I started doing this about halfway thru last year as the ABCD method was too risky for me but the premise of this system is solid and I had come up with similar systems of my own years ago and they worked too but I like to just log in and see what's next as I don't have a lot of time to investigate these things.
Wallco's Chase 110
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JV1SBR Rookie
- 08-18-15
- 13
#1681Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#1682It is truly up to the individual on the large ML bets. It's all about what your risk tolerance is. I used to skip till last year when I got more comfortable with "live betting". It requires more time because you have to pay attention to game while being played and hope the underdog keeps it close or is winning at some point. Last night worked out great as Mia had a small lead in the 2nd quarter and I got Denver at -5.5 with -119 odds. Even if I lost the impact would have been low on my bankroll and I could move on either way.Originally posted by skyscrapers<br>
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These large M/Ls are tricky. I tracked chasing on a 3-pt buy but after a while it didn't really work out. Most people will probably just skip it. You can also chase for maybe half a unit or smaller. Another strategy is to parlay it with another heavy favorite M/L.
But to respond to someone's question on if -550 is considered large......it is to me! I don't see betting 550 dollars to make 100 as being a sound way to bet. Just one loss would cripple most bankrolls.Comment -
msetaiSBR Sharp
- 06-06-12
- 350
#1683yeah was thinking yesterday to parlay toronto and denver, ended up just doing den ml. but if i did the parlay...toronto was stressfullllOriginally posted by skyscrapers
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These large M/Ls are tricky. I tracked chasing on a 3-pt buy but after a while it didn't really work out. Most people will probably just skip it. You can also chase for maybe half a unit or smaller. Another strategy is to parlay it with another heavy favorite M/L.
JV1 was saying hes up 17 units but yours seems like 25 (which makes sense given current record)?Originally posted by oilcountry99I'm not positive we'll have to wait for JV1 to chime in but it sounds to me like if A is a loss, you move to B but still only risk 1 unit.
The record doing that would be 67-42. All wins at plus money
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stevexSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-10
- 5122
#1684Funny how just what we were discussing happened tn. The Spurs were not HUGE favorites but it was a decent chunk on the ML. If you bought 3 you would’ve lost.Comment -
thekoreanmangSBR MVP
- 03-17-14
- 1422
#1685So, with tonight's ATS loss you're currently only down 2u on this series and for the "Bet C" you are only playing the SA spread (or ML if they're underdogs) for 1u, right?Originally posted by JV1yes, I just bet 1 unit per game ATS and give a half point or sometimes 1 or 1.5 to get at least even odds. If you go back and look at the wins, they almost always cover by 2 or more points beyond the spread, even the heavy favorites.Comment -
kaanyeezySBR High Roller
- 11-06-12
- 179
#1686Correct except he’d be down 3 units at this point not 2.Originally posted by thekoreanmangSo, with tonight's ATS loss you're currently only down 2u on this series and for the "Bet C" you are only playing the SA spread (or ML if they're underdogs) for 1u, right?Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#1687This bet strategy seems like something that should be opened in it's own thread, as to not clog up this one and confuse people with how my system actually works. The same system and bet strategy that has worked well for many, many seasons, and is again.Comment -
skyscrapersSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-11
- 6171
#1688Wallco NBA Chase 110
2018-19 System to Date: 69-1 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +50.56 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0
(2/12/19):
#67 San Antonio (M/L) (B) - Win
#70 Atlanta (+6) (A) -Win
v1 Plays
(A) 40-30
(B) 22-8
(C) 5-3
(D) 2-1
Losses: PHX (-18.44u)
There are no system plays for (2/13/19)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in posts #96 & #1343.Comment -
positivebankrollSBR High Roller- 08-18-10
- 222
#1689#factsOriginally posted by wallco99this bet strategy seems like something that should be opened in it's own thread, as to not clog up this one and confuse people with how my system actually works. The same system and bet strategy that has worked well for many, many seasons, and is again.Comment -
skyscrapersSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-11
- 6171
#1690Wallco NBA Chase 110
2018-19 System to Date: 69-1 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +50.56 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0
v1 Plays
(A) 40-30
(B) 22-8
(C) 5-3
(D) 2-1
Losses: PHX (-18.44u)
There are no system plays for (2/14/19)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in posts #96 & #1343.Comment -
skyscrapersSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-11
- 6171
#1691Wallco NBA Chase 110
2018-19 System to Date: 69-1 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +50.56 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0
v1 Plays
(A) 40-30
(B) 22-8
(C) 5-3
(D) 2-1
Losses: PHX (-18.44u)
There are no system plays from (2/15/19 - 2/20/19) for the All-Star Break.
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in posts #96 & #1343.Comment -
skyscrapersSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-11
- 6171
#1692Wallco NBA Chase 110
2018-19 System to Date: 69-1 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +50.56 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0
v1 Plays
(A) 40-30
(B) 22-8
(C) 5-3
(D) 2-1
Losses: PHX (-18.44u)
There are no system plays for (2/21/19)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in posts #96 & #1343.Comment -
skyscrapersSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-11
- 6171
#1693Wallco NBA Chase 110
2018-19 System to Date: 69-1 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +50.56 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0
v1 Plays
(A) 40-30
(B) 22-8
(C) 5-3
(D) 2-1
Losses: PHX (-18.44u)
There are no system plays for (2/22/19)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in posts #96 & #1343.Comment -
skyscrapersSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-02-11
- 6171
#1694Wallco NBA Chase 110
2018-19 System to Date: 69-1 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +50.56 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0
v1 Plays
(A) 40-30
(B) 22-8
(C) 5-3
(D) 2-1
Losses: PHX (-18.44u)
