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  • Ratzz
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-07-10
    • 8965

    #1
    • NBA Payday •
    hello gents,

    okay, so i have completed five trial runs of a larger scale experiment involving several different methods of handicapping.

    i did okay with some earlier projects, and then poorly with later ones (pretty obvious which ones) but am exhibiting improved success with my last generation combining serious old school and some new school strats that i developed myself.

    i was doing very well with 3Q's wagers, but over time found them to be a little short on time, borderline unpleasant.*

    I decided to focus more on 1Q's and Full Games (won't release picks until i know what i am doing) but i feel good about 1Q's and went 5-0 in my last five attempts. Winning each by more than a bucket (important). If you win by less than a bucket, it is money in your bank, but it was not really a good pick.

    *let's see if we can improve on the last installment, which went 15-5-1, with a (.750) Win/Loss percentage.

    If it works out, maybe we can all safely generate a little more income in this difficult world.

    i wish all you guys luck, cheers, ®

    Precision 1.0 (8-5)

    Precision 2.0 (6-3)

    Precision 3.0 (0-3) a dismal failure.*i aborted that quickly.

    Precision 4.0 (3-6) adjustments clearly did not work,

    Precision 5.0 (15-5-1)*will stick with this, and explore this more

  • Ratzz
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-07-10
    • 8965

    #2
    Jan 15th

    1) CHI/ORL__OVER 45.5__1ST QTR



    2) CHA/PHI__UNDER 53__1ST QTR

    Comment
    • DarkEraNYSports
      SBR Hustler
      • 11-16-13
      • 69

      #3
      Very nice man. Been keeping track of your plays. Keep up the great work!
      Comment
      • Ratzz
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-07-10
        • 8965

        #4
        Jan 15th


        3) HOU/NOH__OVER 51.5__1ST QTR


        Comment
        • tonywayne
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-05-13
          • 229

          #5
          Nice job

          Dude, nice call on the 1st two (Chi/Orl, Cha/Phi). Giving #3 (Hou/NO) a shot...

          What would it take to find out a little more about your system?
          Comment
          • Ratzz
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-07-10
            • 8965

            #6
            Jan 15th

            4) MEM/MIL__UNDER 47.5__1ST QTR


            Comment
            • Ratzz
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-07-10
              • 8965

              #7
              Originally posted by DarkEraNYSports
              Very nice man. Been keeping track of your plays. Keep up the great work!
              thanks!! will do, buddy..

              just gonna keep 'capping my head off (and posting prognostics)..

              Let's get it

              Comment
              • Ratzz
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-07-10
                • 8965

                #8
                Originally posted by tonywayne
                Dude, nice call on the 1st two (Chi/Orl, Cha/Phi). Giving #3 (Hou/NO) a shot...
                Originally posted by tonywayne


                What would it take to find out a little more about your system?



                thank you, Tony


                to answer your question, i guess buy my book,*


                best way to learn how i trained my mind to look at what created losing picks..
                not to repeat mistakes.. to train the mind to observe itself. To look in, and not just out.
                and what it does.. and asks you to do.. (especially that)

                gamblers need to seriously be aware of all that stuff..


                there is a great deal of processes involved in our decision-making
                (most of which are unaware of entirely)


                i have spent the last few years studying Psychology, Behaviorism, and Neurobiology.
                it helps so much in careful decision-making, and eliminating bad impulse bets.
                and other bad decisions in life.



                i am creating a site, will have it up real soon, the book costs $20


                years of research, but creates a winning mind.. it did for me at least

                cheers, ®

                Comment
                • Ratzz
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-07-10
                  • 8965

                  #9
                  capping the late games... Den/GSW and Dal/LAC

                  let's see if anything good

                  Comment
                  • Ratzz
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-07-10
                    • 8965

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Ratzz
                    Jan 15th



                    1) CHI/ORL__OVER 45.5__1ST QTR (W)


                    2) CHA/PHI__UNDER 53__1ST QTR (W)


                    3) HOU/NOH__OVER 51.5__1ST QTR (L)


                    4) MEM/MIL__UNDER 47.5__1ST QTR (W)



                    LATE GAMES: nope. i see a couple of leans in the late games..
                    but also, one factor in each game that i don't like.. so i will sit down.


                    okay, i went back, i think i found the error in the loss, eliminate that for the future.
                    let's see if we can maintain.. or climb over the .750 threshold.



                    NBA Payday is 3-1 (.750)


                    cheers folks

                    Comment
                    • tonywayne
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-05-13
                      • 229

                      #11
                      3-1 is a good day. Thanks for these. Will be watching your picks in the future.
                      Comment
                      • Ratzz
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-07-10
                        • 8965

                        #12
                        Jan 16th (Early Game)_

                        5) BKN__pick 'em__1ST QTR *
                        over Atl.


                        Comment
                        • Allsportscapper
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-12-13
                          • 275

                          #13
                          Good job.sir
                          Comment
                          • John7
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 11-27-13
                            • 56

                            #14
                            Can I know over by how many point for nets/hawks game (1st quarter) thanks.
                            Comment
                            • Ratzz
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-07-10
                              • 8965

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Allsportscapper
                              Good job.sir
                              thank you ASC, i do try... and give it 100%

                              hope we stay where we are or advance, cheers*

                              Comment
                              • Allsportscapper
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-12-13
                                • 275

                                #16
                                Nice hit what's next
                                Comment
                                • Ratzz
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-07-10
                                  • 8965

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Ratzz
                                  Jan 16th (Early Game)_

                                  5) BKN__pick 'em__1ST QTR *
                                  over Atl. (W)

                                  LONDON: okay.. got this one.. what a turnaround in scoring last 6 min.
                                  looked like mud for the first 6 min.

                                  Let's take a look see what leans there are
                                  later this evening

                                  NBA Payday*is*4-1*(.800)

                                  Comment
                                  • DarkEraNYSports
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 11-16-13
                                    • 69

                                    #18
                                    Thanks again brotha! Your post about betting advice was spot on and appreciated. I'll def look into the book.

                                    One question is do you ever wager different units or your wagering on everything uniform?
                                    Comment
                                    • Ratzz
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-07-10
                                      • 8965

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by DarkEraNYSports
                                      Thanks again brotha! Your post about betting advice was spot on and appreciated. I'll def look into the book.

                                      One question is do you ever wager different units or your wagering on everything uniform?
                                      i really feel it is better for gamblers to stay with fixed unit wagers until they are well over .660%
                                      (win percentage)

                                      placing one's focus on units will almost invariably lead to gambling problems, because the mind then becomes occupied with "when to go large?" rather than "what is the best wager available?"

                                      so, a person, then goes large at the wrong time... (normal)*
                                      and tries to win it all back by going larger next time..*

                                      the odds of losing a second bet, when the motive is to recoup the first is extraordinarily high.

                                      i say a gambler should get his game together first... always. Learn one's trade.

                                      just as a driver should be an expert driver, before they engage in speeding.
                                      Speeding will get anyone to their destination quicker, but tends to create many more accidents,
                                      especially in novice drivers.

                                      I like single units bets.. keeps my mind sharp and focused on the right outcome,
                                      rather than what i am going to get back *

                                      Comment
                                      • Allsportscapper
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-12-13
                                        • 275

                                        #20
                                        Well said ....Do you have any leans for tonite
                                        Comment
                                        • Ratzz
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-07-10
                                          • 8965

                                          #21
                                          Jan 16th

                                          6) NYK__+2.5__1ST QTR** over Indy

                                          Knicks playing better of late, they might come out a bit harder than usual.
                                          Like matchups

                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Ratzz
                                            Jan 16th

                                            6) NYK__+2.5__1ST QTR** over Indy

                                            Knicks playing better of late, they might come out a bit harder than usual.
                                            Like matchups
                                            You got a horrible #, Jed. Hope it doesn't matter. There are +3.5's out there.
                                            Comment
                                            • tonywayne
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-05-13
                                              • 229

                                              #23
                                              Dang, I missed the picks today. Argh. I just looked at NYK and you got that one (after getting BRK earlier). 2-0 today so far. Nice work.
                                              Comment
                                              • Ratzz
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-07-10
                                                • 8965

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                You got a horrible #, Jed. Hope it doesn't matter. There are +3.5's out there.
                                                wow.. +3.5.. makes one want to bet larger..but i really don't do that..glad i we lucked out and got away with it. I will try to do better to find best number tho'.it's a good habit.thx Dr. No

                                                Comment
                                                • Ratzz
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-07-10
                                                  • 8965

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by tonywayne
                                                  Dang, I missed the picks today. Argh. I just looked at NYK and you got that one (after getting BRK earlier). 2-0 today so far. Nice work.
                                                  lol.. don't sweat it.. Tony,as long as there is b-ball... there is more angles/picks

                                                  Comment
                                                  • tonywayne
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-05-13
                                                    • 229

                                                    #26
                                                    Book? (Sorry, I'm new to the site, so not sure where to look if you have a profile or something...)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Ratzz
                                                      wow.. +3.5.. makes one want to bet larger..but i really don't do that..glad i we lucked out and got away with it. I will try to do better to find best number tho'.it's a good habit.thx Dr. No
                                                      Nice hit.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ratzz
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-07-10
                                                        • 8965

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Ratzz
                                                        Jan 16th

                                                        6) NYK__+2.5__1ST QTR** over Indy (W)
                                                        Knicks playing better of late, they might come out a bit harder than usual.
                                                        Like matchups
                                                        okay.. Knicks came in, they scored well..
                                                        and Pacers started real slow.. but they sure sped up at the end of the 1Q (mini-yikes)


                                                        I am glad the clock ran out to kill the comeback


                                                        looking at OKC/Houston.. trying to figure out how it will start


                                                        NBA Payday is 5-1 (.833)

                                                        cheers, ®

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ratzz
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 07-07-10
                                                          • 8965

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by tonywayne
                                                          Book? (Sorry, I'm new to the site, so not sure where to look if you have a profile or something...)
                                                          hi Tony,

                                                          i am designing the website now... will be up shortly.. i will post it when it's up.
                                                          Great info about the human brain, gambling and how it impacts (sometimes very dangerously)
                                                          our decision-making

                                                          i learned a ton, researching it, and even more writing it.
                                                          Turned my 'capping around

                                                          good read. Will post it soon.

                                                          cheers, r*

                                                          Comment
                                                          • Allsportscapper
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-12-13
                                                            • 275

                                                            #30
                                                            Thanks bro looking forward to the okc game
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Ratzz
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-07-10
                                                              • 8965

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              Nice hit.
                                                              thank you, always like that extra point of bullet-proof vest.
                                                              (especially in 1Q's) time so short

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Allsportscapper
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-12-13
                                                                • 275

                                                                #32
                                                                Any play on okc
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Allsportscapper
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-12-13
                                                                  • 275

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Look forward to reading your website your insight is very interesting
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ratzz
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-07-10
                                                                    • 8965

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Allsportscapper
                                                                    Look forward to reading your website your insight is very interesting
                                                                    it's good stuff... my best work so far.. dropping it soon

                                                                    it's tough dividing my time, between designing that.. my book editor..
                                                                    and 'capping all these games..

                                                                    i do feel like i know what i am doing (finally), but it's still not quick work... a great deal of data-crunching–

                                                                    so many games tonite.. i guess brew another pot of coffee and get started*

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Allsportscapper
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-12-13
                                                                      • 275

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Well lets $$$$ again
                                                                      Comment
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