LAS VEGAS--5mike5

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  • Slimpickens
    SBR MVP
    • 10-28-12
    • 2030

    #211
    Knowing sportsbook.ag they will have the odds reposted in about a half hour or so. Very interested too see how the odds shift.
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 52000

      #212
      And thanks.

      Plenty of times early plays don't pan out. Lol. Mostly on favs but either way u less I use 1 as a cover ill addon bets. I usually don't keep maxing on openers more than 1-2 times u less I just love them. And those are usually favs not longshot early plays

      Only matters if they win though. But either way I look at it I was betting both no matter what, so I saved money either way and will a lot more so there's no down side really. But will addon for sure still on. Both
      Comment
      • Slimpickens
        SBR MVP
        • 10-28-12
        • 2030

        #213
        Originally posted by 5mike5
        17/1 is where I started on him.

        20/1 on Edwards.


        rolled the dice on a few and paid off. Still gonna bet them more but I'm gonna get a great # on big play. Won't be using either for my cover either which I do sometimes if early play turns out awful or just bet at worse odds sometimes and let it roll with my gut
        That a great price on Joey. No way he see's double digit odds. Probably will be 3rd choice now.
        Comment
        • Jmac926
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-20-10
          • 251

          #214
          Originally posted by Slimpickens
          That a great price on Joey. No way he see's double digit odds. Probably will be 3rd choice now.
          Agree jj,brad,joey,khane top 4 id say
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 52000

            #215
            Originally posted by Slimpickens
            That a great price on Joey. No way he see's double digit odds. Probably will be 3rd choice now.
            Those 2 and kahne were my openers this week. All I have so far. I think for this week it worked out pretty great odds wise.

            I mean Carl Edwards has 2 wins here and 3 straight top 5 finishes here at Las Vegas. Opening @ 20-1 was WAY off imo so no way I wasn't taking that.

            Joey lolano was just my gut sleeper this week and liked what he opened at too
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52000

              #216
              Originally posted by Jmac926
              Agree jj,brad,joey,khane top 4 id say
              I think Edwards will be top 4-5 easily as well.

              if not I think any1 is crazy to leave him off here @ 12/1 or worse range
              Comment
              • Jmac926
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-20-10
                • 251

                #217
                After qualifying this race seems more wide open than i had thought coming into this week. other than jj,brad and probably joey, i dont think any one else should be single digits.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52000

                  #218
                  I honestly though Logano should have opened worse. It's no like he's been very strong here but that wasn't at Penske and he really tore these cookie cutters tracks in cup most of last season. Without looking his best finish is 6th or 7th so he hasn't finished even top 5 but only 5-6 races here in cup I think total
                  Comment
                  • Jmac926
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-20-10
                    • 251

                    #219
                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                    I honestly though Logano should have opened worse. It's no like he's been very strong here but that wasn't at Penske and he really tore these cookie cutters tracks in cup most of last season. Without looking his best finish is 6th or 7th so he hasn't finished even top 5 but only 5-6 races here in cup I think total
                    I think it has more to do with he only has 2 cup wins more than anything. I dont count that first win he had at NH lol he had a 34th place car that day
                    Comment
                    • WolverineFan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-12-10
                      • 1299

                      #220
                      Im coming from NC bout hour half away..I been comin to both races for many years now
                      Comment
                      • Slimpickens
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-28-12
                        • 2030

                        #221
                        Gotta love Sportsbook.ag. They open there odds with minimal changes. Only big change I see is Bowyer at 8-1. Edwards still 20-1. Kenseth is still 8-1 but that has to change. Kahne is up to 12-1.
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 52000

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Jmac926
                          I think it has more to do with he only has 2 cup wins more than anything. I dont count that first win he had at NH lol he had a 34th place car that day
                          Yeah but he got about 10x better when he made the move to Penske last year. I think he wins multiple races this season alone. Was like a totally different driver. Best season he's had by far and I look for even better of a season this year
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 52000

                            #223
                            Originally posted by WolverineFan
                            Im coming from NC bout hour half away..I been comin to both races for many years now
                            That's cool.

                            Wish we we could have met up b4 but I didn't know any other guys were going. Maybe this august
                            Comment
                            • uncle vinny
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-02-13
                              • 385

                              #224
                              Gotta love this race. Mgm has no clue...3 over 10 -130. They have owner prop and penski in field. And hendri k + 180. I come every year for the money making oppurfinityz....lets get that fall race
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 52000

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Jmac926
                                After qualifying this race seems more wide open than i had thought coming into this week. other than jj,brad and probably joey, i dont think any one else should be single digits.
                                yep this race always looks wide open going into Sunday...

                                =big paydays usually
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52000

                                  #226
                                  when i go to Vegas, nascar is the 1 sport i still bet offshore because 99% of the time the odds are so much better...not to mention the over whelming -Ev for the options they offer offshore, that vegas never offered...they have got some better, but its still not up to par with offshore....at least not most offshore places but especially dimes
                                  Comment
                                  • SubjectMatterExp
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-12-13
                                    • 433

                                    #227
                                    Vinny can you sneak a pic of the posted board for nascar at mgm and post? Id like to show a guy i play poker with
                                    Comment
                                    • uncle vinny
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-02-13
                                      • 385

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                      when i go to Vegas, nascar is the 1 sport i still bet offshore because 99% of the time the odds are so much better...not to mention the over whelming -Ev for the options they offer offshore, that vegas never offered...they have got some better, but its still not up to par with offshore....at least not most offshore places but especially dimes
                                      Matchups and props..agree win odds very bad. As they should be
                                      Comment
                                      • uncle vinny
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-02-13
                                        • 385

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by SubjectMatterExp
                                        Vinny can you sneak a pic of the posted board for nascar at mgm and post? Id like to show a guy i play poker with
                                        Who u want
                                        Comment
                                        • SubjectMatterExp
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-12-13
                                          • 433

                                          #230
                                          Just the whole light board
                                          Comment
                                          • 5mike5
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-21-11
                                            • 52000

                                            #231
                                            Nothing like the ol' sportsbook light board. Nothing better when u arrive and walk through the doors and see it. Lol. At least I always like it
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 52000

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                              Knowing sportsbook.ag they will have the odds reposted in about a half hour or so. Very interested too see how the odds shift.
                                              Hey slim.

                                              Meant to ask ask up this a few weeks ago. I happened to watch a new TV series and thought about you, because I know u love the ponies. Have u caught the show called " horseplayers" yet?

                                              All about like 5-6 fellas that handicap horses and play in horse racing handicapping tournaments across the country @ the big parks?
                                              Comment
                                              • uncle vinny
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 08-02-13
                                                • 385

                                                #233
                                                Not smart enough to take pic..
                                                Comment
                                                • SubjectMatterExp
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-12-13
                                                  • 433

                                                  #234
                                                  What da fuk?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • uncle vinny
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-02-13
                                                    • 385

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by SubjectMatterExp
                                                    What da fuk?
                                                    Im old dude..got a samsung 2 days ago..thats wtf
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Slimpickens
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-28-12
                                                      • 2030

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                      Hey slim.

                                                      Meant to ask ask up this a few weeks ago. I happened to watch a new TV series and thought about you, because I know u love the ponies. Have u caught the show called " horseplayers" yet?

                                                      All about like 5-6 fellas that handicap horses and play in horse racing handicapping tournaments across the country @ the big parks?

                                                      Yep, I have seen the 1st 5 episodes thus far. I enjoy it. I never have been that big on playing big money tournaments like those guys do.

                                                      Speaking of horse racing if you guys are near a tv at 7pm EST should tune in to watch the Santa Anita Handicap which will be shown on fox sports 1. The 1st and 2nd place finishers of the Breeders Cup Classic Mucho Macho Man and Will Take Charge will meet as well as Game on Dude the favorite in the Breeders Cup classic. Should be a terrific race featuring the best horses Dirt horses in the US.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SubjectMatterExp
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-12-13
                                                        • 433

                                                        #237
                                                        What model samsung? I got a little side prop with him but need the proof and nothing better than someone at a casino in vegas getting me the pic
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52000

                                                          #238
                                                          ..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 52000

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                                            Yep, I have seen the 1st 5 episodes thus far. I enjoy it. I never have been that big on playing big money tournaments like those guys do.

                                                            Speaking of horse racing if you guys are near a tv at 7pm EST should tune in to watch the Santa Anita Handicap which will be shown on fox sports 1. The 1st and 2nd place finishers of the Breeders Cup Classic Mucho Macho Man and Will Take Charge will meet as well as Game on Dude the favorite in the Breeders Cup classic. Should be a terrific race featuring the best horses Dirt horses in the US.
                                                            Remind me and I'll bet a longshot or 2 for fun with $5 bucks or something on them. I like watching a big race a few times a year.

                                                            i just put a reminder on my TV for it too
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Slimpickens
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-28-12
                                                              • 2030

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                              Remind me and I'll bet a longshot or 2 for fun with $5 bucks or something on them. I like watching a big race a few times a year.

                                                              i just put a reminder on my TV for it too

                                                              Here is a link to the pp's of the race if anyone wants to check them out. One of the 3 I mentioned earlier are extremly likely to win. Not a great race to take a longshot IMO. But you never know.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • homervdoh
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 12-17-09
                                                                • 40

                                                                #241
                                                                Idk if this is the right forum for this but what percentage of your bets do you guys make prior to practice/qualifying and what % on race day? I never bet anything prior to the day of the race and im sure its costing me a little but betting before they unload always feels like trying to look into the future without a crystal ball
                                                                Comment
                                                                • reigle9
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-25-07
                                                                  • 17879

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                  17/1 is where I started on him.

                                                                  20/1 on Edwards.

                                                                  kahne +975.
                                                                  Why don't you post them after you have your bets in? I was all excited to follow the nascar threads this year but it seems kind of pointless.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 52000

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by reigle9
                                                                    Why don't you post them after you have your bets in? I was all excited to follow the nascar threads this year but it seems kind of pointless.
                                                                    becuase last year it killed the odds if I even mentioned I was gonna play somebody. Ill post then early and see what happens next week from Bristol, but it was starting to cost me $. The book knew people were following them and they over adjusted. That's why most talk off forum about their openin plays. I always post my roster on raceday though.

                                                                    U can ask any1 in the thread. It killed odds if I posted my bet early for rest of the week til sessions. The odds would never rebound to bet them again b4 practices. It was significant too. They aren't dumb after the way we had crushed the books for years. They drop bad enough when I make a bet anytime.

                                                                    But everybody knew my early plays via text messages. Or u can just PM me is be happy to tell u. Not like I'm keeping them secret.

                                                                    But I never know really til I see openers who I will take early from all my notes I just have a short list to look at from prior career and recent track success and go from there. Then I wait til after session and raceday odds post
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 5mike5
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                                      • 52000

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by homervdoh
                                                                      Idk if this is the right forum for this but what percentage of your bets do you guys make prior to practice/qualifying and what % on race day? I never bet anything prior to the day of the race and im sure its costing me a little but betting before they unload always feels like trying to look into the future without a crystal ball
                                                                      I personally have no %. It all depends on the particular racetrack and the opening odds. Sometimes I'll bet 3 or 4 most of my lineup early if the odds are really good imo and have a lot of early value. Sometimes I won't bet but maybe 1 driver early. It is always a roll of he dice. But I usually add more max bets in them anyways but getting best # early always saves $ and makes u alor more of they win. U can always add if there are better odds later.

                                                                      I don't consider it a crystal ball at all of odds are good and u know ur fonna bet them anyways. And like I said u can always add more $ of odds get better to make up the diff. Really its trial and error and not the same strategy for anybody.

                                                                      Justikw his week I took 3 early did amazing on 2/3 but kahnes odds will be later this weekend than I bet early. So ill either add on or maybe use him as a cover if it works out. Just all depends on raceday and how many drivers I add and odds and total investment ect ect
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 5mike5
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                                        • 52000

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                                                        Here is a link to the pp's of the race if anyone wants to check them out. One of the 3 I mentioned earlier are extremly likely to win. Not a great race to take a longshot IMO. But you never know.

                                                                        http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1504458
                                                                        I'm sure ur right about the longshot but gives me a reason. To watch the race. Ill root for ur plays too. Just not way I would even out much on a horse race. I'm clueless about them
                                                                        Comment
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