Leans for Tuesday 4/1/09

TripleHHH · 03-30-09, 11:10 PM

cocknocker I got punked . Golden State total was 109 (1H) when we spoke ..... but went to 110 before I could get it in . Oh well at least it pushed. GL Tuesday

johnnymapalo · 03-30-09, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Okay so i got the day wrong and put down the 1st but you guys all get the idea! For today's action I like the Denver Nuggets to cream the Knicks who more than held their own against the Jazz last night. Teams generally have a hard time keeping consistent energy in high altitude and with eh knicks playing two straight games at altitude against a well rested Nuggets squad is a recipe for disaster. (I am going light on all of these wagers as i don't really see a game that I can hammer out. Dallas may end up being a candidate though. Anyway....)

Nuggets-11.5

Dallas continues their road trip after being embarrassed on national television by the Cavs. the T-Wolves for their part upset the Nets in their last game and may get caught smelling themselves. Dallas is in desperation mode and I see them having no mercy on an overacheiving T-Wolves squad. I expect a double digit win for the Mavs in this one as they need to keep pace in the playoff race.

Mavs-5.5 (Projected)

The Hornets are a great defensive team and they are known for shutting down weak teams that have poor shot selection. Sacramento fits this criteria and the Hornets will slow the pace a bit on them and make them work for the full shot clock. On offense the Kings lack of a true low post scorer will owrk to their disadvantage and if those jumpers aren't falling they may be in for a full fledge blowout at the hands of the Hornets.

Hornets/Kings under 201

I don't know man. I see the Knicks hanging cause Denver is a chump. Mavs, please, at home money on the road I will pass.. Hornets and Kings I was thinking on playing the under too. Hornets will likely slow the pace of the game down and the Kings will be shooting a bunch of wild 3's as usual. I see a 105-93 type of score. Hornets win..

King_Bookie · 03-30-09, 11:28 PM

den -12
cle -10
por -7

SportsTerminator · 03-31-09, 12:13 AM

Is that an early April Fool's joke, today's the 31st l0l.

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 12:17 AM

So what, Terminator! It was an honest mistake. I am more than ready to collect my rents!

pho3nix32 · 03-31-09, 12:28 AM

heavy plays or fun bets, CK?

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 12:37 AM

Fun bets, Pho3nix. The more I think about it, I like the Nuggets wager the best instead of Dallas due to Dallas ineptitude on the road. If the Denver line goes up I may throw some more on them and turn it from fun to HEAVY. I really like their chances of blowing the Knicks the f*ck out!

shoebox · 03-31-09, 12:41 AM

pho3nix hates the denver f#ckers

pho3nix32 · 03-31-09, 12:43 AM

yes shoe. when i bet on them i lose, when i bet against them i lose. denver f#ck#rs!

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 12:47 AM

Denver F*ckers are alright. You just have to know when to take them. This is a good spot to take them...

texhooper · 03-31-09, 12:48 AM

tuesday looks like chalk day, which are always scary days. but i'm liking

denver - explained up there

portland - i think dex has laid out the reasons for this, but it is a good play for pretty much the same reason the denver play is

san antonio - minutes have been mixed and okc awaits for the spurs coming off the n.o. loss...thunder will continue their ats skid as s.a. gets back on track. they tend to kill subpar teams at home (see clippers not too long ago)

philadelphia - tough loss in detroit on sunday, will bring it to the fresh-off-a-lakers-victory hawks, who still suck on the road.

kinda liking the mavs as an unlikely road favorite. haven't dropped three in a row ats since early january, and given the situation with t-wuffs...a wise man once told me, "the XXXXXXXX aren't a team to build off of success," the t-wuffs were not the team in question, but they might as well have been.

ALL ARE FAVORITES, and seems as though all are coming off a loss. my only lean to a dog is sacramento, but can i make myself take them twice in a row? i don't know, but i've done worse in this thing of ours.

cleveland first quarter looks fantastic as well, and will be played definitely.

may just have to be chalk day, i will suck it up and play the faves. good luck everyone.

corona · 03-31-09, 12:50 AM

denver's 12-4 covering against sub .500 teams at home. winning by an average of 14ppg.

SportsTerminator · 03-31-09, 12:51 AM

I'm just messing with you CK but I really like the Dallas -5.5 over the TIMBERWOLVES. And the Knicks coming off of a high scoring back to back -11. 5 looks right. I like I like, I might go with Dallas - 5.5 and do a parlay with Spurs, Cleveland, and Indiana.

pho3nix32 · 03-31-09, 12:53 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Denver F*ckers are lright. You just have to know when to take them. This is a good spot to take them...

trends do point to denver here. head to head denver is 7-3 ats vs. the knicks. im gonna think about it. thanks for input

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 12:54 AM

Oh it's cool Terminator. But not for my renters though!

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 12:54 AM

Pho3nix, do it man...

cs11787 · 03-31-09, 12:55 AM

CK I like Den 1H and Cle 1Q. What you think? Any chance NY might get a backdoor cover like GS did?

pho3nix32 · 03-31-09, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Pho3nix, do it man...

lol i just might. your april 1 thread is correct. it will be april 1 here by tomorrow

new month, new winning attitude!

texhooper · 03-31-09, 12:58 AM

Originally posted by cs11787

CK I like Den 1H and Cle 1Q. What you think? Any chance NY might get a backdoor cover like GS did?

going from playing a game down to the wire, nearly making up a 21 point deficit in utah, to playing in denver the next night? i can answer that, cs...no. no chance, barring divine intervention.

cs11787 · 03-31-09, 01:05 AM

Haha. I hear ya tex.

texhooper · 03-31-09, 01:06 AM

well, fellas, calipari has gone off to kentucky. i thought tonight was a good night, but now uncertainty and doubt have entered my life again. beyond everything, GO TIGERS!!!!! we'll get a good coach, heard we were talking to mike anderson, which is a good start.

but anyway, this is an nba thread...

NBA Hero · 03-31-09, 01:06 AM

atl -3 kinda jump on me. atl are fresh from a good win at home goes on the road feeling they can beat anybody.
atl sucks when they dont have that mindset.

whats the opinion of the mafia on this game.
i see that texhooper see it going the other way, but if dalembert doesnt play, smith and horford will own the paint vs T. young.

cs11787 · 03-31-09, 01:10 AM

Man Den already to 12.5 at Greek. Bought it to 11.5.

corona · 03-31-09, 01:10 AM

Originally posted by NBA Hero

atl -3 kinda jump on me. atl are fresh from a good win at home goes on the road feeling they can beat anybody.
atl sucks when they dont have that mindset.

whats the opinion of the mafia on this game.
i see that texhooper see it going the other way, but if dalembert doesnt play, gasol will own the paint

gasol doesn't play for the hawks.
lakers hex.
hawks are garbage on the road, particularly against decent teams.

The_Kid · 03-31-09, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by texhooper

well, fellas, calipari has gone off to kentucky. i thought tonight was a good night, but now uncertainty and doubt have entered my life again. beyond everything, GO TIGERS!!!!! we'll get a good coach, heard we were talking to mike anderson, which is a good start.

Why did he leave? Wasn't Memphis getting a couple of the top recruits after this year?

Originally posted by NBA Hero

whats the opinion of the mafia on this game.
i see that texhooper see it going the other way, but if dalembert doesnt play, gasol will own the paint

I'm pretty sure you're talking about Al Horford. Gasol is a Laker.

texhooper · 03-31-09, 01:15 AM

hawks are not -3, that would be the sixers. the linesmakers know just as uch as we do about the hawks on the road, which makes me a little skeptical, but i lean sixers to get the job done.

NBA Hero · 03-31-09, 01:18 AM

still lack some snooze. made some typing errors.

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 01:19 AM

He left because of prestige and money. Kentucky is a dream job. If he can get Kentucky back on the map, it would solidify his legend.

shoebox · 03-31-09, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by NBA Hero

atl -3 kinda jump on me. atl are fresh from a good win at home goes on the road feeling they can beat anybody.
atl sucks when they dont have that mindset.

whats the opinion of the mafia on this game.
i see that texhooper see it going the other way, but if dalembert doesnt play, smith and horford will own the paint vs T. young.

I like the Under better here hero, have to run some more numbers though

gl brother

texhooper · 03-31-09, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by The_Kid

Why did he leave? Wasn't Memphis getting a couple of the top recruits after this year?

no, calipari was. no letters of intent are signed until april, which means anything the players have put down on paper are pretty much worthless, and more commitments to the coach than anything else.

he'll be taking cousins, henry, and, now more than ever, wall with him. if meeks stays, they will have the best team in the sec hands down. bruce pearl will really have a tough time competing with him now.

kid, he's going to be the highest paid basketball coach in the country at kentucky. ultimately, that would be the answer to your "why?" question. making over 5 mill a year.

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 01:22 AM

He did it for the money!

texhooper · 03-31-09, 01:26 AM

**** yeah he did, and any one of us would do the same, regardless of what we told our city/fanbase!! these "talks" happened almost every offseason, and it was only a matter of time.

pho3nix32 · 03-31-09, 01:28 AM

line: dp~~+10~~@cc 177.5
pick: ~~cc-10~~, 177.5 under

The Cavs are 11-4 ATS playing against the Pistons. As far as I know, Detroit has problems stopping players who attack the rim. Lebron will have a field day tomorrow. Another reason for the Cleveland pick is that "The Answer" is playing again. Iverson will mess up team chemistry again. He is our "answer" to a Cleveland cover.

As for the under play, tomorrow's match-up will feature the best defensive team vs. the 3rd worst offensive team. Throw-in the number that the under is 14-2 in their last 16 meetings.

~~Cleveland routs Detroit~~ in a low scoring game.

cocknocker · 03-31-09, 01:42 AM

Detroit will get the cover in that one, Pho3nix. They are getting healthy for the stretch run. Rasheed is upgraded to probable for tomorrow. He has been practicing but not playing in games. For once in months Detroit will be at full strength. I think that they have had enough of the losing, and i think that down the stretch they will be a very formidable foe for any team that faces them because of their ability to play good defense when they have their backs against the wall. Of all the teams in the NBA they are one of the only ones that can actually get BETTER for the tail end of the season without having any player transactions. I am a die hard Pistons fan, and I know the pulse of this team. They can cause a lot of havoc in these last few weeks, and even in the playoffs should they get there. The Pistons are also avenging a 21 point loss to the Cavs in February. Interestingly enough, each of the games these two teams have played this year have come when Detroit was NOT at full strength. That is why I took a pass on this one. However, the under looks like an excellent call.

If I wake up in the morning and see that the public is lining up and playing Cleveland for free chicken dinners and are 80% or more on the Cavs, I may make a play for Detroit if there is ANY reverse line movement