Bic's 2011 AFL Season Thread

**Bic** · 05-12-11, 10:44 PM

(LOCKED) Geelong/Collingwood UNDER 166.5 @1.90 x1.5

Has been raining all day here in Melbourne. Pretty much a rule of thumb for me, if it rains at the 'G, take the under.

**Gee** · 05-12-11, 10:57 PM

I like it bic.

This is one of those games where i really want action, but is very, very hard to cap and I should stay away. Off to bali in a few weeks, so staying in tonight, so i can save a few hundred dollars from dinner, drinks and beyond.

I need to find an angle here.... I'm going to watch the line movement over the day with a view to taking Geelong at some point for just 1x. I'm guessing the public will drive the line back up, but i do like geelong here.

maybe even a small play on the under too

**nfljerseysell** · 05-12-11, 11:28 PM

Thanks for the thoughts guys, sounds like everyone's on the same side, good luck

**Bic** · 05-13-11, 07:32 PM

Good result last night!

Big game today at the Dome... Go North!!

**Bic** · 05-13-11, 10:38 PM

Loving the line movement and money on North!

From +5.5 to -4.5, and 2.10 to 1.74.

They just need to get the job done now

**sportscash** · 05-13-11, 10:51 PM

Yeah i have bet N Melbourne today i think they win

**Bic** · 05-14-11, 12:48 AM

Shocking start for North... Allowing Melbourne to kick 7 goals in the first quarter...

Good news is they have just hit the front in the third!

**Bic** · 05-14-11, 02:18 AM

Massive win! 8.5 unit win so far this week

**Gee** · 05-14-11, 02:44 AM

Very good call on North

Wish I was on them.

Sweating out the Crows here. Look safe now though. Big bounceback for me after Carlton too

**Bic** · 05-14-11, 04:35 AM

(LOCKED) Sydney/Port Adelaide UNDER 187.5 @1.91 x1

Like the unders in Sydney games. I think it is a little high, I thought it would be high 170s by my numbers so will play it for a unit.

**Bic** · 05-14-11, 07:21 AM

Another win! Looked to be safe at half time, then it rained goals in the second half! Managed to hold on. Liking the look of the Dockers for tomorrow.

**amac38** · 05-14-11, 09:33 AM

great win today on the kangas, was getting nervous at quarter time.

do you like hawks and tigers tomorrow?

dockers are missing a few players, im a dockers supporter

however dockers have won i think 8 straight derbys, they'll be firing! wish i was there to watch...

**Bic** · 05-14-11, 10:11 AM

I like the Hawks, Saints midfield will be running thin, but I won't be putting my money on the Hawks, such a hard side to judge, severely overrated! Under might be a play if it is a good number...

I think the Doggies beat Richmond tomorrow... They have to start firing soon and have the midfield power to do it.

If anything I would multi Hawks/Dogs using PYOL (pick your own line). I.E (Hawks ML into Doggies +14.5 @1.91).

Really Really like Freo tomorrow...

**Bic** · 05-14-11, 07:36 PM

(LOCKED) Western Bulldogs/Richmond OVER 193.5 @1.90 x1
(LOCKED) Fremantle PK @1.92 x1

Predicting a shootout at Etihad under the roof today, suits both teams game styles, and both teams would back themselves to win it this way.

Fremantle are a better team than West Coast, although I will concede that West Coast are in better form, their record in the derbies is not great. Sandilands, Mundy, Pavlich > Cox, Kerr, Embley

**Gee** · 05-14-11, 09:27 PM

I like the over too...

Against you on the Freo/Eagles game. I said I wouldn't play it, but... there we go. Only a 1x play. Good luck!

**Bic** · 05-15-11, 01:18 AM

Another win in the doggie/tigers over... Its 3/4 time and is already safe!

Need the Dockers to win for a clean sweep this weekend.

**maroona** · 05-15-11, 01:34 AM

Embley and Kerr out helps the cause

**donkson** · 05-15-11, 01:38 AM

Glad I got on the Dockers before those two came out.

**amac38** · 05-15-11, 01:54 AM

yeap, try unders for the derby too. rainy and wet over here, got on dockers too, should've went large knowing kerr and embley are out.

**amac38** · 05-15-11, 05:07 AM

Originally posted by amac38

yeap, try unders for the derby too. rainy and wet over here, got on dockers too, should've went large knowing kerr and embley are out.

cash that!

bad luck on the dockers

only went small on that luckily...

great weekend nevertheless mate, well done.

**Bic** · 05-15-11, 08:57 AM

Wow... Really interesting result!

Freo not living up to the hype? Or should we start to respect the Eagles?

**Bic** · 05-15-11, 07:14 PM

AFL Round 8 Summary

(LOCKED) North Melbourne +5.5 @1.91 x5 WIN 4.55 units
(LOCKED) North Melbourne ML @2.10 x2 WIN 2.2 units
(LOCKED) Geelong/Collingwood UNDER 166.5 @1.90 x1.5 WIN 1.35 units
(LOCKED) Sydney/Port Adelaide UNDER 187.5 @1.91 x1 WIN 0.91 units
(LOCKED) Western Bulldogs/Richmond OVER 193.5 @1.90 x1 WIN 0.9 units
(LOCKED) Fremantle PK @1.92 x1 LOSS

YTD: 18-19, 49% +3.31 units

Great weekend!

**Gee** · 05-15-11, 08:44 PM

Well done Bic :clap:

I've had the Eagles listed as the real deal for a while now. They have looked excellent all year, although not as good as other teams, work really hard.

They are nearly perfect ATS this season. I know, because I've been on them for most of them

1st round they were unlucky not to cover vs North. Goal after the siren (I was on North

). I'm not sure whether the covered vs sydney, but the game was close the whole way till the last few mins... Everything else covered easily.

A team that is good to have money on as they will keep fighting at least.

**Bic** · 05-20-11, 12:48 AM

AFL Round 9

Don't think I will be playing much this week, a lot of tightly contested games...

I think all home teams will win this week, as I have tipped, but nothing really stands out.

I was hoping a lot more money would be on Geelong tonight which would see the Carlton line slowly move towards +20, but not to be, but I still like Carlton to cover, if not beat Geelong tonight.

(LOCKED) Carlton +15.5 @1.95 x0.5
(LOCKED) Leigh Montagna 26 disposal or more @1.85 x1.5 (Centrebet)

**Bic** · 05-20-11, 11:12 PM

Carlton get the easy cover last night, and really should have won the game...

(LOCKED) Port Adelaide/Fremantle UNDER 182.5 @1.90 x3
(LOCKED) T.Boak to score more DT points than G.Broughton @1.65 x2

Very windy in Adelaide today, going to make it very tough to score goals, absolute gift that one. Boak outscores Broughton every week who is playing more of a tighter role on his man in defense. Would play more units on the under but am angry I got it at that number whilst I piss farted around!

**Bic** · 05-21-11, 01:35 AM

Under is shot... Rain is meant to be here but it aint raining!

**Brian891** · 05-21-11, 01:39 AM

no way to know that dockers would explode like this. very impressive performance.

**Bic** · 05-27-11, 08:51 PM

AFL Round 9 Summary

(LOCKED) Carlton +15.5 @1.95 x0.5 WIN 0.475 units
(LOCKED) Leigh Montagna 26 disposal or more @1.85 x1.5 (Centrebet) WIN 1.275 units
(LOCKED) Port Adelaide/Fremantle UNDER 182.5 @1.90 x3 LOSS
(LOCKED) T.Boak to score more DT points than G.Broughton @1.65 x2 WIN 1.3 units

YTD: 21-20, 51% +3.36 units

**Bic** · 05-27-11, 09:31 PM

AFL Round 10

(LOCKED) Sydney -1.5 @1.92 x1
(LOCKED) Geelong -63.5 @1.92 x2

All the money has been fading Sydney, and although I think they are a good forward target of being a good side, I think they have better quality on the park than North Melbourne.

Geelong will belt Gold Coast... Ablett revenge factor.

**Bic** · 05-28-11, 01:47 AM

Lost the Sydney bet by 0.5 a point...

**dRavidC** · 05-28-11, 01:49 AM

damn it unlucky bic!!!!

i had sydney 1-39 so i was very very very lucky.

**Bic** · 05-28-11, 03:16 AM

Adding:

(LOCKED) Geelong -34.5 HT @1.91 x2

**amac38** · 05-28-11, 05:39 AM

bad luck mate

**Bic** · 05-28-11, 11:08 PM

(LOCKED) Collingwood/West Coast UNDER 192.5 @1.90 x1.5

**Bic** · 05-29-11, 01:27 AM

(LOCKED) Western Bulldogs/Hawthorn OVER 190.5 @1.91 x0.5

Good win on the Collingwood under. Game wasn't going to be as close as people thought... Disappointed I didn't take the Collingwood line.