks Dex

no, i mentioned 2/7/09 (tomorrow) the nuggets and raptors should be extremely tired for their games. 4 games in 5 nights is a rarity in this league.

booked plays-

nuggets -6.5
suns -10.5

[coolmil]

LV

curious,

I try to keep my picks on the first page of the threads always. And if i play something else during the night like say a 2nd half pick I put those there too. I don't charge anything for my plays. They are for the CK Mafia and anyone else who comes to visit. Don't worry, if we throw a party in Vegas, I'll get some money out of y'all, even if it's just $30.00.

CK, I spend entire month of march in LV. If you get there dinner on me.

[repski]

Memphis

The Clippers have lost seven straight (0-7 ATS) on the road. They finish a five game road trip in a seven day stretch with Memphis being the last stop. Doubt the Grizzlies will have to break a sweat here as the home team has covered four straight in the series.

Memphis(big)

[Bezerk15]

I missed that...

no, i mentioned 2/7/09 (tomorrow) the nuggets and raptors should be extremely tired for their games. 4 games in 5 nights is a rarity in this league.

booked plays-

nuggets -6.5
suns -10.5

Thanks for pointing that out Dex...good looking out.

[El Degeneroso]

Can someone help me with a couple of question i have.

1. Why are the bobcats favorites tonite?? (trap)?

2. Why are the Jazz only -2.5 against the kings?? (trap) ?

As far as the Jazz go, they are a paltry 1-11 SU when playing on the second day of back to back days this year. And I think that we've all seen the major letdowns of teams following big wins (last night was approaching 30, I think). Although I will say that with the Kings being as rotten as they are, it is a tempting line. Too many major ?'s on the Jazz side for me to take it though.

[Mr Handicapable]

More numbers to throw in the mix

Pacers are 16-7 Over at home
Pacers are 6-1 Over in home games w/210+ totals

Sidenote....speaking of March in Vegas...I'm going for March Madness this year...got a nice deal due to this sh*t economy! I may be divorced and my sh*t might be out on the lawn when I get back but I'm
going! I recommend it....best time of the year in Vegas imo!!

[cocknocker]

solobass....no....

That's an awful lot of money to put on a parlay that has a 12% chance of hitting. I am not one to tel anyone what to do with their money, but that is a wagering no-no for sharps even if it does hit, it's still not a good idea to putthat kind of money up for risk on a three way parlay. You can just add two more teams and put $25.00 on it and get the same amount of winnings with MUCH less risk amount. You still can take your chance and you still have $475.00 in your pocket instead of risking it on a 12% whim. I don't want to tinker with your style or discourage you from doing what you're doing, but I started sweating for you when i saw the parlay that you had booked. There's a big difference between a carefully considered serious wager and a fun wager. You are crossing intersections with that type of risk amount on a wager that is meant to be a fun wager. Do me a favor next week. Try to lay off the parlays, and if you do have to do one, make it a 5 teamer for no more than $25.00. Continue playing your straight wagers and your one a day parlay for $25.00 then PM me and let me know what you saw with respect to your profits/losses

[repski]

GS/Suns STATS

Golden St is 7-0 OVER their last 7 games vs. winning teams
The Warriors are 8-3 OVER their last 11 game vs. Pacific Division teams
Phoenix is 11-5 OVER when playing with one day of rest and they are 6-2 OVER their last 8 Conference games.
Suns are 7-0 OVER their last 7 meetings with the Warriors.
OVER

[cocknocker]

Nice analysis, Mr. Handicapable. That one really has me thinking....Dwight Howard should be abe to get any shot that he wants...

BTW gentlemen, the Missus is laying the Bobbies minus the chalk as she says!

[pingpongfool]

First Post here. I have been posting on the other popular wagering forum under the same name. I was turned on to CK by a friend (BiggDogg) and I have to say I am very impressed. I will reading your plays every day now. So to my new friend BOL

PS. Can you add me to your Network CK?