Leans for Tuesday 1/19/09 CK vs. hoockeytown11 Challenge

SamsNCharge99 · 01-20-09, 12:15 PM

For all of you in the New Tourney
**broken link**

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 12:34 PM

Good luck, Dana4U,

With such strong feelings on this one it should pan out for you.

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 12:54 PM

DJ Premere36 hit me up with Duke 1st half-11, there is no moneyline assigned so far today. This play qualifies as a CK college basketball 1st half special! Get it boys and girls.

jalein · 01-20-09, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

DJ Premere36 hit me up with Duke 1st half-11, there is no moneyline assigned so far today. This play qualifies as a CK college basketball 1st half special! Get it boys and girls.

I am with you on it. Since you explained how you think through it, I am 2-0

vassman86 · 01-20-09, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

DJ Premere36 hit me up with Duke 1st half-11, there is no moneyline assigned so far today. This play qualifies as a CK college basketball 1st half special! Get it boys and girls.

CK, how well has this strategy been working out? I don't follow CBB but I can't say no to a good bet.

Dexter · 01-20-09, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Dexter,

I don't know about that one still. It sounds like wishful thinking instead of a solid pick. I could se if the Pacers ad had some sucess against the Spurs on the road in the past, but nothing I have seen indicates that the Pacers will be able to stop what San Antonio is doing offensively, and nothing that the Pacers are doing on offense indicates that they will be able to consistently get good shooting percentage against the Spurs. All of the jumpshots play right into the Spurs hands. They close out on shooters very well.

you're my mentor - you already know that. but as long as you're not going heavy or pc on me, i will have to stick with my first instinct. was going to play this one for 3 units, will now likely just do 2.

killersweet · 01-20-09, 01:31 PM

Freaking spurs have been 1-3 on their last four games for me. So I am staying away from them.
I only like the bulls tonight!

fusion · 01-20-09, 01:32 PM

hey ck what do you think of bulls at the line of -4.5 instead of 2.5?

Mr Handicapable · 01-20-09, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

The Spurs are poised to blowout the Pacers. Whenever the Pacers show up in Texas they blow them out. I don't see why anyone thinks that that is gonna chage all of a sudden. Over the last 4 times these teams have met in Texas the average spread for the Spurs has been 11.5 and the average margin of victory is 13.75. The line going down to 6.5 is a gift. Both teams are on equal amounts of rest. The Pacers for their part are surrendering alarming amounts of points, and it is still hard to believe that they "held" the Hornets to 103 points. Who's gonna stop Tim Duncan from getting ANY shot that he wants? Rasho Nesterovich? Jeff Foster? Give me a break. All of the Spurs smalls are championship grade smalls, and the Pacers, well they have Jarret Jackass and T.J. Ford, turnover specialists. The Pacers are a sub .500 team. We already know how sub .500 teams respond to losing close games. The Spurs are used to playing close games so it doesn't faze them one way or the other. They've been there before. They have the rings. The 6.5 is a gift to Spurs backers. When the smoke clears, Indiana will be on their backs.

CK,

With all due respect..my Pacers have covered 6 of 7 and I don't think losing a close one will faze them...they should be used to it by now! I agree Duncan will do whatever he feels like but our youth/speed will cause them trouble too! I like the Over but I'm scared of the side either way? I've hit over 65% on my bets involving Indy this year so maybe I'm onto something!

IrwinFletcher · 01-20-09, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Back to back heyheyhey, check out their margins on winning edge.com for this situation and get back to me.

Spurs over their last 20 back ends.. 14-6 SU/6-14 ATS 8-12 OU
Home 6-0 SU avg margin= 6.666; 1-5 ATS; AVG SCORE 101.3-94.6

Ind over their last 20 back ends. 6-14 SU AND 7-12-1 ATS
Away 3-12 SU avg margin= -12.25; AVG SCORE 111-99

Hmmmm.. looks good for Spurs backers here..

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 01:57 PM

Dexter, you are matched up with cheesehead004
non, you are matched up with NBA Hero
SPortNut you are matched up with hunt3rtheone
vassman86 you are matched up with diogee

Early odds

Home/Away

Dexter -.5 (-105) vs cheesehead004 +.5 (-115)(this one will be a squeaker)
nonsense48 -1 (-125) vs NBA Hero +1 (+105) (edge for 25 years of experience)
SportNut PK -110 hunt3rtheone PK -110 (can go either way)
diogee +1.5 (-115) vs vassman86-1.5 (-105) (road favorite vassman86 on hot streak coming into the playoffs, but home dogs are ALWAYS dangerous)

Good luck boys, I have side bets with Grumpy (PC Boy) on these particular matches for $100.00 apiece. That's on the real homeboys don't let me down.

I have Dexter, non, SportNut and vassman86 with those exact odds and spreads, no joking on that.

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 02:03 PM

vassman86, I have only lost 3 and won 10. That's a pretty good percentage. And Duke is known for blowing out fools anyway. I think that they may win it all this year if they can get past Louisville

SamsNCharge99 · 01-20-09, 02:18 PM

DEXTER----Here's the thread

New 32 Person Tourney...Rules, Schedule, Bracket

SamsNCharge99 · 01-20-09, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Dexter, you are matched up with cheesehead004
non, you are matched up with NBA Hero
SPortNut you are matched up with hunt3rtheone
vassman86 you are matched up with diogee

Early odds

Home/Away

Dexter -.5 (-105) vs cheesehead004 +.5 (-115)(this one will be a squeaker)
nonsense48 -1 (-125) vs NBA Hero +1 (+105) (edge for 25 years of experience)
SportNut PK -110 hunt3rtheone PK -110 (can go either way)
diogee +1.5 (-115) vs vassman86-1.5 (-105) (road favorite vassman86 on hot streak coming into the playoffs, but home dogs are ALWAYS dangerous)

Good luck boys, I have side bets with Grumpy (PC Boy) on these particular matches for $100.00 apiece. That's on the real homeboys don't let me down.

I have Dexter, non, SportNut and vassman86 with those exact odds and spreads, no joking on that.

what are my odds CK

SamsNCharge99 · 01-20-09, 02:23 PM

CK, you wanna handicap every match????

MexicanStallion · 01-20-09, 02:24 PM

I know this is more so for NBA and everything, but wondering if anyone likes Boston College +2 @G.Tech?

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 02:29 PM

SamsNCharge99 -1.5 (-110) vs 007Fatty (-110)

If you pull out to a lead I may have to apply live betting and make you more of a prohibitive favorite

SamsNCharge99 · 01-20-09, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

SamsNCharge99 -1.5 (-110) vs 007Fatty (-110)

If you pull out to a lead I may have to apply live betting and make you more of a prohibitive favorite

LOL, thx CK, wish you were in this as well.

You can check out the standings of every match up daily, I will have 16 threads for every match up, so check daily starting next sunday

JohnMorr08 · 01-20-09, 02:32 PM

I'm not on a side yet Mex- But I believe that BC is truly the better Team. They haven't won a game since they beat North Carolina. They came home and lost to Harvard, Miami and Wake... and then lost at V.Tech. They REALLY need a win here and I think Al Skinner rights the ship. If there is a prop bet for Tyrese Rice pts scored - Take the OVA.

I think I just talked myself into it.

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 02:34 PM

Mexican Stallion,

Georgia Tech should be favored by 3 according to power ranking numbers and with BC coming in off of 4 losses and Georgia Tech coming in off of 3 straight losses, this is shaping up as a battle of futility. But I always say that when two sorry ass teams are playing, you might as well take the points. This ain't a good game to wager on though, at least not for the 1st half of it. I would watch the first half and then take the team that is trailing...

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 02:35 PM

Good call JohnMorr, that would be a nice prop wager....

MexicanStallion · 01-20-09, 02:38 PM

Well I appreciate your feedback. I was looking to make a big play with something. I was leaning on BC or Penn State to cover

Dexter · 01-20-09, 02:40 PM

oh boy - tomorrow is the day miami comes back home after that grueling/long 7 game west coast trip - gotta love puttin your money on a team like boston.

shoebox · 01-20-09, 02:45 PM

ck throw me some odds for my match, homes?
Still on the road will still chime in from time to time

Have a good day fellas

MicGan · 01-20-09, 02:54 PM

I'm favoring Chicago but Chicago line from -2 to -4.5. I'm might just go with Hawks.

Spur will win at home but not by 8. Indy for me
Denver -10 ... I like Sac's chances. They need it .... gut feeling.

Dexter · 01-20-09, 02:56 PM

im sure this will be a popular pick among many - but i have to side with the cavs off a su loss tomorrow in port. 7-0 ats in that spot.

nonsense48 · 01-20-09, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

Well I appreciate your feedback. I was looking to make a big play with something. I was leaning on BC or Penn State to cover

take the over 208 indy/s.a. or vandy+1

Dfjay9 · 01-20-09, 03:01 PM

I'm all over BC Mexican.

I don't see them getting points. GT's FT shooting is horrendous.

nonsense48 · 01-20-09, 03:03 PM

those are the only 2 bb games i like this day. the 2 hockey games that hockey mentioned earlier plus the wings-1'. i think that i may just have a 3 teamer in hockey this eve. good luck everyone

hockeytown11 · 01-20-09, 03:17 PM

The Wings IMO and for what its worth I know them as well as my own children being season ticket holder for 12 years,are not a good play tonight,they reall struggle in road games out west following a loss. I cant bet against them cause they are just too good but tonight is a no play for me as I could easily see a loss or a 1 goal win. The Over might be worth a look.

Dexter · 01-20-09, 03:17 PM

now your betting the pucks non?!

hockeytown11 · 01-20-09, 03:19 PM

Is VANDY at home? I didnt check it out but if they are then thats a very very strong play. They usually beat TN at home even when TN is good.

akharlip · 01-20-09, 03:23 PM

hockeytown11
they are at home

you love your hockey plays tonight
i love the wild tonight ML
I dont care that 70% of the public on them

College Ball
Texas Tech should win easily
they had a sorry ass game and now they go home to play a sorry ass team ill lay the 10+ down

also like USF-5.5(DEPAUL SUCKS)

Illinois -7.5
Northern Illinois-4
Vandy PK

NBA
BULLS-3.5
PACERS +9(WITH HOOK)

jjusttiff · 01-20-09, 03:26 PM

pits over 5.5
utah
s.a -8.5 under 209
over 217 sac +9.5
san jose -1.5
chicago -3.5 over 200

few roughies...though never know...only doing for $10 to return $1700..

cocknocker · 01-20-09, 03:26 PM

shoebox

Sorry but, you must understand that you are a prohibitive favorite in your matchup, and you will have a lot of weight on your side. So with that in mind, you should blow out your competition, and I would have to give prospective bettors more incentive to take the underdog in this matchup, and try to discourage bettors from taking your side. This must be done to encourage money on both sides of the fence and give the underdog greater value than if a bettor were to lay their money on you. The math is simple; alittlemoresound doesn't wager as heavily as you do with respect to the risk amounts. There is great concern on my behalf as the linemaker because of this. You must get a Laker sized spread homes. I don't think that you will like your odds but here they are:

shoebox-2.5 -125 alittlemoresound+2.5 +105

Sorry, shoe, but I had to do it this way. You're really going to have to kick some ass to cover the number. It is what it is...