Bic's 2011 AFL Season Thread

**Bic** · 06-01-11, 03:03 AM

AFL Round 10 Summary

(LOCKED) Sydney -1.5 @1.92 x1 LOSS
(LOCKED) Geelong -63.5 @1.92 x2 WIN 1.84 units
(LOCKED) Geelong -34.5 HT @1.91 x2 LOSS
(LOCKED) Collingwood/West Coast UNDER 192.5 @1.90 x1.5 WIN 1.35 units
(LOCKED) Western Bulldogs/Hawthorn OVER 190.5 @1.91 x0.5 LOSS

YTD: 23-23, 50% +3.05 units

**Bic** · 06-01-11, 07:01 AM

AFL Round 11

A lot of value I think, especially if you like to parlay/multi.

(LOCKED) Carlton -17.5/Adelaide +37.5 @1.92 x2

**serbertol** · 06-01-11, 07:26 AM

Profitable round 10.
Congratulations!

**Bic** · 06-03-11, 12:53 AM

(LOCKED) Melbourne/Essendon UNDER 185.5 @1.90 x2

**Bic** · 06-04-11, 12:56 AM

Good get last night... Let's go again tonight!

(LOCKED) Sydney +3.5 @1.92 x1

**Brian891** · 06-04-11, 01:32 AM

any thoughts or confidence in pies ml? are the saints a good play +30?

**Bic** · 06-04-11, 08:46 PM

Sorry for missing your post Brian. Hope you didn't go with the Saints in the end!

Another good get last night, some drastic movement in the Carlton line has me a little worried, but c'mon, it's Port Adelaide!!!

So we still have today:

(LOCKED) Carlton -17.5/Adelaide +37.5 @1.92 x2

Adding...

(LOCKED) Hawthorn/Fremantle UNDER 176.5 @1.91 x0.5
(LOCKED) North Melbourne/Adelaide UNDER 183.5 @1.91 x1
(LOCKED) Port Adelaide/Carlton UNDER 165.5 @1.91 x0.5

**cincyhammer** · 06-04-11, 08:51 PM

How ugly is the weather in Adelaide? My book has the over/under at 164.5 and I am thinking under....

**Bic** · 06-04-11, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by cincyhammer

How ugly is the weather in Adelaide? My book has the over/under at 164.5 and I am thinking under....

Yep, under is the play if anything, though I wouldn't make it a large play due to the line being quite low already.

**GroundnPound** · 06-04-11, 11:30 PM

THis adelaide game is rigged if your watching sure you would agree

**Brian891** · 06-05-11, 12:29 AM

no worries bic. thanks and good luck on your plays, especially blues!

**Bic** · 06-05-11, 06:27 AM

Originally posted by GroundnPound

THis adelaide game is rigged if your watching sure you would agree

Adelaide are just rubbish. Won't be putting my hard earned on that rabble for a while.

**Bic** · 06-05-11, 06:52 AM

AFL Round 11 Summary

(LOCKED) Carlton -17.5/Adelaide +37.5 @1.92 x2 LOSS
(LOCKED) Melbourne/Essendon UNDER 185.5 @1.90 x2 WIN 1.8 units
(LOCKED) Sydney +3.5 @1.92 x1 WIN 0.92 units
(LOCKED) Hawthorn/Fremantle UNDER 176.5 @1.91 x0.5 LOSS
(LOCKED) North Melbourne/Adelaide UNDER 183.5 @1.91 x1 WIN 0.91 units
(LOCKED) Port Adelaide/Carlton UNDER 165.5 @1.91 x0.5 WIN 0.455 units

+1.585 units
YTD: 27-25, 52% +4.635 units

**benrama** · 06-05-11, 08:10 AM

Good weekend mate, seem to have a good grasp of those totals. Unfortunately my main book of choice (Pinny) doesn't let you bet on AFL totals. And I keep blowing my small action Sporsbet account when on the beers

Shame Adelaide ruined what could have been an even better weekend. They are already on my black list for betting, can't be relied on for effort. Interested to see what the line is for their game against West Coast.

**maroona** · 06-05-11, 08:42 AM

Yeah great effort bic to get out of this weekend with profit, I had a terrible weekend, couldn't do a thing right, benrama not sure why pinny doesn't do totals, i'm sure they did last year..

**Bic** · 06-10-11, 04:11 AM

AFL Round 11

(LOCKED) St Kilda -13.5 @1.91 x1
(LOCKED)St Kilda/Western Bulldogs UNDER 172.5 @1.91 x1
(LOCKED) St Kilda WIN MARGIN UNDER 39.5 @2.24 x0.5

Loving the Saints tonight at the Dome.

**Gee** · 06-10-11, 10:02 AM

Cash them all. Well done mate

number didn't matter.

**Bic** · 06-10-11, 11:42 AM

Great night

Also came first in a poker tourny, $900

**Bic** · 06-10-11, 07:10 PM

(LOCKED) Gold Coast/North Melbourne OVER 173.5 @1.91 x3 (Bet365)

Centrebet has the line at 193.5, obvious mistake by bet365, game has gone over this total with Gold Coast all but once.

(LOCKED) North Melbourne/Sydney/Carlton @1.77 x0.5
(LOCKED) North Melbourne -11.5 HT @1.91 x0.5
(LOCKED) North Melbourne -21.5 @1.92 x1.5

Perth Factor for the young Gold Coast Suns.

**benrama** · 06-10-11, 08:21 PM

Good work mate! Love those sweep nights.

Saints might just make the finals after all - would be a great comeback story.

Line for Gold Coast has dropped throughout the week from 24.5 to 20.5 but has now moved back to 21.5. You have any stats on the Perth factor?

**cincyhammer** · 06-10-11, 09:34 PM

I am taking the over in the Gold Coast-North Melbourne game. My book has it at 173.5 and I am finding it most places at 193.5. Something tells me I have something good going here.....

**Bic** · 06-10-11, 11:20 PM

cincyhammer: Yes something good! Huge mistake. Of course it is no guarantee but you have a really good number. Bet365 have moved the number to 192.5 now, so a 20 point jump is huge! Well done

Benrama: Sweep nights are the best, winning feeling is a good feeling! I just think people are getting a little carried away with the form of Gold Coast... They are really young, a lot of travel will take a toll on the players. Not even Gary Ablett can carry them over the line every single week. Perth to Gold Coast is officially the longest trip in footy, so it will have an affect. They may be in the game for a half, but will fall away in the second half as they have all year. Note: it is the smallest line of the year for Gold Coast.

**Gee** · 06-11-11, 12:41 AM

Wow. well done on the number.

im looking over, but at 193.5 i have a lot to still look at.

**Bic** · 06-11-11, 06:52 AM

Another big night! 6 from 6 this round

**Bic** · 06-12-11, 01:21 AM

(LOCKED) Fremantle WIN margin under 39.5 @2.59 x0.5

**sportscash** · 06-12-11, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by Bic

(LOCKED) Fremantle WIN margin under 39.5 @2.59 x0.5

Nice odds good luck

**Bic** · 06-12-11, 11:12 PM

Queens Birthday, day off, going to watch the game, hoping Melbourne wins so am going to play the under.

(LOCKED) Collingwood/Melbourne UNDER 185.5 @1.90 x0.5

**Bic** · 06-13-11, 03:13 AM

AFL Round 12 Summary

(LOCKED) St Kilda -13.5 @1.91 x1 WIN 0.91 units
(LOCKED) St Kilda/Western Bulldogs UNDER 172.5 @1.91 x1 WIN 0.91 units
(LOCKED) St Kilda WIN MARGIN UNDER 39.5 @2.24 x0.5 WIN 0.62 units
(LOCKED) Gold Coast/North Melbourne OVER 173.5 @1.91 x3 WIN 2.73 units
(LOCKED) North Melbourne/Sydney/Carlton @1.77 x0.5 WIN 0.385 units
(LOCKED) North Melbourne -11.5 HT @1.91 x0.5 WIN 0.455 units
(LOCKED) North Melbourne -21.5 @1.92 x1.5 WIN 1.365 units
(LOCKED) Fremantle WIN MARGIN UNDER 39.5 @2.59 x0.5 WIN 0.795 units
(LOCKED) Collingwood/Melbourne UNDER 185.5 @1.90 x0.5 WIN 0.45 units

+8.62 units
YTD: 36-25, 59% +13.255 units

Rounds like this every week would be a treat

9 from 9 this week and on a 11 win streak.

**dRavidC** · 06-13-11, 03:16 AM

Congrats!!!

**corst** · 06-13-11, 03:37 AM

Good job

**Alt75** · 06-13-11, 03:38 AM

Bloody hell, nice work dude.

**kingsr** · 06-13-11, 03:53 AM

What a weekend! All green! Very nice !

**Bic** · 06-17-11, 02:47 AM

AFL Round 13

(LOCKED) Western Bulldogs/Adelaide UNDER 181.5 @1.90 x2

Loving the under tonight, both forward lines really struggling at the minute, and both teams have experience in the back line to help negate the scoreline. I think Adelaide can control the ruck work, whilst Western Bulldogs control the midfield so the midfield battle will be crucial but a lot of the ball tonight will be in the middle of the ground. Contested footy tonight, low scoring it will be. Dogs by a lot I think, but both teams have cost me some hard earned green and are on the banlist!

YTD: 36-25, 59% +13.255 units

**Gee** · 06-17-11, 06:40 PM

What a run. I should just tail u this weekend and not bother capping on holiday

**Bic** · 06-17-11, 11:02 PM

Thanks Gee! Hopefully it continues!

(LOCKED) Essendon ML/Hawthorn more goals than behinds @2.40 x0.5

Liked Essendon line a lot, but went with some extra value with Gold Coast opposition always scoring more goals than behinds. Let the trend Continue.