AyLukeAys Aussie Horse Racing Thread.

[aylukeay]

Doom.

Race1
#6 Espiritu $100 @ 3.50

Race2
#2 Adorabubble $80 @ 4.40
#3 Ms Ba Bella $80 @ 4.20

Rest tomorrow. Outlay so far. $260 @ doom and $600 at caul.

[aylukeay]

Doom.cont.

Race 3
#1 Darci Be Good $40 @ 10.00
#2 Hi Son $110 @ 3.80

Race4
#1 Sporting Page $50 @ 12.00
#3 Covert Charmour $40 @ 19.00

Race5
#1 Headwater Country $40 @ 9.50
#4 Combatant $60 @ 6.50


So far doomben Outlay $600

[aylukeay]

For those playing the Promos. These are not my tips. just taking +ev value plays to profit over time.
Sportingbet $2 favs, loading up the mrs bowler acct.

Caulfield rc1
#3 Zeletto $100 @ 2.00

Morphetville R2
#1 Goldbya $100 @ 2.00

Belmont R4
#3 Bonny Zara $100 @ 2.00

[aylukeay]

Doom. Cont.

Race6
#1 Jopa $20 @ 7.00
#2 Just a Perla $88 @ 4.80
#6 Written Above All $92 @ 4.60

Race7
#2 Rocket to Glory $120 @ 3.50
#4 Living on a Prayer $80 @ 5.00

Race8
#1 Bingo Rose $110 @ 5.50
#9 Lucky Lucre $40 @ 9.00


Doomben total outlay for the day. $1150.

not betting race1 caul...have already posted all of morp and rc 6,7,8 at caul...rest of caul to be posted through the day.

[aylukeay]

Caul. Race2
#1 Lotion $20 @ 8.00
#3 Kaizaen $40 @ 8.50
#5 War Point $90 @ 5.00

[aylukeay]

caul3
#6 Anatina $150 @ 2.60

[aylukeay]

Caul 4
#9 Picking Time $80 @ 6.00
#3 Fontein Ruby $60 @ 7.50
#1 Veuvelicious $60 @ 10.00



Just missed a photo by a nose for a huge result on the $40 @ 19.00 covert charmour also lost very very close less than a head finishes twice at caul.
Did have one go our way at doomben. so 1/4 in the close ones. tips are going well would enjoy a little bit of luck tho

[aylukeay]

Caul.5
#5 Suavito $100 @ 4.00
#10 Lady Cumquat $66 @ 7.00
#13 Dig a Pony $34 @ 12.00

[aylukeay]

Caul9
#5 Trust in a gust $90 @ 2.20
#13 Flying Coni $46 @ 21
#6 Commanding time $64 @ 15.00

[aylukeay]

Not a good finish to the day yesterday, mainly due to doing ass at caul. rebuild.

SwanHill

Race4
#5 Eruption $250 @ 1.85


Wangaratta
Race5
#2 Quick Snitzel $250 @ 1.90

[aylukeay]

wang 6
#10 Marlgeo $30 @ 14
#9 Niminypiminy $120 @ 3.00

wangartta 7
#3 Steakandbeanraise $46 @ 7.00
#6 Coup Bager $44 @ 14.00

[aylukeay]

Wang8
#12 Lonhtime $96 @ 5.00
#5 Paige's Boy $54 @ 5.40

[aylukeay]

Laying Rainbow storm in race5 at swan hill

or effectively betting on every runner $100 @ 3.04

[aylukeay]

Very Very crappy day of racing at Bendigo tomorrow. The normal outlay of $1000 plus on a Wednesday has been reduced to $300. On the basis of probabilites will be low chances of getting winners tomorrow since i am playing very wide and taking the value runners. Only way to play a card like this. Small and selective with the value on our side.


Bendigo

Race5
#8 Sharmarino $24 @ 13.00

Race6
#9 Arties Gold $40 @ 7.50

Race7
#9 Tansby $82 @ 6.00 (sb)
#3 Float my boat $16 @ 12.00
#7 Reddamour $42 @ 9.50
#12 Soosa Rama $60 @ 7.00


Race8
#6 Red Samurai $36 @ 13.00

[aylukeay]

Getting pretty sick of losing photo's seem to be winning 10% of the 50/50 finishes.

big difference between losing and winning in a game of mm's

[aylukeay]

Seymour
Rc7 #6 averou $140 @ 2.50

Rc8
#10 precocious gem $210 @ 1.70

[aylukeay]

Watched the replays of seymour, racing is a funny thing. All predictions where for the inside to be off and better racing out wide suiting the backmarkers running on. Cue the above bets. turns out nothing came from behind all day and was the biggest case of leaders paradise we have seeen since a horrid day at Mornington last year. Precious Gem gets a tick mark for me but was money down the drain could not win.

Pitfulls of having a fulltime job, if i was able to be at home punting 100% do not make that bet and in face do form looking for leaders. and win.

[aylukeay]

Will probably have 1 bet at Geelong.

Will probably lay some of the short favs on the fair that im not backing and see how we go tomorrow. Fading some favourites and specking the value picks.


Valley.
Race1.
#2 Easy Drama $30 @ 12.00

Race2
#2 Commanding Jewell $210 @ 1.65

Race3
#4 Lets Rock n Roll $70 @ 4.60

Race4
#5 Angelic Light $40 @ 7.50

Total outlay $350 rest of the best to come through the night.

[aylukeay]

Geelong
Rc.6
#2 apple theif $200 @ 1.90

[Dr.Gonzo]

I'm on Almalad to win the Caulfield Guineas for something quite substantial so I'm expecting him to be winning comfortably tonight.

Also on Atlante in the Group 1 at Caulfield on Sunday.

[aussieH]

Waterhouse is the trainer which is a bit of a stopper for almalad.

[aylukeay]

Have not done the form for Almalad race yet you on it for enough to wipe out the national debt in guineas gonzo?
best of luck.



Short price favs doing my head in atm, when im on them they spud when i lay them they are morals. seeing em wrong.

Laying angels beach @ 2.04

Effectively $150 @ 1.91 on the field to beat angels beach.

[Coopertrooper]

Good to see some aussie horse racing chat! I haven't seen much of your thread before but will try and have a look if I can find time!

I think Precedence has everything going for it tonight and also like Another Prelate. The Railway is also very open. Could be a few results tonight.

[aussieH]

I will take a quaddie with almalad one out. Something to follow in between the nrl

[aylukeay]

Laying Lanken rupee at $1.53 for a $150 loss

Effectivly betting the field to beat lankeen $150 @ 2.78 (after commision

[aylukeay]

Well the laying worked well. 2/2 tonight and 1/1 last sunday laying the shorties. thats nice for #something. now just need to be able to pick a winner lol.

Joining you guys with Almalad, surprised at the price given its a g1 at trip only 3 starts back.


Race5
#1 Eloping $150 @ 3.20

Race 6
#11 Signoff $114 @ 4.40
#1 The Cleaner $36 @ 4.20

Race7
#1 Almalad $150 @ 3.30

[aussieH]

Out in the first leg of the quaddie. Did not see your tip in the race

[aylukeay]

bl mate. if your luck is anything like mine your a certainty to get the last 3 legs for a tripod.
Im very much enjoying MV being back on a fri night.

[Dr.Gonzo]

Fark, I needed this.

Great ride Tommy.

[aussieH]

Good win by almalad. Good call

[aylukeay]

1 small play in the last.

#6 Eximius $73 @ 4.75

[aylukeay]

Top win Gonzo great call. he rode it a tweet and the pattern of the day/every single day at MV really meant it was huge odds considering the pattern style of the dangers. good luck in 2 weeks at guineas. looks like it could be in the mix for cox also.

Been a great finish to the second half of the night.

[aussieH]

3 legs as usual.

[aylukeay]

lost (-100) fri day
lost (175) thur day
lost (-300) wed day.
lost (-400) morp last sat.
lost (-1068) me caul.
win +534 doom
lost (205) sunday.

+480 tonight backs
+403.50 lays.


(-830.50)

needed tonight after a horror week, good to get some reward for the work and really reinvigorated with some of these lays. will now be looking to lay short horses that i dont like rather than just avoiding the race or fading them. I have thought for a while that laying them would be profitable. time to put the money on the line and see how we go. going 3/3 is obv a great start but lets see what happens.

[aylukeay]

Morphetville one bet and one bet only.

Race1.
#1 Eclair Choice $100 @ 3.20



Doomben - rest coming in the morning.

Race1
#4 Uno Five $80 @ 4.40

Race2
#2 Shinji $60 @ 3.00
#5 Amizade $120 @ 3.30

Race3
#6 Faith n courage $30 @ 26.00

Race4
#3 Star Sammy $74 @ 4.80
#4 Lady Echelon $86 @ 4.20


Doom outlay so far $450.