tired of losing money -make my own picks instaed

[masticore]

3/13

5* TOR/CHA ov198
5* OKL/CLE un210
5* GS/MIN ov218.5

3* BOS -8.5

[masticore]

A little note before I start analys rest of the games...

CHA +1.5 was a extremly strong play if V2 and V1 ...but after V2.1 its filtered out (will play it as 5*but will not tracked it)

Also had NYK/IND un218 a 5* V2 play <----I dont play it or track it


BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Analyse done.....

Fade or follow at your own risk (its your money)

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Why I play CHA is because the back testing was strong..about 12-0 (so it match V1 and V2)...the only thing that was a missmatch was the filter I use.

12-0 back testing result is the best I have seen since I started pick my own...

When I get a backtesting better then 8/9-o I call them POD,GOW etc etc....and 12-0??? maybe call that GOY..but its outside the filter so..what to do? I will play it as 5* game - but its a reason why I have the filter.


mikke

[masticore]

So its up to GS/MIN if pluss day or not

Lucky me that also played CHA so I need "only" BOS to go pluss

mikke

[masticore]

I posted CHA today because it was strong (and it won)

If you want can I also post my 5* and 3* games I filter out (the V2 games) -It's up to you (I will probly not track them - I'm too lazy) yes/no??

Boston looks like a easy winner...soo far


mikke

[masticore]

I have an ide...tell me what you think, about it

My 3* games have been not so good (I think they are little pluss but why cant we get them better) in any of my analys metodes... soo I have come up to this:

V2.3 sytem rules:

5* games the same as V2.2
3* games are 5* games that are filltred out

What do you think??

I will start with that tomorrow....(if not everyone tells me that is a bad ide)


mikke

[masticore]

I have an ide...tell me what you think, about it

My 3* games have been not so good (I think they are little pluss but why cant we get them better) in any of my analys metodes... soo I have come up to this:

V2.3 sytem rules:

5* games the same as V2.2
3* games are 5* games that are filltred out

What do you think??

I will start with that tomorrow....(if not everyone tells me that is a bad ide)


mikke

I can say why I think that its better....

Yesterday I had two 5* picks that won that was filtered out and today they will go at least 1-1 (depends on nyk/ind if 2-0 or 1-1)

mikke

[masticore]

I can add 1* games: "old" 3* games (V2 and V2.1 and V2.2) - because they are little pluss - and for action junkies

[shopbar picks]

mikke post any way you want to. Nice call on bos and cha. thanx. i do like your POD method. always hits

[masticore]

3/13

V1: 66-48 (+5200) 59% - "see post 218"

V2: 23-20 (+560) 53% - "see post 273"

V2.1

5* 1-2 (6-3) (+1350)
3* 1-0 (9-8) (+60)

V2.1

2-2 (15-11) (+1410)

Down 3 units...but I had played the CHA game was it a pluss day

(if you played the last 5* NYK/IND game, also won)

So for some was it bad but for me good day

Tomorrow new system - hopefully it goes pluss also


mikke

[masticore]

mikke post any way you want to. Nice call on bos and cha. thanx. i do like your POD method. always hits

thx

Yes, luck or not. I have hit (4-0) 100% of them if I remember right

Only 4 "POD", It had be nice if them was more common

mikke

[masticore]

I compre my result with other good cappers here on the forum...my guess is that SJ are the best

He hit 2-3% more then me but I have won 2x his points (have not count in the 5u extra with CHA) in 1 month then he have in all sesong. Have also 20+ more bets than him.

So at the moment I can say I'm one of the best (hottest) on the forum and my knowlege of capping and basket are not good (but I guess I'm good at statistic)

mikke

[SharkMerc]

I think you should keep the record of your team plays and over unders seperate, your team plays seem to be much more consistent especially the 5* ones..

[masticore]

I think you should keep the record of your team plays and over unders seperate, your team plays seem to be much more consistent especially the 5* ones..

Good ide...

When I now start the "new" system will seperate o/u and spread:

s5* = 5* spread games
o5* = 5* o/u games
s3* = 3* spread games
o3* = 3* o/u games

Had done some count earlier...5* spred was 60+ and ou was 50% while 3* games was spread around 50% and 3* o/u where over 60% (if I remember right)

thx for the sugestion

mikke

[masticore]

3/14

5* DEN/NOR un199.5 <-- strong
5* PHO/HOU un217.5 <-- strong
5* LAL/ORL ov186.5

3* LAC/MEM un202.5
3* SAC -1.5 <--- strong

1* WAS/OKL ov209

[SharkMerc]

No 5* picks today? I thought you got rid of 1* plays lol..

[masticore]

No 5* picks today? I thought you got rid of 1* plays lol..

working with the picks today..write them up after I have locked them in.

About the 1*... it's the latest version 3* bet
and 3* is 5* bet I filter out
and 5* bet is 5* bet

see also post 324 and 322 <-- have tried to explain there my newest ide

sorry if I confuse people with change versions all time....but trying to find some "perfection"


mikke

[SharkMerc]

Oh ok I see lol yea it is pretty confusing.. I will follow your 5* team plays if you have any for today.. Im laying off your over unders seem pretty inconsistent for now.. but best of luck to you =)

[masticore]

Oh ok I see lol yea it is pretty confusing.. I will follow your 5* team plays if you have any for today.. Im laying off your over unders seem pretty inconsistent for now.. but best of luck to you =)

Yes..I know the ou is around 50% maybe little better...will track o/u and spread seperatly from now on (to lazy to look back)


mikke

[masticore]

Analyses done

3 strong play today (8-0 ATS/ou backtesting)....only one spread bet -I know you like my spread bettter then o/u...

Fade or follow on your own risk...its your money

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

All games have started the way I want...hopefully they end that way too

mikke

[masticore]

No it didnt.....
So its up to Lakers/Magic and Sacramento how the day will end

mikke

[masticore]

Sacramento looks good..ORL/LAL is little advatage me

In future will the strong 3* game will be 5* game

mikke

[shopbar picks]

nice hit on sac. thanx

[shopbar picks]

buried my book with your straight bets past 2 weeks. Give us a POD. To put the dagger in. Great thred and picks

[Toples]

GL today man
cant wait to see what you got

[masticore]

3-3 yester day -110

lets buns back tomorrow

Will try to do a "sum up" tomorrow, have not time today

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Sum up (all system)

Winnings +7060

5* spread 24-19 (56%)
3* spread 36-20 (64%)

5* o/u 20-11 (64%)
3* o/u 29-31 (48%)

"POD/strong" 6-1
"POD/strong" spread 4-0
"POD/strong" o/u 2-1

spread 60-39 (61%)
o/u 49-42 (54%)

all plays:109-81 (57%)

[masticore]

With a reservation I can have miss some games (or dubbel count)....

3* o/u is bad but rest is profitable

I will play 3* o/u as 1*
3* spread will I play as 5* (but track them as 3*)
"POD/strong" will I bet 10* (still track them as 5*)

and will not use my filter (it looks like I beat the filter)

Any comments would be greatfull



mikke

[masticore]

3/15

5* NYK -4.5
5* POR +1.5
5* POR/DAL un189.5
5* MIL +1.5 (track as 3*)
5* CHI -16 (track as 3*)

1* ATL/MIL ov174 (track as 3*)
1* NYK/IND ov217 (track as 3*)

[masticore]

Analyses done today....

Hopefully I dont confuse you with all the changes all the time (trying to maximun the winnings)

3 orginal 5* bets and two 3* bets that are upgraded because it spread 3* games

And two 1* (are down graded from 3*)

Fade or follow on your own risk

BOL
mikke

[masticore]

Its looking bad today

mikke

[masticore]

With a reservation I can have miss some games (or dubbel count)....

3* o/u is bad but rest is profitable

I will play 3* o/u as 1*
3* spread will I play as 5* (but track them as 3*)
"POD/strong" will I bet 10* (still track them as 5*)

and will not use my filter (it looks like I beat the filter)

Any comments would be greatfull



mikke

looks like a terrible ide today
mikke

[masticore]

Finaly one 5* win today...lets make a dubble int Blazer game
mikke