5mike5--NBA +Props

[Les_Nuts]

Wow, the juice on Rose is rough. -175 for over 23.5 points. Why can't they just offer me over 24.5 at a better price? At this price I can't pay it, but I am so confident in this prop, currently asking books for a different line/price. If anyone sees a good line/price, let me know

Maybe they have been reading your thread Mike!

Anything interest you tonight?

[Les_Nuts]

I have taken Rose at over 23.5 points and parlayed it with a horse at the Cheltenham Festival tomorrow for 3 units. I think the books are showing their hand here and I'm not paying the juice as a single so put it in a double. I am very confident in this prop, especially at this line, if you can get 24.5/25/25.5 at anywhere near to +100 then I would snap it up but I am limited in my books. Pinnacle/5dimes and my locals are my choice and this was the best I could get.

GL to all, may play another, I'll look at the other games later

[5mike5]

Rose points was -135 at 5dimes late afternoon, but i didnt bet it of course at even that....srry could post up yet, had to do favor for future in-laws...lol

[5mike5]

anyways, i only bet 2 early and will bet a 2play parlay late probably...early i got G.Henderson OVER 13.5 (+115) and M. Belielli OVER 12.5 (+105)...played them on seperate straight wagers so even 1 of 2 is positive money, but ive got a shot at both i hope...LOL

GOODLUCK all and ill post up a late play if i like anything

[Les_Nuts]

anyways, i only bet 2 early and will bet a 2play parlay late probably...early i got G.Henderson OVER 13.5 (+115) and M. Belielli OVER 12.5 (+105)...played them on seperate straight wagers so even 1 of 2 is positive money, but ive got a shot at both i hope...LOL

GOODLUCK all and ill post up a late play if i like anything

Hope your not watching that game, 3mins would put you to sleep. Knicks/Bulls game is great to watch

[5mike5]

i never watch any NBA to be honest...i just pull up gamecast and check stats every quarter or so on my games...LOL

i havebnt watched but a few minutes of NBA game all season so far...i watch a little during playoffs though, just reg. season is useless imo...and a little cbb but not alot of any bb

**i did watch a few minutes of that game wheb i got home cause TV was on espn, and did look like a good watch

[5mike5]

i may play a late parlay as long as i win 1 of my 2 early bets....henderson has 9 and benelli or whatever has 6 at halftime so far

u got any feels on the 2 late games?

[5mike5]

G.Henderson just cashed with 14 points(+115) at the end of the 3rd quarter!!!

nice start to the evening

other play need 1 point, but he just got taken out with just 6 min. left so doubt he gets back in...if not, im still up a little so im playing a 2-slot parlay on the 2 late games

[5mike5]

alright, little positive for the night so went with a 2-slot parlay for a night cap...

S.Nash OVER 11.5 assists (+100) with B.Griffin OVER 11.5 rebounds (+110)...little over 3to1 odds

also may hit C.Paul OVER 8.5 assists by itself...i got 3 min to decide on that 1...parlay is locked in....

[Les_Nuts]

Rose hits with 11mins left. Annoying I couldn't find a price where I could play the single because I had been saying for a while how much I liked this spot for Rose. But just need this horse to win for a 3.5 unit win.
Will look at later games now, I like the Nash play Mike, GL

[5mike5]

alright, little positive for the night so went with a 2-slot parlay for a night cap...

S.Nash OVER 11.5 assists (+100) with B.Griffin OVER 11.5 rebounds (+110)...little over 3to1 odds

also may hit C.Paul OVER 8.5 assists by itself...i got 3 min to decide on that 1...parlay is locked in....

i also locked in the C.Paul assists OVER 8.5 @+110.....hoping at least 1 of the 2 bets win late

let me know what u are on late Les Nuts so i can pull 4 ur plays...i payed attention to rose just cause i knew u loved it...gotta love when they shot that many times when u need them..nothing better

[Les_Nuts]

I am playing Blake Griffin over 11.5 rebounds for 1 unit at +110, same as you. Continuing with the big men dominate the Celtics project, Griffin should get plenty of shots against the worst rebounding team in the league. Was tempted by the points at 21 at +105 and wanted to play a mix but it wasn't available. I went with rebounds because of the better price and he is such a bad FT shooter. I like this play even more because with both agree on it now. If Garnett is playing center and on Jordan then that is a big boost for this bet but I like it anyways


Rose was my favorite play of the year so far - he could be on 30+ but has been inefficient, missing FTs and been blocked/stripped with clear layup twice. I knew he would be able to get into the lane often was just counting on him making the shots. I am going to look at games for tomorrow and see if I like anything before I see the lines so I know what to look for.

GL Mike on Nash, Paul and of course Griffin!

[5mike5]

I am playing Blake Griffin over 11.5 rebounds for 1 unit at +110, same as you. Continuing with the big men dominate the Celtics project, Griffin should get plenty of shots against the worst rebounding team in the league. Was tempted by the points at 21 at +105 and wanted to play a mix but it wasn't available. I went with rebounds because of the better price and he is such a bad FT shooter. I like this play even more because with both agree on it now. If Garnett is playing center and on Jordan then that is a big boost for this bet but I like it anyways
GL all

hopefully my 1st play on that parlay(Nash Over 11.5 ass.) with griffin rebs comes through...nash has 4 ass. in 1st Qyarter so far so hopefully he can pile them up early...

GL to us buddy!

[Les_Nuts]

Will almost certainly be making a play on Dwight Howard tomorrow vs Heat. Either rebounds or points or both. He is a mismatch for Miami as they do not have a serviceable center, Anthony is not up to guarding Dwight. This might be his last game in Orlando and he will want a big performance in a big game to showcase his talent before the trade deadline, will be extra motivated for this one. In the matchup earlier this season in Orlando, Dwight had 27 points (i think) and 24 rebounds in a monster game. I suspect the lines will be around 22 points and 15.5 rebounds, if that is the case I am leaning boards but the price will play a big part, probably a 2 or 3 unit play.
Haven't looked at any other games yet but that one just jumped out to me. I hope they don't heavily juice him like Rose today

[Les_Nuts]

Another play in the same game may be Hedo Turkoglu under on points if available. In the two games against the Heat this season he has scored 3 and 1 points. He will be up against LeBron and so will be in for another rough night. If this prop is available at my books and around 11 points I will take it as he will most likely be shackled by one of the best one on one defenders in the game

[5mike5]

Another play in the same game may be Hedo Turkoglu under on points if available. In the two games against the Heat this season he has scored 3 and 1 points. He will be up against LeBron and so will be in for another rough night. If this prop is available at my books and around 11 points I will take it as he will most likely be shackled by one of the best one on one defenders in the game

ive hit both times ive bet Turkoglu this last few weeks...he always +odds too usually...and never needs a big # to hit either...usually 11.5-13

i had him last week OVER 11.5 @+130...got there in 3rd i think

[5mike5]

well our last play of the evening looks god awful at halftime...not very often these make tat big a comeback thats 4 sure...need small miracles imo...

think im going to look 4ward to tomorrows props--LOL

[Les_Nuts]

Griffin was disappointing because I came close to playing points but went for rebounds because of the slightly better price. It sounds like I'm Monday Morning QBing but I would have preferred to play Jordan on rebounds because he is so good at them and its typically the centers that crash boards against Boston, but it wasn't available.

Anyway I locked in two plays a little earlier for today.

Dwayne Wade over 22.5 points -120. There is a fair bit of juice but in this case I am happy to pay it. Wade has scored 27 and 33 in their two meetings this year and scored 28 points in his last game. Richardson is out at SG for the Magic and so guarding Wade will be JJ Reddick - a notoriously bad defensive player. I like Wade to go over 30 today and am playing this prop to win 2.5 units

Dwight Howard over 15.5 rebounds +110. Nice price on this and I am taking it instead of the 21.5 points at -109, I hope I don't regret this like the Griffin one. Howard will be a real problem for the Heat today and has had a combined 39 rebounds against them in the two meets this year. I like him to be extra motivated for this one as the trade deadline approaches and could possibly be is last game in Orlando. I am playing this to win 2.5 units as well.

I haven't seen a prop on Turkoglu yet but if it becomes available at a decent price I will take the under on his points. I haven't looked much at the other games yet but I have my eye on Monta Elis or Marcus Thornton in the late game and possibly Russell Westbrook vs Rockets.
GL today. Got anything yet Mike?

[5mike5]

nah im going to take a peek in a few minutes though...

Turk's Under usually highly juiced...Ive bet the OVER 11.5 pts 2 times last couple weeks and hit both @ +130..maybe it will be closer to even money if u get it early though

[5mike5]

turk Under 10.5 is -150 at 5D....tough..iactually like the Over but also looking at Howard Over 15.5 rebs(+100)...he had 24 last game vs heat

[5mike5]

TUESDAY mar. 13th

D. Howard OVER 15.5 rebounds (+110)...dwight has reached this # 2/3 games and had 24 rebounds earlier this season VS. the Miami Heat..Plus i agree witrh Les Nuts he may just play great tonight...at +110 i love the value of this prop

L.Aldridge OVER 21 total points(+100)....he is finally starting to get back in the groove with 22+ points in 3 games in a row and has finally started to make his way to the FT line, where he was missing key points since his return...+100 is great value

placing these picks also on a 2-slot parlay at 3.3 to 1

[Dad]

On em. Thanks Mike.

They did both drop to +100 though

[5mike5]

On em. Thanks Mike.

They did both drop to +100 though

well i hope they do well for both of us, i think theres alot of value in these 2, but who the hell knows.LOL


GL...ill probably take 1 more play tonight...im still looking

[Les_Nuts]

Good to see you are on Howard rebounds as well. The juice on Hedo is rough, too much for me to take, I love the under play but if your taking a stab at the over GL.

[swordsandtequila]

With you on Howard and Aldridge. Been in a little bit of a slump, time to win! Good luck all.

[5mike5]

great thing about these props is 1-1 and even less than that over the long haul and u still make money betting them srt8 up.and we are still well over that mark....i add parlays too sometimes which is 1 reason im still up so much playing +100 and worse in NBA....

there will always be small slumps playing +100 anything, especially props, but the good runs more than pay for the bad 1s, which is always a big +....

probably going to be focusing alot more in ncaa +props during the ncaa tournament....currently 15-4 on ncaa +props so hopefully continue that great run too i hope

[5mike5]

probably still play a play or 2 in NBA +props during the ncaa days, but there will be much value on those college plays i have a feeling...cbb +props have some cherry values usually...and with 16 games on thurs. and fri. im rather excited to see what i can find over there

YTD: 15-4 on the cbb +props....(thread is on ncaa cbb page)

[5mike5]

adding 1 more play for early games:

D.DeRozan OVER 18.5 pts (+145) and H.Turkoglu OVER 10.5 pts (+120)

**DeRozan has got to 19+ in 4 of his last 5 games, so not sure why the odds are that long at +145, but its worth a stab at for me just purely on value alone

i wouldnt tail this as its a pure value play with LONG odds.

[Les_Nuts]

Good news for you, Mike is LeBron isn't guarding Hedo one on one, makes your chance way better

[5mike5]

WHAT A NIGHT BY HOWARD!!!! wow 26 rebs and counting...

glad too that str8 bet kept me from having a losing night....lost other str8 and the small parlay play with derozan/hendo..

TY dwight!

[Les_Nuts]

Griffin was disappointing because I came close to playing points but went for rebounds because of the slightly better price. It sounds like I'm Monday Morning QBing but I would have preferred to play Jordan on rebounds because he is so good at them and its typically the centers that crash boards against Boston, but it wasn't available.

Anyway I locked in two plays a little earlier for today.

Dwayne Wade over 22.5 points -120. There is a fair bit of juice but in this case I am happy to pay it. Wade has scored 27 and 33 in their two meetings this year and scored 28 points in his last game. Richardson is out at SG for the Magic and so guarding Wade will be JJ Reddick - a notoriously bad defensive player. I like Wade to go over 30 today and am playing this prop to win 2.5 units

Dwight Howard over 15.5 rebounds +110. Nice price on this and I am taking it instead of the 21.5 points at -109, I hope I don't regret this like the Griffin one. Howard will be a real problem for the Heat today and has had a combined 39 rebounds against them in the two meets this year. I like him to be extra motivated for this one as the trade deadline approaches and could possibly be is last game in Orlando. I am playing this to win 2.5 units as well.

I haven't seen a prop on Turkoglu yet but if it becomes available at a decent price I will take the under on his points. I haven't looked much at the other games yet but I have my eye on Monta Elis or Marcus Thornton in the late game and possibly Russell Westbrook vs Rockets.
GL today. Got anything yet Mike?

Both hit +5units. Hopefully I can keep it going

Joint cash on Howard Mike

[5mike5]

break even night for me pretty much, but ill take those over losing any night....keep it up Nuts!!!

ill chack in, but im doing cbb too duting touney, come over there and see what u think!

[Les_Nuts]

I'm tempted by Thornton over 20.5 points at +106, especially since Eliis isn't playing (I think) but I'm gonna leave it and look at the games tomorrow.

D-Rose has another good matchup vs Miami tomorrow, if LeBron decides to guard him then its a no play but Chalmers and Cole hemorrhaged points to Nelson tonight. Noah on rebounds could be a play as well. Other leans are Tony Parker on points vs Magic and Ray Allen vs Warriors on points, some nice matchups for those two

[5mike5]

GL ill follow and route for ya if u takem bud!

[FlaxMartin]

Wow, I got lucky, big time last night, Played a parlay with
Irving Under 19.5 points
DWade over 33.5 (points + rebs + ass)
John Wall over 25 (points + assists)
At +570

Wall played the entire second half I believe.