Leans for Monday 2/23/09 schaapattack Week

[shoebox]

You're probably gonna call me a smart-ass shoe, but don't you mean 6-0?

6/6=100%
5/6=83%
4/6=66
3/6=50%
2/6=33
1/6=16%
0/6=0%

Gabeesh???

[LUNT101]

Pacers are 4-0 ATS and 4-0 SU in NY over the past 3 seasons. The Pacers are 4-1 SU when Granger is out and 5-1 SU when Granger and Dunleavy are out. Teams are 1-6 ATS this season on the tail end of a b2b coming off a home and home series. (Knicks)

Rolling with Pacers and the points. Will wait closer to gametime as 62% of the public is on the Knicks and hopefully the line will get up to 7. If not, I will buy the half pt.

Pacers +7

[repski]

Leaning NO and Under

New Orleans is 53-26-1 ATS off an ATS loss
NO is 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 games as road favorites.
NO is 24-10 ATS vs. Pacific Division teams
NO is 12-5 ATS off a double digit loss.
Sacramento is 5-16 ATS their last 27 home games
SAC is 3-10 ATS their last 13 games as home dogs.

The first meeting was back on November 19th with Sacramento winning 105 to 96 as a 13.5 point road underdog and going over the total of 197.
The second game took place on December 20th with the host getting the win 99 to 90 as a 15.5 point home favorite but falling below the posted total of 196.5.

tonight the total is 203....which is considerably higher than their two previous meetings this season

New Orleans is 4-0 Under their last 4 as a road favorite of 5 to 10.5 points and 8-2 Under their last 10 as a favorite of 5 to 10.5

Sac is 7-2 Under their last 9 versus opponents from the Southwest Division.

NBA stat :UNDER on NBA home underdogs of 6 to 7.5 points, 23-11 ATS

[repski]

last game between Celtics/Denver fell 19 points under the total.

Boston is playing its 5th straight away from home....not including A/S game...

Carmelo Anthony (bruised left knee) and fellow forward Kenyon Martin are questionable with a bad back

both teams on BTB...

leaning under...

[jaymac82980]

I gotta go on record against the PC play tonight. Utah looks like a great pick to me. Utah at home are nasty, and they have been playing pretty well lately too. boozer is back and that will help. plus, with the owner dying, I think they've been playing the whole "emotional win" thing lately.

Utah at home, lay the chalk.

sorry CK, just don't like the PC's angle tonight.
GL.

[TheLemonDropKid]

6/6=100%
5/6=83%
4/6=66
3/6=50%
2/6=33
1/6=16%
0/6=0%

Gabeesh???

You say "tomAYto", I say "tomAHto"? lol...

Comprande?

Just messin' with ya.....

Man, I'm having trouble with these "system" plays....yesterday my gut was telling me Rockets all the way...but I went with the system....and lost.

Today my gut tells me Utah....but I will probably wind up picking Atlanta because of the system.

I know the system plays are set up for the overall long-haul, but it's hard betting them when your gut is telling you something else.

Oh well....such is life.

[TheLemonDropKid]

I gotta go on record against the PC play tonight. Utah looks like a great pick to me. Utah at home are nasty, and they have been playing pretty well lately too. boozer is back and that will help. plus, with the owner dying, I think they've been playing the whole "emotional win" thing lately.

Utah at home, lay the chalk.

sorry CK, just don't like the PC's angle tonight.
GL.

I see you're feeling the same way Jay.....can I have the other half of my brain back please?

[Dexter]

wow - trap city if you ask me...

actually, the line is only gs-4 b/c apparently davis, randolph and camby are all playing. makes sense then.

[repski]

Dexter,
something to watch tonight is apparently A. Miller(PHI) may be a game time decision...bothered by a calf strain...

[moman96]

Dexter,
something to watch tonight is apparently A. Miller(PHI) may be a game time decision...bothered by a calf strain...

Where's the info on that?

[repski]

Where's the info on that?

heard it in 610 WIP here in Philly...he was questionable also against Miami...but played...just something I wanted to pass along.it may be better to wait until placing the bet...

[Dexter]

repski - i dont see any news that hes questionable. he had the injury sat and played thru it - had a great game 30/9/2..

booked play-

sixers -2 (big)

[repski]

CK,
are you planning on placing any BB wagers for the WBC??

[cgars1]

Dex I have 76er's -2 are you taking ML or going with the points. ML is only -135 so its probably worth it to take the ML

[The_Kid]

Carmelo Anthony (bruised left knee) and fellow forward Kenyon Martin are questionable with a bad back

Melo played against Milwaukee yesterday so he should be fine but yes, he's still banged up. Martin is supposed to return tonight after sitting out with back spasms Sunday. Nene Hilario actually tweaked his knee yesterday and his status for today's game doubtful. They're calling it a bruised right knee but the Nuggets trainer said, "It doesn't look like anything structural, but it's hard to evaluate when it's so sore." More updates should come later in the day.

Andris Biedrins is supposed to make his return tonight vs the Clippers as he went through a full practice Sunday. Monta Ellis is out one to two weeks with soreness/stiffness in his ankle.

I'm reading on Rotoworld that Thornton and Camby are questionable for tonight's game vs the Warriors. I do not see anything yet regarding Baron Davis' status.

Tyson Chandler supposedly might make his return vs the Kings tonight as well. Minute mixing will be in order for the Hornets if he does return.

[BCaldwell32]

I usually do my write ups earlier than this, but some of you guys already took care of it and I like same games as already advertised. Let's get the money tonight and start the week right.

My Booked Plays:Atlanta +8 (PC play)
Boston -2
Philly -1.5

[ragiche]

I'm with dex pick of the 76ers-2.and also ck's pick of atl +8 for tonoght's game. Good Luck to all of you guys.Let's get em'.

[ragiche]

Sorry if i couldn't stay much longer in this thread,i'm kind of busy lately.But i always wish you all the luck for your cap games.

[cocknocker]

repski,

No I am not, but if Ginobili plays for Argentina, I don't know if i can pass that one up.

On other notes:

The line is up to 7.5 at the Greek RIGHT NOW, so i am playing the Hawks+8.5 as we type! Send me your money,folks. I'll spend it on an apprpriate charity. No need to give it to a sportsbook. I mean at least I'm cool with some of you guys.

[Ditaln1]

I booked Philly -1.5 last night when the line opened. Also booking Atlanta +7.5

BOL all! Let's cash it!

[ragiche]

I will visit this thread if i'm free but not that long enough,I do have some things to do first.Ck,knows what i mean i just posted it earlier in the thread a month ago it's family matters.Dn't you worry about me.With you all nice guys here supporting each other. We could beat those pesky bookies who would like to attempt to win our money.So,GOooooooo! CK.And GOoooooo!Ck mafia.

[cocknocker]

Peace, ragiche.

I hope that all is well regarding that matter that we spoke of. Sometimes life takes a shot at you, but you get up dust yourself off and move on knowing that your life was enriched by the mere presence of certain people in your life and you were the better for it. When you know that, it makes for fond memories.

[nonsense48]

Booked nbaphil-1 nyn-6 bos-1.5 bos-.5 1st Q atl+8.5 NHL:sj/dal over 5.5 good luck everyone

[TheLemonDropKid]

repski,

No I am not, but if Ginobili plays for Argentina, I don't know if i can pass that one up.

On other notes:

The line is up to 7.5 at the Greek RIGHT NOW, so i am playing the Hawks+8.5 as we type! Send me your money,folks. I'll spend it on an apprpriate charity. No need to give it to a sportsbook. I mean at least I'm cool with some of you guys.

Whatchu talkin' bout willis??? You are cool with all of us that matter! word.

[cocknocker]

Man only 5% of the public is taking the Atlanta moneyline and only 20% of bettors. I love this play more by the minute!

[hockeytown11]

I loved Atlanta even before CK said it was a PC play. Does anyone know how much emotion was involved in winning the other night for your owner? Now just 2 days later a funeral,ect ect they is no way they can recapture that emotion,its human nature,their owner died,he was by all accounts a great owner loved by everyone,this will weigh on this game,they will have a HUGE emotional letdown tonight,I really think the Hawks win outright.

[nonsense48]

and of course booked:atl+8.5 i don't see hawks winning this one su but with the points it looks like a gift.

[cocknocker]

New Orleans is the wrong call tonight.

I really feel for those who think that taking the Hornets minus the chalk is a free fried chicken and mashed potatoes dinner pick. This one is the sucker bet of the night. I think that curious summed my sentiments up best when read him mentioning on his thread that "Sacramento is 3-1 ats coming in and New Orleans is 2-4 straight up. The Kings are hot, the Hornets are not." And you know what? It really is THAT simple.

[nonsense48]

^^^i agree

[Ditaln1]

I smell a small ML play on sacramento and a hedge bet sacra + the points... whatcha think?

[MrSink]

bad idea for me
i think new orleans will win today more than 10 points
It's only my opinion but i want to play it for 10 units

[bigboyfosho]

fuk no B. griffen (ESPN)

[Dexter]

Dex I have 76er's -2 are you taking ML or going with the points. ML is only -135 so its probably worth it to take the ML

i layed the 2 - but yeah, the ML makes sense if you're willing to lay the extra price.

[ManBearPig]

Line falling like a skirt on a $5 hooker fast and without regard. Already at -1.5 at Bookmaker and was just at -3 or -3.5 I think. I'm not playing but wouldn't be surprised to see this flip to KU although it probably won't.

[cocknocker]

I smell a small ML play on sacramento and a hedge bet sacra + the points... whatcha think?

Excellent idea!