NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

**JMon** · 01-01-15, 10:51 AM

NBA SDQL Best Bet

1-1-15 9:45a CT

Play SAC -2 -110

SDQL: 8.5 >= line and D and P:L and P:margin <= -10 and p:ADL and pp:ADL and p:ats margin > 0 and pp:ats margin > 0

Fade a dog of no more than 8.5 revenging a loss of 10 or more; off b2b road losses as a dog where they covered the spread.

**pip2** · 01-01-15, 11:21 AM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

1/1/15 8:00am pst Reduced Basketball 503 Sacramento Kings/Minnesota Timberwolves Under 209½ -102*

SDQL:

H and rest in [1,2] and month in [10,11,12,1,2] and day in [Sunday,Thursday] and season > 2005 and (team in [Grizzlies,Cavaliers,Wizards,Bucks,Rocket s,Magic,Celtics,Heat,Pistons,Timberwolve s] or o:team in [Grizzlies,Cavaliers,Wizards,Bucks,Rocket s,Magic,Celtics,Heat,Pistons,Timberwolve s]) and 207 < total < 216

SDQL: English

Since 2005 on Sundays and Thursdays from October through February if the home team or its opponent is mem, cle, wsh, mil, hou, orl, bos, det, or mn, and the total is between 207 and 216, bet the under.

**Heart** · 01-01-15, 11:37 AM

a few pointing to the Kings today. Anyone have any idea in general how the over/unders are doing? I've not played them or paid any attention to them. Are they worth a look yet?

**nash13** · 01-01-15, 04:48 PM

happy new year@all.

i analyzed the first 200 queries of the sheet.
i excluded duplicates and double plays and contradictions.
if a game has 1 query over and 3 under, it was a now play for me.
after that only single plays.

261 W and 200 L
37 Units profit on 1.91 odds.
If we take the double plays as a trust factor and there are no contradictions:

478-350 +84,98 Units

in the next step i only took the trend who had more than 2 points in my ranking system:

single plays without contradictions and double plays:
145-105 +26.95 Units

double plays allowed only above 2 strength
258-167 +67.78 Units.

There are the rest of the queries left to analyze.

**nash13** · 01-01-15, 08:02 PM

After looking at all queries up to date this season:
Without Contradictions, but duplicates:
489-343
+101.99 Units on a conservative 1.91 odd per bet

Without Duplicates and contradictions:
293-220
+46.63 Units

Only Rated above 2.
Single plays:
144-108
+23.04 Units

Doubles allowed, but no contradictions.
249-159
+67.59 Units

all plays for NBA in 2014/15 are now updated in the spreadsheet

**emceeaye** · 01-01-15, 11:43 PM

Originally posted by nash13

After looking at all queries up to date this season:
Without Contradictions, but duplicates:
489-343
+101.99 Units on a conservative 1.91 odd per bet

Without Duplicates and contradictions:
293-220
+46.63 Units

Only Rated above 2.
Single plays:
144-108
+23.04 Units

Doubles allowed, but no contradictions.
249-159
+67.59 Units

all plays for NBA in 2014/15 are now updated in the spreadsheet

Just for clarification, what do you mean by double play?

**lion043090** · 01-02-15, 12:23 AM

Where is the spreadsheet posted? Is it on KillerSports?

**nash13** · 01-02-15, 02:23 AM

Double means if 3 queries pointing towards a play: 3 units on it

**nash13** · 01-02-15, 02:24 AM

Just as duplicated or there is a query pointing at it already.look at the sheet. Should be clear then.

**JMon** · 01-02-15, 08:05 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 102-93-3 - 52.3% (+2.71) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-1 (-.02)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 19-20-1 (-2.00)

2. pip2 - 21-18 (+1.90)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 8-1 (+6.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-8-1 (+4.50)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

**lion043090** · 01-02-15, 11:08 AM

Nash, JMon, emceeaye and others..I see that these queries are being saved to a spreadsheet. I know SDQL to some degree but would love to be added to the spreadsheet. I assume this spreadsheet is on Google Docs or Killer Sports?

**emceeaye** · 01-02-15, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by nash13

After looking at all queries up to date this season:
Without Contradictions, but duplicates:
489-343
+101.99 Units on a conservative 1.91 odd per bet

Without Duplicates and contradictions:
293-220
+46.63 Units

Only Rated above 2.
Single plays:
144-108
+23.04 Units

Doubles allowed, but no contradictions.
249-159
+67.59 Units

all plays for NBA in 2014/15 are now updated in the spreadsheet

Nash, thank you for this guide on the effectiveness of the queries and which ones are working best!

**dmitean** · 01-02-15, 12:41 PM

Nash, thanks! Great Work!!!

**dmitean** · 01-02-15, 12:48 PM

Double plays hit 57.6% of the times.
Regular plays hit 54.7% of the times.

**Heart** · 01-02-15, 12:53 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

play posted 1/2/15 12:50pm
Dallas Mavericks -5½ -105 vs Boston Celtics

SDQL:
A and tA(points)>=102 and oA(o

oints)>= 102 and op:W and p

oints>=100 and pp

oints>=100 and (game number)>15 and playoffs=0

Translated to English:
Play an away team averaging 102 or more pts and their last two games they have scored 100 or more pts playing against an opponent coming off a win and also allowing an average of 102 or more pts in the regular season.

**nash13** · 01-02-15, 01:00 PM

I am back Sunday and will give full details in working with it.

**nash13** · 01-02-15, 01:00 PM

I am back Sunday and will give full details in working with it.

**JMon** · 01-02-15, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by lion043090

Nash, JMon, emceeaye and others..I see that these queries are being saved to a spreadsheet. I know SDQL to some degree but would love to be added to the spreadsheet. I assume this spreadsheet is on Google Docs or Killer Sports?

nash handles this. I believe he asks you to be a contributor of SDQL in order to be added.

**JMon** · 01-02-15, 02:10 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

1/2/15 1:05pm CT

Phil +14 -110

SDQL: A and tA(o

oints)>=103 and p:M2<=-10 and pp:M2<=-10 and o:rest<3 and rest<=3 and line<=14

Play on a road dog of no more than 14, a bad def team after being behind 10 or more at the half the last two games.

**emceeaye** · 01-02-15, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by nash13

Double means if 3 queries pointing towards a play: 3 units on it

Ah, I see.
Thanks.

**JMon** · 01-02-15, 06:08 PM

nash13, hyahya, golfaddict are you guys still with us on the SDQL Best Bet?

emc..you want to fill the 10th spot?

You guys do realize we are having fun right?

**Cutler'sThumb** · 01-02-15, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by Heart

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

play posted 1/2/15 12:50pm
Dallas Mavericks -5½ -105 vs Boston Celtics

SDQL:
A and tA(points)>=102 and oA(o

oints)>= 102 and op:W and p

oints>=100 and pp

oints>=100 and (game number)>15 and playoffs=0

Translated to English:
Play an away team averaging 102 or more pts and their last two games they have scored 100 or more pts playing against an opponent coming off a win and also allowing an average of 102 or more pts in the regular season.

Originally posted by JMon

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

1/2/15 1:05pm CT

Phil +14 -110

SDQL: A and tA(o

oints)>=103 and p:M2<=-10 and pp:M2<=-10 and o:rest<3 and rest<=3 and line<=14

Play on a road dog of no more than 14, a bad def team after being behind 10 or more at the half the last two games.

Couple of really nice trends here. Lower sample sizes (tho still solid) balanced out by 70% hit rates. Thanks guys!

**lion043090** · 01-02-15, 11:20 PM

Understood entirely. I would be more than happy to assist in any way. I currently have 10 bookmarked systems per sport that I could definitely share.

Originally posted by JMon

nash handles this. I believe he asks you to be a contributor of SDQL in order to be added.

**Cutler'sThumb** · 01-03-15, 03:02 AM

Originally posted by lion043090

Understood entirely. I would be more than happy to assist in any way. I currently have 10 bookmarked systems per sport that I could definitely share.

Just shoot nash13 a PM.

**nash13** · 01-03-15, 03:28 AM

I will include you tomorrow.

**lion043090** · 01-03-15, 06:59 AM

Originally posted by nash13

I will include you tomorrow.

Nash. Thank you so much for your willingness to help.

**JMon** · 01-03-15, 09:09 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 103-94-3 - 52.2% (+2.61) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-1 (-.10)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 19-21-1 (-3.10)

2. pip2 - 21-18 (+1.90)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 9-1 (+7.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-8-1 (+4.50)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

**JMon** · 01-03-15, 09:10 AM

Heart is smoken hot..nicely done Heart

**hyahya** · 01-03-15, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by JMon

nash13, hyahya, golfaddict are you guys still with us on the SDQL Best Bet?

emc..you want to fill the 10th spot?

You guys do realize we are having fun right?

Apologies, haven't had much time recently. Still interested in taking part but I can drop out if more active participants are available.

**JMon** · 01-03-15, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by hyahya

Apologies, haven't had much time recently. Still interested in taking part but I can drop out if more active participants are available.

no all good...just seeing if you were still around..

**emceeaye** · 01-03-15, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by JMon

nash13, hyahya, golfaddict are you guys still with us on the SDQL Best Bet?

emc..you want to fill the 10th spot?

You guys do realize we are having fun right?

Thanks for the invitation JMon, but just don't have enough time to devote enough attention to making picks with enough regularity on top of that of NHL....

**pip2** · 01-03-15, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by JMon

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 103-94-3 - 52.2% (+2.61) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-1 (-.10)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 19-21-1 (-3.10)

2. pip2 - 21-18 (+1.90)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 9-1 (+7.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-8-1 (+4.50)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

Just for giggles I did a count on our results for three days around Thanksgiving (25,26,and 28) and December 23 through Jan 2. We were 15-27 for those days...And I remember we had to get well into November before the "spitball" queries started getting some traction.

I think there is a connection between the "routineness" of what the players are experiencing and how well the queries work.

**pip2** · 01-03-15, 03:22 PM

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

1/3/15 12:15pm pst Reduced Basketball 503 Utah Jazz +1 -103* vs Minnesota Timberwolves

SDQL:

p:H and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and day!=Friday and P:L and season>2006 and game number <75 and month!=2

SDQL: English

Since 2006 the 2nd game after a road trip of at least 4 games, not on a Friday and the team lost its previous game vs the opponent. It's not past the 75th game of the season and not in February, so fade the team...

**JMon** · 01-03-15, 03:35 PM

NBA SDQL Best Best

1-3-15 10:35a CT

Play Wash +5 -110

SDQL: A and 102>=tA(points)>=98 and 102>=oA(o

oints)>=98 and po

oints>=100 and ppo

oints>=100 and 2009<=season and line<8

Play a good off road team against a poor def team, after allowing 100+ points the last two.

**JMon** · 01-04-15, 10:50 AM

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 104-95-3 - 52.2% (+2.51) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-1 (-.10)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 19-22-1 (-4.20)

2. pip2 - 22-18 (+2.90)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 9-1 (+7.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-8-1 (+4.50)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it