Speedy's ATS System

[Speedy123]

Dec 8/09


Bet 1.1 units on Denver to win 1 unit

Lost last night game.

Record: NBA 4 - 5 -1.5 Units

[Speedy123]

There are 3 teams to play for today. All are worst teams in their respective groups and are faded. They are: PHI, CHI and SAS.

Bet 1.1 units on DET to win 1 Unit

Bet 1.1 units on ATL to win 1 unit

Bet i.1 units on SACRAMENTO to win 1 Unit

Will only be making flat bets at -1.1 odds. No three game chase as originally outlined. Curious to see if this will produce a wining average above .500. If so, will gradually increase the units bet.

[SpreadSniper]

I'm not understanding "All are worst teams in their respective groups and are faded" = SAS?

[Speedy123]

I'm not understanding "All are worst teams in their respective groups and are faded" = SAS?

I faded SAS because they are in the worst 3 road teams aith a 1-5 record Against The Spread. I had SACramento + 12.5 -110 odds at the Palace Station Sports book here in Las vegas so I have a winner although the closing line at vegasinsider. com has SAS -12 and a push. Won all three bets tonight!

[Speedy123]

Won all three of my bets tonight. Finally into the winning collumn.

Bet 1.1 units on DET to win 1 Unit

Bet 1.1 units on ATL to win 1 unit

Bet i.1 units on SACRAMENTO to win 1 Unit

NBA Record 7-5 +1.5 Units

[sprn]

Nice night, will be following this thread to see how you're doing through the season.

[corona]

I faded SAS because they are in the worst 3 road teams aith a 1-5 record Against The Spread. I had SACramento + 12.5 -110 odds at the Palace Station Sports book here in Las vegas so I have a winner although the closing line at vegasinsider. com has SAS -12 and a push. Won all three bets tonight!

but san antonio wasn't on the road last night.

since you bet on Atlanta because they're one of the best ATS home teams.
and you faded Philly, because they're one of the worst ATS home teams...

shouldn't you have bet on San Antonio, for being one of the best home teams (that you listed previously)?

[Speedy123]

but san antonio wasn't on the road last night.

since you bet on Atlanta because they're one of the best ATS home teams.
and you faded Philly, because they're one of the worst ATS home teams...

shouldn't you have bet on San Antonio, for being one of the best home teams (that you listed previously)?

Corona. The bet was triggered because SAC is in the best Road ATS group. SAS was in both the best home teams and worst road teams in my original post. SAS has since droped out of the 3 best home teams but remains in the worst away teams. I presently have the three best home teams as ATL, DEN and UTA. These standings change and you can track this at the web link that is on the first page. I will post the games and anyone can check the stats. I might add that I have added one filter. When a team is in the top overall ATS and still has a bad road record they are eliminated. You will not see LAL in the worst road teams yet they have only a 1-3 road record. A real aberation. Thanks Carona, hope this clarifies. Even with todays light schedule there is a play or two. Will post shortly. Good luck everyone.

[Speedy123]

There is one team for today. The BOS -7 is the line here at Vegas.

WAS is in both the Worst at home and away groups so we fade WAS and bet on Boston.

Bet 1.1 units to win 1 unit on BOS -7 -110 odds

[Speedy123]

My apologies Carona. You are right. The SAC/SAS game should not have been in the system. SAC is in the best at home ATS. They were on the road at San Antonio. I will adjust my records to eliminate this win. Thanks


Also noted that Orlando Magic are tied with Den and DAL for 2nd place in Best Away teams. Just have time to get my bet in on them.

Bet 1.1 units ORL -3 to win one unit.

[SpreadSniper]

Thanks... I get ya now... Thought that play seemed a bit funny given your criteria.

[baseballboy9]

Corona,
I was wondering if you could help me out with something. I have been playing the JM system as well and been doing well with it on the three point buys. My online book cut my NBA buy limit to 1 point, sayin they were for rec. betters. Now I cannot play the system anymore. Do you know of any online books that have good reviews and allow 3 point buy at -170? Any and all info would be great! thanks.

[Speedy123]

Lost two bets yesterday Dec 10

Bet 1.1 units to win 1 unit on BOS -7 -110 odds

Bet 1.1 units ORL -3 to win one unit.


Record was 7-5 +1.5 units but will subtract the SAC/SAS game on DEC 9. With the two losses last night the updated record correctly stands at 6 wins 7 losses -1.7 Units.

[Speedy123]

Four games for today. Have already made them. ATL. DAL, and HOU are the three best Road teams. They are a play. CHI is faded because they are in the worst ATS home teams.

Bet 1.1 units on ATL -4 to win 1 unit

Bet1.1 units on DAL +1 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on Hou -3 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 unit on GSW +5 to win 1 unit

NBA Record 6-7 -1.7 units

[905prodigy]

Have you played any ``B`` bets yet

[Speedy123]

Thought I had a perfect night but GS couldn't hold them in overtime but a push sure beats a loss. Back in the winning column. Looks like there will be 3 or4 games for tomorrow. Need to check the updated ATS stats.

Bet 1.1 units on ATL -4 to win 1 unit

Bet1.1 units on DAL +1 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on Hou -3 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 unit on GSW +5 to win 1 unit (PUSH)

Record: 9-7 +1.3 units

[Speedy123]

Have you played any ``B`` bets yet

Prodegy, This is a system in the making. I originally set it up as a chase system but right now I am just using a flat bet money stratagy. With this type of money managment you will gradually pull ahead if you can come up with a win selection that is slightly over 50%. The three game chase might work and you would be ahead more units. Haven't checked it against my record. Right now having fun with a no stress betting system and even slightly up at this point. Thanks for you interest and good luck.

[ramper62]

Great wins speedy...still watching it...but see how deviously good the boys are with the numbers...r

[Speedy123]

There are three games for today. Fade CHI since it is in the worst 3 ATS hometeams. Bet DEN and SAC, both are in best 3 ATS home teams. IND/WAS cancel out since both are faded in their respective worst groups. I also filtered out LAL which falls in Worst away teams. ( filtered out due to their straight up record of 18/3)

Bet 1.1 units on BOS -9.5 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on DEN -8.5 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on SAC -7.5 to win 1 unit

[Speedy123]

Great wins speedy...still watching it...but see how deviously good the boys are with the numbers...r

Thanks Romper. Still way to early to say one way or the other if this will prove viable. Yes they have it down to a science! Mentioned that I had spoted an interesting trend and am following it. it looks promising. Paying so far this season but will backtest for two or three years before I make a decision. Have a great day everyone.

[Speedy123]

Won 2, lost one so it was a wining night.

Bet 1.1 units on BOS -9.5 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on DEN -8.5 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on SAC -7.5 to win 1 unit

Record: 11-8 +2.2 Units

[Speedy123]

There are 3 games again for today Dec 13. HOU is in the best away, ATL is in best home and SAS in worst away and is faded. Here are my three bets for today:

Bet 1.1 units on HOU (PICK) to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on ATL -12 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on LAC +6 to win 1 unit

Have a great day everyone!

Record 11-8 +2.2 Units

[SpreadSniper]

TOR is 5 - 1 ATS in its last 6 games at home when playing HOU
TOR is 5 - 1 SU in is last 6 games at home when playing HOU

TOR has had a couple days to prepare for this game with the beating the Hawks gave them weighing heavily on their minds. I see an inspired TOR effort here.

Regardless of this, the HOU pick is just too tasty to pass on!

P.S - Baron Davis might not be playing, would that alter your LAC pick?

[Speedy123]

There are 3 games again for today Dec 13. HOU is in the best away, ATL is in best home and SAS in worst away and is faded. Here are my three bets for today:

Bet 1.1 units on HOU (PICK) to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on ATL -12 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on LAC +6 to win 1 unit

Have a great day everyone!

Record 11-8 +2.2 Units

Won one and lost two games yesterday for an overall 1.2 loss.

Record 12-10 +1unit

[Speedy123]

Only one game for today.

PHI is in worst ATS home teams so they are faded.

Bet 1.1 units on GSW +4.5 to win one unit.

[Speedy123]

TOR is 5 - 1 ATS in its last 6 games at home when playing HOU
TOR is 5 - 1 SU in is last 6 games at home when playing HOU

TOR has had a couple days to prepare for this game with the beating the Hawks gave them weighing heavily on their minds. I see an inspired TOR effort here.

Regardless of this, the HOU pick is just too tasty to pass on!

P.S - Baron Davis might not be playing, would that alter your LAC pick?

Would have been a good idea to consider those factors after looking at game results. Thanks. I was so busy yesterday that didn't get on computer until this morning. I haven't handicapped any of the selections. If you follow JM you will see some terrable teams pull out a win. This seems to happen time after time. Hoping for the same here. But do appreciate the feedback. Have a great day.

[billdo75]

Only one game for today.

PHI is in worst ATS home teams so they are faded.

Bet 1.1 units on GSW +4.5 to win one unit.

I've been tracking your plays for a few days. Isn't Utah a play at home versus Minnesota? According to the ATS Rankings on VegasInsider, they currently have a 10-4 (71.4%, 3rd) home ATS record. Just checking...

[Speedy123]

I've been tracking your plays for a few days. Isn't Utah a play at home versus Minnesota? According to the ATS Rankings on VegasInsider, they currently have a 10-4 (71.4%, 3rd) home ATS record. Just checking...

Thanks Bildo. you are right. Thanks for keeping me on my toes.

Bet 1.1 on Utah -13 to win 1 unit

[SpreadSniper]

GL tonight Speedy!

[Speedy123]

As they say, "any professional team is capable of winning any given game" Anyway, two losses yesterday and this brings the record to 12-12. With the 10% juce (-110 odds) there is a -1.2 Units loss at this time. Will continue and see how things work out. Have a terrible head cold but will check for todays games

Bet 1.1 units on GSW +4.5 to win 1 unit.

Bet 1.1 units on Utah -13 to win 1 unit

Record 12-12 -1.2 units loss

[simonsolent]

Hey Speedy, hope you're feeling better, any plays tonight?

[Speedy123]

There are three plays for today. SAC is in best at home, they are a bet. SAS is in worst away and is faded,bet PHO. DET is tied with MIL and UTA for third place BEST at home. Bet DET.
CHI is in Worst home but LAL is also in worst road so they cancel out. No bet for me.

Bet 1.1 units on DET +5 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 units on SAC +7 to win 1 unit

Bet 1.1 unit on PHO -2.5 to win 1 unit

[papermedown]

SAC is playing at Portland tonight, I'm assuming no bet then?

[palmyjin]

slow start but get them next time!

[Speedy123]

SAC is playing at Portland tonight, I'm assuming no bet then?

You are right. I'm screwing up. Could make excuses but won't. I have made a bet on SAC but won't count it, win or loose. Thanks Papermedown. Thinking maybe I have the flu.... check scores in morning. Good luck everyone.