dRavidC's NRL 2011

[kingsr]

Same. Was it with centrebet?

I'm positive they have been paying out 1-12's that have gone to golden point all year, yet this is the first time I've had it counted as a loss

Margin betting is NEVER a win if its a draw at fulltime, not with any bookie.

[MrStiffy]

mine was with sportingbet

but i just checked the rules and apparently margin betting excludes extra time so can't really argue with that...

Unlucky, it was a good pick anyhow, and should have cashed. I also got done with broncos haltime/fulltime in the same way, but I suppose thats gambling

I feel your pain sportscash, seems like a game the books cleaned up on, not just with the spread but with 1-12 margins and HT/FT's. I hope they end up paying yours out as a win though.

With the way brisbane has been dropping off in the second half lately, I can see Manly running straight through them next week (if they don't already in the first half). Should make for an interesting game.

[dRavidC]

at the moment leaning

wales 1-12 (strong lean)***

canada +30.5 & georgia +37.5

thoughts?

[Baqu]

I'm on wales win & georgia +43,5 handicap

on bwin that parlay gives -108, and I think that's the best value for those 3 games.

GL

[ExodusNZ]

Anyone on the Samoa +7.5 ?

[astrobloke]

Yup on Samoa, but this weekend is huring

I had an awesome week and not a very good weekend.

It reminds me of last year. Grrrrrr

[ExodusNZ]

Large bet on Broncos last night put me in the green over all for the day, otherwise would have been tragic!

Do you like Samoa ML ?

[astrobloke]

I took the bronos too... what a god damn finish.

You can see it in their eyes they are going to take Darren Lockey all the way and win the finals I reckon. Send him out with a big bang...damn they are so hungry hey!

The Somoa ML might be a good bet, but not going to take it, just took them off the line. This should be a good game though.

[kingsr]

I have Samoa line and half unit on the ML too at $3.30 its too hard to pass up.

[dRavidC]

looks like i'll be going against every1 on sbr

multi:

wales 1-12 & georgia +37.5

not playing canada. france coach was not happy with performance against Japan and that was a 26 pt win. this one could get ugly.

[kingsr]

Samoa wales game is a cracker!

[hawley]

Great game so far....not quite over either.

[kingsr]

Samoa cover and wales 1-12 nice nice nice!! Great game!

[hawley]

Kingsr you have the Samoa spread?

Had spread and the under. good start to the afternoon.

[kingsr]

Yes I had Samoa +7.5 and a small wager on ML. David had wales 1-12 so both cashed!

I posted in this thread before the game, scroll up.

[dRavidC]

1 down now georgia plz don't let me down brisbane & sportingbet already did it to me last night .

[dRavidC]

georgia RESPECT!!!!!!!!!!!

[GAMBLOR777]

nice dravid, what's the play for france v canada?

[hawley]

under. pouring with rain.

[GAMBLOR777]

line is dropping rapidly, went from -31.5 to -27 in a matter of minutes

[dRavidC]

yeah under is the play. decided to play u 49.5 last minute. very small 0.5 unit play.

[GAMBLOR777]

no play

[hawley]

unreal - terrible conditions and two garbage tries early.

[dRavidC]

20 points in 16 minutes. prepared to say the bet is as good as cooked.

[Baqu]

I'm on wales win & georgia +43,5 handicap

on bwin that parlay gives -108, and I think that's the best value for those 3 games.

GL

easy peasy

[dRavidC]

had italy -22.5

playing -20.5 2nd half as well ==> dumb dumb play. lucky only to have 0.2 units but even still have to stop with these greedy 2nd half plays.

[dRavidC]

japan 1-12

no more silly 2nd half bets unless there is value in it...

[hawley]

Books absolutely cleaned up last night on that 2h over and Italy spread.

Good luck tonight bro.

[dRavidC]

thanks hawley

interesting stats for this game:

Tonga have lost 4 RWC games in a row. Their record worst losing streak is 5.

Japan have been winless in their past 16 RWC games (1 draw 15 losses). That is the worst record in RWC.

Makes for an interesting game

[dRavidC]

south africa -59.5

expecting south africa to win by 80+ here. if samoa can beat nambia by 37, then south africa should really have no issues covering this.

[dRavidC]

south africa -59.5 expecting south africa to win by 80+ here. if samoa can beat nambia by 37, then south africa should really have no issues covering this.

easy money

[dRavidC]

NRL Finals Wk 3 23-24/9

2-leg MULTI (2 UNITS) - LAST NRL PLAY FOR 2011!!!
Can't see Manly losing, especially with Brisbane losing their captain and matchwinner Lockyer. Don't think Warriors can pull an upset win over hungry minor premiers Melbourne but I think they can give them a run for their money and keep the game to within 2 converted tries at the very least.

Leg 1:

Game: Manly vs Brisbane

Bet: Manly M/L

Leg 2:

Game: Melbourne vs New Zealand

Bet: New Zealand +12.5

[dRavidC]

no play in the rugby today. can't back australia to cover such a large spread based on their performances against Italy and Ireland. And can't back USA to keep it within the spread, cuz IF (big if) Australia are firing, then there is nothing USA have that can stop them. But that "if" is enough for me to leave it alone.

[astrobloke]

I actually went USA to cover... small bet 1 Unit @ 1.92 +62

Here is my analysis.

While we are on the subject of Australia v USA, might as well look into the game in more depth.
Last time these two sides met up in a World cup was way back in 1999 when the Aussies triumphed by 55-19 (points dfference being 36 on the day)

Prior to that was the fllowing outcomes:
1990 Australia 67-9 USA Brisbane
1987 Australia 47-12 Brsbane
1983 Australia 49-3 Sydney

Bear in mind that all three of the above fixtures were played before the modern point structure (try being 3 points at the time) 5 points being implemented in 1992.

[dRavidC]

NRL Finals Wk 3 23-24/9 2-leg MULTI (2 UNITS) - LAST NRL PLAY FOR 2011!!! Can't see Manly losing, especially with Brisbane losing their captain and matchwinner Lockyer. Don't think Warriors can pull an upset win over hungry minor premiers Melbourne but I think they can give them a run for their money and keep the game to within 2 converted tries at the very least. Leg 1: Game: Manly vs Brisbane Bet: Manly M/L Leg 2: Game: Melbourne vs New Zealand Bet: New Zealand +12.5

WON


2011 NRL Season Record: 82 - 47 - 1 (63.57%)