Leans for Sunday 1/18/09 Day 2 CK vs. hockeytown11

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #106
    Yes my line for Illinois State was projected. I already played them at 12 this moringin though, I need to reflect that change on my opening statements. The line actually came out at 12 on my book this morning. So I wasn't that far off in my projection.
    Comment
    • nonsense48
      SBR MVP
      • 12-15-08
      • 2927

      #107
      i think it may be because jp is see that ill st only won by 3 over missouri st 12/28 but i don't see that happening today...ill.st. by 15 this time. jmo
      Comment
      • Smacksmiter
        SBR MVP
        • 12-20-08
        • 1169

        #108
        Ok..here at the halftime of the Phoenix/Toronto game...they have scored 134 points in the first...just on principle...I am taking the UNDER 104 ...both are shooting high percentages and I do not see them keeping this up all game long..

        Course, I can always be wrong
        Small play of $200
        Comment
        • nonsense48
          SBR MVP
          • 12-15-08
          • 2927

          #109
          smack, neither one of these teams are playing much defense and i don't see that changing.
          Comment
          • nonsense48
            SBR MVP
            • 12-15-08
            • 2927

            #110
            ky covers...yes, congrats ky cashers 1-0 with 4 to go
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #111
              CK versus hockeytown11 Update

              Kentucky(-7.5) 68 Georgia 45 Cover for Kentucky

              Update of records

              CK 3-1-0

              hockeytown11 2-2-1
              Comment
              • nonsense48
                SBR MVP
                • 12-15-08
                • 2927

                #112
                ck, i tried to give him a hint to flip the switch on the georgia pick.
                Comment
                • peetlui
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-12-09
                  • 469

                  #113
                  Miami at +1 now
                  Comment
                  • Dfjay9
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-04-08
                    • 1576

                    #114
                    Ky cashes!

                    Pho is looking strong.

                    I might pull the trigger on Ill St small now. I'm not sure. Someone convince me?
                    Comment
                    • showtime2000
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-09-08
                      • 1054

                      #115
                      CK, what are your final plays on football today? Any chance you had a look at my assesments on the 1st half plays? Do i get ok and pull the trigger on them?
                      Arizona/phil over 1st half
                      Baltimore +3 1st half


                      btw, love BBQ! Looking outside my window and all i see is SNOW! I miss BBQ!
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #116
                        showtime, i haven't changed up anything. My plays are in roasthawg and my challenge page on the NFL thread.
                        Comment
                        • africanroller
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-30-08
                          • 936

                          #117
                          Ram I am with you on Bradley. 94% of the Public on S. Ill and the line dropped.

                          Completely confused on Illinois St right now thou. 71% of the public on them and they have dropped 2 points. Thats some serious RLM and it has been hitting at a very high % so far this year in college hoops.

                          SMS 2-7 ATS Last 9
                          SMS 5-17 ATS Last 22 Road Games
                          Favorite is 7-2 ATS Last 9 meetings

                          Maybe that 5 point win is making this line drop.
                          Comment
                          • jaymac82980
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-08-09
                            • 3416

                            #118
                            so does the RLM make you more confident on taking Illinois state?
                            Comment
                            • nonsense48
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-15-08
                              • 2927

                              #119
                              roller, that's what i think also. jp is just looking at the score last month. i don't think you'll see that score today tho.
                              Comment
                              • nonsense48
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-15-08
                                • 2927

                                #120
                                ck, can we get 28 pts in the 4th q? i think so.
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #121
                                  Of course they will get 28 points, nonsens48.
                                  Comment
                                  • fusion
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 01-17-09
                                    • 54

                                    #122
                                    hey ck, what are you plays in NFL again and which one is your favourite. cheers
                                    Comment
                                    • nonsense48
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-15-08
                                      • 2927

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by cocknocker
                                      Of course they will get 28 points, nonsens48.
                                      ck, my close friends just call me "non" and it's easier to type
                                      Comment
                                      • solobass
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-15-09
                                        • 1277

                                        #124
                                        ck, thanks for the over tip, my totals take a long time to figure out (lot of data) and i was not even looking at them today. i played suns ml and over parlay, thanks for shining some light on that for us! best of luck today everyone, it is time for some brew!

                                        Comment
                                        • wangichu
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-07-08
                                          • 946

                                          #125
                                          i like the thunder to get it done today... they are getting less and less points and still covering (see SU win against detroit). Line moved from +2 to -1 even with public money on d-wade's crew

                                          OKC PK

                                          football wise, i dropped a c-note at +450 on the eagles to make the superbowl at the start of the playoffs so i will be sitting and hoping here. I think the cards might cover, but i really think the eagles should win SU.

                                          small hedge on zona ML

                                          as for Pitt/BAL, i really think that if baltimore was a winner here they would have given them less points and a lower ML because vegas stands too lose a lot of money of an SU victory by the ravens, yet while the line opened at -5 (like it did for the giants against the eagles) the movement went in the opposite direction, for the steelers. They didn't cover a comparable spread in pitt earlier this year and have yet to cover against the ravens. I think the ravens are too sexy now and given the pitt offense, no amount of flacco or mcclain can compare to the steeler offense running full steam, and with defenses comparably even, i see pitt having a decent advantage. Also, the whole thing about teams who win 2 against their division opponent during the regular season win the third 11 of 18 times, so i'm safe to assume that the rested steelers (who have had two byes since the raven's last one) have a historical advantage as well.

                                          PITT -6
                                          Comment
                                          • nonsense48
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-15-08
                                            • 2927

                                            #126
                                            CK, i think we can cash this one. thank you brother
                                            Comment
                                            • jaymac82980
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-09
                                              • 3416

                                              #127
                                              Roller, nonsense, did you guys also lock in the illinios state game. CK, i think you said you took it at -12?
                                              Comment
                                              • milesxxx
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-18-09
                                                • 36

                                                #128
                                                Do you guys think Illinois St. can win the game SU? I read that shane laury is out today w/ a broken hand for missouri state.
                                                Comment
                                                • nonsense48
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-15-08
                                                  • 2927

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                  Roller, nonsense, did you guys also lock in the illinios state game. CK, i think you said you took it at -12?
                                                  jay, i took it at -12'...comfortably
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cocknocker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                    • 8001

                                                    #130
                                                    jaymac, i got them at -12, with no cut because I am in a challenge. if I wasn't in a challenge, i would have layed them at -11.5 to getunder the key number. Mizzou State is not as good as in years' past. Good luck on it!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jaymac82980
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-08-09
                                                      • 3416

                                                      #131
                                                      I got -10.5 right now. Looks like linesmakers want people to think +12 was too many points to give Missouri?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #132
                                                        non, your ticketis cashed, you're just waiting for the game to end now...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #133
                                                          Alright then jay play them at -9.5 and get under that 10 mark
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nonsense48
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-15-08
                                                            • 2927

                                                            #134
                                                            so far 2-0 with 3 to go to bring home the big dough
                                                            Comment
                                                            • milesxxx
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-18-09
                                                              • 36

                                                              #135
                                                              Is it a lock that illinois St wins this game straight up?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sloanie29
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-03-08
                                                                • 111

                                                                #136
                                                                i took Ill St this mng at -13...think im in trouble with that?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nonsense48
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-15-08
                                                                  • 2927

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                  non, your ticketis cashed, you're just waiting for the game to end now...
                                                                  congrats CK...YES
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jaymac82980
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                                    • 3416

                                                                    #138
                                                                    my book doesn't let me buy points. I know I know, get rid of the local, but I like the old fashion way, where I get cash every week. No taxes to claim, no waiting for international checks to arrive. My local has a pretty nice website, so i dont make phone calls, and the lines are based from an offshore book, so they are pretty fair in comparison to other books.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nonsense48
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-15-08
                                                                      • 2927

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by Sloanie29
                                                                      i took Ill St this mng at -13...think im in trouble with that?
                                                                      nope...i capped it at ill.st. by 15 and i'm sure ck had it capped at about the same.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • LUNT101
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 03-12-07
                                                                        • 919

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Alright guys, I'm stayin off of NBA today. I'm leaning Thunder but told myself that I'm going to wait for the full card tomorrow and focus on the CARDINALS today.

                                                                        Arizona +3.5 (Big)
                                                                        Arizona ML (Small)

                                                                        GL everyone.
                                                                        Comment
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