sure, basically it will be some sort of calculation based on money lines, spreads, home court edge etc at least to start with. basically, it will be a tool to rank my system plays and manage the size of bets accordingly. higher probability=more jack essentially. with the tournament selection show coming on march 15th, we have little time to waste and must maximize our profits now.
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booked plays-
raptors -7.5 (big)
bulls -1
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i love the way toronto is rounding into form - the bucks are now in a state of flux without their leading scorer redd for the rest of the year. toronto is 3-1 ats the last 4 at home to the bucks - the 3 su wins came by an avg margin of 22ppg. this is also a revenge angle for the raptors off of a loss at milw earlier in the year.
-raptors (big)
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the bulls have lost their last 4 su in sac, but the kings are in a very tough spot off of a 4 game east coast trip - and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. playing the better team in this spot, as the bulls finally get a win in sac.
-bullsComment -
added booked play-
cavs -15.5 (dominant off a su loss)Comment -
Going against the system Dexter? Clips are that bad I knowComment -
I saw the clippers were a system play tonight but couldn't stomach myself to bet them. I'm gonna just hope that the Cavs cover tonight and I'll def be on them for Bet B.Comment -
solo,
Butler is -3000 and -750 1h for me which is 25%. This is a play correct?Comment -
Feeling propish again...
Al Jefferson has been carrying the Wolves recently. Add to that he was left off the All-Star squad with some really, really good numbers and you a man on a mission. Jefferson averages 10.5 rebounds this season (9.8 on 1 days rest, 10.4 at home) and had 13 the last game against the boys from LaLa Land. Jefferson has a big chip on his shoulder tonight and wants to show off his game against the best team in the West.
Al Jefferson over 9.5 rebounds (-135) (I like the fact that the under is +105)
Also booked Butler -9.5 1h earlier this afternoon (for obvious reasons)
And Dex has sold me on Toronto -7.5 so I'm headed to book that now. I really want to go Chicago, but it just seems I have no luck with a game involving the Kings this season, no matter what side I'm on. Have any last selling points Dex?Comment -
Great brainstorming today gents...
Got in some early picks today -
Marist +5.5
Loyola +7
2 team tease Marist +9.5 and Loyola +11
With Solobass on the Butler 1h -9.5
gonna regret it, but can't bring myself to play celts or cavs...stupid - i know!Comment -
Bezerk! Grow up...put some cash on the C's at least. I'm losing faith in you bro. But I'm looking over that tease, it may require some of my doe as well.Comment -
Celts...I folded like a lawn chair...
Everyone is on the Celts...I can't deny it...immediately after posting my picks...went directly to my book and took the Celts!
1h -3 $500
Game -6 $500
I love peer pressure, but dig good capping even better!Comment -
hahaha...jaymac...I was typing in my play and then came back to see that!
I'm in there brother...actually got the Celts game at -5.5Comment -
Lucky dog you! I'm stuck playing 'em at -6.5. Since I use a local, and I live just outside boston, most people using my guy bet the celts just cuz, so he usually jacks the line up pretty quick.Comment -
OK, card for the evening:
Butler -9.5 1h (-115)
Toronto -7 (-120, bought half point)
Al Jefferson over 9.5 rebounds (-135)
Cornell -7.5 1h (-115)
Still open to the Bulls late. Or maybe a play on the ice. Someone sell me baby!Comment -
It bounced around all day...it was at 6.5 on my local at one point and recently came tumbling down. Jumped on it, I got lucky on the timing.Comment -
I jumped back on to check and sure enough, back to -6...that jumpy line is bugging me...too late now - they better dominate and bring home a 5 point 1h and 9 point victory (just to be on the safe side!)Comment -
looks like I am the onlyone on earth who has the PistonsComment -
headin out for a poker tourney,good luck everyoneComment -
I'm gonna roll with Butler -9.5 1st half a
And then double up on the 2nd half if they meet the 1st half spread and are favored again at the half. If they are not favored in the 2nd half after meeting the overall game spread in the 1st half then I won't take it, either. However, if they are ahead by something like 14 at the break, then I'll lay the lumber
on the second half if they are favored to win by an amount of points that combined with the 1st half score surpasses the amount of the original game spread line. As BigMoney sez.."Now you're talkin'"
Butler -9.5 1st halfComment -
wish I could get that. Been watching it all day, missed it at -9.5 early this morning and still hasn't came down from -10.Comment -
CK, GOOD LUCK BROTHER. let's get those red birds on sunday too.Comment -
Maddog, she's playing
THis is what she just played online:
Boston 1st quarter
Charlotte+10.5 Game
Charoltte+3 1st quarterComment -
CK, did they ban that khali dude? i haven't seen his rudeness today.Comment -
Here is some information on the Marist/Fairfield game.. I am going big on it tonight based on this and other information along with Fairfield's recent performance...enjoy...
Fairfield once figured by some to finish 2nd in the conference has totally collapsed on and off the court. They have lost 3 in a row and and a had a slew of injuries...but thats just where the story begins...
Following their 65-60 setback to Manhattan last Monday night in front their of 1000+ fans in attendance a meltdown occurred. During the post game interviews one of Fairfield team leaders, Senior Guard John Han, was senn standing outside the locker room screaming at assistant coach Brian Blaney
Here is the due a local paper gave that situation.
"You want to know what's going on at Fairfield, I'll tell you what's going on," Han shouted while standing next to his parents moments after exchanging verbal barbs with Blaney.
Han was not able to finish his thoughts in front of the media, but junior forward Greg Nero might have summed up the state of the Stags best afterwards.
"As a team we are in a dark place right now," said Nero, who hobbled through 11 second-half minutes after being pulled from the starting lineup due to a back injury. He will have an MRI today. "There's too much negativity right now. I'm trying to be a positive, but we still don't have the energy we need to win."
Whatever turmoil and unhappiness is swirling around inside the Stags' locker room has spilled out onto the court the last few games and led to a three-game skid that has Fairfield 12-9 on the season and 5-5 in the Metro Atlantic Athletic -Williiam Paxton Connecticut Post
Tonight the Stags will go out without 3 starters, including Hahn who has been suspended, the three make up the #2, #3 and #4 scorers for Fairlfield. If thats not bad enough, Fairfields other two starters are playing hurt tonight.
Going in Marist already owns a 7-2 ATS run against Fairfield
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Kind of confused on that. Could you give an example. ThanksI'm gonna roll with Butler -9.5 1st half a
And then double up on the 2nd half if they meet the 1st half spread and are favored again at the half. If they are not favored in the 2nd half after meeting the overall game spread in the 1st half then I won't take it, either. However, if they are ahead by something like 14 at the break, then I'll lay the lumberon the second half if they are favored to win by an amount of points that combined with the 1st half score surpasses the amount of the original game spread line. As BigMoney sez.."Now you're talkin'"
Butler -9.5 1st halfComment -
I just talked to nightridah on the phone, he's in Vegas for the Super Bowl festivities. I'm gonna go downstairs and bring a double play on the counter with me and the Miissus making identical 1s half plays back to back on Butler. I already played it oniline too. I'm out guys I already explained what I'm gonna do on the 2nd half. If Butler is up by 13 to 16 or so and is minus a 6.5 for the 2nd half I'm laying the woodComment -
nice insight smack. Might lay something small/medium on marist.Comment -
my plays locked in for this eve are as follows:cbb:butler-9' 1st 1/2 dime nba:char+10 lal-6' tor-7' nickle each bos-5' dime. GOOD LUCK EVERYONEComment -
i'd watch out for the favs tonight guys.. i think the dogs will do betterComment -
Here is some information on the Marist/Fairfield game.. I am going big on it tonight based on this and other information along with Fairfield's recent performance...enjoy...
Fairfield once figured by some to finish 2nd in the conference has totally collapsed on and off the court. They have lost 3 in a row and and a had a slew of injuries...but thats just where the story begins...
Following their 65-60 setback to Manhattan last Monday night in front their of 1000+ fans in attendance a meltdown occurred. During the post game interviews one of Fairfield team leaders, Senior Guard John Han, was senn standing outside the locker room screaming at assistant coach Brian Blaney
Here is the due a local paper gave that situation.
"You want to know what's going on at Fairfield, I'll tell you what's going on," Han shouted while standing next to his parents moments after exchanging verbal barbs with Blaney.
Han was not able to finish his thoughts in front of the media, but junior forward Greg Nero might have summed up the state of the Stags best afterwards.
"As a team we are in a dark place right now," said Nero, who hobbled through 11 second-half minutes after being pulled from the starting lineup due to a back injury. He will have an MRI today. "There's too much negativity right now. I'm trying to be a positive, but we still don't have the energy we need to win."
Whatever turmoil and unhappiness is swirling around inside the Stags' locker room has spilled out onto the court the last few games and led to a three-game skid that has Fairfield 12-9 on the season and 5-5 in the Metro Atlantic Athletic -Williiam Paxton Connecticut Post
Tonight the Stags will go out without 3 starters, including Hahn who has been suspended, the three make up the #2, #3 and #4 scorers for Fairlfield. If thats not bad enough, Fairfields other two starters are playing hurt tonight.
Going in Marist already owns a 7-2 ATS run against Fairfield
Fairfield has been playing without starters for a while now, this isn't brand new. Very strange to me that the linesmakers still put Fairfield as 6.5 favs knowing this info.
If Nero goes tonight he makes a big impact for the Stags. All depends on his back.Comment -
More information...
With 3 starters out & the 2 others hurt but playing it would seem they will obviously rely on their bench tonight. according to kenpom fairfield's bench minutes are 314th out of 344 division 1 teams. they haven't used them much so i would assume there must be a reason for that. either very young or not very good.
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Here is the supposed starting lineup.
Herbie
Jordan
Hawkins
Evanovich
Olander
Supposedly Nero is a gametime decision. Most likely will not start or play unless needed. Sounds like he will only play if the game is close.Comment -
barely got home in time to get these in....
NCAA
Rider -6½
Butler -18 (big)
NBA
Chicago Bulls -1
New Orleans Hornets -9
Denver Nuggets -10
Utah Jazz -10
Cleveland Cavaliers -15½
Toronto Raptors -7½ (big)
Boston Celtics -6½ (big)
3 Team Parlay
Utah Jazz -10
Denver Nuggets -10
New Orleans Hornets -9Comment -
I am on
NCAA
Marist +6
Butlet -9.5 1H
NBA:
Boston -5.5
Cavs -8.5 1H
Boston -3 1H
Toronto ML 1q
NHL:ALL ML
Penguins
Blue Jackets
Flyers
Oilers
Calgary
Parlay
Boston ML
Toronto ML
Bulls pkComment -
alright, who is fired up to cash some tickets tonight! tomorrow will be a huge day in my estimation. best of luck everyone!Comment
