The NBA 2011-2012 Season Picks with John Ryan

[johno35]

Lakers scored 112 without Kobe 2 days ago and Spurs scored 120 yesterday and are playing well, I'm staying away

[N.C.truebet77]

Great pick on the OVER for Knicks/Celtics John!! I parlayed it with Memphis moneyline for a little extra $$

[John Ryan]

Great pick on the OVER for Knicks/Celtics John!! I parlayed it with Memphis moneyline for a little extra $$

Thanks.. that one was very easy...

[John Ryan]

The over in the Celtics Knicks game is looking great John, hopefully they dont do what the 76ers and Raptors did to us a couple of weeks ago!

Sometimes it does appear obvious with what the Knicks had to do to get the win. Sometimes it appears obvious and I end up with Toronto and 76ers, but always look forward and don't let a losing or winning play of the past affect your judgement of a current game.

[rentongfb]

Sometimes it does appear obvious with what the Knicks had to do to get the win. Sometimes it appears obvious and I end up with Toronto and 76ers, but always look forward and don't let a losing or winning play of the past affect your judgement of a current game.

thanks for the good advices, do you have any thoughts about eastern conference play-off contenders bucks and 76ers, i am thinkin about parlaying them

[Motor City]

I'm helping out in John's MLB thread by posting his plays here in the thread with the links to the related articles. I assume John is a busy guy and sometimes hes not able to post his plays in the thread. So I thought I could help him out a little by posting his plays and his articles here in the thread for the remainder of the season.

[Motor City]

4/18/12:

5* Kings
Article: http://www.sbrforum.com/nba-basketba...picks-a-24409/

[John Ryan]

5* Kings + 4 1/2 -110 playing the Spurs
research on the site.

[NinerNation]

Titan for today 4/19 anyone

[Motor City]

4/19/12:

6.5* Bulls +6
3.5* Bulls ML
Article: http://www.sbrforum.com/nba-basketba...picks-a-24429/

[John Ryan]

4/19/12:

6.5* Bulls +6
3.5* Bulls ML
Article: http://www.sbrforum.com/nba-basketba...picks-a-24429/

yep, but we will grade it as a 10* to maintain consistency with the records.

[John Ryan]

For the season, I have posted a 60-54-2 ATS mark with 5* graded releases, 12-11 ATS with 10* graded releases, and 2-2 ATS with 20* plays.

[John Ryan]

I have a 5* on the Kings so far today and the research will be posted on the site shortly..

any thoughts on the 76ers entering the playoffs? Do they have a chance against the Bulls or Heat? I actually think they match up very well against the Heat and their NBA top ranked defense can frustrate LeBron and company.

[chief42]

I have a 5* on the Kings so far today and the research will be posted on the site shortly..

any thoughts on the 76ers entering the playoffs? Do they have a chance against the Bulls or Heat? I actually think they match up very well against the Heat and their NBA top ranked defense can frustrate LeBron and company.

Are you crazy?! Sixers don't have a chance against the Heat or the Bulls. They get dominated by quality teams. They haven't been able to beat very many at all this season. They like to beat up on the bottom dwellers of the league. Two of their biggest problems is their lack of free throws and their inabililty to close out any close game. The Sixers don't stand to do much against the Heat, at best they will win one game.

[Uniden]

I have to agree with Chief here! They do not hold up well against better teams. I stopped playing them a while back. Who the hell knows what team will show up. They could cover OR get blown out.

Don't trust my dollar on them.
Uniden

[Uniden]

Anyone take a look at Atlanta laying 10 at home against a hapless Boston team???? Allen, Rondo, Pierce and Garnett all sitting. I know they are int he fourth spot as of now, but Atlanta is only one game behind them??? Atlanta has an excellent record at home.

What the hell am I missing here?? Shouldn't this be a 20* game???

Uniden

[Uniden]

Well, it is clear to me that Atlanta is NOT ready for prime time OR the playoffs!!! If they can't handle a second string Boston Celtics team, they will not get far in the playoffs! Very poor play. Guess my question was answered.

Uniden

[John Ryan]

5* Philadelphia +4 1/2 -110 playing the Pacers
5* Utah Jazz -9 -110 research posted. BOL.

[John Ryan]

5* graded play on Minnesota as they take on the Golden State Warriors set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by 12 or more points. The sim shows a high probability that GS will score between 93 and 98 points; That Minnesota will grab between 53 and 57 rebounds, and will have at least four more boards than GS. In past games, Minnesota is a solid 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 162-113 ATS (+37.7 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game since 1996; 154-96 ATS (+48.4 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Take Minnesota.

[John Ryan]

for tonight I have a 10* On Philadelphia, which was put out on the site around 11:00 AM this morning. What late games do you all like? OVERS might be of interest given the personnel changes and loose defense in meaningless games

[N.C.truebet77]

Over for Spurs seems to be almost guaranteed...I know it's too late now....2nd half may be worth a look though!!

[N.C.truebet77]

This looks very good to me.....

1	San Antonio	49.8	65.3	62.0	52.0	47.6	50.0
2	Denver	49.7	53.3	57.0	48.7	50.8	52.8
3	Portland	49.4	50.0	44.0	51.8	46.9	46.1
4	Utah	49.2	49.0	46.0	47.8	50.5	50.3
5	Indiana	49.2	53.7	44.0	47.7	50.5	47.6
6	Sacramento	48.8	47.7	55.0	50.5	47.2	48.5
7	Phoenix	48.8	49.3	49.0	50.3	47.2	51.1
8	Minnesota	48.4	34.3	33.0	46.7	50.2	49.2
9	Okla City	48.4	47.3	39.0	48.6	48.2	49.5
10	Golden State	48.3	46.7	54.0	50.0	46.7

[N.C.truebet77]

Those are 2nd half scoring Spurs/Blazers in top 3 as you can see

[N.C.truebet77]

Great pick on the Sixers John!!! Keep up the good work!!

[N.C.truebet77]

Spurs 2nd half over hits!!! Should have went bigger......Spurs are playing like the best team in the NBA right now, no question about it!

[John Ryan]

5* 59-53-2
10* 11-10
20* 2-2

Chief - wondering if you can give us an audited record update. Thanks in advance!!!!

[John Ryan]

5* Phoenix +5 -110
5* OVER 204 -110 (was 203 when the article was released)

5* Clippers + 2 1/2 -110

all of the research is on the site.

[N.C.truebet77]

Thunder -5.5 1st half looks great

[chief42]

5* 62-60-2
10* 13-11
20*2-2

at 100 per *
5* $31,000 - $33,000 ($2,000)
10* $13,000 - $12,100 ($900)
20* $4,000 - $4,400 ($400)


To Date: ($1,500)

[N.C.truebet77]

Can't believe OKC yesterday vs Sacramento....OKC fkn played terrible, didn't catch up with Kings until late 4th....Funny thing is every other time they have played this year OKC have dominated.... I have the worst fkn luck!!! Sometimes I absolutely despise gambling and the way things go in sports. You research, look at it logically and it turns out the opposite..

[John Ryan]

Can't believe OKC yesterday vs Sacramento....OKC fkn played terrible, didn't catch up with Kings until late 4th....Funny thing is every other time they have played this year OKC have dominated.... I have the worst fkn luck!!! Sometimes I absolutely despise gambling and the way things go in sports. You research, look at it logically and it turns out the opposite..

These games can get crazy and are very hard to handicap..

[chief42]

John did you get a chance to compare your record with mine?

[John Ryan]

5* graded play on the Lakers as they take on the Kings set to start at 10:35 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the lakers will win this game. Kobe will be the only starter playing tonight and the reason is that he needs 39 points to win the scoring title, which is now being led by the Thunder’s Kevin Durant. We saw the 76ers upend the Bucks last night without hardly a starter in the game and the Lakers have a vastly under rated bench. The sim shows that the Lakers will hit between 48 and 51% of their shot attempts. In past games, the Lakers are a resounding e 209-128 ATS (+68.2 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game since 1996. The Kings have the worst defense in the NBA and even a hodge podge of players mixed together randomly to play with Kobe will be highly effective. Moreover, there is a high probability that the Lakers wills core more than 105 points in this game. IN past games, they are 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last two seasons. Take the Lakers.

[John Ryan]

John did you get a chance to compare your record with mine?

I think you are missing one 5* winner, but that is hardly monumental.. see what you find. I will be back around 7:00 PM ET so if anyone has any questions, thoughts I will be more than happy to discuss.

[tullamore21]

Kobe's out, according to Rotoworld