LTA's NBA Plays

**kelso89** · 03-30-12, 06:51 PM

wiz destroying pacers wow

**Love The Action** · 03-30-12, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by kelso89

no argue in that..this can easily go over in game total,,but detroit will not score over 84 I'm sure of that

So you are a on Detroit TT under 84? My model has this at 98.1-85.4. Good luck!

**kelso89** · 03-30-12, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

So you are a on Detroit TT under 84? My model has this at 98.1-85.4. Good luck!

yeah even made a thread for it ,,lose that half a point on 85.4 and I'm happy

heat/raptors game slowin up 26 pts in 7 min played

**Love The Action** · 03-30-12, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/30/2012

Play #1

76'ers/Wizards under (186) 1x (Locked)

The wizards have been playing very slow with more emphasis on the half court game since the acquisition of nene. Over the last ten games, the wiz are bottom 10 in PACE and are actually playing very efficient defense (ranked #5 in DEFF in last 5 games). We all know this is philly's bread and butter, so I see no reason for them to change tonight. Philly has destroyed washington in all 3 games this season with all games going way over, except for the last one which was set at 192 but ended right at 186. Based on recent play, I expect an even lower score tonight and the refs are neutral. I have this game set at 183.5 based on season long stats and I like the under even better based on recent numbers. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Heat/Raptors under (192) 1x (Locked)

No time for a writeup. We have value plus situational factors pointing to the under. I have this game set at 188 giving us 4 full points of value and I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Celtics ML (-110) 1x (Locked)

My model has the Celts favored by -2 (-125 on the ML) based on their strength of defense which is playing at a very high level right now. In addition, Boston actually has some offensive advantages in EFG% and TS%. If you have been watching Minnesota lately, you know all about Love, but you also know that they have struggled in games against upper echelon defensive teams. Boston is that type of team and they have game-planned against Love with success in the past. As I mentioned, we are getting some solid value here and Boston really needs this game with a brutal schedule coming up. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the Celtics for 1x. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 03-30-12, 07:04 PM

That Milwaukee/Cavs over is looking good. That was another strong lean, but I missed move from 204 and didn't want to play it higher than that. Plus, Cavs overs have not treated me well lately. Oh well....

**TC Woods** · 03-30-12, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

That Milwaukee/Cavs over is looking good. That was another strong lean, but I missed move from 204 and didn't want to play it higher than that. Plus, Cavs overs have not treated me well lately. Oh well....

Milwaukee scored 71 in the first half....

**hondo5** · 03-30-12, 07:50 PM

heat game is pretty much done but the sixers are looking good.

**dallasspartan** · 03-30-12, 07:55 PM

Any Lean in the Nets/Warroirs game LTA?

**Intwoition** · 03-30-12, 07:57 PM

Play on the Nets Dallas....I have them winning outright, but I'll certainly take the 4 points

This is one of the best plays of the night imo.

**dallasspartan** · 03-30-12, 07:58 PM

Thanks, I was leaning NJ as well.

**Love The Action** · 03-30-12, 08:05 PM

Bulls/Pistons under and Pistons TT under looking good at half...good luck guys, looks like you had it right. It was actually the Pistons game plan to play very slow and keep the ball away from Chicago. I did not anticipate that strategy.

**kelso89** · 03-30-12, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Bulls/Pistons under and Pistons TT under looking good at half...good luck guys, looks like you had it right. It was actually the Pistons game plan to play very slow and keep the ball away from Chicago. I did not anticipate that strategy.

told ya,,detroit to score 70

**dallasspartan** · 03-30-12, 08:09 PM

LTA Favor Nets +4? or have that about right?

**adam3248** · 03-30-12, 08:16 PM

Good call on the 76ers/Wiz 'under' LTA. That's got me off to a good start tonight, thanks.

**CaptainNemo89** · 03-30-12, 08:51 PM

[QUOTE=Love The Action;14296498]That Milwaukee/Cavs over is looking good. That was another strong lean, but I missed move from 204 and didn't want to play it higher than that. Plus, Cavs overs have not treated me well lately. Oh well....[/QUOTE

you passed on the play when it moved off of 204, and the game ends at 205... great call lta, i think your biggest strength as a capper is finding and playing "value" lines

**WVU9494** · 03-30-12, 09:02 PM

Ok, I put $500 on nj then

**Intwoition** · 03-30-12, 09:09 PM

Yikes- it is still NJ, but that is the play of the day...gl!!!

**kelso89** · 03-30-12, 09:20 PM

LTA

I predicted 70 pts for

detroit..they scored 71

**JM92** · 03-30-12, 09:27 PM

Hey LTA. I just came back from a concert and last nite I also went out and basically wasn't home till now so I couldn't follow your plays tonite. hope you cash on that last one mate.

Could you give me your thoughts on the Sixers? Im thinking I will hammer - 6, statistical plus big situational value there.

**WVU9494** · 03-30-12, 10:56 PM

Nice call on nj

**WVU9494** · 03-30-12, 10:57 PM

NJ!!!!!!!!!!! Nice Pick!!!!!!!!

**CaptainNemo89** · 03-30-12, 11:32 PM

how does anyone feel about taking under 179 hawks/76ers now? i feel like that line is going to move down tomorrow morning... both teams are bottom 1/3rd in PACE, OEFF, and top 1/3 in DEFF

**lakerboy** · 03-30-12, 11:38 PM

One of the greatest threads off all time

**Love The Action** · 03-31-12, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

One of the greatest threads off all time

**Love The Action** · 03-31-12, 12:19 AM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season Recap 3/30/2012

2 - 1 = +0.9x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

116 - 105 = +5.4x

Back to the grind. Good luck on Saturday.

**Love The Action** · 03-31-12, 12:20 AM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/31/2012

Play #1

Hawks/76'ers under (179) 1.5x (Locked)

I love this play and really want to play this for more than 1.5x, but I will wait to see the ref assignments before playing this more aggressive. Two top level defenses going against inconsistent offenses that rely on the jump shot and play at a snail's pace. In the earlier game between these two teams, we bet the under at 181, it closed at 180 and the final score was 185 in a really tough beat. Despite that game going over, the books have adjusted in favor of the under and are inviting over money. Hmmm...I think the books expect a low-scoring affair and I have to agree. My model has this game at 176 giving us 3 full points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1.5x. Good luck.

**alamo** · 03-31-12, 12:34 AM

Like it LTA. Totally agree that these two teams will continue to play at the snails pace which is a must. Sixers shot the ball at 50% in that last game too and they were 40% combined from 3pt land. You would have to think they dont repeat that. Having said that both teams were poor from the stripe so lets hope that continues into tmoro. Good luck with the play.

**demarco2** · 03-31-12, 07:58 AM

I wish I stayed up a bit later. This is down to 177.5 where I look at 8am CST.

**rhawbsays** · 03-31-12, 08:27 AM

i shoulda jumped on this when i had the chance. guess ill have to wait it out and see where it settles at tomorrow.

**pacocn** · 03-31-12, 09:11 AM

Lta, nice work, i went to bed early and missed the
179, nice call

**mikea33** · 03-31-12, 09:51 AM

Which way you guys thinks its gnna move?

**blumpkin** · 03-31-12, 09:52 AM

It went up a half pt to 177.5

**CHAZ** · 03-31-12, 12:13 PM

Smart money on that UNDER today LTA. Even Bovada went to 177 which is suprising when they always favor favorites/overs.

Goodluck pal

**jas19illini** · 03-31-12, 12:31 PM

my book just went back up to 178. pinny juicing the over at 177.5.

**absolutkaos** · 03-31-12, 01:04 PM

New Orleans could be without three of its top five scorers in Jarrett Jack (sprained right ankle), who averages a team-best 15.6 points, Chris Kaman (flu) and Trevor Ariza (sore right ankle) - espn.com

Any thoughts about the Lakers covering 12.5 in a nationally televised game?