Leans for Friday 3/13/09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #106
    Originally posted by Dexter
    i always thought you hedged with underdogs only - why play a 7/1 moneyline favorite? even at just 10% of your wager, that would cut into your winnings on the dog you capped.
    I don't have a choice. I have to make a certain amount of plays in order to fulfill the requirement for receiving some bonus money from Betus. Might as well use it on something. I never fade on the same book, Dex. You should already know that. So one that particular book it reads as a successful small free money play on a large fav moneyline and nothing else. I hedge everything in some fashion or another. On the other book, it looks like a successful underdog win.
    Comment
    • repski
      SBR MVP
      • 02-01-09
      • 1929

      #107
      ORL/Wizards over 198

      The Wizards rank last in defensive field goal percentage and are giving up an average of 106.7 points in their last four games.
      The Magic are averaging 109.5 points in their last seven games if you discount their matchups against Detroit and Boston.
      The over has cashed in eight of Washington's last 11 home games.

      The Wizards are going nowhere. But they still have firepower with Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler.
      Comment
      • suckatmyjob
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-12-09
        • 785

        #108
        wisconsin -3 for 2h
        Comment
        • solobass
          SBR MVP
          • 01-15-09
          • 1277

          #109
          lines are up for a few games tomorrow. very early lean spurs +2.5 in houston. i will call this the "we just got exposed by the lakers as pretenders loser bracket finals"
          Comment
          • Killer Chihuahua
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-16-08
            • 324

            #110
            Originally posted by repski
            Miss. St ML +120 (booked)

            Miss.State has balanced scoring and I love Miss. State's defense and they are extremely well coached. I'm not taking anything away from SC but I'm just saying that Miss. State's depth and more scoring options will benefit them here. I think SC relies way too much on Devan Downey like Miami did with McClinton and look where that got them. Miss State had 5 guys score 8 points or more in thier last contest.
            INDIAN COWBOY

            4 Unit Play. Take Mississippi State +2 over South Carolina

            Yesterday was on me. I had a bad day yesterday and I'm sure it won't be my last. But, after a winning January CBB and February CBB (up 50 units in that span), I am confident we will win in March as well. Let's roll today in my biggest college card of the year to date. I feel strong about these five selections and let's give it a ride. I believe Miss. State matches up extremely well against South Carolina. This is why this team defeated SC by 5 at home earlier this year. At this point in the year, it's all about teams that are playing well and Miss. State is playing very strong basketball. After all, this team romped Georgia by 19 on neutral footing, defeated rival Ole Miss on the road by a bucket and took care of Florida at home by 9 to close out the year. SC who started off the year strong stumbled a bit by losing to Vandy by 13 on the road, losing to Tennessee in a must win game for the share of the SEC Title by 14 at home, who lost to Miss. State by 5 on the road, Flordia, Tennessee and LSU all on the highway as well. SC is just not a strong team on the road and I just feel that they rely too much on their star player. Miss.State on the other hand can have balanced scoring and once again, I love Miss. State's defense and they are extremely well coached. I'm not taking anything away from SC but I'm just saying that Miss. State's depth and more scoring options will benefit them here. I think SC relies way too much on Devan Downey like Miami did with McClinton and look where that got them. Miss State had 5 guys score 8 points or more in thier last contest and is a team that shot 14 for 18 in free throws as well. I think the first round game against UGA will help get this team in sync to defeat a SC team that is not coming in playing its best basketball IMO and of course, a SC team that relies heavily on Downey.

            Just cut and paste the whole article for us next time
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #111
              Originally posted by cocknocker
              I don't have a choice. I have to make a certain amount of plays in order to fulfill the requirement for receiving some bonus money from Betus. Might as well use it on something. I never fade on the same book, Dex. You should already know that. So one that particular book it reads as a successful small free money play on a large fav moneyline and nothing else. I hedge everything in some fashion or another. On the other book, it looks like a successful underdog win.
              ahh - the leftover crumbs
              Comment
              • solobass
                SBR MVP
                • 01-15-09
                • 1277

                #112
                also RED FREAKING ALERT

                Delaware is considering allowing sports gambling to help with their economic situation!

                Deleware=they are more than a turnpike now.....
                Comment
                • jaymac82980
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-08-09
                  • 3416

                  #113
                  Solo, what is this "Del-a-ware?" you speak of? I've never heard of such a place.

                  haha...Waynes World, "Hey, we're in Delaware..."
                  Comment
                  • SoonerGreg
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-16-08
                    • 825

                    #114
                    Booked:
                    2 Team 4Pt Teaser
                    Houston +18
                    Texas +0.5

                    NCAA Leans:
                    Texas -3.5
                    Washington Pick
                    Mizzou -4
                    Michigan +2

                    NBA Leans:
                    Celtics -12.5
                    Warriors+1
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #115
                      hou +14
                      Comment
                      • jaymac82980
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 3416

                        #116
                        sooner, and anyone else...I'm a huge celts fan, but given the team lately, I'd be worried about them covering so many points with a limping team. I know they are due for a win, but 12.5 is really 14, I could see them winning, but not covering. The 1st half might be better to take, but even if they are up, given the injuries it will be hard to hold onto a large lead. even against a horrible team. Marbury will be looking to prove himself, which could hurt the game also.
                        Comment
                        • solobass
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-15-09
                          • 1277

                          #117
                          haha that is funny jaymac!



                          there is an article, but it looks like they would only allow parlays. leave it to politicians!

                          also, i just booked holy cross +5
                          Comment
                          • jaymac82980
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-08-09
                            • 3416

                            #118
                            dex, really? Houston??? eh. I dont like that one at all.
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #119
                              Originally posted by jaymac82980
                              dex, really? Houston??? eh. I dont like that one at all.
                              fading the college plays i make is always a wise choice
                              Comment
                              • jaymac82980
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-09
                                • 3416

                                #120
                                I dont fade anyone...at least not publicly. heehee. Just kidding bro.
                                Comment
                                • suckatmyjob
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 785

                                  #121
                                  man give up on these college kids win some lose some ok going to concentrate on nba
                                  Comment
                                  • jaymac82980
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-08-09
                                    • 3416

                                    #122
                                    I think I'm gonna have to add Utah State to cover -7.5 vs new mex.
                                    Comment
                                    • jaymac82980
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-08-09
                                      • 3416

                                      #123
                                      anyone see Knicks/Min 1st quarter total at 46 points? looks like a nice over pick
                                      Comment
                                      • CP Thrizzle
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-25-09
                                        • 254

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                        sooner, and anyone else...I'm a huge celts fan, but given the team lately, I'd be worried about them covering so many points with a limping team. I know they are due for a win, but 12.5 is really 14, I could see them winning, but not covering. The 1st half might be better to take, but even if they are up, given the injuries it will be hard to hold onto a large lead. even against a horrible team. Marbury will be looking to prove himself, which could hurt the game also.
                                        WALTHAM, Mass. (AP)—Boston Celtics point guard Rajon Rondo says he will “definitely” start Friday night’s home game after missing two games with a sprained right ankle.

                                        Comment
                                        • suckatmyjob
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-12-09
                                          • 785

                                          #125
                                          Has anyone mention anything about Portland today? Seems like a big spread but Portland has been very strong at home and NJ just awful ATS
                                          Comment
                                          • esz04
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-13-08
                                            • 117

                                            #126
                                            Deleted
                                            Comment
                                            • cocknocker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 8001

                                              #127
                                              West Virginia is starting to get some consideration for a big play on my part. Syracuse may run out of gas in the second half. And there's 50/50 on the consensus and the line has stayed stiff as aboard at 6.5...
                                              Comment
                                              • cocknocker
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-06-08
                                                • 8001

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by suckatmyjob
                                                man give up on these college kids win some lose some ok going to concentrate on nba
                                                Which is why I only be crumbs on them until the right one comes along
                                                Comment
                                                • The_Kid
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-09-08
                                                  • 5049

                                                  #129
                                                  Hedo Turkoglu (foot) will likely be in uniform Friday against Washington after going through this morning's walkthrough with the team. Turkoglu said afterward his left foot (tendinitis in his left Achilles) was feeling better and coach Stan Van Gundy said he might play. "We’ll see," Turkoglu said. "It’s feeling OK, but we’ll see when I go out [before] the game."

                                                  Delonte West (back) is questionable for Friday's matchup with the Kings. X-rays on his back were negative, but it's still far from a certainty that West will be ready to go against Sacramento.

                                                  Zydrunas Ilgauskas suffered a broken nose in the second half against the Suns on Thursday, but is listed as probable for Friday. He didn't have to leave the game on Thursday night, and it appears he'll be ready to go against the Kings on Friday.

                                                  The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports that Peja Stojakovic (back spasms) won't play again on Friday.

                                                  Danny Granger (foot) went through a full practice on Thursday and is likely to return to action Friday against the Hawks.

                                                  David Lee had a thick brace wrapped around his right knee on Friday morning, the results of a sprain. Lee is expected to play Friday against the Timberwolves.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • suckatmyjob
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                    • 785

                                                    #130
                                                    yea ck didnt read your message till after the bet but yea during these tourneys lots of ups and downs blowing leads etc but really tonight only looking at baylor, w. va, and lville but not sure i wanna pull the trigger when there's so many other nba games
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CP Thrizzle
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-25-09
                                                      • 254

                                                      #131
                                                      Memphis outscoring Houston 25-2 in first 9 minutes of 2nd half
                                                      Comment
                                                      • wangichu
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-07-08
                                                        • 946

                                                        #132
                                                        jumpin' back in with a couple of plays

                                                        CHAR ML (that line is too low and revenge is on deck)
                                                        SAC +10.5 (they've been covering spreads of 6+ now that i blew all that money on them with smaller home dog spreads)
                                                        GS ML (dallas has struggled on the road of late and GS has played them well in the past. two jump shooting teams, edge goes to home squad imho... small spread indicates i should be right)

                                                        good luck guys

                                                        good to see you with me on 2 of those dex
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shoebox
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-26-08
                                                          • 5710

                                                          #133
                                                          Jay play in da house welcome back!!

                                                          I just fukked myself out of a huge deal
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cocknocker
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-06-08
                                                            • 8001

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by suckatmyjob
                                                            yea ck didnt read your message till after the bet but yea during these tourneys lots of ups and downs blowing leads etc but really tonight only looking at baylor, w. va, and lville but not sure i wanna pull the trigger when there's so many other nba games

                                                            Plays of the night

                                                            UAB-1

                                                            West Virginia-6.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SoonerGreg
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-16-08
                                                              • 825

                                                              #135
                                                              Official Plays:
                                                              NCAA
                                                              Michigan ML +115 (1.5 Units)
                                                              Texas ML -180 (4 Units)
                                                              Washington (2 Units)

                                                              NBA
                                                              Warriors +1 (1Unit)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shoebox
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-26-08
                                                                • 5710

                                                                #136
                                                                CK,

                                                                Are you playing WV heavy looks like the play of the day??
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SoonerGreg
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-16-08
                                                                  • 825

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by suckatmyjob
                                                                  yea ck didnt read your message till after the bet but yea during these tourneys lots of ups and downs blowing leads etc but really tonight only looking at baylor, w. va, and lville but not sure i wanna pull the trigger when there's so many other nba games
                                                                  Baylor is the wrong side in this one. Texas will roll in this one. Baylor got lucky and had the biggest win in the history of their program beating Kansas yesterday. They will have a major letdown here. If you don't want to lay 4 point then take the ML -200.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • suckatmyjob
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                                    • 785

                                                                    #138
                                                                    soonergreg thanks for the heads up i was just looking doubt i be playing anymore college too unpredictable for me i win first 2 and lose next 3 so i'm waiting for nba maybe a parlay or a teaser in NCAA and that's it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by suckatmyjob
                                                                      Has anyone mention anything about Portland today? Seems like a big spread but Portland has been very strong at home and NJ just awful ATS
                                                                      the nets are actually very good on the road ats at 19-12
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • suckatmyjob
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-12-09
                                                                        • 785

                                                                        #140
                                                                        hmmmm I looked at the SU and they are 14-19 instead of the ATS so 19-12 against Portland's 20-13 at home. I dont know it just seems like the NJ nets gets blown away by good teams when they are on the road I'll see how my early games goes but this looks like a Win by portland by double digits
                                                                        Comment
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