Saratoga

[Louisvillekid1]

In the 9th we have the 100k Riskaverse going a mile on the inner

#2 PEACEFUL (8/1), should continue to improve and JT is a monster with he maidens vs winners first time. They lose JAVY to Chad Brown here, but Manny no slouch, should be picking up pieces late. #3 IONIC (5/1), has only been beaten by a nose in 3 starts and has some early zip. Just outclassed in this spot imo. #5 ALL QUALITY (12/1), also has only been beaten by less than length in their first 3 starts. Woodbine shipper ran well last out here @ the same price and Johnny V sticks around. Still prefer others.#6 CATCH A BID (7/5) , Think the chalk gets it done here. Lost only by a Neck first time vs winners to the #1 horse who is scratched here and was a next out winner and woulda been the choice here. Should enjoy going back to the mile distance. There is another chad brown and how many stakes races (or any races) can you get Jose Ortiz @ 15/1 and Javy @ 6/1!!! But I'll have to pass on both for win money and kick myself later. The only other horse I'd use to beat the #6 is the #10 HOTSY TOTSY (3/1), Making states debut for red hot Chris Clement. obv gonna get the drugs and has some good works already over the track. Gets one of the best finishing pilots in the game, and could sit the trip.

Can't figure a vertical here and would use the 6 and 10 in horizontal wagering.

[Louisvillekid1]

On to the Finale Going a mile and 1/8 on the grass for a 65k Maiden Claimer

#2 AZZZEDINE (50/1), this one intrigues me. Look this once 335k purchase will be running for the 3rd time this meet on the quick flip in 11 days. Im assuming because of the early speed shown in the last. Joey Martinez only mount on the card and I'll throw in for some win money. #4 Perceived (2/1), I'll also use, as if im alive in the late pick 5 wouldn't wanna lose to this brown on the drop, but not encouraged and prefer others. #5 SANDY LANE KITTEN (10/1), is another throw in on a race im going deep. #7 TONY SMALL (6/1), another one ill use, shot its load early last out and gets the blinkers off, since has been gelded and switching to the grass on the drop in for the tag. Type of changes we seen w/ Dutrow's Sneakiness last week. Jose back aboard w/ experience on the animal. #8 CRYPTO GOLD (10/1), simple linda rice toss in , even though seen isn't having her best meet. I'll also use the #10 NOBLE SPIRIT (7/2), on this deep ticket And the #11 KNOCKOUT PUNCH (15/1), Cuz why not

[Louisvillekid1]

Everything is for fast/firm only

OK so Early pick 5 is just a $4.50 Ticket

3x1x1x1x3

Late pick 5 is a $42 ticket

3x1x2x2x7

A few Verticals

R3 $1 Tri 4 w/ 2,3,5,7 ($12)
R4 $10 Tri 1 w/ 3 w/ 4 ($10)
R5 $2 Tri 2 w/ 8,10 w/ 3,7,8,10 ($12)
R6 $2 Tri 5,9 w/ 5,9 w/ 1,3,8 ($12)


$92.50 total

[Louisvillekid1]

Saratoga Friday

race 1 is 78k MSW sprint going 5.5

Klavravich looks to have a good one on the rail w/ top flight connections in #1 DEEPLY ANALYTICAL (5/2), 270k Purchase simply can not be ignored. #2 MOANA's TALE (9/2), has one of my favorite teams, but Gargan not great at first asking, mixed feelings. #4 STRETCH THE STORY (6/1), intrigues me some, Clement boiling lately and Junior has won the last 2 when working together. #7 JEN'S BATTLE (8/1), nearly wired the field at 2nd asking on the dirt, breed for grass and put up a bullet work since. However, the speed #'s are low and I'll be looking elsewhere, think public will give some love here, as many don't like to play debut's off this ones running line alone. #13 TALES I WINIT (AE 8/1) , Another Clement that has been working well and if gets in is a major player.

Gut tells me a firster wins this opener. So I'll use #1 DEEPLY ANALYTICAL (5/2) , #4 STRETCH THE STORY (6/1), & #13 TALES I WINIT (AE 8/1)

[Louisvillekid1]

Race 2 is a 78k MSW going a mile and 1/16ths on the turf.

#1 KLICKITAT (3/1), Mr. Jerkens have some strong #'s, Claimed from Brad Cox, put right back on the lawn for first time since debut and fired a placing just missing after being 6 wide. Should like the added distance here, and a major player. #3 CRAZY LIFE (7/2), A Chad Brown w/ Javy that should take to going back to the grass. Logicial include. #4 WAYNE'S FOOTSTEPS (7/2) , is going to be involved early but figures to just set the pace and give it up on the back end. There are a lot of similar horses in this race, but not a race I'd invest going deep in. I'll either be right or wrong and move along. Lets add Linda rice w/ Irad returning after just missing on the #7 DARING DISGUISE (4/1), was right behind the rail horse we like and gets the added distance as was moving late.

[Louisvillekid1]

The 3rd is the 200k running of the Fleet Indian , going a mile and 1/8th

Maybe a break out day for Linda as we liked in the 2nd and now in the 3rd #2 NEWLY MINTED (6/5), Horse is 3 for 3 on the sand winning by over 14th lengths combined including 2 stakes win. Lezcano has been cold, but been aboard since jump and is a contender. #3 ELEGANT ZIP (15/1), This finger lakes shipper has not ran well in their 2019 campaign , However donk could surprise, manny has experience on this animal including a win her last year, and is 2 1-1-0 at the spa. Mixed Bag. #4 WAIT A MINUTE (6/1), is another FL Shipper who is going for the hat trick today, but this one brings its pilot. Won by 23 lengths 2 back and posted a bullet work since. Seems to do their best work on the front end, wonder if that gets a speed duel w/ the deuce? Mixed Feelings in this tough field. #5 BEHIND THE COUCH (5/2), Jeremiah Englehart is having an exceptional meet and gets the leading rider here. MUST USE. #6 KID IS FROSTY (7/2), I went against last out and not happening again.

[Louisvillekid1]

in the 4th another 78k MSW , this one a dirt sprint going 5.5

#4 LORD CAMDEN (4/1), Mr. Casse does great with these 2 year olds and was moving late only losing by 3 in debut. Should move forward here. #8 SCILLY CAY (5/2), is not my top choice by any means at this price, but don't wanna toss linda here. #9 THREE JOKERS (6/1), Makes a lot sense to run big in debut here.

[Louisvillekid1]

the 5th is the 150k YADDO going a mile and 1/16ths on the lawn

Clement has 2 live ones here , in the #3 WEGETSTHEDAMUNNYS (5/1), & #6 MUNCHKIN MONEY (3/1). The #9 KRESSIE is favorite of mine and JOSE also makes this Donker live. But I'll try and single the Chad Brown/Javy here. #1 FIFTY FIVE (1/1) , is a ridiculous 10 5-1-4 @ the distance, only been outta the money once in career. Does not have a win here yet, but this seems like a smart placing to do just that.

Concludes the Early Pick 5

3x3x3x3x1

$40.50

[Louisvillekid1]

the 6th is an 80k allowance turf sprint going 5.5

This race is rather weak so lets look for a price to start the empire 6

Im not interested in horses 1-4. #5 PREFERRED OUTCOME (12/1), Finger lake shipper catches my eye. Tony Ferraro is 5 0-1-1 at the meet and brings Western NY jockey along who aboard in this ones last win. Now they do their best at the front end and big jump in class, but going to be ultra fresh here with most of the inside speed running recently. ( I could be reaching there lol) But this 5 year old is 2 0-1-1 here lifetime and I see this one as being worth a shot. Ok the outside horses are big time dangerous, I see now. Both Ortiz brothers are live on the #10 BOURBON MISSION (5/1) 2nd off the claim for Joe Sharp, and #11 VETERAN'S BEACH (5/1). #12 CALL ME HENRY (7/2), won at first asking here and looks like one you'd almost have to include.

In a very difficult race, Im going with the Finger Lakes Shipper #5 PREFERRED OUTCOME (12/1)

Straight win bet here, and maybe single on a very cheap E6 ticket

Its a race I don't recommend spending a lot on and going deep for the Empire 6... So make a cheap ticket and if your wrong your wrong and we start the late pick 5 next

[Louisvillekid1]

The 7th is the 200k Seeking the Ante going 6.5 on the sand.

#1 Violent Point (5/1), Just won by 6 , but don't like the added distance here. Heavily bet in both starts , but tough ask first time vs winners here. Johnny V returns and the rail will be sent. Not for me. This is simply a 2 horse race between the #5 FIERCE LADY (1/1) & #6 MY ITALIAN RABBI (2/1). They just ran against each other last out and the #6 won by a nose.

I think the #5 flips the script here, and will single if needed...

[Louisvillekid1]

Race 8 is the 200k Funny Ride going 6.5

for a stakes dirt sprint there sure isn't much early zip on the form. Outside of the bookends. #1 BULL OF BAYERN (12/1) is Clearly going go with Santana from the rail , and the outside #9 LISTENTOYOURHEART (7/2) will have to get over early and try and hold on. I'll make the #9 my top selection to just that, but watch out for the #7 CLEON JONES (8/1), is my pick to benefit the most from the pace and will be trying to catch Manny.

[Louisvillekid1]

the 9th is the 150k West point going a mile and 1/16ths on the grass

Some of these chalky prices like the #1 THERAPIST (5/2), & #3 OFFERING PLAN (8/5), aren't really in great form for all that love. Lets look for a price. None of the inside 4 horses have any early speed and the #5 MO MAVERICK (12/1) Flys outta the gate and Luis Saez one of the best speed riders in the game sticks around. He is the one to catch and with that lack of form and speed inside , why not include on the quick 12 day turnaround 2nd off the bench. To the right the #6 EVERYONELOVESJAMES (20/1) & #7 VOODOO SONG (6/1) do have some early kick but just not as fast to get the lead, and I doubt Linda wants to on Voodoo with the way this ones been quitting late and also gets the leading rider to relax some. When Brad Cox ships I pay attention. He seems to crush shippers in the spa. so lets include the #8 DOT MATRIX (9/2)

Confident we score a price here on either the 5,7, or 8

[Louisvillekid1]

RAce 10 is the 250k Albany going a mile and 1/8ths

I said it could be a break out for Linda, So obv gonna include the #1 DADDY KNOWS (12/1) , #2 BANKIT (7/2) Also with Asmussen/Santana teaming up. Another Linda #5 BLINDWILLIE MCTELL (9/2), Keeps it in the family w/ Jose aboard. #7 NOT THAT BRADY (5/2) should make the front so lets include.

[Louisvillekid1]

The Finale is just a 48K M C

#2 WACKY PAL (7/5) , should make the lead but spit the bit in the last 2 and its not a very encouraging drop, but clearly a big time player and must use. Don't wanna be alive to last leg and lose because you left this one off the ticket. #4 SOBER SICK N SORRY (15/1) , has been improving and finally gets on the lawn, I think should take the first time going long. could surprise. Lets include the #9 THE HAPPY GIANT (4/1) and #10 MR. VINCENT (8/1)

[Louisvillekid1]

So Early Pick 5

3x3x3x3x1 ($40.50)

E6

1x1x2x3x4x4 ($19.20)

Late P5

1x2x3x4x4 ($36)

Another just under a c note day.

No Verticals unless I go to OTB and get frisky

[Louisvillekid1]

Ok time to edit todays card with the 5th 7th & 10th off the turf

Wasn't expected that today

[Louisvillekid1]

Thursday

official


R2 2,4,7
R3 4
R4 1
R5 8,9
R6 1,5,9


($9)


R6 1,5,9
R7 7,8,13
R8 1,3
R9 6,10
R10 3,14


($36)




R3 $2 Tri 4 w/ 2,3,7 ($12)
R4 $5 Tri 1 w/ 3 w/ 4 ($5)
R6 $2 Tri 5,9 w/ 5,9 w/ 1,3,8 ($12)

[Louisvillekid1]

Run 1-2 in opener

exacta wasn’t terrible

but didn’t play cuz wasn’t keying

I don’t Box that much

[Louisvillekid1]

Would of never had beau belle at 5/2 in the 3rd

at 8/1 didn’t m/l didn’t even make my top 4

speed scratched out

we lead them around ,

moving on

[Louisvillekid1]

Couple prices in the last 2

2x2 remaining for the window visit

[Louisvillekid1]

Jose at 20/1 lol and almost steals it

i said in write up its crazy too lol

[Louisvillekid1]

Well alive again to last leg albeit it chalky

All you can ask for

Got 2/7 in finale

[Louisvillekid1]

$708 to the 3
$430 to the 14

[WildcatNation]

Nice hit!!!! Thanks kid 🙌🏻🙌🏻

[Louisvillekid1]

Yessir I’ll take it

[Easy-Rider 66]

Yessir I’ll take it

[JBEX]

Yessir I’ll take it

you get so much value with those.. regularly pay a lot more than the parlay price.. this one close to double if I did the math right.. nice hit

[Louisvillekid1]

Pick 5 in Saratoga best bet there is

[JBEX]

Pick 5 in Saratoga best bet there is

yes big pools, 50¢ base bet, and the perfect amount of races.. and of course quality horses

[Louisvillekid1]

Someone keeps telling me Indiana pays out great

[Louisvillekid1]

Del Mar late pick 4

5,8
8
all
6

cost $5

[Louisvillekid1]

Boxed the 5 &8 in the 4th $2 Ex for $4

thats it for me

[JBEX]

Someone keeps telling me Indiana pays out great

wouldn't be surprised.. I think them and md circuit have solid racing.. much better than 10 - 15 years ago

[Louisvillekid1]

Tomorrow’s card is a strange one personally for me

I’m all over the card , but

outta 11 races I really don’t have a top pick is any

Its why I don’t have any verticals because no keys lol

I’m going to OTB all day tomorrow , so that could change

looking like a single in 5th to end the early pick 5 and single in 7th to start the last pick 5

if get those we are plenty covered to cash

I guess Dot Matrix is my favorite play in the 9th

in the 6th I do like the finger lakes shipper long shot play as well

Still going over some things

will post official after changes

good luck

[JBEX]

going to look at it in the morning..too tired now ..but think it's smart to adjust your strategy based on your take on the card