well, cavs 3Q is -5.5 i think thats too much
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I took cleveland -9.5 ..they will come back and win...good luck!Comment -
anyone on the jazz +5Comment -
how about this - when your "fade the media" plays come up, cant you put a little * next to those plays for us?
understand my point dan - you claim to make a "ton of money" off of them, and we all post to share info to beat the books.
if you dont wanna disclose your actual formula for coming up with the plays, at least share them with us.
i only said you were full of shit b/c you wouldnt disclose - thats a head scratcher in a thread where we help each other with information to win green.
see my point?Comment -
Choices are few and just became thinner with a Denver game involved. My play for tomorrow:
line: mb@phi 196
pick: 196 under
- The Bucks are coming off a hard fought b2b game.
- The Sixers just lost an offensive threat to injury.
- The under for the Bucks is hot at 8-4.
- The Bucks have the 3rd worst fg % in the league.
- The Sixers are the 2nd worst 3-point shooting team in the league.
- Head to head, the under is 4-1 in games played in Philly.
Expect more clanks than swishes tomorrow guys and gals.
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[quote=Dexter;1704028]fri 4/3-
the jazz will be on their 4th game in 5 nights coming off a btb game vs the rival nuggets. the wolves are rested and solid as dogs of 12-15 pts (5-1 ats) this one is just for you dan!
I'm not taking sides Dan or Dex..... but that just literally made me laugh out loud... 4th game in 5 nights thats good!
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woot good call on philly, saved my ass for huge teaser tooComment -
Philly pulls through, now I'm only waiting for the jazz to complete the sweep..
And even though I wasnt able to bet on them, I'm rooting for those who took Wizards ML. Now that's real men betting hard.Comment -
dammit pho, that 2nd quarter killed us! the rest of that game was the absolute perfect pace for an easy under.
oh well, i had penn state +4 and wizards +10.5 is looking to be money in the bank, although i won't celebrate on that until the final horn goes off.
utah awaits. i can't wait for that game, it's going to be awesome.Comment -
dex im 44.. im a stockbroker for a major firm in dallas.. i know numbers.. been gambling since i was 17.. over the years i've seen that all the stats that are out there for eveyone long term arent a winner.. and things like the 4 games in 5 nights have been out there for decades and are well known about.. the way i've learned to win is something you already stated you dont respect.. you dont view it my way.. you think the way i look at it is ridiculous.. you've already made that clear... handicapp the games the way you want to and i'll do mine... i tried to help you cause i admired that you tried hard.. not cause you needed help.. good luck and i hope you win lots of money.. because of the way i feel you (in my opinion) unjustly jumped on me out of the blue and told me i was full of it you've lost me and im sure you will lose alot of sleep over that.lolComment -
The Wizards are taking it to the Cavs.
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Cleveland clearly doesn't want to play tonight.Comment -
What is wrong with them?! They will wake up..I have faith...Comment -
0-2 so far in pucks with Calgary still pending. Not good.Comment -
wow, I really thought cavs would should Win and Cover, didn't bet it but a guy I know ask me, becasue he figured I would be betting that because I also bet DD Dogs, but with more public on Washington, and the line go up, and up, I said I personally think tonight they get it done, man Now I Feel Bad, I think he didn;t take Wash. because of me ohh boy, but in many cases I saved him... Anyway, dan I like that whole stockbroker thing, I think I bet the buffit way, lol I Like To Capp da market, is that what your refering to, about your capping style, and dan, dex seems like a good man... guys that jazz game should go Under 208.5 Right?
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"BK To da Fullest"Comment -
Mike Brown needs to put Lebron back in the game.
That's what I originally thought but the lines makers keep setting the total high and the games keep going UNDER the posted total. The last meeting had both teams combine for 188 points and yet, the total is exactly the same. I want to say UNDER but if the lines makers keep setting it high, there is a reason for it, right?Comment -
you've been hot showtime.. everyone has a bad day.. i think cal. will come thru for usComment -
He does...this game is still well within their reach...Comment -
Just getting back in from walking with the Missus. Let's go Sixers! Way to get the money!Comment -
im 33 and had my series 7 as well, so i know numbers just like you.
your comment about "all the stats" out there is such a broad statement. there is not a list of 20 stats that the public always uses. good handicappers look at different angles and apply them in the proper situation. you're kinda saying that to fade the trends that you're referring to is the actual way to win money. its not that easy either. its all about picking and choosing the right spots, and as always, its about maximizing your profits on the larger bets. nothing to do with straight up %'s in this game.
my style of handicapping is kinda clear - i like taking advantage of teams that may be tired due to travel, emotional recent wins etc. also revenge angles are one of my fav. i also love to look at recent historical mathchup trends. what ive found has worked really well the past few seasons is betting good teams off losses, and betting against bad teams off upset wins. we all made a lot of money on the cavs and magic in spots like that.
your wrong - i dont disrespect your mindset of fading public heavy plays. not at all. what i disrespect is you making mention of fading media sources (like espn) as a way to make money. and i only now disrespected that comment b/c you would not document the plays or information for us. you made a selfish comment.
no hard feelings man - hope you understand where i came from.Comment -
Here come the cavs!Comment -
cavs and wizard needs to slow downComment -
Of course I took them in the 2nd half. I was out and about when I got the call that they were at the half and down as I thought they would be. But overall a nice way to start the night before my Jazz beat the piss out of the F*ckers. We're about to go to Cold Stone and get some junk. I'll be back in time for the Jazz music!Comment -
Lets go cavs!Comment -
mix my stockbrokering style is very complex and would take too much time to discuss.. w/ dex i was just refering to his handicapping style is different than mine.. w/out putting words in his mouth or style he's just generally more of a numbers guy and im unorthodox.. public betting percentage is a number i pay attention to though but its just a small piece of the puzzle as is just some very general line movement watching which im actually trying to completely get away fromComment -
dex it is also too broad for you to say that im fading espn or other media sources.. its is only in certain specific situations and even then its only 1 piece of the puzzle.. im talking sometimes broadly because i dont want to right an essay and im tired of this discussion... good luck w/ your style.. i hope you win.. peaceComment -
to let the cat out of the bag a bit for what it pertains to tonight i have not gotten any information from my source on the inside that is invovled in the media on tonights jazz-nuggets game so i am playing the jazz small.. it is not a strong pick.. good luck to all... the inside info from this same source that i did mention in this thread earlier today is winning.. it was to take serena over venus williamsComment -
ck its a broken record (which is a good thing) but thanks for directing my attention towards philly.. i had thought about it but you gave me the confidence i needed to pull the triggerComment -
i just got the jazz -5 even.. i hope cause everyone is taking denver and not cause they are giving them away for free cause they are gonna get hammeredComment
