nba season picks

BL · 11-01-10, 05:19 PM

thanks guys, BOL to you aswell! let's continue the ride

sweetjones55 · 11-01-10, 06:11 PM

Good luck tonight on your plays.

BL · 11-01-10, 07:58 PM

game finally slowed down. that's what I wanted to see. all we need are less fouls

BL · 11-01-10, 08:14 PM

horrible half for us under backers. Portland no defense and Bulls fouling on every posession since any reason.
under is dead. needing spurs 1Q for a 1-1 night now

BL · 11-01-10, 09:18 PM

Spurs 1Q now a 1,5 unit play to have a winning day !

BL · 11-01-10, 10:00 PM

ok, stick a fork in todays plays. bounce back tomorrow

BL · 11-01-10, 10:05 PM

NBA Season 14-5 (73,68%) +9.0 units

jgbgsox · 11-01-10, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by BL

NBA Season 14-5 (73,68%) +9.0 units

you'll bounce back tomorrow bud

Stinger · 11-01-10, 11:37 PM

Looks nice, will look into this more now that baseball is over, thanks for your efforts

Ca$hfloW · 11-01-10, 11:41 PM

Glad your back BL, I enjoyed your picks last year in WNBA and NBA I will be following this thread. Anyway you could get in contact with me outside of SBR?

BL · 11-02-10, 06:32 AM

there's a interesting board today. Already some plays I am looking at. doing my homework on the games

darkenergy · 11-02-10, 07:05 AM

booked Bucks and Magic last night, hope to see you are on the same side.
BOL today BL

BL · 11-02-10, 07:55 AM

Originally posted by darkenergy

booked Bucks and Magic last night, hope to see you are on the same side.
BOL today BL

I won't play Magic on the road for the fullgame. Maybe first half. Bucks are a possible play though.
I am also looking at the Grizzlies. Depending on what the spread will be they should get the cover
in the 4th. Always playing LA tough and since Lakers started perfect into the season it's time to fade them
ATS.
I am also looking at the under in Milwaukee. Blazers owe me that under money from yesterday

darkenergy · 11-02-10, 08:17 AM

Originally posted by BL

I am also looking at the under in Milwaukee. Blazers owe me that under money from yesterday

I was thinking about this play as well. This is the last game of portland's 4 games road trip, they should be tied. Buck on the other side aren't too bad defensively, and they haven't score more than 99 this season themselves, these should help the UNDER.

Lean Philly tomorrow to get back at Pacer, hope they'll lose today to Wizzard so they can probably dog tomorrow.

BL · 11-02-10, 08:28 AM

leaning
Bucks/Blazers UNDER 186,5

Lowest total for this matchup since 2006 with the over being 11-3 in this matchup.
Here are the facts:
Both teams are playing the slowest pace in the league with Portland averaging 94 and Milwaukee
averaging 94.8 posessions per game.
Both Milwaukee and Portland are allowing only few fastbreakpoints per game, scoring less themselves.
This season is young but it is telling a lot that Bucks are only hitting 40,9% FGs so far.
Yesterdays Portland match in Chicago went way over. Blazers allowed Bulls hitting 60% from the field
and 27 (!) fastbreakpoints. They usually allow 11 fastbreak points per game.
Portland will try to get away with the win tonight with defense again. They are simply toast in fastpace
games with shooting jumpshots all night. That's why the Under is 9-0 in Trail Blazers last 9 games following
a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Nothing booked yet and still some things to figure out but just wanted to share my thoughts on this one

dan213 · 11-02-10, 08:30 AM

also on the under. GL.

darkenergy · 11-02-10, 08:32 AM

Nice writeup, and breakdown my friend, learned a lot of that post. Keep 'em come in

BL · 11-02-10, 10:14 AM

leaning
Lakers/Grizzlies OVER 201

The two top pace teams meet each other today in LA. Lakers and Grizzlies both average 102.0 posessions
per game. Both, LAL and MEM allow their opponents to score over 47% FGs per game.
Both teams are solid in making FTs, hitting 76% (MEM) and 80% (LAL)
more research to do but I like this one

Ca$hfloW · 11-02-10, 02:10 PM

Looking forward to the final card to see how mine compares.BOL

BL · 11-02-10, 03:22 PM

looking at Cleveland +3 !
They shouldn't be a 3point homedog against Atlanta. Mo is back and will play some minutes. Atlanta did well so far but never performed as good as they should be a roadfav in Cleveland.

BL · 11-02-10, 03:25 PM

I will have possibly 2 plays on the Cleveland match!

Ca$hfloW · 11-02-10, 03:43 PM

What do you think of Boston -6 I am liking what i see here

BL · 11-02-10, 03:46 PM

not sure yet. Will have some more plays today. will start posting now:

1Q Miami Heat -5 (1x)
Line is already moving at some books. I still got -5 -110 ! Get it while it's hot.
Books are juicing it soon because it's a public play but how the heck can the Pups
cover this spread? Heat will be up by dd after the first Q.

BL · 11-02-10, 03:59 PM

Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (1x)
As stated above I was looking at Cleveland for a long time.
This play is based on the line. So don't bet it more than 1x ! Atlanta already won 3 in a row and they didn't really crush their
opponents. I see a closer game here with Cleveland winning in the end. Atl by 2 will be ok for me aswell ;-)

Cleveland/Atlanta UNDER 190,5 (1x)
This picks come hand in hand with Cleveland ATS. Cleveland won't win any highscoring match this year.
They simply haven't a lineup that can come up score enough to outscore the other team.
It's all about defense. Worked against Boston and could also work tonight.
I am looking my Cleveland picks to go hand in hand.

BL · 11-02-10, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by BL

leaning
Bucks/Blazers UNDER 186,5

Lowest total for this matchup since 2006 with the over being 11-3 in this matchup.
Here are the facts:
Both teams are playing the slowest pace in the league with Portland averaging 94 and Milwaukee
averaging 94.8 posessions per game.
Both Milwaukee and Portland are allowing only few fastbreakpoints per game, scoring less themselves.
This season is young but it is telling a lot that Bucks are only hitting 40,9% FGs so far.
Yesterdays Portland match in Chicago went way over. Blazers allowed Bulls hitting 60% from the field
and 27 (!) fastbreakpoints. They usually allow 11 fastbreak points per game.
Portland will try to get away with the win tonight with defense again. They are simply toast in fastpace
games with shooting jumpshots all night. That's why the Under is 9-0 in Trail Blazers last 9 games following
a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Nothing booked yet and still some things to figure out but just wanted to share my thoughts on this one

The numbers for the 1H under are even better. wangichu showed me how great the numbers for the 1H
are so I am making the best out of my lean and will play:

1H Bucks/Blazers Under 92,5 (1x)

Pete0 · 11-02-10, 07:18 PM

Congrats on Miami 1Q !

BL · 11-02-10, 08:20 PM

just checking in for a second. Miami 1Q and POR/MIL 1H Under are winner. 2-0 so far.
Cleveland and Under were the right calls but a 67 point 1Q destroyed the sweep for us

Ca$hfloW · 11-02-10, 08:24 PM

not impossible yet

Ca$hfloW · 11-02-10, 08:28 PM

under cashed 3-1 congrats

BL · 11-02-10, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by BL

1Q Miami Heat -5 (1x)

Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (1x)

Cleveland/Atlanta UNDER 190,5 (1x)

1H Bucks/Blazers Under 92,5 (1x)

Cleveland let us down so we didnt get the sweep but 3-1 today is great anyways

NBA Season 17-6 (73,91%) +10,9 units

Ca$hfloW · 11-02-10, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by BL

Cleveland let us down so we didnt get the sweep but 3-1 today is great anyways

NBA Season 17-6 (73,91%) +10,9 units

BL · 11-02-10, 08:49 PM

no play on the late game, enjoying the wins and getting some sleep

BL · 11-03-10, 05:28 AM

Big board today. Wednesday is the day to cash in NBA. I should have some nice plays later today

mehow · 11-03-10, 05:42 AM

congrats BL you are awesome capper

BL · 11-03-10, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by mehow

congrats BL you are awesome capper

thanks mehow, trying to do my best

I have 3 early releases for today:

1H Houston Rockets -2,5 1x

Houston Rockets -4,5 1x

Well this is a classic setup. 3-0 team meeting 0-3 team. The Hornets are 1-5 playing in Houston
and that's one of the reasons why they should suffer their first loss of the season tonight.
The Rockets are full of talent and I see them coming out firing in this one.
After going 3-0 this is the perfect letdown spot for the Hornets before meeting the Miami Heat.

Orlando/Minnesota OVER 203,5 1x

What a spread! To be honest I think Orlando will cover. They are in desperation mode after that
ugly loss against the Heat and they will bounce back today firing 3s from nowhere. I don't know
how many points the Pups will bring up but I don't care as long Orlando is scoring 200 by themselves

I got 203,5 at my local but feel free to play it up to 206. Shouldn't be that close.
Over is 7-1-1 in Magic last 9 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Timberwolves last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Over is 13-3 in Timberwolves last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.