EP36's 2nd Half Formula Plays

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  • Hangoverblack
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-12
    • 1900

    #736
    I worry about this one. I feel like you might as well parlay the over with the +6, cause they hit together. G/L though
    Comment
    • Bbfromgpt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-24-12
      • 6115

      #737
      On it small for 100. Need SC to win though since I have them in a ML parlay haha
      Comment
      • CollegePro
        SBR MVP
        • 02-23-09
        • 4006

        #738
        ehh.. not looking good
        Comment
        • Bbfromgpt
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-24-12
          • 6115

          #739
          Yea not hitting this one
          Comment
          • CollegePro
            SBR MVP
            • 02-23-09
            • 4006

            #740
            we gonna need ot bad
            Comment
            • Bbfromgpt
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-24-12
              • 6115

              #741
              Yea, I deserved the loss lol. betting half totals is a sucker bet
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #742
                Got all the fouls we needed, but couldn't make up for poor shooting which lasted too long after the 15:00 mark. Once out of four or five days, would be nice to win the 1st one of the night. Getting that 1st one always seems to set a tone. Losing it creates doubt, but I plug on for more. Unfortunately with any project, gonna run cold and hot.
                Comment
                • sigtauslimer
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-29-11
                  • 427

                  #743
                  Originally posted by Bbfromgpt
                  Yea, I deserved the loss lol. betting half totals is a sucker bet
                  I've made probably half of my winnings by betting 1H and 2H.
                  Went 3-0 on half totals last night betting 80 to win 75.
                  Comment
                  • riffraff24
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-20-11
                    • 7234

                    #744
                    Too many negative vibe posts on that last play... Lets keep the next one POSITIVE!

                    I know I know superstitions are stupid.
                    Comment
                    • sigtauslimer
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-29-11
                      • 427

                      #745
                      EP, along with what I private messaged you about one time, have you ever thought of looking at your plays and seeing if there is 1 or 2 missing variables that you aren't including that might tie-in to outcomes? Maybe there is, maybe there isn't any, but just a thought. If you are all ready checking stats to input in your formula, you could track some other indicators on the side and how the outcomes play out.

                      Just some thoughts.
                      #mathmajor #sportsnerd
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #746
                        I've looked at sides a little more, but there's no formula for sides with me. I look over the numbers, teams and game flow to look at some potential plays ... totals as I said when I started, I do plug the stats in the formula, but it's not strictly where there is a play if the numbers match taking an over or under. The last batch of games for example had a couple potential plays, but one of my keys is not playing a lot of games where there is a ridiculous FG% made in a half - Indiana - or shit shooting all over - Cincy & Xavier. Those may continue or they may totally go the other direction. I generally try to utilize the games where the shooting percentages are somewhere in the range of what the teams usually do without the huge +/-.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #747
                          UTEP-Oregon Over 69 [-110]
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #748
                            Texas-N.Carolina Over 78.5 [-110]
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #749
                              I don't know what deity I pissed off, but sorry. Jeezus. Needed 11 pts in 2:43 in the Oregon-UTEP game and they get THREE points in the next 2:30. Un-fing-real.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #750
                                An apology gets me OT.
                                Comment
                                • jimm246
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-01-12
                                  • 1357

                                  #751
                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                  An apology gets me OT.
                                  Hel ya ep36 that y i lov the over
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #752
                                    Well at least one win for the night. This UNC-Texas game was terrible in the 2nd half. Plenty of pace + possessions, but both teams shooting like brick shithouses.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #753
                                      Reallt the same shit as the App State-SC game. Lots of fouls, but shit shooting. If they shoot even 40% ish in the 2nd half, this would have gotten done. Meh. Again, the #s point you in the right direction, but sometimes the results don't follow. One last game to look at tonight. Ole Miss-Loyola. UNC should be real embarrassed. They got beat by a bad team. Great coaching Roy.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #754
                                        Feel me for .500 today.

                                        Loyola (MT)-Ole Miss Over 76.5 [-110]
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #755
                                          Another one set up pretty well. Needed 21 pts in the last 5 minutes. Almost three minutes with only four pts scored. Again whatever deity I have offended, truly sorry because you continually take it out on my ass with these.
                                          Comment
                                          • jimm246
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-01-12
                                            • 1357

                                            #756
                                            almost went ot agian
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #757
                                              Beyond frustrated this week with these. Reminds me of the first couple weeks when everything was lined up well numbers wise and everything just found a way to lose. Deep inside, I know you have to weather these sort of shit stretches - but GD, it's tough. This last game a prime example again. Barely any scoring in the last five minutes and the team down three points isn't fouling inside a minute. Just one of those weeks where it seems like any game that needs scoring, doesn't get it. Any that needs to avoid the foul game, doesn't. Brutal.

                                              Updated Record: 60-50-5 [+3.68]
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #758
                                                Have to say the Christmas Holiday is probably going to be a welcomed break after how this week has gone. Gotta keep grinding. F.
                                                Comment
                                                • zr0
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 08-24-11
                                                  • 58

                                                  #759
                                                  i feel your pain EP, been having a rough week too. hope you catch a break because i trying to catch one too
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #760
                                                    12.20.12
                                                    Michigan-E.Michigan Over 63 [-110]
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #761
                                                      That's how we f-ing do. No muss, no fuss tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jimm246
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-01-12
                                                        • 1357

                                                        #762
                                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                        That's how we f-ing do. No muss, no fuss tonight.
                                                        Hel yea EP
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jimm246
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-01-12
                                                          • 1357

                                                          #763
                                                          usc/irvine over 68.5 2h? What do you thing EP?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #764
                                                            Sorry didn't have any other totals at my book tonight, so I stopped looking.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #765
                                                              Updated Record: 61-50-5 [+3.68]

                                                              Oh baby. Pretty full slate of totals tonight & Daddy's got to get his swerve on while wrapping presents and hitting these 2nd halves. See you boys this evening.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #766
                                                                12.21.12
                                                                W.Carolina-Tennessee Under 68 [-110]


                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Woulda coulda shoulda on this one. The first ten minutes buried it. The last ten almost cashed it. Meh.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Stanford-Northwestern Over 69 [-110]
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #769
                                                                      CS-Northridge -1.5 [-110]
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Updated Record: 63-51-5 [+4.58]
                                                                        Comment
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