Leans for Wednesday 12/10/08

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  • CTS5
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-02-08
    • 223

    #106
    CK, it's true they still have their core, but diaw and bell were pretty critical to suns' success. And, I also saw how the trade affected the bobcats against the hornets (major blowout). If i had to choose first half i would probably go with phoenix +8. However, taking the trade into account, and the lakers pist off after last night, it would be quite a gamble in my opinon. Regardless, good luck with your bet.
    Comment
    • Sloanie29
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-03-08
      • 111

      #107
      im on suns +8 1st half small
      Comment
      • oso
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-11-08
        • 44

        #108
        ck what about nuggs -10.5 for second half
        Comment
        • The_Kid
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-09-08
          • 5049

          #109
          Oh no, are we going to get a backdoor cover by the scrubs from Charlotte?
          Comment
          • Devon
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-25-08
            • 371

            #110
            Originally posted by The_Kid
            Oh no, are we going to get a backdoor cover by the scrubs from Charlotte?
            Easily done by the Hornets! Cashed in.
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #111
              The Hornets did their best to give the cover away, but Mo Pete saved us. The Bobcats had it down to 13 at one point, geez...
              Comment
              • cocknocker
                Restricted User
                • 11-06-08
                • 8001

                #112
                Denver's line doesn't include a win. Minnesota is the play if you have to take it
                Comment
                • cocknocker
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-06-08
                  • 8001

                  #113
                  Okay maybe I may have been a little wrong about the Nuggets 2nd half, but I didn't give it any thought. There are too many things going on right now for me to have given it full attention. but not to worry. I am studying right now for tomorrow's action. We only have three games on tap, and obviously with the trade, Charlotte is cancelled out now as that was going to be one of my plays, although I think I might can make a play for them to go under the team total, especially since they played short handed tonight. Those guys also have to fly from New Orleans to Dallas to play a game against the Mavs who are coming off of a double overtime game, and no practice today. This game looks like an under call (Charlotte and Dallas).
                  Comment
                  • killersweet
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-08
                    • 1483

                    #114
                    Ok CK, just need GST to come thru. Then it would be an awesome nite:-)
                    Comment
                    • tee401
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-01-08
                      • 14

                      #115
                      CK,

                      2 won already, 1 more!!!! to go

                      Go Go Go G.W!!!!!!
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #116
                        Phoenix has a YMCA Club team on the floor, lol! All that I wanted to do was get back my $100.00 for my Phoenix moneyline play. At least they are amusing to watch playing against real professionals. What would be ideal is if the Suns played the first half close and then I can take the Lakers in the 2nd half to pulverize them if the spread is right.
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #117
                          I can't believe it. The YMCA Boys got the 1st half ats win for me! Absolutely wonderful. Now I won't sweat the little petty cash I will lose on the moneyline play!
                          Comment
                          • Devon
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-25-08
                            • 371

                            #118
                            What are your thoughts on the second half CK?
                            Comment
                            • wangichu
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-07-08
                              • 946

                              #119
                              things that will happen in the 2nd half:

                              -lakers will stop playing such terrible defense
                              -kobe will not miss 4 straight open looks
                              -kobe (if not other lakers) will attack the hoop
                              -walton will see MUCH less playtime
                              -ariza will see more playtime (MUCH better defensive intensity, energy and ability to attack the basket)
                              -suns will get tired

                              LAL -7 2nd half
                              Comment
                              • Sloanie29
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-03-08
                                • 111

                                #120
                                CK, great call on suns 1st half....great night so far....cmon GSW! ill sweep the night if they come thru..i have them +5.5 in my tease.

                                2nd half thoughts on lakers?
                                Comment
                                • vassman86
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-11-08
                                  • 1042

                                  #121
                                  Anyone thinking of middling their under 216 for the game, with the over 105.5 for the 2nd half? Nearly a 10pt middle to work with
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #122
                                    Okay, we have to throw out all of the noraml numbers for the 2nd half, as Phoenix is short handed. So what I believe will happen is that the Lakers is that they will come out in the third quarter and lay the wood. Then Phoenix will win the 4th quarter. So what I am going to do is to take Phoenix+2 4th quarter as they are the number 2 defensive team in the 4th quarter in the NBA.

                                    Phoenix+2 4th quarter played with fun money for turds and giggles
                                    Comment
                                    • Garso
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-27-08
                                      • 162

                                      #123
                                      GSW 2h line -1 total: 109 thoughts?
                                      Comment
                                      • BigMoneyMan
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-14-08
                                        • 925

                                        #124
                                        MY BOY IS ON FIRE RIGHT NOW!! I for some reason have been out of sync either because of work, stress, lack of sleep or a combo of all three. Time to saddle up and ride the big bronco for awhile. I am going to take a break and regroup until I can devote some real time in capping and get my grove back. It happens every once in awhile and you need to know when to trust you brothers in arms and not yourself. GL
                                        Comment
                                        • billcat
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 09-21-08
                                          • 59

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                                          Okay maybe I may have been a little wrong about the Nuggets 2nd half, but I didn't give it any thought...
                                          When the line went out above 10 I laid off as well. Long season and all that, gl.
                                          Comment
                                          • DaProfessor23
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-07-08
                                            • 1180

                                            #126
                                            TY ck , i went with that spurs/hawks Under and i won it . i did have the +5 from my teaser to help but i prob wouldn't have picked it if you didn't suggest it .my 6 game teaser is about to hit .
                                            Comment
                                            • Sloanie29
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-03-08
                                              • 111

                                              #127
                                              lakers (-4) 3Q small
                                              Comment
                                              • vassman86
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-11-08
                                                • 1042

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by BigMoneyMan
                                                MY BOY IS ON FIRE RIGHT NOW!! I for some reason have been out of sync either because of work, stress, lack of sleep or a combo of all three. Time to saddle up and ride the big bronco for awhile. I am going to take a break and regroup until I can devote some real time in capping and get my grove back. It happens every once in awhile and you need to know when to trust you brothers in arms. GL
                                                CK is truly on fire I think everyone that visits this thread is grateful for your insights, detailed write-ups, and contribution to this site
                                                Comment
                                                • The_Kid
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-09-08
                                                  • 5049

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                  Okay maybe I may have been a little wrong about the Nuggets 2nd half, but I didn't give it any thought.
                                                  Didn't see Melo going off for 30+ in the quarter either. Got to give him props though.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cocknocker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                    • 8001

                                                    #130
                                                    I am leaving the Warriors game alone however, but here are the number for those who are interested

                                                    Golden State home defense
                                                    3rd quarter 29.63
                                                    4th quarter 28
                                                    total 57.63

                                                    Milwaukee road defense
                                                    3rd quarter 22.64
                                                    4th quarter 29.63
                                                    total 52.27

                                                    advantage Milwaukee 5.36
                                                    advantage Milwaukee
                                                    Milwaukee road offense
                                                    3rd quarter 24.86
                                                    4th quarter 24.43
                                                    49.29 total

                                                    Golden State home offense
                                                    3rd quarter 26.13
                                                    4th quarter 28.00
                                                    total 54.13

                                                    4.84 advantage for Golden State

                                                    overall a .52 or half point advantage for Milwaukee

                                                    with a 2nd half spread of Milwaukee -.5 the advantage lies with the Bucks

                                                    However, the moneyline for Golden State is +100 and everyone knows how much I love even money bets...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • showtime2000
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-09-08
                                                      • 1054

                                                      #131
                                                      the under in 2nd half looks real good in LA/PHO.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #132
                                                        I swear, the Suns better not win this game. the Lakers are horrible if they let a shorthanded team with only 8 players win. I will be joyous however too, because if i can win a dime off of a hundred dollars that would be very nice, God willing!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cnleaf
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-08-08
                                                          • 346

                                                          #133
                                                          SUNS with the lead.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The_Kid
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-09-08
                                                            • 5049

                                                            #134
                                                            CK, Phoenix has their first lead of the night. That wager on the Phoenix ML has a strong possibility of hitting. The Lakers can't figure out the zone Phoenix is playing and they're letting them hang in way too long. Nash just hit his first shot of the night too. Imagine if he gets it going in the 4th quarter...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BmoreBucco
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-10-08
                                                              • 278

                                                              #135
                                                              CK,

                                                              Any leans for tomorrow yet? Just checking because I'm headed to the other side of the world in a few hours, so putting my action in early today. Your analysis has been eye-opening and it is much appreciated. Good luck to all tonight and tomorrow.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • IrishGuy82
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-24-08
                                                                • 236

                                                                #136
                                                                Again CK, where do you want me to send half of everything I make off of your picks? As you can see, I am not a huge bettor right now (financial issues limit my wagers) but between tonight and last night, you have helped get me +13 units. Your book must hate you! Another great night, thanks!

                                                                4 Team Teaser #130625771
                                                                Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
                                                                (706) Philadelphia 76ers +12 Wed@8:05p
                                                                Competitor705) Cleveland Cavaliers
                                                                Teased 4.5 points

                                                                Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
                                                                (710) New Orleans Hornets -8 Wed@8:05p
                                                                Competitor709) Charlotte Bobcats
                                                                Teased 4.5 points

                                                                Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
                                                                (711) Atlanta Hawks vs. (712) San Antonio Spurs Under 193½ Wed@8:35p

                                                                Teased 4.5 points

                                                                Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
                                                                (717) Phoenix Suns +17 Wed@10:35p
                                                                Competitor718) Los Angeles Lakers
                                                                Teased 4.5 points

                                                                Risk US$ 30.00 to win US$ 75.00
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cnleaf
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-08-08
                                                                  • 346

                                                                  #137
                                                                  back to earth, SUNS down, but I was shocked to see laker's defense. I can only say it can not be worse.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tee401
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 04-01-08
                                                                    • 14

                                                                    #138
                                                                    CK, i think your house must be very clean coz this is another night that your call hahahahahaa
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • showtime2000
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-09-08
                                                                      • 1054

                                                                      #139
                                                                      CK, again another amazing nite! Thank You! Congrats!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cnleaf
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-08-08
                                                                        • 346

                                                                        #140
                                                                        WAS is gonna come up with a show tomorrow. Watch out!!!
                                                                        Lets go WAS
                                                                        Comment
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