Leans for Friday 3/6/09

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  • repski
    SBR MVP
    • 02-01-09
    • 1929

    #71
    I kind of like Indiana St. again today against UNI....they played twice this year with UNI prevailing but by only 6 points combined..today they are laying 7...and ISU is playing much better ball winners of 8 of their last 9....
    Comment
    • ram1502
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-26-08
      • 822

      #72
      Originally posted by cocknocker
      ram1502,

      Don't worry.It'll get done by the Magic. The lack of line movement reminds me of what the linemakers do with the Cavs games. They always tinker with their lines or leave them alone even when 90% are on them and so on. Then the Cavs come out and blow away the competition. The Cavs tonight however is the wrong call. Boston will get it done..the Boston moneyline is by far the best soultion for that game.
      I was thinking the same thing. The Magic own the Nets, especially in Orlando. I might make a play on the Magic myself. Thanks for your insight!

      And thanks to you too Dex. I like that site. So the pie chart shows the amount of money that has been bet for that particular team? For instance, around 75% of the money that has been bet on the Magic game has been put down on Orlando? Is that how it works? Thanks in advance.
      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #73
        yes ram, thats the way i interpret it - has nothing to do with total dollars wagered on each side. for that, i read the line movements.
        Comment
        • repski
          SBR MVP
          • 02-01-09
          • 1929

          #74
          NBA books are making it very hard to take the fav's...very high lines IMHO..tough to find value
          Comment
          • repski
            SBR MVP
            • 02-01-09
            • 1929

            #75
            The Lakeshow will probably get bored again tonight and allow a back door cover
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #76
              booked-

              n. iowa -7

              Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #77
                Originally posted by repski
                NBA books are making it very hard to take the fav's...very high lines IMHO..tough to find value
                agreed - they are trying to scare us off of logical plays..not me.
                Comment
                • cocknocker
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-06-08
                  • 8001

                  #78
                  Alright, Dex. I updated my big board to include all of my plays.
                  Comment
                  • repski
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-01-09
                    • 1929

                    #79
                    Chicago Bulls -6.5

                    -The Bulls have won their last 4 homes games by an average of 15 ppg against a lot better team than the Bucks (Denver, Houston, Orlando and Golden State).
                    -The Bulls beat the Bucks in their last meeting back on Feb.18 by 9 points in Milwaukee and yet the Bulls have struggled on the road.
                    -The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and the favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these two teams.
                    -The Bulls have owned the Bucks in Chicago with a 17-8 ATS record and 19-6 SU record against them in their last 25 home games.
                    -The Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a Central division opponent.
                    Comment
                    • The_Kid
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-09-08
                      • 5049

                      #80
                      Originally posted by peterpan19
                      the total for the cle/bos game is exactly were i thought it would be, but I dont know about that game anymore, I mean the under is 5-2 in games in Bos, and it will probably be a close and hard fought game, but than i am a little scared about the Bos D, they allowed 111, 105 and 99 pts against teams like Nj, Det and Ind, I jsut dont know yet, I will have to take a deeper look into that game to make a decision...
                      I lean OVER. It's a totally different ballgame without Garnett on the defensive end.
                      Comment
                      • peterpan19
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-02-08
                        • 3377

                        #81
                        Originally posted by The_Kid
                        I lean OVER. It's a totally different ballgame without Garnett on the defensive end.
                        well thats why I dropped it, I think it should be a hard fought game, but with garnett out ... I dont know, even though the over seems good too ... I think I have better plays with
                        Orl -8 (big)
                        Char -2
                        Tor +1
                        7 pt teaser (Det -2, orl -2, Utah -2)
                        thats enough action for me early on, maybe I make a play on utah but we will see ...

                        GL everyone today
                        Comment
                        • ram1502
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-26-08
                          • 822

                          #82
                          The Bobcats have won 4 in a row and are 4-1 SU & ATS in their last 5. They have won 9 of their last 12 overall at home. As a favorite this season, they are 12-5 SU. Raja Bell's status for tonight's game, with pain in his shooting bicep, is still uncertain but Gerald Wallace has been upgraded to probable after he took a few shots in his recently fractured rib. When playing on 2 days rest this season, the Bobcats are 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS. I look for the Bobcats to continue their winning ways at home against a Hawks team they have absolutely owned in years past (7-1 SU in the series coming into this season but not so much this year). With a win tonight, the Bobcats can equal the team's longest winning streak in franchise history and inch even closer to the 8th place Bucks who have a tough game tonight in Chicago.

                          -----> Bobcats ML -135

                          The Jazz are an impressive 20-10 ATS when playing on only 1 day of rest and average 104 ppg in those, while the Nuggets are a dismal 7-9 ATS when playing with no rest and only average scoring 95 points in those games. In recent form the Nugs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8, while the Jazz are red hot as we all know...7-2 ATS in their last 9 and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday night home games. This is an effect of the great crowds they have there on Friday nights. In this series, the favorite is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 and the Nugs are 4-9 ATS in their last 9 overall against the Jazz. Everything points to the Jazz in this one, including the line movement, which is non-existent. 60% of the money is on the Nuggets and the line is rock solid at -9. I love betting on the Jazz at home. I'm laying the chalk.

                          -----> Jazz -9
                          Comment
                          • BrandonLaz
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-18-08
                            • 855

                            #83
                            Final Card From Strongest to Least Strongest Play. There is just one write-up as it is the play I feel the best about

                            Charlotte Bobcats -2

                            The Bobcats are on a roll right now with 4 straight wins and in all 4 of those wins they also covered the spread. When playing an opponent in their division the Bobcats are at their best going 10-2 ATS, and after allowing 85 points or less they are a great 7-1 ATS. I look for a big letdown game here for the Hawks after their poor performance in New York. Off a upset loss as a favorite the Hawks are only 3-6 ATS. Now they are having to play on the road in Charlotte for their 3rd road game in a row against a Bobcats squad that has gotten better throughout the year. Another thing we have to look at in this game is how Charlotte has controlled the series meetings against the Hawks when playing at home. Games played at Charlotte over the last 3 seasons have resulted in a 4-1 record both SU and ATS for the Bobcats. If you go back past that even to all the games played in Charlotte since 1996 you will see that the Bobcats hold a 7-2 series lead both SU & ATS. Take the Bobcats here as this game will not be near as close as people think with the Bobcats rolling to an easy win.

                            Nets vs Magic u202
                            Bucks +6.5
                            Rockets -5.5
                            Jazz -9
                            Comment
                            • repski
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-01-09
                              • 1929

                              #84
                              Timberwolves +15
                              checkout these stats
                              -The LA LAKERS are already 2-11 ATS this season since December as big favorites of -12 or more points in ALL games.
                              -When an opponent that's coming of a SU loss like Minnesota, the results improve to 0-6 ATS.
                              -The TIMBERWOLVES are already a PERFECT 5-0 ATS this season as underdogs of +12 or more points.
                              -1-7 ATS this season for all NBA DOUBLE-DIGIT favorites playing off 3 straight games in which they were a favorite... and failed to get the ATS win. And if these teams actually WON that last game straight-up, the results improve to a PERFECT 0-5 ATS.
                              Comment
                              • The_Kid
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-09-08
                                • 5049

                                #85
                                I hope Raja Bell plays. He'll harass Joe Johnson all night. Once I get news of that, I'm taking the Bobcats. Looks like a lot of people here are liking Charlotte to get it done too. Good luck to all!
                                Comment
                                • ram1502
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-26-08
                                  • 822

                                  #86
                                  IMO, their lineup is strong enough to handle the Hawks even without Raja. Of course, his playing would be a big bonus, but I'm making my play fully expecting him to be out tonight.
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #87
                                    Damn, repski...

                                    That was good info! Look like a late night T-Wolves wager is in order.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #88
                                      repski is no joke lately - love your research.
                                      Comment
                                      • peetlui
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-12-09
                                        • 469

                                        #89
                                        With the last five games between Orl/NJ averaging a total of 183.8 pts and the total set for today at 203 (I locked in early) the under is my largest play. My other two plays (booked) are:
                                        GS +11 (jm)
                                        parlay:
                                        Orl/NJ u203
                                        Char -2
                                        Miami -1
                                        Boston ML
                                        Utah -7 (bought 2pts)

                                        That will be all for now unless I'm struck by a eureka moment. Good luck gang.
                                        Comment
                                        • repski
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-01-09
                                          • 1929

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by repski
                                          put a few bones on GA ST.....+2.5

                                          Comment
                                          • OTown
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 02-03-09
                                            • 17

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by The_Kid
                                            I hope Raja Bell plays. He'll harass Joe Johnson all night. Once I get news of that, I'm taking the Bobcats. Looks like a lot of people here are liking Charlotte to get it done too. Good luck to all!
                                            Look like he is playing... I like this play alot too...

                                            Raja Bell participated in shootaround on Friday and expects to play against the Hawks despite a shoulder injury.

                                            Gerald Wallace (bruised right heel) and Emeka Okafor (ankle sprain) also participated in shootaround and are expected to go tonight, although Wallace has been fitted with a pad inside his shoe to cushion his heel bruise.
                                            Source: Charlotte Observer
                                            Comment
                                            • Jimbo42
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 2076

                                              #92
                                              Howdy folks...
                                              Here's a little gem to smoke on. I've played this for a few years so I know it works, but ran the numbers to show ya'll...
                                              - When a team scores 75 or less (<75 seems to be the "embarrassment" number) in their previous game play ON them the next game!
                                              - The better the team the stronger the play....
                                              - The numbers this year: teams with a record of .400 or better 12-4.

                                              Milwaukee lost to Cleveland 73-91 last game (3/4).
                                              I make this play automatically...
                                              Milwaukee +6.5
                                              Milwaukee M/L
                                              for a few coins

                                              BTW, 63% of money is on CHI
                                              GL to everyone
                                              Comment
                                              • The_Kid
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-09-08
                                                • 5049

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by peetlui
                                                Wash +11 (jm)
                                                Washington covered if you bought points against the Thunder a couple days ago. I assume the "JM" means John Morrison play.
                                                Comment
                                                • peetlui
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                  • 469

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by The_Kid
                                                  Washington covered if you bought points against the Thunder a couple days ago. I assume the "JM" means John Morrison play.
                                                  I'm sorry I meant GS..... since the first two letters of both teams have something to do with Wa it was a typo on my part. I will edit and thanks.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • repski
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                    • 1929

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by repski
                                                    I kind of like Indiana St. again today against UNI....they played twice this year with UNI prevailing but by only 6 points combined..today they are laying 7...and ISU is playing much better ball winners of 8 of their last 9....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by repski
                                                      did you play them? i had n. iowa
                                                      Comment
                                                      • repski
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-01-09
                                                        • 1929

                                                        #97
                                                        booked parlay
                                                        Bradley -1.5
                                                        over 127
                                                        Comment
                                                        • repski
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-01-09
                                                          • 1929

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Dexter
                                                          did you play them? i had n. iowa
                                                          yeah...small bets this afternoon..only 1 unit ea....figures go 2 for 2 when you don't bet much....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #99
                                                            booked

                                                            bradley -2.5
                                                            Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hockeytown11
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-04-09
                                                              • 1102

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by AdaBarber
                                                              I am also leaning Anaheim and Dallas under 5.5 -120. Dallas has lost five in a row and has only scored six goals in those games. Chris Pronger is on the trading block and Anaheim is looking to get maximum value for him so competing is not on the agenda.
                                                              The trade deadline passed 2 days ago in hockey so I think its pretty safe to say Pronger is no longer on the trading block
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hockeytown11
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 1102

                                                                #101
                                                                Pucks for Friday

                                                                Calgary over 5.5
                                                                Montreal -150
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MoneyintheBank09
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-04-09
                                                                  • 680

                                                                  #102
                                                                  man i just found out that my poker house got busted on Wednesday that sucks lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The_Kid
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-09-08
                                                                    • 5049

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by peetlui
                                                                    I'm sorry I meant GS..... since the first two letters of both teams have something to do with Wa it was a typo on my part. I will edit and thanks.
                                                                    Haha there is no need to be sorry, peet! Good luck today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The_Kid
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-09-08
                                                                      • 5049

                                                                      #104
                                                                      3 Team, 7 Point Teaser

                                                                      Golden State +16
                                                                      San Antonio -5
                                                                      Utah Jazz -2

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • handimann
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 02-04-09
                                                                        • 102

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by hockeytown11
                                                                        the trade deadline passed 2 days ago in hockey so i think its pretty safe to say pronger is no longer on the trading block:d
                                                                        zing
                                                                        Comment
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