2010 AFL season thread

shallowtanky · 03-31-10, 02:49 AM

So tomorrow Lions -18.5 is a good bet?

kingfish28 · 03-31-10, 04:29 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Yeah, do you know how many players Adelaide are getting back form injury this week? I can't see Adelaide improving enough to comfortably beat Sydney in a week's time and the Swans were pretty sharp against the saints on Saturday.

From wat I've seen on the net so far knights won't be back this week. Porps looks like coming back but well underdone and Burton 50/50

camel · 03-31-10, 05:47 AM

Originally posted by shallowtanky

So tomorrow Lions -18.5 is a good bet?

I'm going to wait till last minute before i pull the trigger. I think the line may drop, but at the moment, i think it's a value bet.

nocode1 · 03-31-10, 05:48 AM

Ok everyone my multi is in for round 2.

1.23 CARLTON (Handicap +48.5)
1.18 PORT ADELAIDE (Handicap +48.5)
1.19 FREMANTLE (Handicap +50.5)
1.20 WESTERN BULLDOGS (Handicap -16.5)
1.20 COLLINGWOOD (Handicap -16.5)
Legs : 5
2.48

Thoughts

kingfish28 · 03-31-10, 07:13 AM

Originally posted by nocode1

Ok everyone my multi is in for round 2.

1.23 CARLTON (Handicap +48.5)
1.18 PORT ADELAIDE (Handicap +48.5)
1.19 FREMANTLE (Handicap +50.5)
1.20 WESTERN BULLDOGS
(Handicap -16.5)
1.20 COLLINGWOOD (Handicap -16.5)
Legs : 5
2.48
Thoughts

Looks good nocode. Can't see any drama there unless freo go back to there old ways in melb but they played well last week. Goodluck mate I'll have my multi up tomorrow

hedgejob · 03-31-10, 07:24 AM

Parlay looks good nocode1, I like it.

My best bet this weekend is Collingwood -44.5. They should blow Melbourne by 10+ goals. This line will certainly move.

Leans:

Carlton +24.5 $1.70
Bulldogs -43.5 $1.91
Geelong ML $1.57

If Crows regain Porps and Van Berlo I will play them on the ML. I'm not sold on the Swans, if Adelaide shuts down Goodes Sydney are done and they have the players to shut him down (like Bock or Rutten). If it wasn't for Goodes Swans would have lost by 3-4 more goals last week.

nocode1 · 03-31-10, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by kingfish28

Looks good nocode. Can't see any drama there unless freo go back to there old ways in melb but they played well last week. Goodluck mate I'll have my multi up tomorrow

Thanks Kingfish

Nah Freo have finally turned the corner

nocode1 · 03-31-10, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by hedgejob

Parlay looks good nocode1, I like it.

My best bet this weekend is Collingwood -44.5. They should blow Melbourne by 10+ goals. This line will certainly move.

Leans:

Carlton +24.5 $1.70
Bulldogs -43.5 $1.91
Geelong ML $1.57

If Crows regain Porps and Van Berlo I will play them on the ML. I'm not sold on the Swans, if Adelaide shuts down Goodes Sydney are done and they have the players to shut him down (like Bock or Rutten). If it wasn't for Goodes Swans would have lost by 3-4 more goals last week.

Not sure about the pies at the spread, be happier taking the bulldogs at the spread though, i really think they will punish Richmond after last weeks effort.
Like the Blues at the line, Brissy coming off a 5 day break and started to cramp early in the last quarter.
Brisbane only just beat the blues in that final last year and Fev only kicked a couple of goals, Brown and Bradshaw went nuts in that game but the blues were without Jamison and Waite, 2 key defenders. Im think this one will be another close one with the blues exacting revenge.
And if Geelong come to play the i reckon the hawks are in trouble.

Good luck this weekend

camel · 03-31-10, 05:45 PM

With the Lions/Blues game, there's no way that you can look at history considering Fev swapped teams, Judd out and Bradshaw is gone.

Also with the 5 day turn around, i'd say it evens up with Carlton having to travel to Brisbane.

camel · 03-31-10, 07:21 PM

Line for the Lions game is going up... sportingbet showing -19.5 now and centrebet at -21.5 for $1.91 odds.

GroundnPound · 03-31-10, 09:49 PM

I really want to go Lions

Two things that make me not want to is the close game last year and the good start by Carlton flogging Richmond.

That being said that is the reason the line is only -19.5 and should be higher so i am going with the Lions.

camel · 03-31-10, 10:00 PM

GL, i've taken them too at -19.5. Thanks to Sportingbet's happy hour, it's at $2.10.

Domestic · 03-31-10, 10:07 PM

Also took the -19.5 @ Sportingbet, felt square to take it but I think Brisbane can do it.
Any thoughts on the total (176.5), seems lower than I expected.

kingsr · 03-31-10, 10:12 PM

Domestic, what happen to your avatar?

alias69 · 03-31-10, 10:16 PM

centrebet has it -21.5. all the hype surrounding fevola, this should be a g8 game tonite.

camel · 03-31-10, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by Domestic

Also took the -19.5 @ Sportingbet, felt square to take it but I think Brisbane can do it.
Any thoughts on the total (176.5), seems lower than I expected.

weather perhaps?

i read that there's a chance of showers/thunderstorms.

vinnysantos · 03-31-10, 11:13 PM

any opinions on -20.5 for brisbane 2nite?

Domestic · 03-31-10, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by kingsr

Domestic, what happen to your avatar?

It has been modified, will return to cheesey grin if Brisbane cover tonight.

camel · 03-31-10, 11:46 PM

lol.... nice one

Let's go Lions!

shallowtanky · 04-01-10, 12:02 AM

guys you can get lions -18.5 at NZ tab. I already locked in this number. I think they can do it.

hedgejob · 04-01-10, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Any thoughts on the total (176.5), seems lower than I expected.

Where are you getting 176.5? Centrebet has 183.5.

kingfish28 · 04-01-10, 01:42 AM

176 is very low considering how these two teams score. If you can still get that I'd be all over it

Domestic · 04-01-10, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by hedgejob

Where are you getting 176.5? Centrebet has 183.5.

Was 176.5 at 1:30pm today, public must of pounded that over. Didn't end up touching it myself.

TwoWays · 04-01-10, 01:45 AM

Is the majority in here putting their cash on the Lions?

kingfish28 · 04-01-10, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by TwoWays

Is the majority in here putting their cash on the Lions?

Yeah taking the lions but dont think by a big margin well not after what they showed against the eagles. Although they finished all over the top of them eagles looked gone at 3qtr time they couldnt pick up there feet. That wont happen with carlton, while bris may be a better side I think carlton will runout the game better. Brisy under 39 @2.10 looks good

with a little something on the tribet either team under 15

Domestic · 04-01-10, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by TwoWays

Is the majority in here putting their cash on the Lions?

Yep, at least 4 of us are on em.

hedgejob · 04-01-10, 02:26 AM

I just saw a live cross from the Gabba on TV and it looked dry. I'm going down to the TAB to take the over, Lions should cover but I think the over is safer.

hedgejob · 04-01-10, 02:29 AM

BTW, Cousins is out for Richmond. Dogs -44.5 is a good bet.

kingfish28 · 04-01-10, 02:34 AM

Originally posted by hedgejob

BTW, Cousins is out for Richmond. Dogs -44.5 is a good bet.

You beat me to it hedge I was just about to mention that cousins is out

Dogs should cover quite easily

hels · 04-01-10, 02:38 AM

I got 201.5 but that's that for anyone who wants to consider the total.... I don't understand all the hype about the Lions tonight. Are they that great or am I overlooking their greatness or something? Carlton rolled week 1, Brisbane fought all thru the 4th to finally overtake WC.

I dunno, I like the points here, there's too much Fev vs. his former club and Judd being out taking over the thinking process of who's the better team. I dunno, I'm already drunk, bought a new truck today, holiday's start today (I'm a teacher so I get next week off too

) and me and my girl are living the good life!!!

Probs won't put a dime down tonight and just loving the Brizzy sunset as the sun finally came out. BOL to all!!!!!

Bull_Shark · 04-01-10, 02:50 AM

Originally posted by hels

I got 201.5 but that's that for anyone who wants to consider the total....

what book has the total at 201.5 ?

Wade Dwayne · 04-01-10, 02:54 AM

hit ten bets in a row over last two days and looking to extend that with going with Brown more goals than fevola at 2.05. Brown is still the go to guy in brisbane isnt he?

Domestic · 04-01-10, 02:56 AM

Originally posted by hels

I got 201.5 but that's that for anyone who wants to consider the total.... I don't understand all the hype about the Lions tonight. Are they that great or am I overlooking their greatness or something? Carlton rolled week 1, Brisbane fought all thru the 4th to finally overtake WC. I dunno, I like the points here, there's too much Fev vs. his former club and Judd being out taking over the thinking process of who's the better team. I dunno, I'm already drunk, bought a new truck today, holiday's start today (I'm a teacher so I get next week off too

) and me and my girl are living the good life!!! Probs won't put a dime down tonight and just loving the Brizzy sunset as the sun finally came out. BOL to all!!!!!

Haha, good stuff. If you aren't feeling it don't pull the trigger.

Also which truck did you get?

hels · 04-01-10, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by Bull_Shark

what book has the total at 201.5 ?

betfair. O/U 2.42/1.56 respectively

hels · 04-01-10, 03:02 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Haha, good stuff. If you aren't feeling it don't pull the trigger.

Also which truck did you get?

I can't do much quality thinking right now and after hitting the start hard

and it's a jumbuck. 2008 29k for 11.5k... no accidents/problems in log and runs sweet as. it's a step up from my honda today (scooter) hahaha.. i'll try n get some pics up as my girl wants to take some tomoro