Only one pick for tonight:
Mavericks @ Suns UNDER 192 -110
Mavericks @ Suns UNDER 192 -110
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Barely eeked out a win tonight. Record was 1-0, +0.91 units.
Record:
100-93-3
51.81%
+0.69 unitsComment -
Nice work for yesterday night. What about today?Comment -
toddorts, is there any particular stat/stats that you like to look at to arrive at your picks?Comment -
No, not one in particular. It's a whole host of stats. Everything from average points for/against, to steals, to total rebounding percentage, and lots more. All of it gets different weight in my formulas. It's a pretty complicated system, but most of the work on my part just involves inputing all of the stats and results in my spreadsheet every night, and then the spreadsheet does all of the hard work.Originally posted by WILLIE
It just took a long time to develop it in the first place using years of back-testing, but now that it's all put together, it's not a whole lot of work for me.
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Here are today's picks:
Nets @ Bobcats UNDER 192.5 -105
HAWKS @ Pistons PK -108
TRAILBLAZERS @ Celtics +3 -103
CAVALIERS @ Thunder +14 -108
Knicks @ Bucks UNDER 206.5 -105
KNICKS @ Bucks -1.5 -105
CLIPPERS @ Suns +5 -103
Hornets @ Nuggets UNDER 195 -103
Mavericks @ Kings UNDER 197 -107Comment -
Seems like a lot of plays to only be even for season. Has this formula/system done any better in the past few years?Originally posted by toddortsNo, not one in particular. It's a whole host of stats. Everything from average points for/against, to steals, to total rebounding percentage, and lots more. All of it gets different weight in my formulas. It's a pretty complicated system, but most of the work on my part just involves inputing all of the stats and results in my spreadsheet every night, and then the spreadsheet does all of the hard work. It just took a long time to develop it in the first place using years of back-testing, but now that it's all put together, it's not a whole lot of work for me.Comment -
Oh yes. Last season I finished up about 30 units. That's typical. This season is tough. The players didn't have a pre-season, there are tons of back-to-backs, and even a good number of back-to-back-to-backs, and the number of key injuries has been high.Comment -
I completly understand, my NFL system that I've used the last few years has had only 1 loss in last 5 years, but had 4 this last year due to starting QB injuries. When it rains it pours. that's why I've been real reluctant to play very much in NBA this season.Originally posted by toddortsComment -
Well, another bad night. Can't seem to keep it in the + numbers. Record was 3-6, -3.15 units.
Record:
103-99-3
50.99%
-2.46 unitsComment -
My formulas are turning out a bunch of unders for tonight's games. I'm a bit wary of it, but I'm sticking with my numbers and making the plays. Totals have been a loser for me so far this year, but hopefully that's just been a fluke. We'll see. Here are the picks:
Trailblazers @ Wizards UNDER 201 -110
TRAILBLAZERS @ Wizards -5.5 -105
Raptors @ Pistons UNDER 185.5 -105
RAPTORS @ Pistons +3 -105
Pacers @ Heat UNDER 195 -105
Hornets @ Timberwolves UNDER 188.5 -105
HORNETS @ Timberwolves +8 -108
Rockets @ NETS +6.5 -108
Grizzlies @ Suns UNDER 192.5 -108
GRIZZLIES @ Suns -1.5 -105
Mavericks @ Warriors UNDER 194.5 -110
MAVERICKS @ Warriors +4 -108Comment -
Basically a break even day. Record was 6-6, -0.36 units.
Record:
109-105-3
50.93%
-2.82 unitsComment -
My picks for the early games:
76ers @ Knicks UNDER 195 -103
76ers @ KNICKS -3 -105
Pacers @ Magic UNDER 187 -110
PACERS @ Magic +5.5 -108
ROCKETS @ Cavaliers +3.5 -108Comment -
And the picks for the rest of the games:
Bucks @ Raptors UNDER 198 -110
Bucks @ RAPTORS +2 -104
Hawks @ Kings UNDER 193 -108
HAWKS @ Kings +1 -105
Warriors @ CLIPPERS -7.5 -105Comment -
Well, there's just no other way to describe today other than calling it a slaughtering. That was just brutal. Record was 1-9, -8.05 units.
Record:
110-114-3
49.11%
-10.87 unitsComment -
Only one thing you can do after a slaughtering: keep going. Bad days happen. Days that bad don't happen often, but they do happen. Hopefully my luck is better tonight:
Bucks @ NETS +3 -105
Knicks @ Bulls UNDER 199 -108
KNICKS @ Bulls +8.5 -102
Bobcats @ Hornets UNDER 183 -110
Bobcats @ HORNETS -6 -113
Wizards @ Spurs UNDER 207 -110
WIZARDS @ Spurs +14.5 -113
Pistons @ JAZZ -6.5 -108
TIMBERWOLVES @ Suns +4 -108
Celtics @ Clippers UNDER 186.5 -108
CLIPPERS @ Celtics -5.5 -103Comment
