Leans for Thursday 12/18/08

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  • wangichu
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-07-08
    • 946

    #71
    Originally posted by cocknocker
    Western Kentucky Nipple Suckers it is. I don't think that I have ever even heard of them. That's how you know it's a good wager. Wow, and they even beat the Cards? They must be something else...
    they're the squad that knocked off drake last year in the NCAA tourney... courtney lee, the rookie from the magic, was drafted out of WKU
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #72
      That's a bunch of hogwash! It's the cab drivers story versus his. I say that this doesn't even make it to court. Unless of course he was filmed punching him. Then we would have something...
      Comment
      • ManBearPig
        SBR MVP
        • 12-04-08
        • 2473

        #73
        Well I show the line going up from 4 to 4.5 which is up not down and it only was .5 pt(if you see 4.5 to 4) which isnt enough to really convince me. This game is starting to bother me. I'm not sure with this one so I think I'm gonna pass.
        Comment
        • tdotcotez
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-11-08
          • 135

          #74
          I didnt say bet the farm, small play
          Comment
          • joanapoker
            Restricted User
            • 12-09-08
            • 2275

            #75
            Originally posted by cocknocker
            Money management, boys and girls. No need to exceed even when you've got it to do so. It's a marathon. Not a sprint. We've got some idiots with only $3000.00 wagering $500.00 a game. That's not good...

            CK,

            about money management (with poker I've learned the value of money management, but I just don't know how I should manage my money wagering at NBA), I've about 10k available at my sportsbook and I'm doing from $100 to $250 bets...but sometimes I feel I should bet deep, and end up by making $400-$500 bets....70% of them I've lost....and the regular bets, the $100-$250 have a wealthy 57% return! What am I doing wrong? I know that you sometimes bet more if you feel that the game willl turn an easy win/cover. Any new advice to me?

            thx very much
            Comment
            • BmoreBucco
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-10-08
              • 278

              #76
              Colts now -5.5 with total down to 43.5, everyone still convinced Colts are the way to go? Weird movement on that game...
              Comment
              • cocknocker
                Restricted User
                • 11-06-08
                • 8001

                #77
                BmoreBucco,

                There is no 5 point play in football. The Colts still have to beat the Jags by a touchdown, which they will. Relax and watch the game. Collect your money when it's over. Or leave it alone. You seem to have hesitancy about this game. Never do a wager without confidence.

                tdotcotez,

                My line IS reverse, as I have Drexel+3.5 at Greek.com. I swear...

                joanapoker,

                You are correct in your amounts. Keep on stacking with $100.00 to $250.00 wagers, and stay away from $500.00 wagers until you get to $15K, which with 3 games a night, won't be too long from now with your success rate. Don't forget to treat yourself to a lottery bet (parlay for $25.00) every now and then. Your step out, or highest wager at this point should be $370.00, or a $350.00 wager with a $20.00 insurance. Explained further if you do bet a $370.00 wager remember to tether/cover that wager with a small play for the moneyline for the other side if you are wagering on the favorite.

                For instance, say you take the Cavs-12 playing against the Bulls with a corresponding moneyline of -600/+475. You would put your $370.00 on the Cavs, and a $20 play on the moneyline for the other side (Bulls+475) just in case the unspeakable happens and the Bulls win the game outright, it won't be a total loss.

                Once you get to that $15,000.00 mark, you can then start betting $500.00 a game with ease and still feel good in the morning if you lose $1500.00.
                Comment
                • Spoon
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-21-08
                  • 592

                  #78
                  Final NBA Plays

                  Orlando -2
                  Suns +6

                  GL Fellas
                  Comment
                  • Spoon
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-21-08
                    • 592

                    #79
                    No, CK, you have Drexel @ +4.5
                    Comment
                    • BmoreBucco
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-10-08
                      • 278

                      #80
                      You're right, probably gun-shy because the 5.5 beat me with the Doldhins game Sunday. Colts it is...
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #81
                        Spoon,

                        Correct, when I made my play the line was 4 and naturally I bought a hook and made my line 4.5. BTW, what the hell is this schools' mascot?
                        Comment
                        • Spoon
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-21-08
                          • 592

                          #82
                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                          Spoon,

                          Correct, when I made my play the line was 4 and naturally I bought a hook and made my line 4.5. BTW, what the hell is this schools' mascot?
                          "Mario the Magnificent" lol
                          Comment
                          • joanapoker
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-09-08
                            • 2275

                            #83
                            thx very much CK for your advice on money management!

                            FINAL PLAY TODAY COLTS-6

                            no confidence on the NBA 2night!
                            Comment
                            • jalein
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-19-08
                              • 1005

                              #84
                              Originally posted by Spoon
                              Could you define "haters?" Please don't tell me your definition is someone who has a different opinion on the outcome of a game. We're all on the same side when it comes down to it so relax, partner.
                              Dont sweat it Spoon. You maybe jumped a lil bit early bro. CK took my post the way it was intended. I dont EVER throw dirt.....especially cyber dirt. It takes too much energy and things get blown way out of proportion when people are anonymous sitting behind a computer. My interest is making money. Any efforts anywhere else is...well....counterproductive.

                              Since you asked, my definition of a "hater" is someone that complains when they tail another's play and NEVER offer anything of use to the board other than to chime in and bytch when losses occur.
                              Comment
                              • jalein
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-19-08
                                • 1005

                                #85
                                OK. what the hell happened to my avatar? Yoda aint throwin his "force-juice bolt" no more. Now, all of a sudden, I feel...........uneasy
                                Comment
                                • BigMoneyMan
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-14-08
                                  • 925

                                  #86
                                  OK gents here is my card for tonight.

                                  In the NBA I am taking the Suns +5.Portland is in disarray right now and the Suns are gelling.... excuse me the last time they beat them home or away? I will take the points with a revamped team and Richardson getting some points now.

                                  Orlando game is tough and could go either way. You have Orlando coming home after a long road trip but conversely a old worn out team on a BTB. Spurs are horrible on a BTB because there OLD. I will wait until half and see if Howard is mixing it up and if so bang Orlando.

                                  I also am playing North Texas and Iona in College Hoops.

                                  As far a NFL I would lean toward Jville as a spoiler division game and all. But as horrible as they are this could be a tight game or a complete blowout so no play.
                                  Comment
                                  • BigMoneyMan
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-14-08
                                    • 925

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by jalein
                                    dont sweat it spoon. You maybe jumped a lil bit early bro. Ck took my post the way it was intended. I dont ever throw dirt.....especially cyber dirt. It takes too much energy and things get blown way out of proportion when people are anonymous sitting behind a computer. My interest is making money. Anything efforts anywhere else is...well....counterproductive.

                                    Since you asked, my definition of a "hater" is someone that complains when they tail another's play and never offer anything of use to the board other than to chime in and bytch when losses occur.

                                    amen!!
                                    Comment
                                    • strybie
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-08-08
                                      • 588

                                      #88
                                      Suns and Magic : single and double

                                      For both games I also take the under

                                      Think we will get two good games
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #89
                                        Taking the Spurs 3rd quarter -1.5 for sure!
                                        Comment
                                        • CTS5
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-02-08
                                          • 223

                                          #90
                                          CK, spurs are shooting 29%, while magic are shooting 39%. You think spurs turn it up in the 2nd half and take over? Magic always let teams keep it close. Spurs -3.5? What you think?
                                          Comment
                                          • ediamonds2001
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 01-12-08
                                            • 65

                                            #91
                                            under 98.5 2nd half spurs/magic



                                            looks to easy but so did over 93.5 last night on celtics and i sweated that out to the end

                                            shooting is just miserable and a tired spurs team in the first half is also tired in the second half not to mention they shot poor last night

                                            even if they pick it up a little it wont be enough
                                            Comment
                                            • Spoon
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-21-08
                                              • 592

                                              #92
                                              Under is the play here for me... you meant under 93.5 in the SA/NO game, right - not Celtics.
                                              Comment
                                              • jalein
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-19-08
                                                • 1005

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Spoon
                                                Under is the play here for me... you meant under 93.5 in the SA/NO game, right - not Celtics.
                                                nice call. get that money. I took NO and brought a 1/2 pt. CK has me sold on the key number thing and on your recommendation, I took the under too. Preciate it. Its all about bustin the books.
                                                Comment
                                                • SamsNCharge99
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-22-08
                                                  • 41244

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                                  All over orlando
                                                  DO WORK

                                                  6 Straight NBA wins
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cocknocker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                    • 8001

                                                    #95
                                                    Forgot to post it, BigMoney and I took the Colts 2nd half also
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cocknocker
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                      • 8001

                                                      #96
                                                      I got my third quarer San Antonio bet, so at the very least I would lose $250.00 on the game now. But i think that they can still get a cover. The Magic are notorious for third quarter melt downs. just ask BigMoney. he lives there and knows for sure.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • strybie
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-08-08
                                                        • 588

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                        Taking the Spurs 3rd quarter -1.5 for sure!
                                                        That was a close one
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tjtjtj12
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 12-06-08
                                                          • 25

                                                          #98
                                                          indy d looking like $hit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ManBearPig
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-04-08
                                                            • 2473

                                                            #99
                                                            man I'm glad I'm not playin with big money because I do some stupid shi$. Guess I gotta learn the hard way.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • isiah121
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-04-08
                                                              • 313

                                                              #100
                                                              Did San Antonio over -1.5 3rd quarter? Sorry I missed that part.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tjtjtj12
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 12-06-08
                                                                • 25

                                                                #101
                                                                i'm officially giving up on indy.... now down 10
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #102
                                                                  isiah121,

                                                                  I don't know, I didn't pay attention to the total, my bad..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ManBearPig
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-04-08
                                                                    • 2473

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Nelson is killing the spurs...not the spurs I've come to hate.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cocknocker
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                                      • 8001

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Oh well, the Spurs were a little more tired than I anticipated and it showed in their play. But at least it was only a $250 loss with the 3rd quarter bet won. So what! Bring on the Blazers!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cocknocker
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                                        • 8001

                                                                        #105
                                                                        C'mon Colts! Let's do it!
                                                                        Comment
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