I really don't like the line movement here and I've been thinking about it all day whether to hedge or not. As soon as pinny moved to -5 at -113, I knew I needed to hedge out. I lose 0.1 units but the bright side is if I want to later, I can go ahead and just put in NY +5.5 but I doubt I will. I have a 4 unit play waiting on Denver -3 but if not, I'm ok with taking -3.5.
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#73
Went ahead and locked in the -3.5 for 4x (A1 and A3) for Denver. Isn't looking good so far. I just don't think this Denver team is the same team as before. Their three point shooting isn't even close this year with Afflalo and the short corner 3. Oh well, every team makes a run.
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#74
2-2 (Units 4-6)
-2.3 units
YTD 40-32-4 (Units 46-44-5)
-0.07 units
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#75
11/16/12
Utah +1 1x
Memphis NY Over 191 2x
Portland -2 2.5x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#76
Portland Houston over 198 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#77
Dallas +2 1x
Golden State pk 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#78
3-2-1 last night (Units 4-2-2)
+1.9 units
YTD 43-34-5 (Units 50-46-7)
+1.83 units
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#79
Locked these in last night (while drunk which needs to not happen again lol)
LAC/Chicago under 195 1x
Nola +7.5 2x
Denver/SA over 200.5 1x
Cleveland/Dallas over 200.5 2x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#80
3-1 (Units 4-2)
YTD 46-35-5 (Units 54-48-7)
+3.73 units
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#81
NY/Indiana Under 187.5 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#82
penetrate i penetrating missed another system play. blah.
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#83
Portland -2 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#84
Lakers -7 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#85
Lakers over 206 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#86
4-0 Today
YTD 50-35-5 (Units 58-48-7)
+7.73 units
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#87
11/19/12
Utah -6.5 2x (A1)
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#88
Indiana/Washington over 180 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#89
Atlanta/Orlando under 186 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#90
Golden State +5.5 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#91
4-0 tonight +5 units
YTD 55-35-5 (Units 63-48-7)
+12.73 units
Wow! I needed this so bad after an awful week of college football. Phew. After looking at how I'm doing and how my reads are, I think my goal is for a 35-40 unit season but honestly, since this is my first thread, anything positive is great season. Just trying to learn my way through BR management and how to correctly judge value in order to increase units. Good luck everyone!
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#92
11/20/12
Lakers over 208 1x
New Orleans/NY under 186.5 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#93
Gonna go square and take Knicks -7 1x
BOL everyone
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#94
Got lucky in the Nola game but it's already come back to hit me... 36 point quarter after a 113 point half. Oh well, still have a chance.
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#95
Almost got lucky with overtime but oh well. 2-1 tonight so never gonna argue with a positive night. Keep on grinding.
YTD 57-36-5 (Units 65-49-7)
+13.68 units
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#96
11/21/12
Spurs/Celtics under 195.5
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#97
Dallas/NY over 195 2x (A4)
Got Charlotte as A3 but wanna see if i can get it at -2
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#98
Charlotte -2.5 2x (A3)
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#99
Minnesota +2.5 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#100
GS Over 194.5 1x
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#101
GS -2.5 2H 1x
I hope this will be the only time I make a second half bet because I really don't like chasing like this but I'm chasing a chase basically. Blah. Rough night with the Charlotte game and the New Orleans game. Not to mention watching Minnesota choke their way through the second half. Also after beating the closer by 3 points in the Boston game and that game flies way over. Just a rough night. I guess I had it coming for how I've been running but still. Rough. Good luck everyone and hope everyone else did better than me.
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#102
Oh shit. I just realized I never posted 3 of my picks. penetrate. Well they went 1-2 anyway so don't think anyone will complain that I add them to my record. They were Hornets +7.5 1x, Miami over 204 1x, and Boston +1 1x.
Glad I got the last two to hit so I guess the luck evened out tonight.
4-5 (Units 5-6)
YTD 62-42-5 (Units 70-55-7)
+12.38 units
Comment
wguan2
SBR Wise Guy
02-13-11
814
#103
11/23/12
Clips -2.5 2x
Golden State/Denver over 201.5 1x
Lakers/Memphis under 200 1x