NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

JMon · 12-28-14, 11:44 AM

NBA SDQL Best Bet

12-28-14 - 10:40a

Play PHX -4.5 -110

SDQL: P:L and Po

oints >= 110 and op:AW and op:division = opo:division and 2007 <= season and P:margin < -2

Fade a team revenging a loss of more than 2 points where the opt put up 110 or more and is off a road win over a division rival.

Consigliere · 12-28-14, 01:12 PM

NBA SDQL Best Bet

12-28-14 - 1:05PM EST

Play TOR -2 -107

SDQL:

A and tA(points) >= 102 and oA(o

oints) >= 102 and op:W and p

oints >= 100 and pp

oints >= 100 and month in [12 , 1 , 2 , 3 , 4]

Back the road team averaging 102 or more points against an opponent that gives up an average of 102 or more and the opponent previously won and the team has scored more than 100 their last two games in the meat of the season Dec-Apr. Hard to figure out this Denver team, they really are weird. They play pretty well at home but the Raps are also great on the road and seem to get up for the Western conference teams. A small fav here I think is good value on the Raps. The back to back road shouldn't be too big a deal for them since they played an afternoon game yesterday followed by this later game. The rest factor should be minimized.

pip2 · 12-28-14, 02:22 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/28/14 11:00am pst Reduced Basketball 801 Detroit Pistons/Cleveland Cavaliers Over 206 -108*

SDQL:

playoffs=0 and game number> 5 and season>2010 and tA(points in the paint/points) > .46 and oA(TPM*3/points) > .23 and month!=3 and day!=Thursday and rest < 3

SDQL: English

Since 2010 and excluding the playoffs, and after 5 games into the season, and if it isn't Thursday and it isn't March, if the team has not had more than 2 days rest, the team has averaged scoring more than 46% of its points in the paint,and the opponent has averaged scoring more than 23% of its points with 3-pointers, the game should go OVER.

dmitean · 12-28-14, 02:38 PM

Originally posted by Consigliere

NBA SDQL Best Bet

Play TOR -2 -107

Still, playing B2B in Denver...

team=Nuggets and HD and o:rest=0 and season>2012

4-1-0 (3.90, 80.0%)

avg line: 2.9

Small sample, but still...

Like you said, it's hard to figure out the Nuggets.

Ronald S. · 12-28-14, 05:12 PM

No best bet for me today

emceeaye · 12-28-14, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by dmitean

Still, playing B2B in Denver...

team=Nuggets and HD and o:rest=0 and season>2012

4-1-0 (3.90, 80.0%)

avg line: 2.9

Small sample, but still...

Like you said, it's hard to figure out the Nuggets.

What % of this season's Nuggets is even the same as in 2012?

JMon · 12-29-14, 08:39 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 97-84-3 - 53.5% (+7.46) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 2-1 (+.92)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 18-17-1 (+.30)

2. pip2 - 19-16 (+2.00)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-14 (-.40)

7. Heart - 7-1 (+5.92)

8. Consigliere - 12-6-1 (+5.65)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

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Consigliere · 12-29-14, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by dmitean

Still, playing B2B in Denver...

team=Nuggets and HD and o:rest=0 and season>2012

4-1-0 (3.90, 80.0%)

avg line: 2.9

Small sample, but still...

Like you said, it's hard to figure out the Nuggets.

Certainly playing in Den on tired legs can be hard. A couple things this year seem different with this team - they don't push the pace as much to take advantage of their edge, which I think is a coaching issue. Also, the team coming in needs to be considered. Raps are one of the deepest teams in the league, if not the deepest. There bench is awesome and that negates the air advantage in my opinion and I mentioned the travel being a non-issue for this one because of the schedule...anyways maybe just luck but I liked it. Always good to have a challenge process to make you think....

Mako-SBR · 12-29-14, 01:56 PM

NBA SDQL Best Bet

12/29/2014 - 11:00a

Play: CHA (-3) MIL -110

SDQL:
AD and p:HDL and P:HL and P:ats margin<=-9 and P:season=season and 66>=game number>=15 and season>=2006

English:
Fading a team that is an away dog that lost its last game as a home dog, previously lost to the team they're playing at home by a wide margin within the same season, during the meat of the season itself. BOL all!

JMon · 12-29-14, 05:26 PM

NBA SDQL Best Best

12-29-2014 - 4:05p CT

PLay CHI -4.5 -110

SDQL: HD and 32>p:ats margin>18 and 40>=WP>25 and rest>0 and line<7

Fade a bad home dog of less than 7 on rest who covered the spread by more than 18, but less than 32 in their previous game.

hyahya · 12-29-14, 05:47 PM

NBA SDQL Best Best

12-29-2014 - 2:45p PT

Play CHI -4.5 -110

tA(FTA)<=21 and oA(FTA)>=26.5 and HD and line<10 and rest<2 and o:rest<2

Fade a home dog who goes to the line sparingly against an opponent who goes to the line frequently with both teams on minimal rest.

Consigliere · 12-29-14, 06:56 PM

NBA SDQL Best Best

12-29-2014 - 6:55EST

Play CHI -4.5 -108

AF and -3 <= ats streak <= -1 and 1 <= o:ats streak <= 2 and 1 <= rest <= 2 and 32 < WP < 78 and playoffs = 0 and season >= 2002

Back the road favourite on a negative ATS streak of 1 to 3 against an opponent on a positive ATS streak of 1 or 2 the team is on 1 or 2 days rest and the teams WP is between 78 and 32.

Heart · 12-29-14, 06:58 PM

no BB for me today, but I am playing both Hornets and Bulls tonight!

JMon · 12-29-14, 07:02 PM

consig....what's up with your SDQL posts? I'm assuming you are working off your own interface, but why the box formatting? It's tough to read when copying on SBR, I suppose?

pip2 · 12-29-14, 07:24 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/29/14 4:05pm pst Reduced Basketball 712 Los Angeles Clippers -12 -108* vs Utah Jazz

SDQL:

p:H and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and day!=Friday and P:L and season > 2006 and game number < 75 and month!= 2

SDQL: English

Since 2006 fade the team that is playing its second game after returning from a road trip of 4 or more games, if it lost its previous match up with the opponent and it isn't Friday, or way late in the season, or February.

JMon · 12-29-14, 07:43 PM

bol guys!

Alex Vaile · 12-29-14, 09:37 PM

What a joke bulls game. Outscored by 17 in 4th. Looked great for most of game!

JMon · 12-29-14, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by Alex Vaile

What a joke bulls game. Outscored by 17 in 4th. Looked great for most of game!

just have to wonder..watching all these point shaving docs on espn's 30 for 30...

b1slickguy · 12-29-14, 11:38 PM

One for Tuesday, but only covers the 2011 season to present.
Created this query expecting negative results, but sdql reveals the opposite.
Teams covering their previous game (against DEN) are 13-1.
Good luck.

A and p:A and po:team=Nuggets and pp:A and season>=2011

JMon · 12-30-14, 08:45 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 97-89-3 - 52.1% (+2.00) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 0-5 (-5.46)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 18-18-1 (-.80)

2. pip2 - 19-17 (+.92)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 7-1 (+5.92)

8. Consigliere - 12-7-1 (+4.57)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

hyahya · 12-30-14, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by JMon

just have to wonder..watching all these point shaving docs on espn's 30 for 30...

The sick part is CHI was up 83-66 in the 4th at which point IND went on a 20-0 run. Unreal.

Heart · 12-30-14, 11:17 AM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

play posted at 11:18am on 12/30
Detroit Pistons -1 -108 vs Orlando Magic

SDQL:
AF and op:W and op:margin<=3 and playoffs=0

Translated:
Play an away fav against an opponent coming off a very close win

Alex Vaile · 12-30-14, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by hyahya

The sick part is CHI was up 83-66 in the 4th at which point IND went on a 20-0 run. Unreal.

Ya it was unbelievable to me based on how they were playing for entire 3 quarters.

pip2 · 12-30-14, 12:15 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/30/14 9:00 am pst Reduced Basketball 503 Cleveland Cavaliers/Atlanta Hawks Over 202½ -105*

SDQL:

playoffs = 0 and day in [Tuesday , Saturday] and season > 2006 and A and team in [Cavaliers,Rockets, Pacers, Raptors,Clippers] and o:team in [Warriors,Magic,Celtics,Spurs,Hawks,Suns, Pistons,Bucks,Seventysixers]

SDQL: English

Since 2006 during regular season on Tuesdays and Saturdays look for an over when cle, hou, ind, tor or lac is playing away against gs, orl, bos, sa, atl, phx, det, mil or phi.

Consigliere · 12-30-14, 05:36 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/30/14 11:24A EST Trailblazers -2.5 -107 (Pinny, got this one early today)
SDQL:

playoffs=0 and p:W and season > 2007 and tS(W)-(tS(W)/1.3) < oS(W) and p:TPM*3/p

oints + p

oints in the paint/p

oints > .76 and conference=Western and op:margin > -2

SDQL: English

Think this is from pip I think and something that has been great for a number of years and I love the logic. Western conference team coming off a win where their win total is up to 33% higher than their opponent and 76% of their points came from beyond the arc or in the paint last game and their opponent won or lost by less than 2 their last game. Hate to go against my Raps here but Portland is strong. The midway point of Raps West coast roady might be the time they give one up. Lillard vs Lowry should be a good battle tonight. Hopefully LA is good to go and in top form.

Consigliere · 12-30-14, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by Heart

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

play posted at 11:18am on 12/30
Detroit Pistons -1 -108 vs Orlando Magic

SDQL:
AF and op:W and op:margin<=3 and playoffs=0

Translated:
Play an away fav against an opponent coming off a very close win

On this tonight too. Lots of queries pointing to it just like Bulls last night....ah. Bulls last night was just bad luck. I also played CHA because the queries looked strong there but hated the pick. MIL is one of the must undervalued teams so far this year for betting. Be rich just playing them ATS all year so far. When went to OT couldn't believe it, maybe a chance! No, no...OT is not kind to the SDQL bettor this year. BOL

JMon · 12-30-14, 06:29 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/30/14 5:25p CT

Play Min OV 202.5 -110

SDQL: A and 209.5>=total>=200 and 102>=tA(points)>=98 and 98>=oA(points)>=92 and po

oints>=105 and 2010<=season

Play over a total from 209.5 to 200 a good offensive road team that gave up 105 or more points in thier last game; playing against an average offensive team.

JMon · 12-31-14, 08:19 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 100-90-3 - 52.6% (+3.90) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 3-1 (+1.90)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 18-19-1 (-1.90)

2. pip2 - 20-17 (+1.92)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 8-1 (+6.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-7-1 (+5.57)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

Heart · 12-31-14, 08:48 AM

Originally posted by Consigliere

When went to OT couldn't believe it, maybe a chance! No, no...OT is not kind to the SDQL bettor this year. BOL

how bout that... Blazers buck the trend and get it done in OT!

Consigliere · 12-31-14, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by Heart

how bout that... Blazers buck the trend and get it done in OT!

Yup finally an OT to go my way. Feels like about 1-10 on games that go to OT since I don't play the totals so far. Before tipoff I considered middling the game since I got the early line but didn't...glad now!

Consigliere · 12-31-14, 12:48 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/31/14 12:15PM EST

Play Mia +4.5 -107

SDQL:

AD and WP < 50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak < 0 and 0 < o:ats streak < 3

Play the road dog sitting below .500 winning percentage either on 1 day rest or opponent on back to back where the team is on a negative ats streak and the opponent is on a positive ats streak of 1 or 2 games. Both teams are fairly healthy now so an even footing game and I see Miami being superior team here by a few points, even on the road. Debated taking them SU but Indiana is a tough road environment and David West usually plays Bosh well so went with the points. Hibbert is the X factor in this game, if he brings it Indiana probably covers...we will see! Happy New Year everyone.

pip2 · 12-31-14, 01:58 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/31/14 10:40am pst Reduced Basketball 712 Houston Rockets -12 -103* vs Charlotte Hornets

SDQL:

playoffs=0 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O and p4:O and season > 2007 and oA(dpa) > 0 and P:W and rest > 0 and day in [Monday,Tuesday,Wednesday] and team not in [Jazz,Pelicans,Timberwolves,Grizzlies,Lak ers,Hawks,Kings,Trailblazers] and o:team not in [Grizzlies,Thunder,Nuggets]

SDQL: English

Since 2007 during regular season on Monday, Tuesdays and Wednesdays if a team (not playing back-to-back) plays an opponent who the team beat in their previous matchup and which on average during the season has allowed more points than the oddsmakers have expected, and the team has gone over in all 4 of its last 4 games, look for the team to cover vs its opponent, if the team and opponent are not members of 2 short lists of uncooperative teams.

This started as a good legitimate query from janthony which I pimped out to the max to get a >90% hit rate, and now I am stoked to get the chance to see what actually happens when a super-pimped out query gets used in real life.

emceeaye · 12-31-14, 05:08 PM

p:M3 >= 0 and (A or D) and 0 > p:margin and rest = 0...update

Pip or anyone else who is wondering how p:M3 >= 0 and (A or D) and 0 > p:margin and rest = 0 has been doing lately because they missed that it was active for whatever reason over the past week or so (like I did), it has gone 2-2 since Dec. 21, so nothing lost.

JMon · 12-31-14, 06:18 PM

NBA SDQL Best Bet

12-31-14 5:15p CT

Play PHX UN 213 -110

SDQL: A and 220 > total > 210 and tA(points) >= 102 and 98 >= oA(o

oints) >= 92 and p

oints + po

oints >= 205 and rest < 2 and o:rest>0

Play under a total of 220 to 210 a good offensive team against a rested ave defensive team after a combined score of 205 or more points.

JMon · 01-01-15, 10:23 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 101-92-3 - 52.3% (+2.73) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-2 (-1.17)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 18-20-1 (-3.00)

2. pip2 - 21-17 (+2.92)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 8-1 (+6.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-8-1 (+4.50)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!