Leans for Tuesday 2/24/09 schaapattack Week

[shoebox]

The Cleveland line at my book dropped from 14.5 to 13.5 with 80% on them, what do you guys think?

Good let it drop buy it down to 12.5, solid play. West will be a huge impact player

[solobass]

ok hopefully on sportscenter we hear "and the bobcats upset the phoenix suns" tonight.

Bobs +260

we all know they are a system play of which we should not speak, but when taking long ML shots i look for some reverse mojo. bobs have lost 7 of 8 on the road, have lost 2 in a row SU and basically laid an egg against the rockets the other night. i am betting on coach brown to come up with a winning strategy, and for short stretches i think the bobs can run with the suns with g. wallace going off. phoenix will have problems with even the most token defense and their constant whining to the refs is only second to my pistons.

[solobass]

Damn, solo, now that one made me laugh hard. It is so painfully true.

the thing is i would have sold the joint out! no blackouts, as my main mission would be to take the snap and sprint around trying to complete the electric slide on every play before being tackled.

[GreatDanes52]

Good let it drop buy it down to 12.5, solid play. West will be a huge impact player

Booking it now.. thanks man lets get it

[repski]

Good let it drop buy it down to 12.5, solid play. West will be a huge impact player

what book is that??

[LUNT101]

Alright, here's what I got today.

The Rockets have played great basketball since the break and since they learned they will be without McGrady the rest of the way. They can finally focus at the task at hand and that is what they have been doing. The Rockets have quietly gone 22-6 at home this season (14-2 w/o McGrady). Aaron Brooks has given them better quickness and outside shooting from the point than Rafer had. The Blazers on the other hand have lost their last 3 road games, giving them a 12-15 road record for the year. Since the break, they have only played at home and beat 3 very poor road teams (Memphis, Atlanta, Clippers). Yao and Luis Scola have been on fire lately, and are both better in every statistical category at home (FG%, pts, reb, asts, blks, stls, ft%, you name it). No Oden for Portland will hurt, and these big men will lead Houston to a nice sized victory over the road challenged Blazers.

Houston -4.5

Surprised more people aren't talking about Phoenix. Yeah, they couldn't hang with the Celtics. They are not a legitimate top team in this league. But they did put up 108 against the league's best defense, and have averaged 132.5 ppg since the coaching change. Charlotte plays good defense, but let's be real: they are the lowest scoring team in the NBA! They will not be able to keep up with the new look Phoenix's scoring pace. There is also revenge factor in this game as Charlotte wooped up on Phoenix by 22 in Charlotte back in January shortly after the J-rich/Diaw trade.

Phoenix -7

[RoagBettor]

Having watched most Rockets games since 1989, traditionally they play at the level of their competition and lose to teams they should easily beat and vice versa. But not this year. I'm impressed with how they're playing and I'm glad McGrady's gone (hopefully for good).

I'm on the Rockets tonight laying the 4.5.

[UndersSuck]

Three Champions League games on ESPN 360 for those of us at work this afternoon. kick off time is 2:30 ET

Barca/Lyon
Man U/Inter
Arsenal/Roma

[GreatDanes52]

what book is that??

my local uses the lines from wagerline thats where it dropped to 13.5

[LUNT101]

Surprised more people aren't talking about Phoenix. Yeah, they couldn't hang with the Celtics. They are not a legitimate top team in this league. But they did put up 108 against the league's best defense, and have averaged 132.5 ppg since the coaching change. Charlotte plays good defense, but let's be real: they are the lowest scoring team in the NBA! They will not be able to keep up with the new look Phoenix's scoring pace. There is also revenge factor in this game as Charlotte wooped up on Phoenix by 22 in Charlotte back in January shortly after the J-rich/Diaw trade.

Phoenix -7

Two more angles I like on this game. First, a minor one, but I like that in the first game they played against each other after the trade, Boris Diaw had a great game at home and Richardson struggled on the road. At that point in the season, the Bobcats were on their way up and the Suns on the way down. Which leads to tonight, where the Suns are on the upswing and Charlotte is kinda going through the motions. I see J-Rich playing inspired against his former team at home, now in a more comfortable style of offense.

The other angle is one regarding what I saw Tim Legler discuss after the Suns/Celtics game. He noted how the Suns will play kind of a sag-off defense, where they will give you some looks at the basket, hope you miss, and then run out in transistion and take advantage of you. However, teams like the C's are way too patient and will continue to work the ball to both sides of the court until they get the perfect shot. They passed up fairly open looks early in the shot clock and got wide open looks instead, by being patient and working their offense. The Bobcats, being the lowest scoring team in the league, will be suckered into taking these early open shots, even if they are not actually the look they wanted. The Suns will be able to run the floor effectively and run up the score. This angle is leading me towards the OVER as well.

[hockeytown11]

Three Champions League games on ESPN 360 for those of us at work this afternoon. kick off time is 2:30 ET

Barca/Lyon
Man U/Inter
Arsenal/Roma

pregme is 2:30 games start at 2:45 who you taking?

[BebeRebozo]

Barca, ManU, Roma!

[cap10]

here at western canada lottery we have to play parlays;; lines are fixed;; 7t pays 50-1 also fixed;; so here is my lucky 7 all nba;; no ncaa today cause i went 5-0 yesterday so usually i get killed next day;;

tor -6.5;;just think bosh/marion will hit it off plus minny blows vs tor(trends)
det +3.5 ;; tailing board
chi +3.5;; ck
okc +8.5;; hopin kobie doesnt go off on me;;also didnt okc play them tough in la?
hou -4.5;; port iffy on the road
dal +4.5;; close rivalry game ; no manu etc
phx -7.5;; just don't think bobs can keep up with all the scoring tonight

gl all

[repski]

CK,
since you like those 2 dawgs on the ML...might I suggest a little dawg ML parlay....take advantage of that juice..

[masr]

Hockeytown,

what do you think of: FLA Panthers tonight over BOS Bruins
FLA 8-0 on tuesdays, Rode of that last trend, last week

[obamaismyuncle]

Hockeytown,

what do you think of: FLA Panthers tonight over BOS Bruins
FLA 8-0 on tuesdays, Rode of that last trend, last week

Panthers have no chance tonight, Bruins win big

[chipper8888]

can someone tell me how on earth the Bulls are gonna beat orlando ?

[The_Kid]

There is RLM in the Orlando/Chicago game so I'm a little skeptical about taking Orlando at -1.5 now. I might take another look at that one but I don't see how Chicago pulls out a victory. Orlando is the better team with or without Nelson and it's not like Miller, Noah, or anyone for that matter is going to stop Howard. They can only hope to contain him!

[OperatorX]

the only chance chicago has on winning is Rose... with no jameer he could give Orlando headaches.. imo

[OperatorX]

downunder - 0 for 3 in tennis

[gametime_365]

Heat -3 (bought point)

Houston -2.5 (First Half)

Get Em

[RoagBettor]

The Bruins are in a huge slump. I'm not betting them until they show me they've turned it around.

[Ditaln1]

Quick question : where is a good site to look at betting sides? I use the sports.com live betting trends page but it seems very slow. Any good site I can check?

[Karayilan9]

Inter Milan vs Manchester United - Man U + 0 , + 0.5 @ 1.8 (-125)

I was going to go for Man U outright win but they have put up a more defensive lineup, Morinho will play his typically tight game, I think it will be a tight game but Man U can edge it with their attacking threat. Either a draw or Man U win for me.

Arsenal vs Roma - Roma + 0 , 0.5 +120

Roma are being wildy unerated here, Arsenal team is not what it used to be, they have some key injuries, Arshavin cannot play plus there is a phychological factor in that Roma tricked Arsenal into a false sense of security saying that their key players are injured but it was all a game, they are playing one of their strongest teams.

I'm even tempted to put something small on a Roma outright win @ +400

Overall Soccer Record: W 20. P 5. L 9

P.s If you take any of these teams and our team scores first, the odds for the other team will rocket sky high, I always put something small on the other team in these situations. For example, for the Roma game its Win/Draw that's 66/6% of the the probability of a win covered, so if they score Arsenals odds will go to something like +500/+600 all you have to do is put a faction of your original stake on this and you can sit back and enjoy the game knowing its Win-Win. This is the most ideal scenario in football betting and I really hope it happens tonight as these Champions League games are intense and teams give it their all.

[cap10]

[quote=RoagBettor;1570522]The Bruins are in a huge slump. I'm not betting them until they show me they've turned it around.[/quoti e]

i read somewhere the bruins have lost 7 of 8;; lay off for a while

[OperatorX]

locked in Manu and Barca and over 2.5 for the Barca game, because work is boring.

[Karayilan9]

OpertorX
locked in Manu and Barca and over 2.5 for the Barca game, because work is boring.

Over 2.5 could be good for Barca game, Barca's defense is shaky with some of the key defenders out, Lyon has a good attack and poor defense themselves. Barcelona have Messi, Henry and Eto playin and Messi + Henry + Eto = Goals

[BigDownUnder]

Two more bet:
Man U vs Inter milan - draw at half-time $100 @ 1.92
Taylor Dent to win 2 sets to 0 vs M Zverev $200 @ 2.52

[SlowRoll]

To CK: Cordially SlowRoll

Crumbs play of the day:
Chicago+105 moneyline

CK My Man, I usually agree with you boss... I for the most part stay somewhat silent (I like to observe) Asking the occasional question, gaining from yours and the threads knowledge. But man..!! How in the world did you come up with the CHI here? I just don't get it....Magic is about to go on a tear.. I think there thirsty 4 blood! Break this pick down 4 me baby, help me see the .

I understand about the home dogs scenario....but.....
I think I gots 2 fade on this 1 U BOSS....... Talk me down
Of course i'll look like a total ass if I am wrong here.
But F it quote me on this 1..

[obamaismyuncle]

no way the bulls win, i dont know where these people are getting the bulls will win this game.

[Dexter]

guys - the road favorite doesnt always cover. these are classic sucker bet/trap games. yeah the magic may cover tonight, but play these road favorites that look so "easy" on paper, and you will hit no more then 50% of these games. this game has trap written all over it with a line of 2. gun to head - gimme the pts.

what happened to the warriors, and hornets last night?

83% of the public are on the magic, yet the line has dropped from 3 to 1.5

[RoagBettor]

Dex is right; the trap games are some of my best plays. Although I thought Louisville (opened -1)against GWhores last night was a classic trap, but the GWhores didn't comply. I didn't bet them anyway, I gave up on them about 6 games ago.

[cap10]

the main reason i agreed to play bulls +3.5 aside from ck is that here at west canada lottery the line is orl -3.5;;they are giving me orlando by 4 and that smells bad;; why are they giving it to me;; they don't expect it to cash either;; usually when they give this line the fav does not cover and i am hoping it happens today again;;of course i'm nervous but GO BULLS

[MoneyintheBank09]

hey can someone tell me if a four team 9 point teaser for even money be a good price to play? thanks

[ASH0479]

....

Quick strike in the Lyon Barca game, 1-0 in the first 10 minutes