Bic's 2012 AFL Season Thread

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  • Bic
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-10
    • 1000

    #71
    Looks like it is going to be a rough day/night
    Comment
    • Bic
      SBR MVP
      • 12-02-10
      • 1000

      #72
      Sydney +19.5 @1.971 x1
      West Coast -18.5 @1.91 x2
      Comment
      • Bic
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-10
        • 1000

        #73
        BET
        ODDS
        UNITS RISKED
        WIN/LOSS
        PROFIT/LOSS
        Collingwood/Essendon UNDER 176.5 1.91
        2.5 WIN
        +2.275
        Essendon +5.5 2.11
        1 WIN
        +1.11
        Mitch Robinson more disposals than Greg Broughton 1.70
        1.5 WIN
        +1.05
        Carlton win between 1-39 points 2.42
        0.5 WIN
        +0.71
        Western Bulldogs H/T -32.5 1.91
        1.5 LOSE
        -1.5
        Jack Ziebell 26 disposals or over 1.90
        2 LOSE
        -2
        Melbourne/St Kilda UNDER 170.5 1.88
        1 WIN
        +0.88
        Sydney +19.5 1.971
        1 WIN
        +0.971
        West Coast -18.5 1.91
        2 LOSE
        -2
        = +2.376

        Season Total for 2012: +16.539 Units @ 25-10 = 71.43%

        Onto Round 6 tonight...!

        So far every round is a winning round
        Comment
        • Bic
          SBR MVP
          • 12-02-10
          • 1000

          #74
          Round 6

          Collingwood -18.5 HT @1.91 x1

          Collingwood -37.5 @1.91 x1.5

          Like Collingwood a lot tonight. Bulldogs are hopeless, Collingwood have come off a break and will be too good. I can't see how the Western Bulldogs put up a competitive score with one of the weakest forward lines in the league.

          Prediction: Collingwood by 50+
          Comment
          • Bic
            SBR MVP
            • 12-02-10
            • 1000

            #75
            Collingwood disappointed last night. Onto today:

            Geelong/Melbourne UNDER 190.5 @1.91 x1 (bet365)
            Comment
            • Bic
              SBR MVP
              • 12-02-10
              • 1000

              #76
              Round 7

              Hawthorn -25.5 H/T @1.91 x1
              Comment
              • MatI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-11
                • 5200

                #77
                Nice call on this Bic. Too easy.
                Comment
                • Bic
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-02-10
                  • 1000

                  #78
                  Adelaide +6.5 @1.885 x1
                  Gold Coast -23.5 @1.917 x0.5
                  Richmond ML @1.909 x1
                  Comment
                  • Bic
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-10
                    • 1000

                    #79
                    Not bad...

                    North Melbourne -16.5 @1.833 x2.5
                    Comment
                    • Bic
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-02-10
                      • 1000

                      #80
                      North didn't turn up today, trip back from Perth factoring in already at round 7? You'd hope not.

                      Fremantle -15.5 @1.91 x3
                      Fremantle -32.5 @2.03 x2.5

                      Like Freo at home against a woeful power team. Freo will restrict them and I like them to get a good head start. Going big, going with my head.
                      Comment
                      • Bic
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-02-10
                        • 1000

                        #81
                        Slow start, but got there. Covered the half time line and showed enough that they should win the second half by 2 goals to win the full time line.
                        Comment
                        • Pride
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-12-10
                          • 4238

                          #82
                          not gonna happen, umpire has money on the power for sure
                          Comment
                          • Bic
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-02-10
                            • 1000

                            #83
                            Great stuff from Freo! 500 goals to Pav to top off a good night
                            Comment
                            • Bic
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-02-10
                              • 1000

                              #84
                              Carlton will win tonight. That I am confident of.

                              Now, I think the line is begging for money to be placed on the Saints. Their record at Etihad is very good, and their record against Carlton is even better. But don't be fooled. Last time they met was a dead rubber for Carlton, where it was the opportunity for a home final for the Saints.

                              St Kilda missing McEvoy and Fisher is huge. They have nobody in their backline to take Garlett and Betts and Jarrad Waite loves playing the Saints. Carlton will use Ellard/Curnow to tag Hayes and Dal Santo will be shut down by Armfield (IMO). Saints just have no other options.

                              I like Carlton to start moving ahead nicely in the second quarter where they should hit an early comfortable lead, which has lead my liking both the HT and FT lines for this game.

                              Carlton HT -14.5 @1.91 x0.5
                              Carlton -27.5 @1.91 x1

                              Good luck guys.

                              p.s I promise to update my record this week. Have had a really tough week with a lot of family in hospital for various reasons.
                              Comment
                              • Bic
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-02-10
                                • 1000

                                #85
                                BET ODDS UNITS RISKED WIN/LOSS PROFIT/LOSS
                                Collingwood -18.5 HT 1.91 1 LOSS -1
                                Collingwood -37.5 1.91 1.5 LOSS -1.5
                                Geelong/Melbourne UNDER 190.5 1.91 1 LOSS -1
                                Hawthorn -25.5 HT 1.91 1 WIN +0.91
                                Adelaide +6.5 1.885 1 WIN +0.885
                                Gold Coast -23.5 1.917 0.5 LOSS -0.5
                                Richmond ML 1.91 1 WIN +0.91
                                North Melbourne -16.5 1.833 2.5 LOSS -2.5
                                Fremantle -15.5 HT 1.91 3 WIN +2.73
                                Fremantle -32.5 2.03 2.5 WIN +2.575
                                Carlton HT -14.5 1.91 0.5 LOSS -0.5
                                Carlton -27.5 1.91 1 LOSS -1
                                = +0.1

                                Season Total for 2012: +16.639 Units @ 29-17 = 63.04%

                                Small profit for a horror fortnight. Have to take that!
                                Comment
                                • Bic
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-02-10
                                  • 1000

                                  #86
                                  AFL Round 8

                                  Collingwood UNDER 39.5 @2.30 x1.5
                                  Comment
                                  • Bic
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-02-10
                                    • 1000

                                    #87
                                    Good start to the round.. Early line shocker on bet365 right now!

                                    Port Adelaide/North Melbourne UNDER 187.5 @1.91 x3.25
                                    Comment
                                    • benrama
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-19-11
                                      • 1499

                                      #88
                                      Keep up the good work Bic! Who you like tonight with the dons and tigers?
                                      Comment
                                      • Bic
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-02-10
                                        • 1000

                                        #89
                                        Tough game. I think the Bombers win by 2-4 goals. But wouldn't surprise me if the Tigers got up. Hard to pick them at the moment.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bic
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-02-10
                                          • 1000

                                          #90
                                          Sydney/Melbourne UNDER 182.5 @1.88 x2
                                          Comment
                                          • Bic
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-02-10
                                            • 1000

                                            #91
                                            They needed 10 goals in the port north game in the last quarter. They've kicked 8. Ridiculous
                                            Comment
                                            • Bic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-02-10
                                              • 1000

                                              #92
                                              One of the most ridiculous last quarters I've seen! 2 goals in last 2 minutes. Bet
                                              Loses
                                              Comment
                                              • Bic
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-02-10
                                                • 1000

                                                #93
                                                Essendon -12.5 @1.917 x1
                                                Comment
                                                • garygroundwork
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-12-12
                                                  • 729

                                                  #94
                                                  i was on the under in kangaroos/port aswell...how the **** that last 2 minutes was allowed to happen...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bic
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-02-10
                                                    • 1000

                                                    #95
                                                    It looked so safe, which makes it so much worse... Little redemption with swans under cashing and bombers well in front at half time
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bic
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-02-10
                                                      • 1000

                                                      #96
                                                      bombers hold off a late Richmond fight back to cover the line. A good finish to the night, still upset about the North/Port unders.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bic
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                        • 1000

                                                        #97
                                                        Round 8 Summary

                                                        BET
                                                        ODDS
                                                        UNITS RISKED
                                                        WIN/LOSS
                                                        PROFIT/LOSS
                                                        Collingwood UNDER 39.5 2.30
                                                        1.5 WIN
                                                        +1.95
                                                        Port Adelaide/North Melbourne UNDER 187.5 1.91
                                                        3.25 LOSS
                                                        -3.25
                                                        Sydney/Melbourne UNDER 182.5 1.88
                                                        2 WIN
                                                        +1.76
                                                        Essendon -12.5 1.91
                                                        1 WIN
                                                        +0.91
                                                        = +1.37

                                                        Season Total for 2012: +18.009 Units @ 32(wins)-18(losses) = 64%

                                                        Still going strong hitting a good %.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bic
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-02-10
                                                          • 1000

                                                          #98
                                                          AFL Round 9

                                                          Western Bulldogs +29.5 @1.91 x0.5
                                                          Daniel Cross more possessions than Joel Corey @1.90 x2 (Centrebet)
                                                          Hawthorn -22.5 @1.91 x2
                                                          Sydney ML @1.943 x3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bic
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-02-10
                                                            • 1000

                                                            #99
                                                            Cross caught in a tagging role... Sigh
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bic
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-02-10
                                                              • 1000

                                                              #100
                                                              Adelaide/Collingwood under 177.5 @1.90 x2.5

                                                              Didn't realize I got an error in my post... Sorry
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bic
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-02-10
                                                                • 1000

                                                                #101
                                                                Not having the best week, but liking a few today...

                                                                North Melbourne -12.5 HT @1.91 x2
                                                                North Melbourne -26.5 @1.91 x1

                                                                Also liking Freo at the line. Will wait as I think it can get to 20.5.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bic
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-02-10
                                                                  • 1000

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Cash the big half time play, but what happened to North? Up by 58 points and win by only 16? Goodness...


                                                                  Last play for the week: Fremantle +19.5 @2.04 x1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bic
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-02-10
                                                                    • 1000

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Round 9 Summary

                                                                    BET
                                                                    ODDS
                                                                    UNITS RISKED
                                                                    WIN/LOSS
                                                                    PROFIT/LOSS
                                                                    Western Bulldogs +29.5 1.91 0.5 WON
                                                                    +0.455
                                                                    Daniel Cross more possessions than Joel Corey 1.90 2 LOSS
                                                                    -2
                                                                    Hawthorn -22.5 1.91 2 LOSS
                                                                    -2
                                                                    Sydney ML 1.943 3 LOSS
                                                                    -3
                                                                    Adelaide/Collingwood under 177.5 1.90 2.5 WON
                                                                    +2.25
                                                                    North Melbourne -12.5 HT 1.91 2 WON
                                                                    +1.82
                                                                    North Melbourne -26.5 1.91 1 LOSS
                                                                    -1
                                                                    Fremantle +19.5 2.04 1 LOSS
                                                                    -1

                                                                    = -4.475

                                                                    Season Total for 2012: +13.534 Units @ 35(wins)-23(losses) = 60.3%

                                                                    Looking to redeem myself this week.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Bic
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-02-10
                                                                      • 1000

                                                                      #104
                                                                      AFL ROUND 10

                                                                      St Kilda ML @2.02 x2.5
                                                                      St Kilda/Richmond OVER 191.5 x1
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Bic
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                                        • 1000

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Jimmy Bartel more disposals than James McDonald @1.70 x1.5
                                                                        Fremanlt +9.5 @1.91 x1.5
                                                                        Comment
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