Simulation beta 1.1 predictions thread

[marabdl86]

^^Krazey put the bottle down

[Better2Belucky]

I NEED SOME WINNERS TODAY im ****ed up after yesterday low on $ need some winners today IM RIDING WITH THIS SYSTEM EVERYDAY I GOTTA MAKE SOME MONEY just hope you keep posting these $$ for us good work

AMEN

Just been a brutal 4 days for me.

[Profit]

3 parlays for you guys who need money.

knicks +3
Colts ML

Nashville pred PL
LA Kings PL

TB under 5.5
Detroit under 5.5

[bubbls]

Hey Busta, I want to get on your gravy train, did I miss todays picks

[vic]

In U.S. which sportbook are trust worthy? I was using oddmakers. My bank block the deposit(which I did not realize at the time why), so I call in for deposit. The operator informed me it did not go thru, but the next day, I realize money was withrawn. So now, BOA is disputing with them. Some guy call me yesterday from oddmakers claiming that they gave me credit which they never did, thread to give it to his legal department. So I 've told him do what you have do.

[bustabook]

no bubbls... you didnt miss the plays, here they are.

Official plays, 12/17:

New York @ Chicago (-3) 203
Average Score: New York 99 - Chicago 106 (Sim line: Chicago -7, 205)
Outright wins: New York 329 - Chicago 654 (Chicago 66.5%)
ATS wins: New York 386 - Chicago 593 (Chicago 60.6%)
O/U: Over 534 - Under 440 (Over 54.8%)

Orlando @ Miami (4) 201
Average Score: Orlando 100 - Miami 102 (Sim line: Miami -2, 202)
Outright wins: Orlando 430 - Miami 547 (Miami 56.0%)
ATS wins: Orlando 332 - Miami 641 (Miami 65.9%)
O/U: Over 505 - Under 464 (Over 52.1%)

Phoenix @ Portland (-2) 201
Average Score: Phoenix 99 - Portland 107 (Sim line: Portland -8, 206)
Outright wins: Phoenix 313 - Portland 655 (Portland 67.7%)
ATS wins: Phoenix 361 - Portland 623 (Portland 63.3%)
O/U: Over 589 - Under 388 (Over 60.3%)

(3 games)
-----------------------

Side plays:
Chicago (-3)
Miami (+4)
Portland (-2)

O/U plays:
New York/Chicago Over 203
Phoenix/Portland Over 201

-----------------------

small card today, no 70% plays...

GL

[bubbls]

Thanks Busta

[krazey47409]

#15931643: Parlay (2009/12/17 15:57) Indianapolis Colts ( -174) Phoenix Suns/Portland Trailblazers ( O +202½ -110) Chicago Bulls ( -145)
this parlay should be $$$$

[andrewaxia]

This might have been answered before but do your SIMs take into account player injuries (aka depleted Portland roster)?

[bustabook]

andrew... nope, not currently.. GL

[andrewaxia]

Thanks...Keep it up

[CHAZ]

small card today, no 70% plays...

70% makes me nervous anyways. Your 70% plays are 10-11.

[bustabook]

they were off earlier... but lately i think they are doing very well.. i haven't ran for the whole thread, but i think they are 9-4 in the last 13... check again for me

GL chaz

[suicidekings]

no bubbls... you didnt miss the plays, here they are.

Official plays, 12/17:

Side plays:
Chicago (-3)
Miami (+4)
Portland (-2)

O/U plays:
New York/Chicago Over 203
Phoenix/Portland Over 201

Hey Busta. Looks like you're killing the board on a daily basis. Nice job... Only one losing day is amazing. I'm still running 1Q/1H/GM sims daily, but don't always have time to post them during the day. I have a 2H sim model as well that's done well when I've used it, in limited trials.

Overall this whole system is looking like a winning strategy. When the high % games lose, there's often extenuating circumstances (OT). Most importantly (and I bet you feel like this too), I feel like the system is making the right plays, regardless of who ends up winning, in almost every game.

My problem has been thinking I know more than the stats, going against some of my computer picks recently and/or playing lower % plays. duh

[bustabook]

lol i know what you are saying... sometimes i look at the plays before the games and think i'm going to get crushed, only to have an average/above average night.

[lafaz32]

I really like Miami and the Phx/Blazers over...
Hopefully we have another winning night Busta!.

BOL man& keep up the good work.
much apreciated!

[Profit]

I made a typo to my parlay

I meant

Detroit under 5.5
Rangers Under 5.5


i had tampa instead of rangers for some reason. GL

[Profit]

I know this isnt an NHL thread but I just wanted to throw some parlays out for the guy that needed wins really bad.

GL everyone. Busta, I am on Knicks. IM NERVOUS NOW HAHA.

[krazey47409]

i needed wins but i dont trust detroit rangers under iw ent with this sims picks except i dont think i bet the miami+4 even though that might of been better then the portland pick with all portlands injuries

[flipside52]

Hey -- Busta--- New this forum, as you can see & this being my first post, just
wanted to give my props to you and your computer system. Been following you
the past week and just wanted to say, my hats off to you! Congrats on a fine
job you've been doing. I especially like it when you post early in the morning.
I leave for work around 7am (pst) and it's great because I can get (or close to)
the lines that you use. When I'm at work, I have no access to a computer (work outdoors) to make plays.

Just wanted to give you the recognition you so well deserve.

Thanks again for a great job!!!

[bustabook]

thanks flip.. i like to try and get the plays up as early as possible, but sometimes (like today), i don't get a chance to run the games the night before.. i'll do my best to get them up early. thanks for the post sir!

[bubbls]

good job on Chicago & miami 2 for3 kep rollllling

[Profit]

Busta I nearly lost my ass tonight. I am done playing my own plays. I am solely on your system and brandon lang fades. I can't take losing anymore. I need to win. It needs to happen now. I am sorry for ever doubting you.

[mlb]

yo busta .. thanks for another night ... i stopped after the first 2 games and got the 2 spreads and lost the over/under so 2-1 .. and cancelled the port/pho bets with the injuries and all....

another winning night

took my last exam today and hand in my 25 page paper tomorrow and then im strictly betting for the next 6 weeks ... you need any research on your stuff just let me know man..

[incomeraise]

your simulation program did good again today!
i couldn't tail u tonight unfortunately, but good job

[Intangible]

Great night again

[lakeshow22]

Great job Busta!

[Bigcheez]

Portland turns it up in the 4th. More units for everyone.

[dogs1972]

good job big guy

[$Burm$]

starting to follow you, looks great so far

[Pucks]

This is looking good. What program was used to create this simulation?

[TGoat]

Official plays, 12/17:

Side plays:
Chicago (-3)
Miami (+4)
Portland (-2)

That's what you call "bustin a book."

[Jshap1515]

thanks flip.. i like to try and get the plays up as early as possible, but sometimes (like today), i don't get a chance to run the games the night before.. i'll do my best to get them up early. thanks for the post sir!

Very nice day again

[bustabook]

Summary, 12/17:

Side plays:
Chicago (-3)
Miami (+4)
Portland (-2)

O/U plays:
New York/Chicago Over 203
Phoenix/Portland Over 201

-----------------
4-1, +2.9 Units

Overall:
108-74 (59%), +26.6 Units
-----------------

Nice nght tonight boys, way to go portland!! i'll take 4-1 anytime..

anyway, GL the new plays will be up shortly..

[bustabook]

Official plays, 12/18:

Utah @ Atlanta (-7) 206.5
Average Score: Utah 98 - Atlanta 106 (Sim line: Atlanta -8, 204)
Outright wins: Utah 266 - Atlanta 707 (Atlanta 72.7%)
ATS wins: Utah 454 - Atlanta 525 (Atlanta 53.6%)
O/U: Over 415 - Under 585 (Under 58.5%)

Philadelphia @ Boston (-12.5) 197
Average Score: Philadelphia 86 - Boston 110 (Sim line: Boston -24, 196)
Outright wins: Philadelphia 39 - Boston 952 (Boston 96.1%)
ATS wins: Philadelphia 206 - Boston 794 (Boston 79.4%)
O/U: Over 455 - Under 512 (Under 52.9%)

Milwaukee @ Cleveland (-10) 194
Average Score: Milwaukee 92 - Cleveland 101 (Sim line: Cleveland -9, 193)
Outright wins: Milwaukee 261 - Cleveland 724 (Cleveland 73.5%)
ATS wins: Milwaukee 508 - Cleveland 467 (Milwaukee 52.1%)
O/U: Over 441 - Under 536 (Under 54.9%)

Sacramento @ Minnesota (1.5) 210
Average Score: Sacramento 109 - Minnesota 109 (Sim line: PK, 218)
Outright wins: Sacramento 488 - Minnesota 491 (Minnesota 50.2%)
ATS wins: Sacramento 472 - Minnesota 528 (Minnesota 52.8%)
O/U: Over 674 - Under 308 (Over 68.6%)

LA Clippers @ New York (-3) 200
Average Score: LA Clippers 103 - New York 101 (Sim line: LA Clippers -2, 204)
Outright wins: LA Clippers 544 - New York 431 (LA Clippers 55.8%)
ATS wins: LA Clippers 618 - New York 366 (LA Clippers 62.8%)
O/U: Over 598 - Under 377 (Over 61.3%)

Houston @ Dallas (-5) 195.5
Average Score: Houston 91 - Dallas 99 (Sim line: Dallas -8, 190)
Outright wins: Houston 272 - Dallas 701 (Dallas 72.0%)
ATS wins: Houston 397 - Dallas 582 (Dallas 59.4%)
O/U: Over 335 - Under 665 (Under 66.5%)

(6 games)
---------------------


Side plays:
Boston (-12.5)
LA Clippers (+3)
Dallas (-5)

O/U plays:
Utah/Atlanta Under 206.5
Milwaukee/Cleveland Under 194
Sacramento/Minnesota Over 210
LA Clippers/New York Over 200
Houston/Dallas Under 195.5


*EDIT* Final plays for today are posted below..
---------------------

here you go, i will have the rest of the plays up in the afternoon sometime..

by the way, thanks for the points those who have been sending them.. BOL everyone!