Leans for Sunday 1/18/09 Day 2 CK vs. hockeytown11

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  • Dfjay9
    SBR MVP
    • 12-04-08
    • 1576

    #71
    Nonsense - lets get Ky!
    Comment
    • peetlui
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-12-09
      • 469

      #72
      Originally posted by Dexter
      i mentioned this yesterday - vegas has adjusted for the hot ats thunder. tonight they are asking them to win su - they dont do that very often. i could make a case for both sides here, so this is a no play for me. esp after my bad read on the heat yesterday.

      the thunder are lucrative catching lots of pts - not the case tonight
      Good morning Dexter, I just noticed that you're a Brooklynite. So am I. Anyway getting back to the game in their last two the OKC did beat the Pistons and the Jazz both of which have simmilar records as Miami, and they beat them rather handily. Coming into this game beating their chests as the aggressors, they just might be able to do the same to a fatigued road weary team looking forward to a couple of grueling games coming up. I do like your nfl plays today, Ive been leaning that way all week. Also the Celts have really done me justice the last couple of games and I'll be riding them on Monday. I appreciate your opinions and wish you the best of luck.
      Comment
      • GreatDanes52
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-12-09
        • 297

        #73
        ck im a little confused with the first half no money line bets. How exactly does that work? Are you on Rhode Island first half or Fordham?
        Comment
        • SamsNCharge99
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-22-08
          • 41244

          #74
          Originally posted by cocknocker
          Sams N Charge,

          You don't think that Phoenix is running into a buzz saw up in Canada this morning? I don't know if it is a good idea to go against a team that has lost 3 or more games in a row such as the Raptors. Maybe the Phoenix moneyline might work a little better than taking the points.... With you on the Cards though, and I think that the media has lost sight of the fact that there is another team that will be playing today,lol!

          The last game by the Suns I saw was against Denver the other night. I do believe they should have won that, but messed up in the end. They were leading most of the game and just couldn't finish it out.

          Toronto on the other hand are still looking for everything to come together. They cannot get anything going all at once. They will win like 2 in a row, then lose 4 or 5 in a row. They are currently riding a 4 gm losing streak, but the Suns also have a 2 gm skid.

          I know when both teams are playing not up to expectations, you should take the road dogg. But, in this situation, I'll take the team who can at least put up big points like the Suns. Scoring 100
          + in at least 5 straight winning 3 of them. I'll take the Suns over still an inconsistent Raptors.

          I'll take the ML big...Thanks CK....I'll take the points for a smaller bet.
          Comment
          • DevilDog
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-27-08
            • 190

            #75
            Well I am glad a little info. came out regarding The Morrison System!! Don't feel sorry for the dude at SportBettingChamp. That is all I am going to say on this matter.

            Now Ck!! Phoenix might be running into a buzz saw but damn...it is hard to go against a system that is hitting about 80% on the first game!!

            The ONLY reason I am not loving the Eagles as much as I did earlier in the week is because of you!! LOL. Arizona beat a mediocre Atlanta team and then basically had Delhomme hand them a win last week. Arizona has played well, give them credit, but they are running into a different beast today.

            I do think the last game mattered between these two teams. I doubt the Eagles will blow them out but I can easily see a Philadelphia win by seven or more.
            Comment
            • solobass
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-09
              • 1277

              #76
              dex and peetlui good analysis on okc mia game. vegas needs to get some money back from the thunder and will do so here i believe.
              Comment
              • zackattack
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-06-08
                • 218

                #77
                ck, i respect your plays and your knowledge and posting your picks is fine......but, do we have to listen to all the other crap? you may just be getting a little too sensitive to every guy who doesn't back you or your picks. yes its your thread but you have to admit the tone of this thread has changed drastically in the last few weeks, and we can all do without the trashing of each other.
                Comment
                • nonsense48
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-15-08
                  • 2927

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Dfjay9
                  Nonsense - lets get Ky!
                  jay9,ky should blow georgia out of the water by DD's. let's hope so. good luck
                  Comment
                  • showtime2000
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-09-08
                    • 1054

                    #79
                    Ok, hoping to contirbute more come Wednesday as i am switching from DSL to Cable and hoping this will rectify my problem from connecting to this site on a consistent basis.

                    Here's my plays for today NFL,

                    Arizona +3.5 (tail CK on this as he's been hott)
                    Baltimore +6 (Pit 1-4ats last 5 championship games)

                    Still debating,
                    Arizona/Philadelphia Over 1st half 23.5(both teams combined have scored more than 24 points all season combined and given up at the half)
                    Baltimore 1st half +3 (Baltimore has led the past 3 games going into the half)
                    Baltimore/Pittsburgh Over (just look at PIT's past in playoffs and most games have gone Over)


                    Will post NHL later, but looking at Edmonton ml and Over, Calgary/Colorado Under, and Columbus/Vancouver UNder. Roller, wahtcha got in NHL bud?
                    Comment
                    • nonsense48
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-15-08
                      • 2927

                      #80
                      Originally posted by solobass
                      dex and peetlui good analysis on okc mia game. vegas needs to get some money back from the thunder and will do so here i believe.
                      i think the books made a ton of $$$$$$$$ on the thunder covers.
                      Comment
                      • solobass
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-09
                        • 1277

                        #81
                        just parlayed suns ml and the over 208, my model has suns winning by 2-3 points with decent probability. also about the tone on this board, certainly i am one who appreciates vigorous debate. groupthink is the sure trail to disaster for all.
                        Comment
                        • SportNut
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-16-07
                          • 1984

                          #82
                          Over 208 for me.
                          Comment
                          • solobass
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-15-09
                            • 1277

                            #83
                            Originally posted by nonsense48
                            i think the books made a ton of $$$$$$$$ on the thunder covers.

                            sadly i think you are right, even though cleveland (27) and orlando (27) are the only teams to have more wins ATS than okc. trends like that you just gotta see! it broke my heart to take okc ml against my pistons but hey it is what it is.

                            Comment
                            • GreatDanes52
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 297

                              #84
                              JohnnyP... SO youll be taking Rhode Island -11 first half?
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #85
                                cavs have won their last 2 visits both su and ats at the lakers. tomorrow, they should be catching about 3.5 pts, and i'll ride with king james in that spot.

                                -cavs (1/19)
                                ________________
                                the bobcats have been playing good ball recently, but the spurs simply own them in charl. 4-0 su/ats the last 4 visits winning by an avg margin of 14ppg.

                                -spurs (1/19)
                                Comment
                                • solobass
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-15-09
                                  • 1277

                                  #86
                                  also for miami backers, the heat are 10-9 with 1 push on the road, and okc is 12-9 with 1 push at home. most of okc ats wins have been on the road.

                                  my book has yet to post a ml for this game as 90% of $ is on mia +1
                                  Comment
                                  • johnnyP
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-06-08
                                    • 305

                                    #87
                                    Quick stat before tip off - Suns VS Raptors

                                    As of 1-14-09

                                    Toronto Raptors win 71% of 1st quarters
                                    Phoenix Suns win 56% of 1st quarters

                                    Toronto then only wins 35% of 2nd Quarters
                                    While Phoenix wins 50% of 2nd quarters.
                                    Comment
                                    • johnnyP
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-06-08
                                      • 305

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by GreatDanes52
                                      JohnnyP... SO youll be taking Rhode Island -11 first half?
                                      Yes, already locked in.

                                      It has been a very successful play lately. Take the first half favorite to cover in any NCAA-B that does not have a first half moneyline posted.

                                      GL
                                      Comment
                                      • solobass
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-15-09
                                        • 1277

                                        #89
                                        dex, i am not sure on the spurs/bobcats game as of yet, i will take another look tomorrow. how my capping/modeling goes is i have to have a certain amount of lineup/substitution stability and with diop being added and available i am not sure how his minutes (however few or many they may be) will affect this game. i anticipate he will be used to guard duncan 1 on 1 so bobcats can use less weak side help on interior D. again i will revisit tomorrow and hope for more info coming out of charlotte. bol today!

                                        Comment
                                        • GreatDanes52
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-12-09
                                          • 297

                                          #90
                                          thanks Johnny lets cash in
                                          Comment
                                          • cocknocker
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-06-08
                                            • 8001

                                            #91
                                            zackattack, I don't care what people play, and i am sure that you know that by now. My people may care, but i don't. I just lay em and let the chips fall where they may. This thread is totally open enterprise, and what's funny is that from listening to others on the thread sometimes I change my play becaue of what they say when they contribute. I have days where i don't even make picks of my own and take the readers' picks, so looks like you made a moot point, and i would like to know what is "all the other crap" you're talking about? Please go back to any thread and find where i had a problem with what any person played in contrast to mine..I have a lot of class, yuo're out of pocket with what you allege.i love diversity and i have written essays on that particular subject, and even altered the way i do things to encourage others to come up with plays of their own for the benefit of the boad, and I might say that we have some spectacular handicapping going on (yourself included) when the bashers aren't doing their thing.

                                            I have made a point on all the things that i felt like making points on, and once again whether you like it or not, you are new to the thread, and i love your style, and i even used some of your picks on the open dates, but I am conversing with the people, and i can converse with you as well. If someone finds that what yo and I are talking about isn't useful, then that's their problem. In this case it seems to be your problem. But I can live with that. We talk about personal issues, stocks, societal needs, banking, etc here. That's just how it is here in the CK Mafia lounge. When someone bashes me, the Mafia does what they are here to do. I am sorry if you don't like it, but once again, this is our soil. I actuallu like constructive debate which is what is going on. So if you come here to this particular thread YES YOU DO have to listen to all of the other crap. Now getting back to YOUR favorite subject...

                                            I have Phoenix/Toronto over 209.5

                                            Illinois State-13 today

                                            I still got love for ya...What do you have today?
                                            Comment
                                            • cocknocker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 8001

                                              #92
                                              Miami is notgetting sponsorship from my main man BigMoney, and he is going to go the other way on that one and back the Thunder, which is a wise pick, as the Thunder have been playing some darn good ball laltely, and the Heaters are on the back end of a back to back. The trip from Oklahoma City from Houston is a short one so I expect for the Heaters to probably win the 1st half with the carry over effect working in their favor, but fade out in the 2nd half, which i feel will go under any total that th linemaker comes up with.

                                              nonsense48,

                                              I don't know about Kentucky in that one. hockeytown11 may have the rigth call on that one, as Kentucky is due for letdown after the great win at the Vols home floor. What is their record in second games of road trips. Could somebody supply the board with that information? At any rate, it just looks too easy to take Kentucky in that game for some reason...

                                              I have to get downstairs and fan the flames down a bit so that my tri-tips don't get burnt up and crispy. Mom's coming over today an I must have it correct, or else I will suffer her wrath, lol! Be back in a few minutes, guys. Let's get some handicapping done! The day is still young and there are all kinds of plays to be played!
                                              Comment
                                              • nonsense48
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-15-08
                                                • 2927

                                                #93
                                                so far ky is rolling...yes
                                                Comment
                                                • nonsense48
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-15-08
                                                  • 2927

                                                  #94
                                                  CK, with ky today i went on strength of schedule in past 10 games of both teams and conference standings and i capped it ky by DD's.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ram1502
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-26-08
                                                    • 822

                                                    #95
                                                    Minnesota absolutely owns Northwestern the past 2 seasons...going 4-0 SU in those games. The Sagarin rankings have Minnesota sitting at #28 in the country while Northwestern is cool chilling at #65 in the country. Above all else, Minny is catching 2 points in this game. Maybe a trap, but sign me up.

                                                    -----> Minnesota + 2.5 (hook buy)


                                                    Bradley catchings points in the Missouri Valley conference? Something is wrong with this picture. After losing both games last season to Southern Illinois both SU and ATS, the Braves have already righted the ship, so to speak, with a 79-63 beatdown of the Salukis earlier this year at home. Bradley should win the Missouri Valley outright this season, and while the road to that title doesn't necessarily go through Saluki land, the Salukis are a small bump in the road. I fully expect Bradley to win this game outrigth, but give me the points just incase.

                                                    -----> Bradley + 4.5

                                                    Both Portland St and Northern Colorado played well in their last games out. Portland St dismantled the #4 team in the Big Sky, Idaho St, beating them 85-58 @ home, while Northern Colorado beat Eastern Washington 75-68 @ home. Now the conference leading Portland St Vikings travel to Northern Colorado in somewhat of a Big Sky showdown. The Bears from Northern Colorado could make up some much needed ground in the Big Sky race with a win here, but in the end Portland St will prove to be way too much in this game. I see Portland St blowing out Northern Colorado. A quick look at the Sagarin rankings show Portland St sitting at #102 with Northern Colorado @ #241. Blowout city. I'm laying the short number on the road in this conference showdown.

                                                    -----> Portland St -3.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • johnnyP
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                      • 305

                                                      #96
                                                      Phoenix Suns VS Toronto Raptors Live Stream on JustinTV

                                                      Comment
                                                      • nonsense48
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-15-08
                                                        • 2927

                                                        #97
                                                        i got it live on cbc-hd out of canada
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nonsense48
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-15-08
                                                          • 2927

                                                          #98
                                                          70 pt. 1st q...very nice
                                                          Comment
                                                          • peetlui
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-12-09
                                                            • 469

                                                            #99
                                                            Wow CK your over is lookin sweet so far, 70 pts in just the first quarter.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Smacksmiter
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-20-08
                                                              • 1169

                                                              #100
                                                              Can you post your link to that , Nonsense? thanks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smacksmiter
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-20-08
                                                                • 1169

                                                                #101
                                                                Phoenix shooting 72% and Toronto 61% in the first quarter....HOT HOT HOT...

                                                                Just cant keep that pace up...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nonsense48
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-15-08
                                                                  • 2927

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Smacksmiter
                                                                  Can you post your link to that , Nonsense? thanks
                                                                  my link to what?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Luv2Poker
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 01-03-09
                                                                    • 173

                                                                    #103
                                                                    CK- Was your Ill St. (-13) a projected line? Reason being, im seeing it @ -11
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nonsense48
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-15-08
                                                                      • 2927

                                                                      #104
                                                                      his was projected. i got it at 12' and it has come down
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Smacksmiter
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-20-08
                                                                        • 1169

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Nonsense, I thought you said that you were watching the Phoenix/Toronto game on a computer link...but now Im thinking its regular broadcast TV so.. nevermind

                                                                        I am now seeing Illinois St at -10.5...line dropping ...any news on this?
                                                                        Comment
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