NBA Reverse Line Movement

[Philphan]

Very well put. NBA RLM was much more effective last season than it has been this year IIRC, now the NHL....

But all of the points in bold are definitely important. Part of it boils down to the constant argument about who is sharper between closers and openers; obviously I like the quote believe in openers, or at least early action in the NBA. I strongly believe that last minute moves in hoops as a whole tend to represent the public in a disproportionate fashion (more).

I agree. I will start posting them early if I can. Have you been following RLM in NHL?

[Philphan]

looks like todays play is on the new jersey nets +3 vs. New york knicks

loss

todays play is on golden state -2.5 vs. Oklahoma city

win

[woodsyallin]

wht is it today

[Philphan]

Today's Play is on the Milwaukee Bucks -6 vs. LA Clippers

[Philphan]

Today's Play is on the Milwaukee Bucks -6 vs. LA Clippers

WIN

[DblDeuce]

Very nice!!!

[DblDeuce]

I'll start following- need to change my luck!

[Philphan]

Doesn't look like there will be any NBA plays today...
A couple college plays:
VA Commonwealth -1 vs. George Mason
Wisconsin-Green Bay +4 vs. Butler

[Philphan]

Doesn't look like there will be any NBA plays today...
A couple college plays:
VA Commonwealth -1 vs. George Mason LOSS
Wisconsin-Green Bay +4 vs. Butler WIN

1-1 last night

[Philphan]

No NBA plays as of now...
NCAA Basketball plays:
Wright State -1 vs. Cleveland State
Saint Louis +3 @ St. Bonaventure
Virginia +13.5 vs. Duke
UC Santa Barbara -12 vs. Cal State Fullerton
Loyola (MD) -2 vs. Rider

[Philphan]

Ouch...bad day

No NBA plays as of now...
NCAA Basketball plays:
Wright State -1 vs. Cleveland State LOSS
Saint Louis +3 @ St. Bonaventure LOSS
Virginia +13.5 vs. Duke LOSS
UC Santa Barbara -12 vs. Cal State Fullerton WIN
Loyola (MD) -2 vs. Rider LOSS

[Philphan]

No plays for Thursday night, may have one or two Friday but not many games so we will see

[woodsyallin]

nething?

[Philphan]

I took the weekend off from betting....needed a break. Will start posting plays again Monday

[pittmatt80]

Have followed Reverse line movement in NBA and NCAA for awhile I have learned it is best to take Saturday's off in NCAA. There's just to many games to play. Just thought I'd mention it Good Luck man.

[Philphan]

Today's Plays:
NBA:
Toronto Raptors +6.5 @ Charlotte

NCAA:
Northern Iowa -6.5 vs. Indiana State
Tennessee +6 @ Vanderbilt
Minnesota -2.5 vs. Michigan State
TCU +7 @ Utah

Northern Iowa and TCU are also revenge plays, especially Northern Iowa so I think that should be a strong play for tonight.
Good luck

[thebestthereis]

for me i use rlm for reference and only in more marquee games where the public is more inclined to be involved

[Philphan]

Today's Plays:
NBA:
Toronto Raptors +6.5 @ Charlotte LOSS

NCAA:
Northern Iowa -6.5 vs. Indiana State LOSS
Tennessee +6 @ Vanderbilt WIN
Minnesota -2.5 vs. Michigan State LOSS
TCU +7 @ Utah WIN

Northern Iowa and TCU are also revenge plays, especially Northern Iowa so I think that should be a strong play for tonight.
Good luck

2-3 yesterday....will post more plays for tonight later

[Philphan]

Todays Plays:
NBA:
None

NCAA:
Delaware -7.5 vs. Towson
Ball State -7 vs. Eastern Michigan
UMASS -5.5 vs. St. Joe's
LSU +9 @ Mississippi State
Cincinnati +6.5 @ Georgetown

[Philphan]

Todays Plays:
NBA:
None

NCAA:
Delaware -7.5 vs. Towson WIN
Ball State -7 vs. Eastern Michigan WIN
UMASS -5.5 vs. St. Joe's WIN
LSU +9 @ Mississippi State WIN
Cincinnati +6.5 @ Georgetown WIN

5-0 today and all won SU as well

[woodsyallin]

nething today?

[masticore]

probly celtics/nuggets game...moved 1.5

i'm not 100% sure about his system....but 1.5 point line movment should follow at least of the criteria

[Dexter]

5-0 today and all won SU as well

what exact formula are you using the deem a play as "RLM"?

[Philphan]

Today's Plays:

NBA
None- Celtics/Nuggets is not a play because 72% of the public are on Boston which caused the line movement.

NCAA Basketball
Arkansas State -5 vs. North Texas
UCLA -10.5 vs. Arizona State
Portland State +6 vs. Montana

My system is there must be at least 1 point of line movement made against a team with 55% or more of the public betting on them. I was using Sports Insights which used the data from Pinnacle but since they canceled their free memberships, I have been using SBR Odds which uses the betting percentages from 5dimes. I had a lot more success with Sports Insights but haven't been using SBR Odds long enough to see if I will have the same success. Good luck

[Philphan]

Today's Plays:

NBA
None- Celtics/Nuggets is not a play because 72% of the public are on Boston which caused the line movement.

NCAA Basketball
Arkansas State -5 vs. North Texas WIN
UCLA -10.5 vs. Arizona State WIN
Portland State +6 vs. Montana WIN

My system is there must be at least 1 point of line movement made against a team with 55% or more of the public betting on them. I was using Sports Insights which used the data from Pinnacle but since they canceled their free memberships, I have been using SBR Odds which uses the betting percentages from 5dimes. I had a lot more success with Sports Insights but haven't been using SBR Odds long enough to see if I will have the same success. Good luck

Another perfect day! 3-0

[Philphan]

Today's Plays:

NBA
None- Celtics/Nuggets is not a play because 72% of the public are on Boston which caused the line movement.

NCAA Basketball
Arkansas State -5 vs. North Texas WIN
UCLA -10.5 vs. Arizona State WIN
Portland State +6 vs. Montana WIN

My system is there must be at least 1 point of line movement made against a team with 55% or more of the public betting on them. I was using Sports Insights which used the data from Pinnacle but since they canceled their free memberships, I have been using SBR Odds which uses the betting percentages from 5dimes. I had a lot more success with Sports Insights but haven't been using SBR Odds long enough to see if I will have the same success. Good luck

Another perfect day! 3-0

[woodsyallin]

lets get it

[GarbageMan]

Today's Plays:

NBA
None- Celtics/Nuggets is not a play because 72% of the public are on Boston which caused the line movement.

NCAA Basketball
Arkansas State -5 vs. North Texas
UCLA -10.5 vs. Arizona State
Portland State +6 vs. Montana

My system is there must be at least 1 point of line movement made against a team with 55% or more of the public betting on them. I was using Sports Insights which used the data from Pinnacle but since they canceled their free memberships, I have been using SBR Odds which uses the betting percentages from 5dimes. I had a lot more success with Sports Insights but haven't been using SBR Odds long enough to see if I will have the same success. Good luck

Is this helpful

http://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

[Philphan]

No plays tonight....will post Saturdays once they are available

[Philphan]

Todays Plays:

NCAA Basketball
Georgia Tech +5 @ NC State
South Florida -1 @ Depaul
Villanova -6 vs. St. Johns
Georgia State +10 vs. George Mason
Cornell +5 @ Pennsylvania
UC Santa Barbara +5.5 @ Long Beach State
Tulane +9 @ Tulsa
Saint Marys (CA) -11 vs. Portland
Western Carolina +4 vs. Charleston

[Philphan]

Todays Plays: NCAA Basketball Georgia Tech +5 @ NC StatePUSH
South Florida -1 @ Depaul WIN
Villanova -6 vs. St. Johns LOSS
Georgia State +10 vs. George Mason WIN
Cornell +5 @ Pennsylvania WIN
UC Santa Barbara +5.5 @ Long Beach State LOSS
Tulane +9 @ Tulsa WIN
Saint Marys (CA) -11 vs. Portland
Western Carolina +4 vs. Charleston WIN

Good day today.... 6-2-1 with Saint Marys pending but either way still profitable today. System is now 14-2-1 over the last 4 days!

[woodsyallin]

amazing work

[Philphan]

Good day today.... 6-2-1 with Saint Marys pending but either way still profitable today. System is now 14-2-1 over the last 4 days!

St Marys covers so a 7-2-1 day yesterday 15-2-1 last 4 days.

Today's Plays:

NBA:
Miami Heat -9.5 vs. New York Knicks

NCAA Basketball:
Florida Atlantic -1.5 @ South Alabama

[Philphan]

Also, I just went through and calculated the record of all the plays I've posted in this thread which is 35-22, or +9.85 units so not too bad. Hopefully this recent success keeps up!

[Philphan]

St Marys covers so a 7-2-1 day yesterday 15-2-1 last 4 days.

Today's Plays:

NBA:
Miami Heat -9.5 vs. New York Knicks LOSS

NCAA Basketball:
Florida Atlantic -1.5 @ South Alabama WIN

1-1 today. Will post plays tomorrow afternoon