New York Knicks At Orlando Magic
1st Q - MAGIC -0.5 (x1)
Added
- BULLS -6.5 (x1.5)
1st Q - MAGIC -0.5 (x1)
Added
- BULLS -6.5 (x1.5)
-
Comment -
1-1 yesterday... Today
*SUNS +3.5 (x1)
*1st H - LAKERS -3 (x2)
Write up here http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com.au/2012/04/nba_07.htmlComment -
NBA: 111-110-10 (+8.21u @ 50.2%)
Los Angeles Lakers At Phoenix Suns
ML - LAKERS PK (x2)
Phoenix will return home from a 3 game road trip to face the Lakers tonight. The Suns had their little run broken last night as they went down to the Nuggets. Now playing on b2b and returning from Denver and Utah the Suns must regroup to face a Lakers side that just lost in their own building.
Phoenix who have played just 2 of their past 10 at home. As well as the letdown the Suns must be feeling off last night loss, the fatigue and difficulties of returning from altitude will also take its toll. I suspect they will be a little rusty 1st game home from their road trip also.
The Lakers will be on b2b games here also but have had the luxury of playing 7 of their past 8 at home. I expect a big performance from Andrew Bynum here tonight. He owes his side after being ejected last night late in the 3rd for back chat. He will be well rested and looking to get some respect back from his coaches and teammates in this one. Sessions has been a great addition to this team and will keep Nash in check, While MWP looks to have found his confidence back! I find it hard to see Gortat and Frye keeping Bynum and Gasol quiet and who guards Kobe?
Kobe loves playing the Suns and in a must win game LA gets Pheonix in a bad spot. I like the Lakers to bounce back strong here in Pheonix and win SU.
(2.05u @ 1.98 @ Pinnacle)
ADDED
1ST H - CLIPPERS -4 (x1)Comment -
lakers are a little/very dysfunctional family at the moment,there cousins are orlando ..Homer Simpson being considered as a new coach at lakers..
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1-1 yesterday..... No Kobe didn't help matters
2 for Morro
Chicago Bulls At New York Knicks
ATS - BULLS -2.5 (x2)
Chicago will welcome back the MVP Derrick Rose back for this match against New York at the Garden! They are well rested and will have far to much talent for the injury it Knicks to contain. While New York has been performing quite well under their interim coach they will fall short here. Still without Stoudamire and Lin as well their depth will be tested. Chicago to win by 12!
(2.1u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
Philadelphia 76ers At Boston Celtics
ATS - CELTICS -4 (x1)
The Celtics are in double revenge here against the 76ers and are full of confidence coming off a win last night. Phili have lost their way since their impressive start to the season and are also on b2b games after a bad loss to the Magic last night. The Celtics are tough to beat at home and with the extra motivation Boston gets the win and covers! Celtics by 10.
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
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Phoenix Suns At Minnesota Timberwolves
ATS - SUNS -2.5 (x1)
Phoenix are making a charge for that final playoff spot in the West! Coming off a huge win against the Lakers their confidence will be through the roof! It must be noted that Kobe did not play that game but even so the Suns have won 4 of their last 5 to keep their hopes alive!
Minnesota are going in the complete opposite direction! Losing their past 5 straight have officially put the cue in the rack for 2011-12 and are looking to next season already! Injuries to key personal at the business end of this season has forced their hand with Big Petrovic, Beasley and of course Rubio out for the Year.
Beasley and Petrovic have returned and K.Love is still put up huge numbers but with little motivation and no dominate point guard I think another loss is on the cards. As long as Phoenix can contain Love, I think Nash will really hurt Minnesota the other way. Take the inform side here and that's clearly Phoenix! Suns cover and win by 10!
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)Comment -
Suns win big yesterday 1-0 couple for today. Write up @ blog. Good luck guys
*CELTICS +7.5 (x1)
*KNICKS +9 (x1.5)
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1-1 split yesterday. 2 for today GL guys
*1ST H - 76ERS -2 (x2)
*PACERS -7.5 (x1)
ADDED
*4TH Q - NUGGETS -2.5 (x1)
(Up 9 @ 3rd. GL Nuggets -11.5)
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LA Clippers @ Minnesota
ATS - CLIPPERS -5.5 (x2)
The Clippers head to Minnesota tonight on b2b coming off a huge upset win over the leaders of the West OKC! This would have given the younger guys a huge boost of confidence that we belong here and we can match it with anyone on any given night. While b2b road games isn't ideal, Minnesota are in a similar spot.
The Timberwolves are also on b2b games here, returning home from the dreaded Denver trip off a hard fought loss in the end. The Wolves were down 20 at the half and managed to get right back into the game only going down by 6 in the end. All this was without their go to guy. K.Love was concussed late in the 1st quarter and never returned. Huge minutes and effort from Williams, Beasley, Berea and Randolph.
Love is expected to miss tonight which is a massive blow as the Clippers have some of the best big men in the game! of course still without Rubio, Ridnour and Milicic and with the extra minutes for the guys mentioned, this team are in a bad spot returning from altitude. Berea will struggle against CP3 and I expect Paul to have another night out. Blake and DJ wont have Love to contend with either.
Add to all this the Clippers are on triple revenge as remarkably the Wolves have won all 3 meetings so far this season! LA are right in the mix in the West right now and of course every game for them is important and could be the difference between finishing 4th or 7th. Minnesota are playing for nothing and it shows losing 6 in a row. Clippers win big here tonight!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)Comment -
1-0 Yesterday 2 for today. GL all
NBA: 117-115-10 (+8.23u @ 50.4%)
*CELTICS -6.5 (x1)
*ROCKETS -3.5 (x1)
Added
*1st Q - LAKERS -1 (x1)
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NBA: 118-117-10 (+7.03u @ 50.2%)
Boston Celtics At New Jersey Nets
1st H - CELTICS -3.5 (x1)
Boston head to New Jersey on b2b games here coming off a very disappointing loss to the Raptors on the road last night. Once again this is a must win for the Celtics as the competition for playoff seeds heats up! Boston currently hold onto the 4th seed in the East, But that loss has now left the door wide open for Atlanta and Orlando.
Boston are a proud organization and will not be happy with the teams output last night. I expect a huge showing here early on in this one. Being on b2b there is no doubt this older group may feel fatigued down the stretch. That's the reason for my 1st H play only.The Nets are on b2b games here also and are coming off a big win in Phili! Let down here plus fatigue.
The Celtics have publicly stated this is a must win and they must come out with "better urgency". This is just what I expect. Celtics bounce back and lead at the half.
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)Comment -
Tough loss yesterday....
Early game tomorrow
Miami Heat At New York Knicks
ATS - HEAT -2.5 (x2)
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)Comment -
Nice winner yesterday with Miami
NBA: 119-118-10 (+7.92u @ 50.2%)
*76ERS -4.5 (x1)
Both these clubs are sitting 6th & 7th in the East right now so needless to say every game is important. Philadelphia need to find some form and get their consistency back as they have been very patchy late winning just 2 of past 7 games. They were beaten by Orlando in their last meeting around a week ago on their home floor so I expect the Sixers to be keen on some pay back here tonight!
Orlando will again be without Horward and Turkoglu but may also miss Davis as well. He is a game time decision. Orlando are also on b2b games here having beaten New Jersey last night on the road. Tough spot for the Magic without their key players to face a hungry and very deep team like Philadelphia. I like the Sixers to run this game out on the back of 3 days rest and their depth will test the injury hit Magic. 76ers by 12.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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0-1 yesterday Sixers were awful! Just one so far today. GL guys
CELTICS +3 (x2)
The Celtics are great value here I believe as they are the better side in most areas. Sure they are playing their 4th road trip but due to great list management were able to rest the big 3 against their last win over the Bobcats. In fact Allen, Garnett and Pierce stayed in New Jersey, so have actually had no travel and 2 days rest! As I have stated in the past this is huge for anyone, but the Celtics respond just that bit better with rested legs!
New York have had an outstanding 3-4 weeks lead by their superstar Carmelo! He is in red hot form but against this fantastic defensive team he will struggle to do it all himself as he has been doing of late. I see this much like the Miami match up recently where Anthony will definitely keep his Knicks in it but as the game draws out the depth and class of the Celtics will prevail! I like Boston to win this SU!
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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ADDED
San Antonio @ LA Lakers
1st Q - LAKERS +1 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)
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ended 1-1 but still a loss.... Taking 2 today. GL guys
Utah @ Portland
ATS - JAZZ -4 (x2)
Portland are officially out of the playoff race with their most recent loss ending their 2012 season. The Blazers have shut up shop now with most of their regular starters out. Aldrige is already done for the year, Crawford is out for personal reasons, Felton is injured and Batum is a game time decision. This leaves a very inexperienced side to take on the desperate Jazz!
Every game is a must win for Utah as they are still a chance of making the Playoffs and will take advantage of this depleted Portland team tonight! Jazz win well!
(2.2u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)
Houston @ Dallas / LA Lakers @ Golden State
DBL - ROCKETS +10.5 / LAKERS ML (x1.5)
Taking a double here today and I love both these teams chances!
Houston are traveling to Dallas to take on the Mavs returning from a 4 game road trip. Houston are desperate for this as they are just outside playoffs picture and are equal with Phoenix for the 8th seed. Dallas are not that much better sitting in 7th but have a little breathing space. This will come down to who is more desperate and either way I like Houston to throw everything into this game! The +10.5 is a luxury here.
The Lakers lost badly last night and are still in 3rd spot in the West, Just! The Clippers are just behind and closing. I feel this seed is vital the Lakers as they will want to avoid both Clippers and Memphis in the 1st round. Kobe will miss again but as the Lakers have show have plenty of options to cover here against the depleted Warriors.
Golden State are in "tanking" mode now with Curry the latest to be rested. This adds to Bogut obviously and Lee also missing. Lakers will have a huge advantage with Bynum and Gasol. I think this one could get ugly but with the Lakers on b2b I like them to win SU.
(1.65u @ 1.93 @ Sportingbet) <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->Comment -
2-0 day
*PACERS -5 (x1.5)
Milwalkees season is all but over after last nights loss to Washington. Tonight they travel to Indiana to take on the red hot Pacers who currently hold the 3rd seed in the East. Quite simply I am backing the form side who still has plenty to play for up against the out of form side who has next to no chance of advancing to the post season this year!
Indiana are arguably the form side of the comp right now and are keen to make their presence known in this years playoffs! Milwaulkee are coming off a very disappointing loss and are on b2b games here will be no match for Indiana. Very surprised by this line as I feel it should be closer to 8 or 9! Pacers win well here!
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
Comment -
yesterday with the Pacers covering
Jumped on this one as soon as it opened last night. Line has moved drastically now! GL guys
*HAWKS -6.5 (x1)Comment -
tough loss yesterday. Can't believe Atlanta couldn't cover against Bostons bench anyway is getting tough now with teams resting players and predicting movation levels. Just one for me today. GL guys
*PACERS -4.5 (x1)
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Early one tomorrow
*HAWKS -2.5 (x1)
(1.05u @ 1.98 @ Pinnacle)
May add another closer to game time
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1st H - PACERS -4 (x2)Comment -
No good today Big one tomorrow!
NBA: 124-124-10 (+7.39u @ 50%)
Phoenix @ Utah
ATS - JAZZ -4 (x3)
With the season coming to an end it has been difficult to find value or more so which teams are actually motivated and will turn up to play! I was very nearly going to pull up stumps for the regular season and get into the playoffs but quickly changed my mind with this match up!
Utah currently holds the 8th seed in the West and are just a game clear of Phoenix. In order to hold and secure this playoffs birth, the jazz must win one more game and the Suns must in turn loss one more game. Now these teams just happen to match up here tonight. Utah will be all guns blazing here tonight to lock in that 8th spot! Playing at home and in great touch will get it done!
The Suns have made a gallant effort in their past month to reach this position but will just fall short I'm afraid. Phoenix really needed to win its last match in Denver to have any real chance as after tonight's match here in Utah they face the Spurs. Good Luck there. In the match up stakes, Phoenix looks to be without Frye and Hill here which is huge as to much will be left to Nash and Gorat on the offensive end.
Utah are just to deep and can hurt you from many different angles. Jefferson is in great form, while Millsap and haywood have been terrific! Utah has won 23-8 here at home and with a team full of confidence will get this one and advance to the Playoffs!
(3.2u @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)
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Added another play today also so HUGE day for me! GL Guys
Miami @ Boston / Sacramento @ Oklahoma City
DBL - 1st H - CELTICS / 1st H - THUNDER (x2)
Taking a different approach here with this one. Miami are once again opting to rest their big 3 and the remainder of their team just don't cut it. Boston will have KG and Pierce back and possibly Rondo. Either way I like Boston at home to take advantage of this depleted Heat side early and lead at the half.
I'm pairing that up with the same idea here with OKC on the rebound from a loss to the lakers in a game the really should have won after being 18pts clear in the 4th! Harden will miss but this team has plenty of depth and are strong starters, especially at home. The Kings are all but done for the year, they may not have Cousins due to suspension and are a terrible starting team and even worse on the road.
I like both Boston and OKC to be leading at the half tonight!
(2.0u @ 2.0 @ Sportingbet) <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->Comment -
No luck with 1st bet today
Adding one more
2nd H - CELTICS -4.5 (x1.5)Comment -
2-1 day with big Jazz play hitting
One for today
*WIZARDS -3 (x1)Comment -
1-0 yesterday so finishng off regular season ok just one today GL all.
FINAL DAY!
Denver @ Minnesota / Portland @ Utah
DBL - NUGGETS -2.5 / JAZZ PK (x1.5)
In whats a tough day to pick who will actually turn up and what teams are already on leave I like both Denver and Utah to play the season out! Denver is still looking to secure the 6th seed and must win to hold off Dallas. If they end up finishing 7th will face OKC instead of the Lakers. Big difference there so I expect a solid effort against the Timberwolves who put the cue in the rack a while ago now.
The Other I like is Utah to carry on their winning form and it appears they will line up fairly strong tonight against the Blazers who are done for the year with Aldridge, Batum and Pryz all missing. I think the Jazz get this one at home.
Teasing these teams with PYOL feature.
(1.7u @ 1.87 @ Centrebet)
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Good day 1-0 for me but Utah certainly made hard work of it. Should have realised in hinsight that once Dallas were done they had no reason to win. Anyway good day and good finish to the regular season.
YTD: 128-125-10 (+12.43u @ 50.6%)
Its say this has been my worst and toughest year to cap in last 6 since starting my journey in this game but can't really complain ending up 12+ units. Playoffs up next!Comment -
PLAYOFFS DAY 1
*1st H - BULLS -4.5 (x1)
*KNICKS +9 (x1)Comment -
added
*2ND H - PACERS -8.5 (x1)Comment -
1-2 yesterday Couple for today. GL all
PLAYOFFS 1st ROUND
*CELTICS PK (x1.5)
(1.35u @ 2.10 @ Betfair)
*DBL - JAZZ +16.5 / LAKERS PK (x1.5)
(1.5u @ 2.01 @ Sportsbet)Comment -
Added
2nd H - CELTICS -3.5 (x3)Comment -
Big day yesterday 2-1 but hit 2nd x3u play two for today. GL guys
NBA: 131-128-10 (+14.40u @ 50.6%)
*1st Q - PACERS -2.5 (x1)
Indiana choked up in game one losing to Orlando on their home floor. The Pacers gave up a 5 point lead late in the 4th and failed to score a single point in the last 4mins of the game. Defensively they were good, but offensively they were just not there. Granger, Collison and George the biggest culprits.
Orlando played above themselves in that match and they definitely lifted without Dwight. The 3 ball was dropping and even Big Baby was a presence on offence. Can they back it up? No. Orlando are now playing their 3rd on the road and 6th of their past 7 on the road tonight. Where Indiana have been at home the past 2 weeks straight.
I like Indiana to come out aggressive here tonight and put the disappointment of game one as far behind them as possible. On revenge, the Pacers make a statement in the opener tonight.
(1.05u @ 1.96 @ Sportsbet)
*THUNDER -6.5 (x1)
Dallas were unlucky to lose game 1 with KD hitting the game winner at the death. Although Dallas has been playing good basketball they haven't got alot of wins for their efforts recently, just 2-5 of their last 7.
Durant, Westbrook, Harden, Ibaka all young players will have to much energy for the older Mavs in this one. Dallas playing their 4th on the road tonight will run out of legs and I see OKC winning this one well.
(1u @ 2.02 @ Betfair)
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1-1 split yesterday.
PLAYOFFS GAME 2
Philadelphia @ Chicago / Denver @ LA Lakers
1st H - BULLS -3.5 (x1)
DBL - BULLS PK / LAKERS PK (x1.5)
Chicago will now play out the post season without their star and MVP Derrick Rose. Huge blow to their Championship hopes. However this team has done this for a good part of the season and have the ability to do it again here tonight.
I expect each and every player in the Bulls rotation to step it up as they have done before and come out strong tonight against the Sixers. Gibson is more than capable of directing this team and with the form RIP showed last start have plenty on offence with him adding to Deng, Boozer and Noah.
Chicago's defense is second to none and will once again smother Phili and dominate the boards on both ends. I can't see anything changing offensively for the Sixer's tonight from last game. With Rose out I suspect Phili may be a little complacent and Chicago to have an extra spur to perform. Bulls come out strong here early to lead well at the half and take the game SU.
I have added a double with my 2nd play adding the Lakers to win game 2 SU against the Nuggets at home. LA would have raised a few eyebrows with their all round dominate performance in game one, especially with all the injuries to key players from other challengers. This team could once again be right there come the conference finals should they click.
LA's height advantage was obvious last game and I thought Sessions and Kobe did an outstanding job defensively on Lawson to shut him completely out of the game. I expect much the same tonight and the Lakers will take this series to Denver 2-0 up.
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)Comment -
ADDED
*1ST H - LAKERS -2.5 (x1)
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)
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2-1 yesteday with Chicago the only letdown. Like the Pacers today. GL
NBA: 134-130-10 (+14.79u @ 50.8%)
Indiana Pacers At Orlando Magic
ATS - PACERS -3 (x2)
After a letdown and a loss in game one, then a slow start in game 2, Indiana finally clicked in the second half and dominated, taking game 2 and leveling the series 1-1. The Pacers now travel to Orlando to play the next 2 very important games.
Indiana controlled much of both these two games and were well on top in most areas. Points in the Paint, Free throws and boards the most obvious. Indiana had +20 more FT's, +32 PIP and +13 rebounds. This to me clearly shows which team is working harder and wants it more. Orlando are just not blue colar. They rely to much on the 3 especially with Dwight missing.
Pacers are 4-1 ats on their last 5 road games and are clearly the better team here and with their size and depth will again prove to good for Orlando. Indiana won't wont to drop this one. Pacers by 9.
(2.2u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)
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