Leans for Monday 2/23/09 schaapattack Week

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Leans for Monday 2/23/09 schaapattack Week
    Okay fellers, schaapattack is busy burning the midnight oil again as usual, and while he is doing that i will be making my selection for the NBA tomorrow. He tookme through the wringer asI played a mind bogglingamount of games yesterday. Almost three times as many as I normally play. But that's what this experience is all about with the tailing. Everyone has their own method to their madness! i just can't wait for next week when Smacky gets his turn. That ought to be pretty entertaining. The week after that, I am thinking of seeking out Dexter or non!

    Denver is coming home after a long 8 game East Coast road trip and this is their first home game. Too bad it comes on the heels of a back end situation playing against Boston, a team that they have covered against on the last two occasions that they have hooked horns. This time they won't be so lucky. I like my chances taking Boston to get the job done in this one and get the win outright, and once again I am taking the Gang Green moneyline on this one and getting rid of the points altogether. After all, any points given to the Celtics today is too many. For those interested in taking the Celtics, I suggest you get it early as apparently they will be favored in this game and rightly so. The Nuggets are just out of gas andBoston is eager to show that they can come together as a unit and overcome the loss of KG while on this west coast trip. With a defensive advantage of only giving up 92 points per game compared to the Nuggets 100, the Celtics may even turn this one into a rout. I look for them to jump out and get a lead on the Nuggets in this game as the carry-over effect will be working in their favor. So of course that means that i will be pressing the 1st quarter button on the Gang Green again as usual until the wheels fall off.

    Likewise any points given to Atlanta are too many on Monday evening. Utah Jazz have only won 5 games in a row this year one time. With wins against the tired Lakers squad, and Boston and New Orleans on this home trip, this game is the perfect set up for a moneyline shot. The Hawks for their part are a sterling 6-1 ats as a road dog of 6.5 or more and also are 4-1 straight up against Northwest Division opponents. Utah is the polar opposite with a horrid 1-4 straight up and ats record against Southeast Division opponents and only 6-5 ats in home games where they are a favorite of 6.5 or more points and 1-3 ats after playing 3 or more consecutive home games, 2-5 after 3 or more consecutive wins.

    It doesn't hurt that the Hawks have had the Jazz number the last two times that these two teams have played going 2-0 ats to break the hex that Utah has had over them. What stood out to the PC's more than anything is that this is the lowest line or a game between these two eams since prior to 2004. In the last 5 games at Utah, the Jazz were favored by an average line of 10 points, with a low of 8.

    Carlos Boozer will be coming back into the fold and while it will make the jazz a much more formidable foe in the playoffs, it will only be a minute mixing experiment for now, and thus interrupt the continuity that the team hs acheived in their brief period of good play. No way will a rusty Boozer be able to keep up with a healthy Al Horford in this game. Bibby and Johnson are more than capable of matching any production that the Utah guards can come up with. The problem of course will be who will guard the high flying Josh Smith. The Hawks are a playoff caliber team with playoff tested veterans on their squad. I think that they can hold their own against the Jazz in this contest with ease.

    With only 26% of bettors placing their money on the Hawks I like my chances being the minority on this wager and fading the public. I suggest that we wait until around noon and then make the wager to allow time for the public to give us a half point and then take the game at Atlanta+8.5 by buying a point. I also recommend a play on the moneyline for Atlanta as they have an excellent shot at winning the game outright. I do not suggest playing them for the 1st half as Utah is lights out at home in 1st halves.

    Thanks hockeytown for the picks yesterday. Keep 'em coming!

    Boston-130 moneyline
    Boston-.5 1st quarter
    Atlanta+260 moneyline
    Atlanta+8.5 PC Play (1 point buy) Wait until noon for the line to go to 7.5
    Clippers+135 moneyline (added play)
    Clippers+4 (added play) 1 point buy

    schaapattack's picks reserved area

    New Jersey+2.5
    Sacramento+9
    Denver+1.5 (obviously I can't play this one)
    Clippers+3** Top play** (this one we have alike)

    So personally I can only use two of his NBA picks

    CBB

    Tennessee Chattanooga-2.5 (-2 for me i bought a hook)
    Georgetown+2 (+2.5 for me I bought a hook)



    The PC Play is 14-5 ats since I joined SBR Forums
  • SportsTerminator
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-18-09
    • 5179

    #2
    This game could swing either way. I would stay away...
    Bet To Win
    Comment
    • The_Kid
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-09-08
      • 5049

      #3
      Here's a thread I found while researching tomorrow's games.

      Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


      It has to do with the Pacers covering two straight games and then failing to cover the third. Well, they won outright against Minnesota on Friday and they won against Chicago earlier today. They have the Knicks tomorrow on the road and because of the strong trend that I am seeing, I will side with the Knicks at home tomorrow.

      I'm probably crazy but looking at New Orleans/Sacramento tomorrow and I'm seeing that the Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings with the Hornets with 3 of those games actually being straight up victories. The Kings are getting scrub spreads (and they should) but they've also been covering them against the Hornets. They even went into New Orleans earlier this year and beat the Hornets. I know this is a different team without Salmons and Miller but I like the youth of Martin, Thompson, and Hawes. Noicioni and McCants should give them a huge boost off the bench and Arco isn't an easy place to play either. I suspect the line will move up by tomorrow but someone please convince me not to take the Kings.

      Lastly, I'm looking at the Warriors/Clippers. The Clipps just got blown out of the water up in Portland and now they get to go home and face the Warriors, who are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. They've also won the last 2 meetings at Staples. No Monta Ellis for tomorrow but someone should be able to step in and fill that void. I will wait to see the injury report tomorrow as I could see Davis, Thornton, and Camby all missing again. Leaving the Clippers short handed against a team that loves to run, run, run isn't so good.
      Comment
      • Lets_Get_Money
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-10-08
        • 347

        #4
        Def Gonna Play 1Q and on the Hornets, Paul is one of the best players in the 1st Q, They'll Jump out to a big lead in the 1st Q.
        Comment
        • nonsense48
          SBR MVP
          • 12-15-08
          • 2927

          #5
          bookedphil-1 nyn-6 tuff weekend but all in all not so bad. lots of ups and lots of downs. tomorrow we'll do this thing of ours that we do again. good nite and good luck ck. type to you later my friend
          Comment
          • texhooper
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-05-09
            • 10001

            #6
            Originally posted by The_Kid
            I suspect the line will move up by tomorrow but someone please convince me not to take the Kings.
            haha...i hear you about the kings. but if it makes any difference, i can't find enough reason to pull the trigger on new orleans, so you may be on to something.

            utah is quite the public favorite against the hawks, but i like them to continue their home court dominance against the not-so-good-on-the-road hawks looking to wrap up a very underwhelming road trip. a very underwhelming road trip indeed, where they had to scratch and claw to make the jm thing happen in sacramento, and have failed to cover at all in any game so far since the break (lakers, kings, blazers, all on the road). i don't see how they turn it around in utah, one of the toughest places in the galaxy to play. oh, and they suck in utah--1-5 ats in last 6 in utah, and 2-9 last 11 overall. methinks the public is right on this one. utah -7.

            liking the warriors, celtics, 76ers, and maybe the knicks also. my curiosity is peaked by that ridiculous trend, plus it's just time for the pacers to come back down to earth after the granger injury. ny is hot in the garden these days, so i'll probably add them as well.

            edit-well, the hawks are a pc play. go figure.
            Comment
            • Ditaln1
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-26-07
              • 588

              #7
              I'm leaning on the UTAH ML for tomorrow's game. Utah has dominated Atlanta at home for years. The way Utah is playing ball, I don't think they will lose this game. A nice middle on this would be also to take ATL plus the 7 to cover the ML bet just incase. I believe UTAH will win, but ATL will cover the spread. Can make a nice double dinger.
              Comment
              • SportsTerminator
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-18-09
                • 5179

                #8
                DUDE their the KINGS l0l. That's y u don't pick them l0l. But the Kings and the Clippers just played yesterday the Warriors and Hornets had off. Their legs are tired. The Kings will be ajdusting to their new lineup. The Hornets recently loss to the Lakers and Utah and their hungry for a win. The Hornets have to much pride to lose l0l. The hornets played the Kings twice this season. One time in november (lost by 9) and the other in December (won by 9) both at New Orleans. New Orleans is the favorite by 7.5 You have to go with New Orleans.
                And you have to go with the Warriors. The Warriors blew OUT the clippers twice this season already. One in november (won by 18 at Clippers) and the other last month (won by 15 at Golden State).
                Parlay Moneyline... Utah, New Orleans, Golden State. Bank on It! 2/23
                Bet To Win
                Comment
                • cocknocker
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-06-08
                  • 8001

                  #9
                  Damn, curious is laying the wood! I thought that I had deep pockets, but he is the KING. Dude is throwing down on heavy favorite moneylines and taking the points on underdogs! He laid like 10 dimes on a moneyline parlay and won a easy 5 dimes and change.

                  Ditlan,

                  You have discovered the key to great money management! Hedging yourself is very key in this game of ours for longevity. I knew that i wasn't the only one doing that!
                  Comment
                  • Ditaln1
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-26-07
                    • 588

                    #10
                    Ha CK! I learned that from you bro. I read all the stuff you post on other threads too. My capping has has become a lot better from reading your threads. I thank you for that!
                    Comment
                    • cocknocker
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 8001

                      #11
                      Right on, Ditaln1. That is a very sound strategy for that game!
                      Comment
                      • texhooper
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 10001

                        #12
                        what am i missing on utah -7? it seems like everyone is thinking they will win but not cover.
                        Comment
                        • cnleaf
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-08-08
                          • 346

                          #13
                          NOH ML seems to be a decent play. With two loss in a row, NOH need this win to catch up with their opponents in a playoff run.
                          GS team total OVER seems good too, LAC absolutely no defense, two 140s from PHO is a proof.
                          Comment
                          • The_Kid
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-09-08
                            • 5049

                            #14
                            Guys, here is some important news from Rotoworld regarding Carlos Boozer's pending return on Monday.

                            Carlos Boozer is expected to play on Monday, according to the Salt Lake Tribune.

                            There's not a lot to this report other than the fact that he is expected to play, and that the Jazz would probably be putting Kyrylo Fesenko, Morris Almond, and Kosta Koufos on the inactive list. If he's playing, there's bound to be a bit more reporting, so stay tuned for a report with more details. Feb. 22 - 9:34 pm et

                            If Boozer comes back, that means minute mixing and that will definitely throw off Utah's offensive rhythm that they did have. Atlanta has actually covered the past 2 meetings with the Jazz and even went into Salt Lake last year and beat them straight up. Other than those past 2 meetings, the Jazz have historically owned the Hawks whether it be at home or on the road.
                            Comment
                            • texhooper
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 10001

                              #15
                              good info...i'm still going to play the jazz -7, minute mixing and all. i can't believe i didn't run across that. if i lose, i will know why, but i'll take my chances. thanks.
                              Comment
                              • pho3nix32
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-09-09
                                • 1465

                                #16
                                line: noh@sk+7.5
                                pick: noh-7.5

                                Both teams are having subpar ATS records so far this season. Thus, i'm taking the playoff caliber team over the lottery team tomorrow. The Hornets are currently sitting at the number 7 spot in the west which is rather dangerous knowing Utah and Phoenix are on their tail. Add that to the fact that they are behind the Texas Triangle teams in the Southwest. This for me, is reason enough to believe that the Hornets will take tomorrow seriously and rout the hapless Kings. The trade IMO makes the Kings weaker. They also play worst at home than on the road ATS-wise. Expect the Hornets to "sting" the crap out of the Kings tomorrow folks.
                                Comment
                                • maddogmadden86
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-08-08
                                  • 898

                                  #17
                                  hey CK this is about the time or if i had to put money on it id say about a week or two away from u and stylsitic from being able to nail the books and go on a craziy 60-4 run like we know u can brother, im waiting for u and the missus to get hot and no offense all i gotta say is i have been fasding missus who made me more money then anyone so pleae dont take it negative, but she hasnt been hitting shit for lately so i pick up a quick couple units but keep me posted with anything els
                                  Comment
                                  • pho3nix32
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-09-09
                                    • 1465

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cocknocker

                                    Boston+120 moneyline (projected)
                                    Atlanta+260 moneyline (projected)
                                    Atlanta+8 PC Play
                                    wow a pc play!
                                    Comment
                                    • texhooper
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-05-09
                                      • 10001

                                      #19
                                      wow...maybe i should lay off utah -7. i post a pick and it's counteracted by a goddamn pc play!!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • holdplz
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-05-09
                                        • 113

                                        #20
                                        What is a PC play?
                                        Comment
                                        • pho3nix32
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-09-09
                                          • 1465

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by texhooper
                                          wow...maybe i should lay off utah -7. i post a pick and it's counteracted by a goddamn pc play!!!!
                                          its not goddamn pc play tex...its thank God PC play
                                          Comment
                                          • texhooper
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-05-09
                                            • 10001

                                            #22
                                            well, i say that because i think this is a first, where someone makes a pick then the opposite side is later given the title of "pc play". it kinda makes you feel like a jackass. obviously i have missed something, or this minute mixing thing is really going to screw up the jazz.

                                            edit...it's probably not a first, but it's the first time i've noticed it.
                                            Comment
                                            • pho3nix32
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-09-09
                                              • 1465

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by texhooper
                                              well, i say that because i think this is a first, where someone makes a pick then the opposite side is later given the title of "pc play". it kinda makes you feel like a jackass. obviously i have missed something, or this minute mixing thing is really going to screw up the jazz.

                                              edit...it's probably not a first, but it's the first time i've noticed it.
                                              actually, at first glance, i was going for the jazz because of the emotional factor with "the passing of their owner" angle. but then PC play is PC play. gonna ride it tomorrow!
                                              Comment
                                              • dennisback
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-13-09
                                                • 650

                                                #24
                                                atlanta didnt win in salt lake in the last 16 years !! why should they today? utah is hot @ home im going on utah ML big !
                                                Comment
                                                • woodyman
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-27-08
                                                  • 389

                                                  #25
                                                  wow pc play, and its atlanta...
                                                  Utah is hot at the moment but i will ride the PC play
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pinnacle212
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-11-08
                                                    • 548

                                                    #26
                                                    Does anyone think we will get more points when or if the media announces Boozer's return.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • showtime2000
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-09-08
                                                      • 1054

                                                      #27
                                                      It was time for a PC Play!!!heehee......Nice looking card CK. Great points about Denver on b2b and travelling back playing Boston.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SmoothMojo
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 02-17-09
                                                        • 33

                                                        #28
                                                        Its good to know im not alone on the Hawks.
                                                        Booked Hawks+7 @ 1am. Came in here started looking over some threads and did not find one person thinking they can cover and I thought maybe I should take the $line when it comes out too! Staying off that for now though.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Karayilan9
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-10-09
                                                          • 3742

                                                          #29
                                                          CK Utah have been in great form @ home, why do you think this will change today? I'm just trying to work out your reasoning behind the pick.

                                                          GL today bro
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDownUnder
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 02-18-09
                                                            • 27

                                                            #30
                                                            Hi all,

                                                            Still thinking through my NBA picks, but I have a HOT tennis tip:
                                                            Florrent Serra to beat Jarkko Niemenen in ATP Delray Beach @ odds of 2.20 (+120)

                                                            Why? Serra beat Jarkko a few weeks ago, Jarkko has shown no improvement since, Serra has. Jarko just not the same since Aus open with his injury. Load up big on Serra.

                                                            BOL!
                                                            ______________________________
                                                            BigDownUnder record as at 23/2/09:
                                                            NBA: 3 - 0 - 0
                                                            CBB: 1 - 1 - 0
                                                            Other: 2 - 2 - 0
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dexter
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-24-08
                                                              • 25829

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Ditaln1
                                                              I'm leaning on the UTAH ML for tomorrow's game. Utah has dominated Atlanta at home for years. The way Utah is playing ball, I don't think they will lose this game. A nice middle on this would be also to take ATL plus the 7 to cover the ML bet just incase. I believe UTAH will win, but ATL will cover the spread. Can make a nice double dinger.
                                                              whats the moneyline - 300?

                                                              thats a crazy bet sir - yes, hedge yourself if you must.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #32
                                                                whoaaa - do i see a pc play? nice.....

                                                                i love playing utah at home (as we all know) but something in me couldnt pull the trigger with this game. now i know why.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDownUnder
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 02-18-09
                                                                  • 27

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Hi,

                                                                  Two more picks for me:
                                                                  Tottenham to beat Hull in EPL @ 2.20 (+120)
                                                                  Why? Hull punched above their weight at start of season but played at a much lower level more recently. Totenham MUST win to aid them in their battle against relegation, and they came into this game with great intent as they rested heaps of their players against Shaktener mid-week, so it´s clear their main focus is the Premier League. Great value on Totenham to win.

                                                                  NOH to beat Sac Kings SU in NBA (1.25) AND S Querry to beat G Canas in ATP (1.20)
                                                                  Why? Very confident on these two picks, form and overall quality. 1.50 is not great odds but i am so confident i will go double the size of my normal bet on this multi ($200 x 1.5 to win $100)

                                                                  Waiting for rest for NBA lines before making those picks
                                                                  ______________________________
                                                                  BigDownUnder record as at 23/2/09:
                                                                  NBA: 3 - 0 - 0
                                                                  CBB: 1 - 1 - 0
                                                                  Other: 2 - 2 - 0
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • suckatmyjob
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                                    • 785

                                                                    #34
                                                                    sorry am i missing something what's a PC play?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Monday - 2/23/09

                                                                      *double revenge* angle at work for the sixers, as the nets won both meetings su this year in philly. the road team is 13-3ats the last 16, and the sixers are 4-0 ats the last 4 in nj. projected line of -1.5.

                                                                      -sixers (big)
                                                                      ___________________
                                                                      *i am laying off the celtics side as yesterdays results for denver/boston did not do what i had hoped. billups and co. may want this game a bit more.

                                                                      with both the nuggets and celtics having tired legs from btb (and denver first home game after a long east coast trip) - under is the right call tonight. i feel with the celtics looking for revenge, factored in with tired legs for both - the game will be played at bostons pace. the line movement has been perfect, as 55% of the public is on the over, yet the total has dropped from 202 to 198.5 steadily. i was able to land 200.5 with one of my guys (shop around folks)

                                                                      under celtics
                                                                      Comment
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