PHOENIX---5mike5

[avssakic]

I like jmac to do well today....

anyone agree?

[DDT]

U can bet the whole SHR team for close to his odds alone. Insane

Yeah that's what I ended up doing, thanks buddy!

[5mike5]

Damn. None of those are remotely close to the odds now. Best was Kyle so I went with him.

I bet them from openers to raceday. U have to really grab early value and them wait til raceday on others when favs get hammered and are overrated by practices and qualifying. So I'm betting all week

[Optional]

Looks like we are all over the place this week.

I waited and waited and still not happy with how to bet this.

I've gone a few big +odds head 2 heads and pretty much just Hamlin +1100 to win (got JJ and BradK covered)

Race seems like a really tough one to cap today! And agree not a heap of value to be found on serious chances now.

Good luck everyone.

[DDT]

I may not be around for the start of the race but will be back later this afternoon. Good luck to everyone

To Win Bets:

Harvick +950
Keselowski +1050
Ky. Busch +900
Edwards +2000

Prop Bet:

Dale Jr finish under 7.5 (-110)

love that Dale Jr bet

[yisman]

yeah, this makes sense

3/2/2014 3:15 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7167 Stewart-Haas car wins Profit CNBC 500* +328 vs Field wins Profit CNBC 500
Stewart-Haas drivers include: Kevin Harvick, Danica Patrick, Tony Stewart, Kurt Busch


you get the favorite plus kurt 20/1 and smoke 28/1, I think it's worthwhile

[5mike5]

Yeah that's what I ended up doing, thanks buddy!

Great move.

Why bet harvick at low odds when u can get the whole team for not much less. Was a perfect bet for my parlay this week just to have a whole team covered and get almost 11-1 odds if harvick or any of them take the Win.

[SubjectMatterExp]

Carl
Kyle
Jeff
Denny
Jimmy

got little on

Truex
Newman

[5mike5]

Damn west coast starting times. Let's get this thing going!!!!

[Royfus777]

I also picked up 16 over 31 -140

[pigpenII]

JJ +550
Kyle +1000

JJ over Harvick +105
Edwards over Bowyer +115 (I hit this hard)
Menard over Ambrose -115
Logano over JR -105
Gordon over Kurt -105

Probably do 1 more win bet, but can't decide who.

added Kez+700. I'm done. Good luck today everybody!

[5mike5]

Competition caution also today because of rain last night

[Vegas39]

Damn west coast starting times. Let's get this thing going!!!!

[SubjectMatterExp]

Im ready get this thing going ive got a good feeling

[SubjectMatterExp]

The boys on tv all like harvick

[reigle9]

I bet them from openers to raceday. U have to really grab early value and them wait til raceday on others when favs get hammered and are overrated by practices and qualifying. So I'm betting all week

Yeah I understand, but unless you post them I have no idea what I'm doing. I do what you do only with mma.

[DDT]

The boys on tv all like harvick

I love them talking about odds "for entertainment purposes only"

[pigpenII]

added Kez+700. I'm done. Good luck today everybody!

Added McMurray Top3 900. Now I'm really done.

[JayHorne3]

love that Dale Jr bet

Thanks DDT, Good luck today

[SubjectMatterExp]

I parlayed golden state -2/ kevin harvick +450

[NunyaBidness]

General questions regarding Nascar market efficiency for you guys:

Would you say that the Nascar market is efficient or not?

Would you say favorites tend to be undervalued or overvalued?

If you bet other sports, what other sports would you compare the efficiency to?

I'm seeing a few opportunities in the markets, but I don't follow Nascar at all.

Thanks in advance.

[yisman]

more HTHs:

#1) Sport : Motor Racing Other Sports
Selection : M. Kenseth 3/2/2014 12:15PM - (PST) Money Line +110 for Game over Gordon

Matt Kenseth Money Line +150 for Game over Earnhardt Jr. (big bet)
7518 Kasey Kahne #5* -155 vs Tony Stewart #14
Carl Edwards Money Line -105 for Game over Kurt Busch (big bet)
MU [7523] C EDWARDS -115 (C EDWARDS vrs C BOWYER)

[yisman]

I'm all done with the HTHs.

I'm out to prove mike wrong.

The oddsmakers don't know how to set HTH prices, about 40% each week are mispriced.

[onlooker]

Hamlin 6.
Jimmie 7.
Edwards 12.

Good luck.

[lesterdymond]

Hamlin 10-1
K. Busch 10-1
Kenseth 18-1

GL guys!

[yisman]

I didn't bet anything in the winner's market. You had to get lucky with openers

I think today's odds are not good

re: NASCAR efficiency

it is not an efficient market

[SubjectMatterExp]

Good luck boys lets do this

[5mike5]

I'm all done with the HTHs.

I'm out to prove mike wrong.

The oddsmakers don't know how to set HTH prices, about 40% each week are mispriced.

i totally agree. I just think most are +odds not juiced. They don't know how to set the market in this sport no matter what

thats why We do this!!!

if u have the balls and means is like stealing from a baby. Lmao. And a lot of hard ass work

[yisman]

Morgan Shepherd could get black flagged

[Jmac926]

Just heard carl shifting, interesting. I know a few were yesterday but didnt think they would today

[5mike5]

I'm loving this start

feeling like having harvick to win and win my parlay was smart. He's strong as hell. So is my Logano pick

[5mike5]

Might see some strategy here

[Optional]

Those damn Penske Fords are so much better than Roush or any other Fords I think we need odds on how many penalties they get this year!

[Vegas39]

Harvick car a rocket

[Optional]

Might see some strategy here

This stop could change the pecking order a lot.