Hels' NRL Thread -- Let's Drive this Shit!!

Domestic · 03-28-10, 10:46 AM

Late money should be on the Rabbitohs, I think I will take Sharks plus the points just before kickoff.
Shaping up as being a very low quality game.

waco66 · 03-28-10, 01:19 PM

Im taking Rabbitohs ML.

TwoWays · 03-28-10, 11:19 PM

Do we have a lean on the Rabbitoh/Sharks game? It's hard to figure out who's worst, since they both are horrible.

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 12:10 AM

Looks like a very ugly game tonight fellas. Haven't had the chance to look at past games but what do you guys think of the under in this one 38.5?

Samuraifan · 03-29-10, 12:18 AM

My book has the o/u at 39.5, I tempted to take the under.

Domestic · 03-29-10, 01:08 AM

Locked in Sharks +2. Not overly confident but I think the Sharks home advanatage will work in their favour and hopefully Trent Barret can get them over the line.
I really have no idea about the total on this one, common sense says it goes under and I live in Sydney where there is a chance of rain/storms tonight.Forecast for Monday evening
Patchy rain, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light to moderate
northwest to northeast winds.
Precis: Patchy rain. Chance thunderstorm.

Samuraifan · 03-29-10, 01:18 AM

Thanks for the update Domestic, with that in mind, I think i will place a space wager on the under total. BOL for us all!

Ace_of_Spades · 03-29-10, 01:22 AM

Tough game to pick a winner in. The +2.5 points might just be the margin of win if the Rabbits do win at all.

hels · 03-29-10, 02:17 AM

There definitely isn't a consensus on this game and actually quite surprised to see Domestic on Sharks+2. Their ML is at 2.28 (Betfair) and +2 is at Even money (Pinnacle). Thinking that a 2 point Souths win=refund and only a 1 point victory or tie (both quite unusual) result in the +2 paying over the ML is quite a bit of juice to spend. Just wondering your thinking behind this play Domestic

This makes me think, do the Souths have someone who has a history of kicking field goals? Just did some investigating and found Chris Sandow kicked a field goal in 2008 to beat NQ. I'm probs thinking too much into this....

I can only lean towards the Under, and I'm happy to see the lines come out 38.5 - 40.5 and the U40.5 at TAB is at 1.75. That's definitely a positive sign!!

kingsr · 03-29-10, 02:40 AM

I think she Souths will roll tonight. If the rain holds up we could see a Souths 13+ score.

Sharks are woeful in attack, if Souths hold them out defensively, they win. If the Rabbits aren't prepared to defend, Sharks may win by a small margin, with a score like 14-12.

Souths -2 for me. It hurts and I don't wanna bet on this game, but a mate offered me even money on souths -2 and I'm a degenerate bored fuker on a Monday night!

Domestic · 03-29-10, 02:50 AM

So did you end up taking the under hels?

hels · 03-29-10, 02:54 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

So did you end up taking the under hels?

In right now

Sharks/Rabbitohs U38.5 $100 to win $185

Has anyone else made their plays official??

hels · 03-29-10, 02:59 AM

late money on souths

$200 to win $362 ML Souths

Domestic · 03-29-10, 03:04 AM

Originally posted by hels

In right now

Sharks/Rabbitohs U38.5 $100 to win $185 Has anyone else made their plays official??

Apart from Tigerbalm and myself I don't think so, a lot of people staying away from this game I think.
Hope souths win by a point for our sake, lol.

kingsr · 03-29-10, 03:04 AM

Im on under too! And souths -2

kingsr · 03-29-10, 03:05 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Apart from Tigerbalm and myself I don't think so, a lot of people staying away from this game I think.
Hope souths win by a point for our sake, lol.

Read my post

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 03:11 AM

Had the under in the betslip only to change my mind the last sec. I'm on the over but may make an in play on the under if it looks that way. BOL all

hels · 03-29-10, 03:16 AM

First try was absolutely weak defense but the pace of the game is pointing towards an Under. Neither side looks overly impressive to start off.

hels · 03-29-10, 03:19 AM

2nd try was even weaker defensively.... lol. I still don't mind the Under though, I can't believe both teams are going to play this asleep the whole game on the defensive end.

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 03:22 AM

Originally posted by hels

2nd try was even weaker defensively.... lol. I still don't mind the Under though, I can't believe both teams are going to play this asleep the whole game on the defensive end.

Very weak defence both of them that's where my thinking on the over *** from but with no confidence at all.

hels · 03-29-10, 03:24 AM

Originally posted by kingfish28

Very weak defence both of them that's where my thinking on the over *** from but with no confidence at all.

the way they're playing the only way tries will be scored is from defensive carelessness. However, there's already been 2 of them.. lol
edit: make that 3
double edit: make that 4

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 03:30 AM

Originally posted by hels

the way they're playing the only way tries will be scored is from defensive carelessness. However, there's already been 2 of them.. lol
edit: make that 3

Make that 4. How bad are the sharks.

hels · 03-29-10, 03:33 AM

Originally posted by kingfish28

Make that 4. How bad are the sharks.

That's why I got the Souths. The Sharks premier side would have difficulty contending with the U20s

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 03:35 AM

Originally posted by hels

That's why I got the Souths. The Sharks premier side would have difficulty contending with the U20s

your not wrong hels there a joke, the melb or rich of the nrl

hels · 03-29-10, 03:40 AM

Originally posted by kingfish28

your not wrong hels there a joke, the melb or rich of the nrl

2 official season long plays:
1) fade broncos

2) fade sharks

this game is seriously the poorest I have seen all season. Hopefully tonight gets the Sharks Monday Night requirements out of the way. They have lots of to improve on (e.g., everything).

If anyone wants to make a fun bet for sbr points:

O/U before Sharks win a game -- week 10
O/U before Sharks score 20 points in one game -- week 10

TwoWays · 03-29-10, 03:41 AM

I decided to lay off this game. Would have loved some action; there will be other opportunities later this week. GL

TwoWays · 03-29-10, 03:43 AM

Originally posted by hels

2 official season long plays:
1) fade broncos
2) fade sharks

Guess this means sharks are thus far the worst team in NRL. Fade sharks for the foreseeable future.

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 03:45 AM

Originally posted by hels

2 official season long plays:
1) fade broncos
2) fade sharks

No doubt there. Broncos to young and now injuries and the sharks well there just shit. They have no idea how to get over the line

t4_ever · 03-29-10, 03:47 AM

Lucky i bet South win.. and dint go for under ..!!!

Good luck to all who bet Under

Samuraifan · 03-29-10, 03:50 AM

I got a under bet too, looking fairly promising atm.

$172 u39.5 to win $326.80

Domestic · 03-29-10, 03:52 AM

Had a good feeling about sharks after that initial try, would help if the sharks full back could catch the ball.

Aparty from that flurry of tries in the first 20 mins, scoring has slowed down considerably, any of you guys on the under going to hedge?

hels · 03-29-10, 03:59 AM

Originally posted by t4_ever

Lucky i bet South win.. and dint go for under ..!!! Good luck to all who bet Under

Thanks mate!!! I hope the Souths ML holds on for us!!

The Broncos young players were all adrenalin week 1 where weeks 2 and 3 have showed us their true colours. Hopefully they're overvalued these next few weeks and all of us can cash in on their past reputation. They play on the road vs. the Roosters Friday night and I expect to see Sydney put out a solid performance. I often wonder how often teams 'pick their spots' and which games they really focus on and go all out for. Anything over 1.40 on their ML and I'll play it hard. However, expecting to see Sydney-8.5 and ML at 1.33.

kingfish28 · 03-29-10, 04:00 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Had a good feeling about sharks after that initial try, would help if the sharks full back could catch the ball.

Aparty from that flurry of tries in the first 20 mins, scoring has slowed down considerably, any of you guys on the under going to hedge?

I'm on the over and was thinking of hedging. Just noticed I had a multi from the epl, NBA today and last leg south Sydney which I forgot about so mite just ride it out.

Domestic · 03-29-10, 04:02 AM

Originally posted by kingfish28

I'm on the over and was thinking of hedging. Just noticed I had a multi from the epl, NBA today and last leg south Sydney which I forgot about so mite just ride it out.

Nice stuff, good luck on the multi.

hels · 03-29-10, 04:04 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Had a good feeling about sharks after that initial try, would help if the sharks full back could catch the ball.

Aparty from that flurry of tries in the first 20 mins, scoring has slowed down considerably, any of you guys on the under going to hedge?

I don't think I will hedge this. Souths will probably slow it down and lull the Sharks too sleep. I also can't see the Sharks scoring more than one try this half and unless Cronulla's defense does some more self-exploding the Souths will play quite conservatively.

Of course I'm trying to self-persuade that the Under 38.5 was the best play pregame