70% math plays 2009-10 tracking

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  • mundane
    SBR MVP
    • 02-25-08
    • 3592

    #36
    YTD 2-1

    and if it was the 3rd game oden out, blazers would have been a play also.
    charlotte bobcats was never a play. spurs less than 20 games.
    Comment
    • mundane
      SBR MVP
      • 02-25-08
      • 3592

      #37
      12/12/09 ~ 1 PLAY

      Comment
      • PacmanJr_00
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-10-09
        • 221

        #38
        so, bos remains a play so long as you get it under 10? even if the line itself goes over double digits at every book
        Comment
        • mundane
          SBR MVP
          • 02-25-08
          • 3592

          #39
          BOS is NOT A PLAY!



          btw this is not my system, go to reference links to get a a better understanding of this system. especially this post!

          also, last season i personally decided that for tracking purposes, we will just use the opening lines as it is what the books intended for us to bet on. virgin lines thus protecting the system's integrity (if u can call it that.)
          Comment
          • pelos879
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-19-09
            • 222

            #40
            Kings are a play vs the T-Wolves
            Comment
            • pelos879
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-19-09
              • 222

              #41
              Can anyone confirm this?
              Comment
              • corona
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-12-09
                • 722

                #42
                kings are a play.

                celtics are not. that was my mistake....forgot to subtract 3.
                Comment
                • incomeraise
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-28-09
                  • 1136

                  #43
                  are menphis and la clippers a play tomorrow. just to make sure i am getting the system
                  Comment
                  • jakeandba
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-13-09
                    • 1033

                    #44
                    Mun:
                    Thanks bro for keeping track of this tread...i know there are alot of questions and this is not ur system but thanks anyway...
                    Comment
                    • corona
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-12-09
                      • 722

                      #45
                      Originally posted by incomeraise
                      are menphis and la clippers a play tomorrow. just to make sure i am getting the system
                      memphis is not a play from my calculations.

                      i believe the clippers are, but mundane will have the final word. i get a final number of -2.45 but they're close to not passing the injured starter filter. gordon played against indiana last saturday....his first game back from injury, and this will be a sunday game....so technically its been a week. but only 2 games took place in that timespan. not much time to get acclimated.
                      Comment
                      • incomeraise
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-28-09
                        • 1136

                        #46
                        Originally posted by corona
                        memphis is not a play from my calculations.

                        i believe the clippers are, but mundane will have the final word. i get a final number of -2.45 but they're close to not passing the injured starter filter. gordon played against indiana last saturday....his first game back from injury, and this will be a sunday game....so technically its been a week. but only 2 games took place in that timespan. not much time to get acclimated.

                        yeah you are right, i didnt add the +3 but substracted it, thinking miami was playing on the road
                        Comment
                        • D-RoK
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 12-04-09
                          • 18

                          #47
                          Just to let you guys know, I've been tracking the 09-10 nba season with this system and it has been averaging about 65% correct picks. Since the beginning of December, I've hit about the 71% mark. Of course, I've added a couple of modifications. But overall (so far) this is an awesome system IMO. I will post my results and my excel spreadsheet at the end of the season for you guys to analyze.
                          Comment
                          • incomeraise
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-28-09
                            • 1136

                            #48
                            Originally posted by D-RoK
                            Just to let you guys know, I've been tracking the 09-10 nba season with this system and it has been averaging about 65% correct picks. Since the beginning of December, I've hit about the 71% mark. Of course, I've added a couple of modifications. But overall (so far) this is an awesome system IMO. I will post my results and my excel spreadsheet at the end of the season for you guys to analyze.

                            why do u wan tot wait till the end of the season.Maybe u can open a new thread, and talk bout it. maybe we can get something good out of it.
                            Comment
                            • HoulihansTX
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-12-09
                              • 30566

                              #49
                              Corona & Mundane,

                              I would like to thank you guys for keeping track of this system, and being diligent in doing so. I keep track of the system myself last year, but it is tough when betting so many sports like I do.

                              Keep up the great work fellas, and if you guys care to have them i will pay weekly in SBR points maybe ten each when I can afford it.

                              Thank you
                              Ya Boi
                              Comment
                              • 666
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 02-01-09
                                • 106

                                #50
                                Clippers are close to be qualify but only if Baron Davis will play. All other games are not qualify for today.

                                covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/matchups/g5_summary_8.html

                                any news about Baron Davis
                                Comment
                                • Biff Webster
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-01-08
                                  • 366

                                  #51
                                  Toronto, OKC and LAC are underdogs, not favorites.
                                  Comment
                                  • 666
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 02-01-09
                                    • 106

                                    #52
                                    I know that. Do you think that I didn't fill correctly the table?

                                    Toronto is home team but in table I put -3 because Houston is better team(better W/L %)but playing on the road(-3 selected road team) and Houston is fav -2 against Toronto.
                                    Comment
                                    • mundane
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-25-08
                                      • 3592

                                      #53
                                      to add to what corona mentioned about gordon, baron davis is also on the injury list - probable (illness)
                                      so tread lightly on that LAC (PLAY the other ATS) PLAY if u decide to play it.
                                      we'll just be watching that play tonight! so officially there is no system plays tonight!

                                      BOL to all!
                                      Comment
                                      • pelos879
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 03-19-09
                                        • 222

                                        #54
                                        So the Clippers are not a play tonight with Davis out...
                                        Comment
                                        • willpies
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-18-08
                                          • 128

                                          #55
                                          Are the clippers a play? Baron Davis is playing
                                          Comment
                                          • corona
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-12-09
                                            • 722

                                            #56
                                            i put a little on it, and will monitor. didn't really like the circumstances though.
                                            Comment
                                            • pelos879
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 03-19-09
                                              • 222

                                              #57
                                              Are the Warriors a pick tonight? I put the 76ers into the spreadsheet and the number came out negative.
                                              Comment
                                              • Meestermike
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-21-06
                                                • 329

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by pelos879
                                                Are the Warriors a pick tonight? I put the 76ers into the spreadsheet and the number came out negative.
                                                The warriors are not a play tonite.

                                                Warriors W% = 0.304
                                                76Sixers W% = 0.217

                                                0.304 - 0.217 = 0.87 * 1000 = 87 / 20 = 4.35

                                                4.35 - selected team is away (-3) = 1.35

                                                1.35 + spread (+5) = 6.35

                                                The final number must be 10 or greater for a PLAY!
                                                Comment
                                                • Jasonal_98
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-16-09
                                                  • 1443

                                                  #59
                                                  I'm new to this system and thought GSW were a play as well. When I entered the numbers into excel, using Philly as the selected tem, it came out as -5.35 and told me to play the other team ATS (GSW). What am I doing wrong?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mundane
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-25-08
                                                    • 3592

                                                    #60
                                                    selected team = team with the higher winning %

                                                    12/14 NO PLAYS!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jasonal_98
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-16-09
                                                      • 1443

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by mundane
                                                      selected team = team with the higher winning %

                                                      12/14 NO PLAYS!
                                                      Thanks for clearing that up for me.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ngates815
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-01-09
                                                        • 13845

                                                        #62
                                                        The Lakers are a play tonight, playing at Chicago(yes Kobe has a broke finger or whatever, but is still playing so, beware he may not be 100%.....)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PacmanJr_00
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-10-09
                                                          • 221

                                                          #63
                                                          Lakers are double digit favs tonight, so no play.

                                                          For the NY/Cha game, I type in NY as the selected team and I get, "No play on the selected. Play the other ATS." Does this make CHA an official play?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ngates815
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-01-09
                                                            • 13845

                                                            #64
                                                            Lakers didn't open at double digit....and weren't at double digit, when I posted.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 666
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-01-09
                                                              • 106

                                                              #65
                                                              Only Lakers(-9.5) should be a play tonight. No injured players and their last game played 12/12/09. So, no back to back game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Meestermike
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-21-06
                                                                • 329

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by PacmanJr_00
                                                                Lakers are double digit favs tonight, so no play.

                                                                For the NY/Cha game, I type in NY as the selected team and I get, "No play on the selected. Play the other ATS." Does this make CHA an official play?
                                                                CHA has the better overall win % so they should be the selected team

                                                                CHA 0.409
                                                                NYK 0.348

                                                                Final number 1.06 so no play
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PacmanJr_00
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 09-10-09
                                                                  • 221

                                                                  #67
                                                                  ah. thanks for clarifying. sorry for the misinformation on LA. my book is running high on the point spreads for some reason. they already have LA up to 10.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mundane
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-25-08
                                                                    • 3592

                                                                    #68
                                                                    LAL wont be an official play of the system! kobe's injury and coming off from illness negated this to be a play! tread lightly!

                                                                    like i said, this system doesn't produce much plays and personally i wont 'push' it to have a play just for the sake of having plays! =)

                                                                    BOL to all!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                                      • 30566

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by mundane
                                                                      LAL wont be an official play of the system! kobe's injury and coming off from illness negated this to be a play! tread lightly! like i said, this system doesn't produce much plays and personally i wont 'push' it to have a play just for the sake of having plays! =) BOL to all!
                                                                      Listen to him fellas. I dont remember exactly what the record of the plays that didnt pass the filters was, but I think it was around 50%. Coin Flip.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mundane
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-25-08
                                                                        • 3592

                                                                        #70
                                                                        HoulihansTX
                                                                        Comment
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