Leans for Thursday 12/18/08

[cocknocker]

shoebox,

Yup. I never play a game on a key number if I don't have to. I don't allow the linemaker to make my spreads for me.

[ManBearPig]

im just hoping to get this pho game and maybe come out even today. I didnt lose or win maybe as much as you guys but its still money and I'd like to maximize my plays...tomorrow is another day and another chance to learn.

I believe that saying was... "fool me once, shame on — shame on you. Fool me — you can't get fooled again."

[jamesrg]

Interesting jamesrg,

The Jazz have beaten the Pistons at their own place three straight times. Kind of had to do it 4 times in a row. And the spread is really low too. This is Utah's third road game. I think that you may have given me the inspiration to try the Pistons one last time... I'll have to check the stats on what teams do when they have already lost to an out of conference team 3 straight on their home floor.

In my opinion Detroit is undervalued now because they haven't been good latley (think NY Giants)....And therefore the spread is soft.

Jazz are still good but not quite at the level they were at last year...At least not right now.

[innovator]

MBP i liked your nhl picks the other day..solid picks.

[CTS5]

What you guys feel on the 2nd half for the suns game. I feel like this suns offense is running on a short fuse, and portland will tap it in the 2nd. What yall think?

[wangichu]

in the KG era, the celtics have only failed to beat the bulls by 12 points ONCE and that was in chicago last year, where they won by a measely 11

[Spoon]

I don't need to cap the Detroit game to know it's either the Jazz or no play. I believe Boozer practiced today so perhaps we will see him against Detroit.

[Devon]

Wang, wasn't that at Boston, not Chicago last year?

[jamesrg]

I don't need to cap the Detroit game to know it's either the Jazz or no play. I believe Boozer practiced today so perhaps we will see him against Detroit.

Me and you keep having this same conversation about the Pistons and i've cashed them twice in a row now

Don't underestimate home court and the fact that Detroi't slump looks to be more over with by the day.

[wangichu]

Wang, wasn't that at Boston, not Chicago last year?

nope

DEC 8 @CHI 92-81

[Spoon]

Me and you keep having this same conversation about the Pistons and i've cashed them twice in a row now

Don't underestimate home court and the fact that Detroi't slump looks to be more over with by the day.

Trust me, if you cashed them twice then I'm happy for you. However, I like money and don't see the point throwing it away.

[wangichu]

POR -4 2nd half, you firing CK?

I'm kinda thinking about the under 103.5, almost counterintuitive, but i just can't see this pace keeping up... plus if blazers come back or suns blow them out... either way less scoring

[jamesrg]

Trust me, if you cahed them twice then I'm happy for you. However, I like money and don't see the point throwing it away.

So how is taking a team that gets more and more removed from their slump , at home against a team that isn't very good on the road with a soft spread throwing away money ?

[cocknocker]

Oh wow, with a line of 4.5 for the second half, I will have to jump the fence and take the Suns second half, as the linemaker doesn't think the Blazers are gonna cover for the game. Small play though but I hav to flip flop

[Spoon]

Over 103 for me please...

[wangichu]

Oh wow, with a line of 4.5 for the second half, I will have to jump the fence and take the Suns second half, as the linemaker doesn't think the Blazers are gonna cover for the game. Small play though but I hav to flip flop

i think they just knew how much money was going to come in on the suns second half... that halftime spread went from -4.5 at -110 to even money, then down to -4 at -105 ... also heavy public money on the over 103.5 driven up to 105... i decided to run a small fade the public parlay on POR -4, UNDER 105 ... could be throwing money away, but phoenix and over just seemed far too obvious to me and from the way those lines have been moving the public is POUNDING both phoenix and the over

yeah, you may be right CK, but i just think that the books knew that heavy money would come in on the suns and had to offer that low enough to get some on the blazers

[oso]

Ck I travel to India and the far east on business! I am going back in February. I am jumping on the C's! I read yu post about styles, what is funny abut that is I am 40 and my girl is 13 years my junior as well. Sorry to hear about your Uncle. I think you ar ein Oak town I am always in the Bay on business. We should get a drink sometime. Your thread blew up while i was gone 5k a day!

Keep it up! I usually go 500 a game how close it this to a PC play, thinking about dropping a couple of dimes??

peace out

[Spoon]

So how is taking a team that gets more and more removed from their slump , at home against a team that isn't very good on the road with a soft spread throwing away money ?

Are you kidding me? Last game was the only game that actually played decent in the last half of the game. The 4 games prior to that they had serious meltdowns in the second half. You're basing this statement, ..."a team that gets more and more removed from their slump," on the outcome of one game. I don't want to discourage you, but this is how I feel. GL and I hope you cash it if you play the game.

[Kingctb27]

You will bounce back tomorrow. Phoenix is too good with J-Rich.

[cocknocker]

Oso,

The PC Play is on Saturday with the Ravens+anything

[ManBearPig]

WTF is going on in this PHO game!!! You guys can't guard one guy???

[cap]

Does anybody taking ravens ML?

[africanroller]

NHL = 3-1.

Man its nice to stay away from the College floor and win

[cocknocker]

cap,

I am. In addition to the spread.

[cap]

Ok,cocknocker,I am following your NBA picks and you made me some money allready.Thanks a lot.Waiting for your leans for Friday.

[Broncos9798]

CK,

What is the reason that you are so big on the Ravens? I need to do some research on this game tonight and want to know what your looking at.

cap,

I am. In addition to the spread.

[Broncos9798]

LOL....Steve Nash missing a layup just won me a unit......that is insane.....

[Spoon]

Woah! This day has been incredible for me in the gambling arena. I am almost speechless.

I hope everyone did well today.

[TheLock]

I tailed you on the PORTLAND pick CK

Fantastic contrarian play you made tonight

Nice work sir

And thank you Mr Nash also

[ManBearPig]

LOL....Steve Nash missing a layup just won me a unit......that is insane.....

...and Nash missing cost me...what a shi$$ty roll.

[shoebox]

Good job fellas!!

[Broncos9798]

I find sports gambling so amusing when the payout comes down to a completely unnecessary and pointless play.....especially when it is garbage time(not that it was tonight)

...and Nash missing cost me...what a shi$$ty roll.

[shoebox]

If nash makes that layup phoenix fouls and blazers still cover there was still plenty of time on the clock for a foul

[Broncos9798]

Questions For Tomorrow,


What is everybodys thoughts on Cleveland coming Denver.....I am born and raised Denver style and a huge fan(hopefully I get to so see this game). The public has to see Cleveland getting points and bet this hard....so Im defiantly waiting till like 10 mn before game time to bet.....who do you guys like?

[shoebox]

Questions For Tomorrow,


What is everybodys thoughts on Cleveland coming Denver.....I am born and raised Denver style and a huge fan(hopefully I get to so see this game). The public has to see Cleveland getting points and bet this hard....so Im defiantly waiting till like 10 mn before game time to bet.....who do you guys like?

Bronco,

Ill be attending the game and I would not touch it with a ten foot pole!!!!