Leans for Tuesday 2/24/09 schaapattack Week

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  • shoebox
    Restricted User
    • 11-26-08
    • 5710

    #211
    Jayplay,

    word do I mean were working do uhh.....doing working....uhh do work yeah thats it
    Comment
    • texhooper
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-05-09
      • 10001

      #212
      the line is all over the place on this cleveland game. they should have no problems doing whatever they please in every quarter, but whatever, i don't like it.
      Comment
      • wangichu
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-07-08
        • 946

        #213
        rockets swept portland last year in 4 games, yet dropped their early season tilt in portland all of the games they played last year, they covered against the blazers as well except for an 11.5 spread at home early in the season. Revenge should be easily achievable with oden out, no mcgrady issues and the teams ability to handle business with brooks running the show. I actually really like the under, houston beats portland with defense, specifically good perimeter defense to cover portland's jumpshot happy bunch, and yao clogging the middle to keep roy from driving too much.

        HOU -4 (possible parlay with the under to sweeten some of my returns)

        charlotte's victory over phoenix i think was the first time they had ever beaten the suns. Now they travel to phoenix to face a suns squad that matches up well with them AND has a brutal eye towards revenge. look for the run and gun to bury the bobs, who haven't been quite as sharp lately.

        PHO -7

        chicago played the magic tough in orlando earlier this year, and got blown out at home last time time they faced. Orlando is fresh off a nationally televised blowout of the d-wades. chicago hasn't loss consecutive games since the first game of that infamous road trip where we all began giving them credit for some quality wins. The line is acting very fishy and you have to ask why the magic where favored by 6 and now it opened at 3 and shrunk

        CHI +2/ML

        The thunder do surprisingly well against the lakers, and the way the spread is moving with 80% on the lakers supports that theory last 4 times they were home dogs of 7+:

        +8.5 Denver L 120-122
        +9.5 Phoenix L 102-110
        +13 vs Cleveland L 91-102
        +10 vs Phoenix L 98-99

        the lakers defense is too vulnerable to lapses imho, and i guarantee durant shows up for this home showdown against kobe and co. Hate fading the lakers, but OKC plays them tough normally and OKC has been a cover machine this year, and the way that there is still virtually noone playing them, makes me feel like vegas just might let that continue until they start winning consistently.

        OKC +8 (no ML play, i doubt kobe lets them lose, just a tough close game)


        ** don't know if i can fade D-Wade after he just got blown out on national television. Something's gotta give in this showdown of two nationally televised blowout victims, and i have struggled at times with calling heat games, so i think i'll just sit this one out.
        Comment
        • jaymac82980
          SBR MVP
          • 01-08-09
          • 3416

          #214
          damn bruins scoring 2 early goals killed that 1st bet.

          looks like cleveland is who we thought they were!
          Comment
          • hockeytown71
            SBR Hustler
            • 02-21-09
            • 95

            #215
            WOW!!! I really didn't think it would be such a problem with the whole name thing. I use Hockeytown71 for almost all my accts. I meant nothing by it and I honestly thought you guys would be able to tell the difference. My bad!!! I also used it thinking CK would remember it from covers and it might be a little easier on me coming in here. So, can someone tell me how to go about changing my name on this sight. Again, I didn't mean to offend anyone or jump on hockeytown11's tail. I've just been using that name for a long time now. My apologize!
            Comment
            • BigMoneyMan
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-14-08
              • 925

              #216
              I really want to take Oklahoma City and Orlando tonight but a couple of my indicators are wrong. With that said i think they both get it done. GL all
              Comment
              • repski
                SBR MVP
                • 02-01-09
                • 1929

                #217
                who said they like PSU....their getting a beat down so far....
                Comment
                • jaymac82980
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-08-09
                  • 3416

                  #218
                  Im with you BigMoneyMan
                  Comment
                  • jaymac82980
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-08-09
                    • 3416

                    #219
                    repski, I said I like ohio state 1st half...but thats not what u asked is it? oops.
                    Comment
                    • shoebox
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-26-08
                      • 5710

                      #220
                      Originally posted by repski
                      who said they like PSU....their getting a beat down so far....

                      man your negative, this is basketball game of runs....calm down
                      Comment
                      • jaymac82980
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 3416

                        #221
                        damn, and now penn state decides to know how to play basketball. i guess they figured out there's no such thing as a basketball stick, and that you actually have to shoot the ball
                        Comment
                        • LUNT101
                          Restricted User
                          • 03-12-07
                          • 919

                          #222
                          Originally posted by repski
                          who said they like PSU....their getting a beat down so far....
                          its a 1 point game
                          Comment
                          • texhooper
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-05-09
                            • 10001

                            #223
                            big money, i like to here that as i'm already invested on those sides. you've been batting a high percentage here lately so i hope your streak continues.

                            let us all get them...i'm out for a bit.

                            good luck
                            Comment
                            • repski
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-01-09
                              • 1929

                              #224
                              Originally posted by shoebox
                              man your negative, this is basketball game of runs....calm down
                              sorry...I;m a PSU grad.....I just hate their squad...
                              Comment
                              • cocknocker
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-06-08
                                • 8001

                                #225
                                Originally posted by hockeytown71
                                WOW!!! I really didn't think it would be such a problem with the whole name thing. I use Hockeytown71 for almost all my accts. I meant nothing by it and I honestly thought you guys would be able to tell the difference. My bad!!! I also used it thinking CK would remember it from covers and it might be a little easier on me coming in here. So, can someone tell me how to go about changing my name on this sight. Again, I didn't mean to offend anyone or jump on hockeytown11's tail. I've just been using that name for a long time now. My apologize!

                                Folks he has had that name for quite a long time going back to our former home. Matter of fact, I thought that 11 was him when he first showed up. But the handle is old, and this guy 71 came to visit with me when i was put in he penalty box and also helped to stomp out the trolls and their idiot posts. He is an official CK Mafia from back in the day. People please refrain from clowning him about his name because as crazy as it sounds it IS original. just call him 71 and 11 Town!
                                Comment
                                • peetlui
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-12-09
                                  • 469

                                  #226
                                  Booked:
                                  Clev -15
                                  Clev -5 1Q
                                  Det +5/ML
                                  Dal +5/ML
                                  Char +9

                                  Good luck yall

                                  added Chi ML (let's get em CK)
                                  Comment
                                  • LUNT101
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 03-12-07
                                    • 919

                                    #227
                                    Wang, glad to see we are both on Houston and Phoenix for the same reasons.
                                    Comment
                                    • TheLemonDropKid
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-02-09
                                      • 1501

                                      #228
                                      Wow.....with everybody on the Bulls tonight, I'm either gonna look like a genius or a complete idiot.

                                      Or maybe just a lucky mofo....lol!!!!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • shoebox
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-26-08
                                        • 5710

                                        #229
                                        CK,

                                        I asked you this the other day do you cap WNBA??

                                        Respski
                                        Comment
                                        • repski
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-01-09
                                          • 1929

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by pho3nix32
                                          I'm feeling inspired after being swept by the books today. Which is why today I will deviate from my usual routine and post 2 picks instead of 1. The books are going to pay for those "wtf" games today. Now on to my picks:

                                          line: ptb@hr 191
                                          pick: 191 under

                                          Going back to trends analysis:

                                          - The under for Portland is 11-7 when playing on the road this season.
                                          - The under for Portland is 5-1 after playing 3 consecutive home games.
                                          - The under for Portland is 4-1 the last 5 games.
                                          - The under for Houston is 17-11 at home.
                                          - Head to head, the under is 4-0 on games played in Houston the last 3 seasons.

                                          The second half of this season is all about playoff positioning. The Blazers and Rockets are #'s 4 and 5 respectively in the West. The Rockets now know that Tmac is out for the season. This means that their rotation is finally set. Battier and Artest will be logging more minutes and we all know what these 2 guys can do on D. On the Blazers side, it is also a well known fact that Mcmillan is a tough defensive-minded coach. I expect these young Blazers to play scrappy defense as well. Look forward to a defensive-type of ballgame tomorrow as these 2 teams jock for position to gain homecourt advantage in the 1st round of the playoffs.

                                          Extra play:

                                          line: mt@tr 210
                                          pick: 210 over

                                          Trends:

                                          - The over is 16-8 for the Twolves against teams with a losing record this season.
                                          - The over is 15-8 for the Twolves against teams with poor defense.
                                          - The over is 7-3 for the Twolves on both the month of February and Tuesdays this season.
                                          - The over is 4-1 for the Twolves in the last 5 games.
                                          - The over is 17-9 for the Raptors against good offensive teams this season.

                                          I would like to quote how Phil Jackson described the Twolves after their last meeting: "They want to get it to Telfair and Foye, get the ball up the court and find some shots,". He described the Twolves play as "loose net". The term means an "NBA tactic of years past when home teams that wanted to run supposedly had loose nets through which the ball would speed so one of their players could grab it immediately after a made basket and get started back the other way". I believe this does not need further explanation. As for the Raptors, their GM is named Colangelo, the same guy who put together D'Antoni, Nash, Marion and Amare back in Phoenix and they just ran everybody out of the building. His philosophy is still the same. He traded for Marion and now we have a healthy Calderon at the point. Expect these 2 ballclubs to light up the scoreboards tomorrow my friends.
                                          PHX...so far Minn is playing that up-temo game...thanks for the insight
                                          Comment
                                          • handimann
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 02-04-09
                                            • 102

                                            #231
                                            PHO -7

                                            as the resident suns fan (along with phoenix32), i'm going to come out and say suns -7 tonight against the cats. they're angry off the celtics blowout and will be looking to avenge their embarrassing loss in charlotte. i've also booked the over 222.5 for the game as well.
                                            Comment
                                            • handimann
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-04-09
                                              • 102

                                              #232
                                              i love the cavs

                                              great call on the cavs -5 (1st qtr)

                                              ripping teams up right away like the celtics do
                                              Comment
                                              • repski
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-01-09
                                                • 1929

                                                #233
                                                4 goals already in Col/Atl
                                                Comment
                                                • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 1067

                                                  #234
                                                  Well done Cav 1Q backers!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jaymac82980
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                    • 3416

                                                    #235
                                                    LA/OKC over 56 1st Q
                                                    Comment
                                                    • The_Kid
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-09-08
                                                      • 5049

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid
                                                      Wow.....with everybody on the Bulls tonight, I'm either gonna look like a genius or a complete idiot.

                                                      Or maybe just a lucky mofo....lol!!!!!!
                                                      Don't worry, Lemon. I originally took the Magic and I'm going to stick by that pick. I was a little skeptical of the line movement but whatever. We'll all have our different opinions but of course, there will only be one good outcome. Anyways, good luck tonight.

                                                      Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                      LA/OKC over 56 1st Q
                                                      jay, you riding the OVER for the game as well?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The_Kid
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-09-08
                                                        • 5049

                                                        #237
                                                        Wow, Cleveland is putting the hammer down already. That's what I like to see.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheLemonDropKid
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-02-09
                                                          • 1501

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by The_Kid
                                                          Don't worry, Lemon. I originally took the Magic and I'm going to stick by that pick. I was a little skeptical of the line movement but whatever. We'll all have our different opinions but of course, there will only be one good outcome. Anyways, good luck tonight.



                                                          jay, you riding the OVER for the game as well?

                                                          Good luck to you bro....

                                                          Man...my Pitt U. bet is getting crushed right now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • repski
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-01-09
                                                            • 1929

                                                            #239
                                                            Does Rashed Wallace want to play BB anymore...he just fires up shots and plays no D....I got them on the ML...team seems fractured though
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jaymac82980
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-08-09
                                                              • 3416

                                                              #240
                                                              TheKid, I love the over. I just didnt post it here cuz I'm pretty sure I used it as a play in the contest thread with me and dex. I figured i wouldnt waste time reposting those plays. But I like the over, and I like OKC plus the points. I think the spread dropped though, so thats a judgement call. I say close game, high score...HIGH score.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jaymac82980
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-08-09
                                                                • 3416

                                                                #241
                                                                TheKid...of course I'm riding the over...haha. I never met an OVER I didn't like.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Karayilan9
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-10-09
                                                                  • 3742

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Lakers 1st QTR -1 against the Thunder anyone?, Thunder is one of the worst 1st QTR teams in the NBA, Lakers is 6th best, I'm sure Lakers will win at least one QTR this game, or wil they no but seriously they have too lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The_Kid
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-09-08
                                                                    • 5049

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                                                    Lakers 1st QTR -1 against the Thunder anyone?, Thunder is one of the worst 1st QTR teams in the NBA, Lakers is 6th best, I'm sure Lakers will win at least one QTR this game, or wil they no but seriously they have too lol
                                                                    Take them the 1Q and if they don't win that, then martingale till they do win. I don't think they'd let the Thunder come out and establish momentum after the Wolves almost took one from them the other night.

                                                                    Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                                    TheKid...of course I'm riding the over...haha. I never met an OVER I didn't like.
                                                                    Haha, nice to hear that. Lakers don't usually play defense against the lower-tier teams in the league anyways. Lakers know they can beat the Thunder so I think they'll just try to outscore them.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 1067

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by The_Kid
                                                                      Take them the 1Q and if they don't win that, then martingale till they do win. I don't think they'd let the Thunder come out and establish momentum after the Wolves almost took one from them the other night.



                                                                      Haha, nice to hear that. Lakers don't usually play defense against the lower-tier teams in the league anyways. Lakers know they can beat the Thunder so I think they'll just try to outscore them.
                                                                      Haha yep, that's good! But when martingaling make sure if your playing ML after 1Q that the odds are better than -200, otherwise just play the minus points!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The_Kid
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-09-08
                                                                        • 5049

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                                        Haha yep, that's good! But when martingaling make sure if your playing ML after 1Q that the odds are better than -200, otherwise just play the minus points!
                                                                        Yeah, good thinking oBaMa! I assume you've done this before cause you seem to know what you're talking about.
                                                                        Comment
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