Johno's 2013 AFL Season Long Thread

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  • benrama
    SBR MVP
    • 01-19-11
    • 1499

    #456
    You're right, North vs Freo was a wet game initially - still 29 points is ridiculously low whatever the conditions, particularly for an attacking team like North.

    No way that Saints win the midfield battle, even with Hayes included. No way they win the up front battle too. I disagree that man on man is best for them, I think they need to stack their defense half and counter-attack, that would be their only chance of pulling off a miracle.
    Comment
    • johno35
      SBR MVP
      • 10-19-11
      • 1123

      #457
      I don't think saints have any chance but just don't think they will get smashed by 10 goals. But I guess we will find out Sunday
      Comment
      • johno35
        SBR MVP
        • 10-19-11
        • 1123

        #458
        Tonight I really like Carlton to get the job done, Collingwood were really dissapointing last week and the Blues are better than where they sit on the ladder. A popular bet is the 1-39 but I'm worried that this could be a blow out if Carlton's small forwards have a night out.

        Carlton 1st half -3.5 - 3 units
        Carlton -7.5 - 3 units

        GL
        Comment
        • johno35
          SBR MVP
          • 10-19-11
          • 1123

          #459
          Wow I thought that half bet was in the bag
          Comment
          • johno35
            SBR MVP
            • 10-19-11
            • 1123

            #460
            Where was Collingwood last week?
            Comment
            • hedgejob
              SBR MVP
              • 12-21-09
              • 2561

              #461
              It's not Collingwood mate, it's Carlton. They stopped playing and went completely defensive after 20 mins.
              Comment
              • johno35
                SBR MVP
                • 10-19-11
                • 1123

                #462
                Originally posted by hedgejob
                It's not Collingwood mate, it's Carlton. They stopped playing and went completely defensive after 20 mins.
                Your right, I'm just not happy
                Comment
                • johno35
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-19-11
                  • 1123

                  #463
                  Bad call on Carlton, don't think I'm alone though
                  Comment
                  • benrama
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-19-11
                    • 1499

                    #464
                    I think the entire AFL betting world got buried on Carlton tonight
                    Comment
                    • sando
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-30-12
                      • 3723

                      #465
                      Originally posted by johno35
                      Bad call on Carlton, don't think I'm alone though
                      Not at all. Good 'ol fashioned SBR Burial.
                      Comment
                      • johno35
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-19-11
                        • 1123

                        #466
                        Dogs 1st half -15.5 - 3 units
                        Dogs -32.5 - 3 units
                        Under 188.5 - 1 unit
                        Comment
                        • johno35
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-19-11
                          • 1123

                          #467
                          Richmond 1-39 $2.30 - 1 unit
                          Over 196.5 - 1 unit
                          Comment
                          • johno35
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-19-11
                            • 1123

                            #468
                            Brisbane -22.5 - 3 units

                            Ablett out is huge here, it will interesting to see how GC go without him
                            Comment
                            • johno35
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-19-11
                              • 1123

                              #469
                              Getting buried so far this round, hopefully things turn around
                              Comment
                              • hedgejob
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-21-09
                                • 2561

                                #470
                                Round of the dogs so far, 3-0 ats. Don't recall seeing this kind of run this season.
                                Comment
                                • johno35
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-19-11
                                  • 1123

                                  #471
                                  Adelaide/West Coast under 158.5 - 3 unit

                                  A lot of rain in Adelaide today
                                  Comment
                                  • johno35
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-19-11
                                    • 1123

                                    #472
                                    Hawks -6.5 - 3 units
                                    Under 183.5 - 1 unit
                                    Comment
                                    • johno35
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-19-11
                                      • 1123

                                      #473
                                      Originally posted by hedgejob
                                      Round of the dogs so far, 3-0 ats. Don't recall seeing this kind of run this season.
                                      Yeah has been a strange round so far
                                      Comment
                                      • johno35
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-19-11
                                        • 1123

                                        #474
                                        C'mon hawks
                                        Comment
                                        • johno35
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-19-11
                                          • 1123

                                          #475
                                          Scraped back a couple of units tonight but still way down on the round. Liking Saints and Bombers tomorrow
                                          Comment
                                          • hedgejob
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-21-09
                                            • 2561

                                            #476
                                            Dogs round for sure 5-1 ats. My guess tomo MEL, STK cover PA get smashed.
                                            Comment
                                            • johno35
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-19-11
                                              • 1123

                                              #477
                                              I'm staying away from the Melb/Syd match, I don't have a lean either way or on the total. Sydney will win easily but by 10 goals?
                                              Comment
                                              • johno35
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-19-11
                                                • 1123

                                                #478
                                                Saints +57.5 - 3 units
                                                Comment
                                                • johno35
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-19-11
                                                  • 1123

                                                  #479
                                                  Bombers 1st half -10.5 - 3 units
                                                  Bombers -21.5 - 3 units
                                                  Over 182.5 - 3 units

                                                  Pretty confident with this one, hopefully I'm not underestimating Port again but Bombers should roll them today. The over is also a good bet, these two teams have gone well over that total the last 4 time they have played each other
                                                  Comment
                                                  • johno35
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-19-11
                                                    • 1123

                                                    #480
                                                    Updated Record:

                                                    94 wins - 89 losses

                                                    1 unit plays -8.62
                                                    3 units plays +26.84
                                                    5 unit plays +23

                                                    Overall +41.22 units

                                                    Somehow managed to be up 1.72 units for the round after winning 12 units today, its nice when things work out how you expected them too
                                                    Comment
                                                    • johno35
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-19-11
                                                      • 1123

                                                      #481
                                                      I have no leans for tonight, good luck to any that do
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johno35
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                        • 1123

                                                        #482
                                                        Hawks -19.5 - 3 units

                                                        I'm waiting to see what the weather is doing before I make an over/under play. 10-25mm is forecasted and the total is set at 152.5, not much on the radar at the moment so I'll make a call around 1:00
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johno35
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-19-11
                                                          • 1123

                                                          #483
                                                          Geelong/Melbourne under 172.5 - 3 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • johno35
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-19-11
                                                            • 1123

                                                            #484
                                                            Originally posted by johno35
                                                            Hawks -19.5 - 3 units

                                                            I'm waiting to see what the weather is doing before I make an over/under play. 10-25mm is forecasted and the total is set at 152.5, not much on the radar at the moment so I'll make a call around 1:00
                                                            I must have been looking at yesterday's forecast because its now saying 1-6mm
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johno35
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-19-11
                                                              • 1123

                                                              #485
                                                              Im going to keep my eye in the radar, there is some rain north west of Adelaide but I'm not sure if it will hit AAMI Stadium, if I like what I see I'll make a play at 1:30
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gimps_77
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 05-31-13
                                                                • 251

                                                                #486
                                                                Best thing for weather is get on the radar and look at live images.

                                                                Adelaide is in for a downpour
                                                                Comment
                                                                • johno35
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-19-11
                                                                  • 1123

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Sounds good

                                                                  Port/Hawks under 150.5 - 3 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vinnie Paz
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                                    • 12177

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Hawks at 17.5 johno
                                                                    Ill play some for actions sake
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • johno35
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-19-11
                                                                      • 1123

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Not sure when this rain is coming??
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • johno35
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                                        • 1123

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Richmond -26.5 - 1 unit
                                                                        Under 179.5 - 1 unit
                                                                        Comment
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