Leans for Tuesday 3/10/09 Hoops Upside Your head

[The_Kid]

Indiana 1st quarter

Too many turnovers...

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Good to see you here aswell bro the footys been great 2nite and I'm really looking forward to UEFA, have you seen the odds

Looking at the 1st QTR's today, Cleveland is the obvious choice.

Another one that looks to have an edge is;

Charlotte Bobcats vs San Antonio Spurs - Spurs 1st QTR ML OR -1

Spurs overall have won 61% of theirs, Bobcats 54% of theirs.

However, when we look at home and away 1st QTR

CHARLOTTE Last 10 Away 1st QTR : W 5 L 5 / 50%
CHARLOTTE Last 10 1st QTR @ HOME: W 9 L 1 / 90%

SPURS Last 10 1st QTR @ HOME: W 7 L 2 P 1
SPURS Last 10 1st QTR AWAY: W 5 L 4 P 1

Spurs home 1st QTR losses were to Cavaliers and Magic, two of the best 1st QTR teams in the NBA.

There is an edge on the Spurs at home, however, Bobcats are on a 6 win streak and could try to start strong.

A great find from this research has been Bobcats Home record, we should add them to the list with Portland as best undercover 1st QTR home teams.


[/i]

Just giving you some more stats for the 1Q.

Average 1Q scores this season-

Spurs -
HOME OFFENSE: 24.93
HOME DEFENSE: 22.20

Bobcats -
AWAY OFFENSE: 23.63
AWAY DEFENSE: 24.60

[SoonerGreg]

Indiana 1st quarter

No kiddin! Hopefully they stay close for the game.

[Karayilan9]

More crazy stats for another 1st QTR.

BUCKS 1ST QTR ML

Overall stats 1st QTR stats

Bucks - 46%
Knicks - 42%

No clear edge, break it down a level.

Bucks last 10 1st QTR @ Home - W 8 L 2 / 80%
Bucks last 10 1st QTR Away - 2 - 8 / 80%

They have the Portland syndrone, amazing at home, crap on the road. However, one worrying trend in their 1st QTR's they beat Rockets & Cavaliers the best NBA 1st QTR teams which deserves alot of respect. But then lost Chicago Bulls who are in the bottom third, this may have just been an off day but may be a sign of inconsistancy against weaker teams!

Knicks last 10 1st QTR Away - W 4 L 4 D 2
Knicks last 10 1st QTR Home - W 2 L 8

Knicks are bad full stop @ 1st QTR and are a team to fade when they are at home.

Bucks - 80%
Knicks - Around 40%

Bucks have 1st QTR edge and are also a good home team for the overall game while Knicks have poor away record, Bucks should start strong.

[The_Kid]

Troy Murphy is keeping the Pacers in this game. We just need the other players to wake up!

[Dexter]

john morrison betting scheme uncovered as a fraud by the legitimate sports insights web site.. a must read for you guys following this high risk low reward system

link?

[Dexter]

well gang, i've decided after reading that shit between my bud DEX and schaap that i'm not so sure that sbr is the place for me any longer. i'm just so tired of all the bullshit bickering and all the haters that want to disrupt the flow of what a decent forum is intended to be. this was a great place for sharing info when i first came back in december and in a short times it's turned into a bunch of ego-driven candy ass kids. i think i'll pass and just stay to myself. i may pop in from time to time to see if maybe things have gotten back to what it once was. it was nice interacting with most of you while it lasted. good luck everyone. peace and blessed be. CK and DEX, continued best of luck my friends. and schaap as far as you...oh nevermind.

relax yourself nonsense....get your old ass back here!

[The_Kid]

Jarrett Jack is single-handedly screwing this game up.

[cocknocker]

15 1st half turnovers is not gonna cut it. Other than that, they are playing with the Jazzers.

[Tennispro]

Damn i am not on Indiana but i am watching the game and damn they need some Charlize luck come on Pacers.

[The_Kid]

15 1st half turnovers is not gonna cut it. Other than that, they are playing with the Jazzers.

It is close because Troy Murphy drilled 7 long balls in the 1H. If the Pacers stop being careless and if Jack decides to stop giving the ball away every time he has it, then Pacers could win this outright.

[repski]

link?

http://www.sportsinsights.com/sportsbettingarticles/******************.aspx

dex,
go to sports insights..its on the front page..they won't let me post the link here...

[peterpan19]

anyone taking the pacers at pk for the 2nd half ?

[The_Kid]

anyone taking the pacers at pk for the 2nd half ?

I'm letting my wager for the game ride. I'm watching the game online and Murphy is keeping them in the game. If Jack decides to wake up and play smart, then the Pacers can win outright. Actually, every single Pacer needs to step it up other than Murphy. They need to stop giving the Jazz the ball every other posession. Hopefully, Indiana can get the home crowd behind them too. BOL, peter.

[Karayilan9]

Karayilan
BUCKS 1ST QTR ML

Overall stats 1st QTR stats

Bucks - 46%
Knicks - 42%

No clear edge, break it down a level.

Bucks last 10 1st QTR @ Home - W 8 L 2 / 80%
Bucks last 10 1st QTR Away - 2 - 8 / 80%

They have the Portland syndrone, amazing at home, crap on the road. However, one worrying trend in their 1st QTR's they beat Rockets & Cavaliers the best NBA 1st QTR teams which deserves alot of respect. But then lost Chicago Bulls who are in the bottom third, this may have just been an off day but may be a sign of inconsistancy against weaker teams!

Knicks last 10 1st QTR Away - W 4 L 4 D 2
Knicks last 10 1st QTR Home - W 2 L 8

Knicks are bad full stop @ 1st QTR and are a team to fade when they are at home.

Bucks - 80%
Knicks - Around 40%

Bucks have 1st QTR edge and are also a good home team for the overall game while Knicks have poor away record, Bucks should start strong.

Damn that was painfull to watch, what a sloppy game so happy I don't have to watch a whole match of that crap.

Bucks carry on with their 80% 1st QTR Win ration @ Home - WIN

[peterpan19]

ind game will come down to the last basket ....

anyway i am off to watch some baseball now ....

[Dexter]

having bumped the pacers down to 1x, i wont even be that upset if i lose this one. ive made so many wrong decisions cause of injuries, that i'll be content with whatever happens.

the suns over is where the night shifts for me

[whatisit]

Hey karayilan..what site do you use for the quarter stats based on home/away? Or did you compute them yourself?

[TheLemonDropKid]

well gang, i've decided after reading that shit between my bud DEX and schaap that i'm not so sure that sbr is the place for me any longer. i'm just so tired of all the bullshit bickering and all the haters that want to disrupt the flow of what a decent forum is intended to be. this was a great place for sharing info when i first came back in december and in a short times it's turned into a bunch of ego-driven candy ass kids. i think i'll pass and just stay to myself. i may pop in from time to time to see if maybe things have gotten back to what it once was. it was nice interacting with most of you while it lasted. good luck everyone. peace and blessed be. CK and DEX, continued best of luck my friends. and schaap as far as you...oh nevermind.

Hey you old burnt mofo........don't let those candy-asses run you out of here!!!! There's only like 7 people that I actually come on this thread to see.....AND YOU'RE ONE OF THEM YOU OLD GOAT!

So eat some lettuce (I think Solo says that) it will make your trip a lot greener......(well, I don't think it really goes that way, but whatever......he's burnt too.....lol).

[Dexter]

what do i preach fellas!!!! per sportsinsights....

Selectivity

Some of the members on SportsInsights.com’s forums have the right idea: on any given day, they limit themselves to the best 3-4 plays. This way, even if you THINK you have six great plays in a day, the “3-4 play limit” will limit your risk – and reduce your exposure to the “take” of the sportsbook.

Being SELECTIVE will help your bankroll avoid the constant erosion from the sportsbook’s vig.

[cocknocker]

How Indiana is hanging in this game with almost 20 turnovers is beyond me.

[cocknocker]

22 turnovers and counting...

[Dexter]

well, i read the article on the morrison system. seems to me like sportsinsights is kinda trying to discredit JM, while advertising their data. i'll be the judge of the jm baseball and basketball system. i started midway through the season, and im up a decent amount. one more full series loss will wipe out my winnings though - BUT i have only been buying 2 pts and twice that has hurt me recently. if i would have bought 3 pts like the system calls for, i would be up 25 units (based on 1 unit bets) instead im up 14 units.

[repski]

ND/Rutgers under +135

-The under is 11 of the last 12 ATS for Rutgers overall, The under is 6-0 for Rutgers after a non-cover, -The under is 4 of the last 4 ATS for Notre Dame overall, 4-0 for Notre Dame after a SU win and 4-1 for Notre Dame after a spread-cover.
-The last two series meetings stayed under the total.

Trends in Rutgers favor:
-Scarlet Knights are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
-Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Notre Dame the last two years have been absolutely the worst team in college basketball against the spread when leaving South Bend, IN. Notre Dame will win but just as they have done all year they can't cover large spreads due to the poor defense they play.

[Karayilan9]

Whatisit
Hey karayilan..what site do you use for the quarter stats based on home/away? Or did you compute them yourself?

I do it myself, trying to find a niche market

[TheLemonDropKid]

what do i preach fellas!!!! per sportsinsights....

Selectivity

Some of the members on SportsInsights.com’s forums have the right idea: on any given day, they limit themselves to the best 3-4 plays. This way, even if you THINK you have six great plays in a day, the “3-4 play limit” will limit your risk – and reduce your exposure to the “take” of the sportsbook.

Being SELECTIVE will help your bankroll avoid the constant erosion from the sportsbook’s vig.

Hey Dex......I think you are right on point with this. Anybody trying to come out on the positive side of wagering should never play more than 4 plays per day. (I'm guilty of not abiding)

Also....anybody trying to come out on the positive side of wagering should never wager on weekend action. (I'm guilty of not abiding)

Also....anybody trying to come out on the positive side of wagering should set themselves a "weekly loss limit" equal to -3 units and a "weekly win limit" equal to +5 units. Trust me you will hit one or the other before the weekend which takes care of the 2nd rule. (I'm guilty of not abiding)

[Jimbo42]

Booked:
Knicks pk 3rd qtr
Knicks - 1/2 4th qtr
Knicks - 1/2 2nd half

[Odraca]

wow goddammit i knew i should have just listened to my initial thoughts, jazz are way better with boozer back

im gonna lose every goddamn bet i made today, UGH

[TheLemonDropKid]

well, i read the article on the morrison system. seems to me like sportsinsights is kinda trying to discredit JM, while advertising their data. i'll be the judge of the jm baseball and basketball system. i started midway through the season, and im up a decent amount. one more full series loss will wipe out my winnings though - BUT i have only been buying 2 pts and twice that has hurt me recently. if i would have bought 3 pts like the system calls for, i would be up 25 units (based on 1 unit bets) instead im up 14 units.

Yeah.....a lot of the negative hype I read on that seemed to be from people who either "couldn't or didn't" follow the system verbatem.

[repski]

Utah was the better team when it counted....

[Dexter]

lemon - i would def agree that the weekdays seem to be better then the weekends this year.

[cocknocker]

Piss on Indiana...

[actionaddict86]

cant faded the jazz right now...they find a way to win....dangerous team now.. win streak 12

[actionaddict86]

bump 1-0 today... 5 left n a ****ing exam to study for...

[Odraca]

god i hope cleveland st. can not suck balls and bring me back to where i can see the top of the hole im in