nba season picks

[BL]

for not missing any play better get on the twitterlist ( twit: BLdeportes )! I am posting all my plays there. Writeups and
further information here on SBR of course


just to have it on the actual site so you don't miss them:

thanks mehow, trying to do my best

I have 3 early releases for today:

1H Houston Rockets -2,5 1x

Houston Rockets -4,5 1x

Well this is a classic setup. 3-0 team meeting 0-3 team. The Hornets are 1-5 playing in Houston
and that's one of the reasons why they should suffer their first loss of the season tonight.
The Rockets are full of talent and I see them coming out firing in this one.
After going 3-0 this is the perfect letdown spot for the Hornets before meeting the Miami Heat.


Orlando/Minnesota OVER 203,5 1x

What a spread! To be honest I think Orlando will cover. They are in desperation mode after that
ugly loss against the Heat and they will bounce back today firing 3s from nowhere. I don't know
how many points the Pups will bring up but I don't care as long Orlando is scoring 200 by themselves
I got 203,5 at my local but feel free to play it up to 206. Shouldn't be that close.
Over is 7-1-1 in Magic last 9 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Timberwolves last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Over is 13-3 in Timberwolves last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.

[BL]

wow looks like the joeys are real wrong on the total in Denver. Everybody is calling their mum for some more money to throw
on the over. I still have to do some research but I think this one will go way under the posted total of 206.

[BL]

will most likely make that Dallas/Denver under a official play. My local will offer me 106,5 all day but you will be fine with the closing line aswell. Will post here as soon as I book it. Will be later today as I will visit my local directly when Championsleague has ended.

[BL]

Here you go:

Denver/Dallas UNDER 206.5 1x
I already said I will book it, right on my way to place this bet at my local who gives me this
line. Fell free to book it even at 204 f.e. ! This game won't hit 200 !

[Ca$hfloW]

Great call on Orlando, 123 at half is pretty solid

[BL]

YAY ! First play Orlando/Minnesota OVER 203,5 cashes

[BL]

Rockets cover 1H ! 2-0 so far, 2 plays pending

[kobefanatic]

nice dude, what do you have for tomorrow?

[BL]

nice dude, what do you have for tomorrow?

nothing standing out at first sight but didn't look deeper in any matchup. will do so tomorrow early!

good night, will go to bed now and check result tomorrow!

ORL/MIN OVER won
Rockets 1H won

Rockets -4,5 pending
DEN/DAL Under 206,5 pending

[kobefanatic]

nothing standing out at first sight but didn't look deeper in any matchup. will do so tomorrow early!

good night, will go to bed now and check result tomorrow!

ORL/MIN OVER won
Rockets 1H won

Rockets -4,5 pending
DEN/DAL Under 206,5 pending

hope you cash the rest of your plays

[BL]

Denver/Dallas stay under the total for another profitable 3-1 night.

NBA Season 20-7 (74,07%) +12,8 units

[BL]

If you didn't figure this out yet: This thread is money!
Time to get in the next bet:

Chicago/New York OVER 203,5 (1x)
Enough said. Both teams are having tons of posessions per game and guys who
can easily hit baskets from nowhere. This should be a run and gun game
at it's best. The fact the leagues most fouling team is involved (Bulls) doesn't even
scare me to take the over with NY Knicks being a hella worse FT% team this year so far.
Another thing you like to see is both teams are in the top teams in offensive rebounds making and allowing
what leads to many 2nd chance points. LVSC lineservice opened the line at 207 for a reason.
This one should go over the 210 mark.

[syy211]

i like the over tonight.

[BL]

i like the over tonight.

Yeah I like it even with being such a public play. Line is at 204.5 already at most books. I'd suggest
to play the over till 205.

[coilinsud9]

yesterday very profitable, congrats

[BL]

thanks coilinsud9 !
So guys tell me: what do you like on todays board? Kinda big spreads for the hometeams.

[BL]

Besides the over in Chicago I already booked in I am looking at Portland I simply don't see Oklahoma hanging around in the 2nd half of this game.

[BL]

Portland coming off a successful roadtrip and Oklahoma b2b. I see a lot of ppl in love with OKC 1H but you should
consider that Thunder are 2-10 ATS in first halves playing back2back on the road.

[Sdotbold]

young team b2b on the roadim leaning portland also.

[Sdotbold]

BL this thread is great,i love your write ups, very informative! I am kind of a novice when it comes to NBA regular season betting, but you are money my friend! keep up the great work!

[BL]

thanks

No other play tonight. The board is short and there's nothing I like as much as I could pull the trigger.
So I am simply rolling with the play I released early today:

Chicago/New York OVER 203,5 (1x)
Enough said. Both teams are having tons of posessions per game and guys who
can easily hit baskets from nowhere. This should be a run and gun game
at it's best. The fact the leagues most fouling team is involved (Bulls) doesn't even
scare me to take the over with NY Knicks being a hella worse FT% team this year so far.
Another thing you like to see is both teams are in the top teams in offensive rebounds making and allowing
what leads to many 2nd chance points. LVSC lineservice opened the line at 207 for a reason.
This one should go over the 210 mark.

[BL]

Over looking good, we only need 82 points in the 2nd half. I'm out now, see you tomorrow.
Feel free to post your leans for tomorrow. Anything you like on the board?

[darkenergy]

Wizzard +5.5, Boston 1q, Heat 1q, OVER Memphis/Sun
What you think?

[BL]

Wizzard +5.5, Boston 1q, Heat 1q, OVER Memphis/Sun What you think?

Heat 1Q is kinda autoplay but will have a closer look tomorrow. No opinion on the other games yet. Will cap those tomorrow and post my leans. Throw in here whatever you like, will check the numbers and situations then.

If you didn't figure this out yet: This thread is money! Time to get in the next bet: Chicago/New York OVER 203,5 (1x) Enough said. Both teams are having tons of posessions per game and guys who can easily hit baskets from nowhere. This should be a run and gun game at it's best. The fact the leagues most fouling team is involved (Bulls) doesn't even scare me to take the over with NY Knicks being a hella worse FT% team this year so far. Another thing you like to see is both teams are in the top teams in offensive rebounds making and allowing what leads to many 2nd chance points. LVSC lineservice opened the line at 207 for a reason. This one should go over the 210 mark.

Cash that


NBA Season 21-7 (75,00%) +13,8 units not that bad I guess

[stakagrp]

I've seen some of your posts from prior years, but this is the first time i've seen you start a thread from the beginning of the season BL. I know that you are a great capper and am glad that you've started up a thread posting your plays. Keep up the good work!

[BL]

I've seen some of your posts from prior years, but this is the first time i've seen you start a thread from the beginning of the season BL. I know that you are a great capper and am glad that you've started up a thread posting your plays. Keep up the good work!

yeah it's right. First time I am posting the whole season over here in NBA (already did in WNBA last year and hit 61% http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ml#post2360965 ).

Big board today and already looking at some nice lines. Cleveland loos great getting those points in Philadelphia f.e.!

[BL]

Wizzard +5.5, Boston 1q, Heat 1q, OVER Memphis/Sun
What you think?

I don't expect a blowoutwin for the knicks so I am kinda leaning Wizards plus the points but I don't think I will take Washington coming off a OT win.
I am leaning Boston for the game! Bulls on the back2back won't see much light in this one. Suns/Grizzlies ove rlooking good at first look. Will check those numbers, de!

[Wilforth]

I don't expect a blowoutwin for the knicks so I am kinda leaning Wizards plus the points but I don't think I will take Washington coming off a OT win.
I am leaning Boston for the game! Bulls on the back2back won't see much light in this one. Suns/Grizzlies ove rlooking good at first look. Will check those numbers, de!

Washington plus the points looks good.

[darkenergy]

Also like Heat TT OVER, Magic TT OVER, Jazz TT UNDER

[BL]

thans for the points de!

At this point the sides I like the most are

Cleveland... if you don't see value in Cleveland getting 5,5 points against Philly (they already beat them without LJ in Philly) I don't know what to answer

Hornets.... Heat is for real for sure but hey 6,5 points ?! Who will guard CP3 ? This one should be close. Hornets are a winningmachine so far but the line is still too high imo.

Boston.... Don't know how Bulls will stop the Celtics here. They did look bad yesterday when they were in a good spot and are on the back2back today.

[BL]

First NBA pick for today is

Cleveland Cavaliers +5,5 (1x)
I already said I like them in this spot. Philadelphia playing their 3rd game in the 4th night coming off a asswopping win
over the Pacers. Cleveland started 1-3 into the season getting away with a win against Boston.
They already beat Philly without LBJ. With Mo back as a starter I do give them a nice chance to win SU aswell.

[Wilforth]

First NBA pick for today is

Cleveland Cavaliers +5,5 (1x)
I already said I like them in this spot. Philadelphia playing their 3rd game in the 4th night coming off a asswopping win
over the Pacers. Cleveland started 1-3 into the season getting away with a win against Boston.
They already beat Philly without LBJ. With Mo back as a starter I do give them a nice chance to win SU aswell.

I went with Cavs ML. I think this game will be decided by at least 6 points. So the points don't make much sense to me. Just my 2 cents.

[BL]

I went with Cavs ML. I think this game will be decided by at least 6 points. So the points don't make much sense to me. Just my 2 cents.

BOL Wilforth, I like it. I decided to go with the points for s simple reason. Even if Philly gets away with the win I do think Cavs will cover at least.

[darkenergy]

I've seen that line of Cleveland. If Philly -1 or two I like Cleveland, but -5 I just feel this is a trap. Philly beat no one, except blow out Pacers last game (which I took Philly due to revenge angle).
But I did watch they played against Hawks, Wizzard, adn Pacers. They took Hawks down to the wire, I think Cleveland is overrated team. I gun to my head I probably taking Philly, but I will stay away from this game. Wish you the best bro.

BTW, looking at all the numbers, what make you think Cleveland has value?
Cleveland 1-3, Philly 1-4
Cleveland PF 92, PA 98
Philly PF 98, PA 98.2
Cleveland FG 43.6%, FT 74.4%, 3pt 34.7%
Philly FG 46%, FT 75.4%, 3pts 38.8%

Take a bucket off or so for the home field advantage, you left with Philly - a bucket or so, I wouldn't mind take philly with that stats.

[BL]

Cleveland didn't perform like they can. The line shouldn't be Philly -5,5 you are right! Cleveland is 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games. That and Jamison missing is where the line comes from. Cleveland looked good in the 2nd and 3rd Q against Atlanta. With Mo in the starting 5 I do like my chances.