Leans for Thursday 1/8/09

[zackattack]

butler up big already!

[Dexter]

thanks DEX. which way did you go this eve? BTW...KILLER AVATAR. i thought the thunder would be getting more than the posted +7' tomorrow

gators and the over, knicks....

yeah, figured it was time for a new look....

that line seems about right to me - the thunder are a great ats team. vegas knows that...

[africanroller]

Lets go Gators

Montreal -170

[danrman]

im going under medium on the big game neutral on the side.. check w/ me at halftime

[africanroller]

whos hitting Oklahoma? Line just dropped from 6 to 4.5

[vassman86]

adding NHL - Calgary Flames PL -1.5 -103

[zackattack]

whos hitting Oklahoma? Line just dropped from 6 to 4.5

down to -4........now thats some late money!!

[Netprofit]

Florida wins but Oklahoma covers - public loses most of the time in BCS!

Play for the middle.

Predict Score: Florida 38 - Oklahoma 34

[t-bone]

Florida/Okla Over 69.5 (should be lots of scoring early)

Spurs/Clippers Over 181.5 (opened at 185, I'll take my chances this low)

[jjusttiff]

i still have 185.5... wat you think? risky? or take the line?

[africanroller]

Big sack, punt away

[maddogmadden86]

curry is back i like that knicks will roll

[The_Kid]

Let's go Spurs!! They're giving up easy baskets to this garbage Clippers team

[The_Kid]

Combine all of this information with the fact that the Clippers have had 1 day off before this game while the Spurs have had 2, and you're looking at a blowout first quarter for San Antonio.

*San Antonio 1Q -4

It looked like a good pick to me too but it looks like the Clippers don't want to roll over tonight.

[wangichu]

whos hitting Oklahoma? Line just dropped from 6 to 4.5

got down to 4 on the greek.. i just thought to myself... "think of all the dumb oklahoma homers you know who just sit there and talk about how amazing their team is, ala pittsburgh/dallas fans. Guys like that will throw heavy money on their team independent of research or analysis. I really expected that, but probably too much as i should have hit it at -3, i just felt like it was better to wait until i had done ample research.... anyways, florida lookin good early...

here we go gators here we go!! **clap clap**

[strybie]

Spurs play real bad ... got them at -13. Think they still able to cover ?

[wangichu]

Florida wins but Oklahoma covers - public loses most of the time in BCS!

Play for the middle.

Predict Score: Florida 38 - Oklahoma 34

i agree with you conceptually, but i think that too much of florida's money is on them -3 ish and most of OU's money will be on them +5 or +6, so that would be disasterous for vegas. If florida backers lose money, it'll be on an SU OU victory or a flukish 1-2 point game.

[nonsense48]

that was a march for okla

[Netprofit]

Todays ESPN bottom line go against picks!
espn makes a point of showing the scores of the last games played between nyk/dal and lac/sa
they note last game dal beat knicks by 10 and that spurs only won by 3over clips .......so if i were to go against what i think they are trying to tell me, this would back both of CK'S picks in the nba......knicks +8 and sa -13

college baskets and nhl picks:

espn points out that xavier has 16 straight wins in conference play.....i'll take stl +15.5
espn points out in cbb that butler has lost 7 of last 10 meetings with wright st.....take butler -10
espn touts iowa tonight in cbb since they have beaten minn 4 straight and 7of 8 at home.....take minn +2.5
espn touts minn in nhl going for their 3rd straight shutout so i will take the flyers -160
espn writes that phx has been shut out in 2 straight games and 3 of 5 so i will back phx here phx -155
espn points out that the islanders have lost 13 straight road games.......i will take isles but with +1.5 goals
espn points out that anaheim goalie has allowed only 1 goal last 2 games......give me la kings -125
espn touts det as being 4-0-1 last 5 at home against dal......so i will take dal ml and +1.5 goals
espn touts carolina's 4 game win streak.......so i will take florida -120
ok this reverse espn plays are still new but did go 5-1 last night ....if you like any of these i would suggest going small until we get a better feel, especially in the nhl when taking big dogs like isles and dal

thats it for now.......i will look for more college plays as the afternoon goes on

zackattack, great innovative input regardless of how it works out going forward. I do not know overall result right now but I have used Minn, Butler, Flyers, Florida and they are hitting.

I think we can all work to refine this progressively. For example, I think more weight should be given to those where it is considered BIG GAMES, and more weight should be given when they are shown LIVE ON NATIONAL TV.

[maddogmadden86]

wow what a goal line stand!

[zackattack]

netprofit, thanks and glad to see your doing well........i think the only games i will have to watch closely are the big dogs in hockey......i am only worried about the islanders and dallas, like all the other plays. if florida hangs on the plays are 4-0 so far tonight

[ragiche]

Ant thoughts of whom gonna play the 2nd half?

Lac/Sas-8.5 or Nyk/Dal-7.5

[wangichu]

SA -8.5 2nd half... the books want us of the spurs that's why there's a hook on the 8, but come on now... spurs will win by 8 at least.

[cocknocker]

I just took San Antonio-3.5 4th quarter

[strybie]

I just took San Antonio-3.5 4th quarter

in my sportsbook they are -5 ??

[jalein]

Florida looking lost on Defense.

OU may live to regret not taking the 3 pts when on the 1. Though I cant argue the call, to NOT make the score can take some mental wind out of the OU sails.

Tebo needs to relax, and calm down and Florida damn well better establish the run and GRIND those OU tricks up or else they will be playing to OU's strength

[The_Kid]

Clippers are shooting over 50% and the Spurs are shooting under 40%. The Clippers should be up by a lot more. I expect (and hope) the Spurs come out with a little bit more urgency in the second half. It looks like they're just going through the motions on offense and defense. Too many turnovers and stupid decisions in the first half. I'm going with the Spurs -8.5 for the second half.

[strybie]

just hope they will cover 13 points .. but they will have to play better and hope clippers shoot under 40% in second half.

[nonsense48]

What a game!!!!!

[nonsense48]

cfb, looks like the under is a lock in this one

[cocknocker]

Florida-3 2nd half

[vassman86]

I must say, I expected much higher scoring I'm on the over for the game, which is looking quite grim at this point.

[wangichu]

I must say, I expected much higher scoring I'm on the over for the game, which is looking quite grim at this point.

make some money back with the halftime over 33... these offenses both play strong in the second half.

[vassman86]

Lucky me, my book didn't take down the second half lines for the Spurs game. So, I took a look at the score and it's Spurs 10-0 to start the half! Put down a nice wager on Spurs 2H -8.5

[vassman86]

I'll tail you on the second half over 32.5