Spa r7
1.2.3 tri box $2
1.2.3 tri box $2
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Comment -
Fukked up not using multiplayer
that one big time mistakeComment -
Laurel r7
$20 Ex 1 w/ 5,6Comment -
Back down
gulf r6
$20 Ex 9 w/ 1,2Comment -
Hit a few late
good day
manny!!!!!Comment -
Del Mar r9
$20 DD
1,7 w/ 5Comment -
Chris Landeros might be in for a big day
single in the opener @ spaComment -
Putting Together Late pick 5 ticket for Del MAr
Singling Seeking the Soul
Using both chad browns in the oaks
Forecast is grim in NYComment -
Early pick 5
saratoga
1,8,9
1,3,4
3,6,7
4
2,3
$27Comment -
Yeah our mott horse in opener was big
lots of singles on those firsters
and actually my 3 scratched in the 3rd so I get doubleComment -
So it’s either 808 or 1950Comment -
Not even close oh wellComment -
Damn. That 2 didnt run for a shitComment -
Jose on the Maryland shipper and jbex pick ran big
sucksComment -
I thought Joel had something but nothing
and yeah the deuce ran worst of careerComment -
R6 spa
$20 Ex 8 w/ 7,11 ($40)
$2 Tri 8 w/ 7,11 w/ 3,7,10,11 ($12)
$0.20 cent empire 6
8 w/ 2,3,5 w/ 5 w/ 1,3,5 w/ 1,5,7 w/ 2,5,9 ($16.20)Comment -
Gulf r7
$20 Ex 6 w/ 5,10Comment -
That 10 was a monster
course record
battled Browns chalk in front end
and had plenty left in tankComment -
Hopefully u bet that 3 to winComment -
Will have full write up for Friday and Saturday card day before
Didn’t play today and most likely not tomorrow , but maybeComment -
Lets see what's on tap for tomorrow.....
Every race is a mile + lolComment -
R2 is a 16k Claimer going a mile and 1/8ths.\
Its not encouraging to back an even money chad brown #2 INTERNET OF THINGS (1/1) at this level on the drop, but there isn't much here to completely toss if we end up w/ a horizontal ticket. The #7 Lucky Bet (5/1), This one showed speed last out on the grass and could be a candidate to wire the field. #4 Purchasing Power (5/1) , Seems to prefer the dirt and this distance.
I think using these 3 makes sense if we end up with a ticket.Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 08-21-19, 05:49 PM.Comment -
Race 3 is 92k Allowance on the turf going a mile and 3/16ths
#1 NONSENSICAL (8/1), Shows me nothing except to be an early speed factor. Horse keeps taking money and they keep moving this one. They seem to believe in this one. Bravo 0-for on the meet and I'll just have to rip up the ticket if this one shows up even being entered w/ the 1A FANCY THAT, You learn quickly playing this meet to not let jose ortiz beat you on a price horse like this, but I'll have to step aside and kick myself later again if so. #2 QUIET DIGNITY (9/5), I didn't look up the numbers but Chad Brown Shippers from overseas have seem to do great first time in the states, but no so much on the 2nd try. Irad returns after the 3rd placing in states debut 5 weeks ago. Im just capping these in order, but this is one I think we should be able to beat. #3 SILVER SHAKER (10/1) , has an outstanding late kick and the longer the better it seems. Jose has been ice cold, and we already know there will be speed from the rail and Bravo will have no choice but to go as long as he can. This one can not be ignored and back to the added distance where he 6 1-2-2. This 5 year old is second off the layoff is 3 0-0-2 at the spa and abreu see's fit to add the blinkers, I'm assuming to keep this one focused a little earlier in this race. As I quickly scroll down the field I see there is a ton of speed to his left here including ENGLISH SOUL, who he was only a few lengths off in last , again will love the added distance. Must use in verticals underneath at the least, but there could be a pace meltdown here as well. #4 CAP DE CREUS (4/1), Manny just missed last out on the big drop and Pletcher moves right back up here. Has tactical speed and should be able to stalk off this pace here. Seemed to enjoy the 3/16ths as well and makes a ton of sense. #5 ENGLISH SOUL (2/1) ,is one I been on for a while now and just doesn't seem to have a nose for the wire recently. Has a ton of back class, and beaten by a length running 2nd in the last 2. Interesting note here , Manny has rode this one 7 outta 11 mounts and ends up on the 4. They get Joel Rosario who is one of the best finishers in the game. I don't like the added distance for this one here and im left with mixed feelings. 2/1 no chance I'd play on top of anything, and could easily get left off a ticket if we play the early 5. Thomas Albertrani has another in here #6 BEAU BELLE (8/1), This one just broke the maiden in the 15th try last out. Def prefers the longer distance as they are 3 1-2-0 going the 3/16ths. Saez is ultra aggressive and not sure how they send this one will all that other speed here. The Light Bulb might of came on, but would not use on top. In a long route like this, a lot of times i notice at this meet , when you have this much earlier speed going this long, everybody decides to back off some and end up with an honest pace. #7 COTTONWOOD FALLS (12/1) , This lightly raced 4 year old is just getting going. Morley took this one for MR. Brown's barn and put right on the grass going 1/16ths, could get the best trip. 48 days off but junior returns.
Im going to land on the #4 CAP DE CRUES (4/1), This 3 year old broke the maiden @ keeneland on the 5th try but won by 6. Was going back and forth from florida to ky before that. Pletcher brings this one to NY and first time vs winners gets a DUNBAR ROAD 5 horse field. Get smartly dropped back on the grass going this distance (which I think this one prefers) over comes a bumped start and Manny just misses by a head @ 16/1. 1 0-1-0 at the track and 3 0-2-0 on the turf. I think this one gets first run off these speed horses and will have a chance to hold off #3 SILVER SHAKER & #7 COTTONWOOD FALLS.
So Far I'd have to use 3 in the 2nd and by no means is this a strong single. Part of me thought about keying the 4 over 3 and others, which would be the only thing I'd play so far going through this card.
Even If Im right about the Chad Brown not winning, now im gotta hope english soul misses as well?
A Trifecta of 4 w/ 2,3,5,7 is what I'd play here.Comment -
Race 4 is a 50k Starter Allowance going a mile and 1/8ths.
#1 SARGEANT DRIVE (5/2), Honestly the PP's leave a lot to be desired. This one been claimed from Claude's barn to Maker's and now ATRAS'. Just the simple fact of Mr. Atras' numbers off the claim and 2 off the L/O makes this one enticing. Oh yeah the meets leading riding gets the reins. This one seems to prefer the dirt is 3 1-0-1 at this distance on the dirt. This will be the 3rd try at the spa , but the first 2 were on the grass, and took big money both times. #2 BUMPERDOO (12/1) for nick zito just seems highly outclassed here and I can't see it. #3 CLAYNTHELIONHEART (6/1), Im a big Philip Bauer fan and this one sure found something here earlier in the meet after showing zilch in the first 4 starts. #4 DERBY MEMORIES (6/5), is just going to eat up money imo after that 14 length maiden breaking win @ M C 20k. Gargan/Kendrick deadly combo but Im fading this one and think they get caught. The #5 GRIT AND GLORY (7/2), shipping in from churchill off the layoff but prefer others & #6 SOUL FLIGHT (10/1), first time vs winners , also prefer others.
The entire race just doesn't get me very excited. The #1 becomes a single by default, simply because I'd never bet win money on any of the other 5 here. Also the 4 is gonna create some value on the #1 if we are right.
Im Gonna Say 1-3-4 finish
I'll keep capping and post the plays at the end..Comment -
Race 5 is 75k MSW going a mile and 1/16ths on the turf
#2 BLESSINGSOFLIBERTY (4/1), Makes some sense here, Trombetta has been eating my money up lately, but tried to debut this one on the grass for obvious reasons, it didn't take , but just draw a line through that. Will be much more comfortable and 2nd try and running the turf. Makes a ton sense, and a must Include. #7 LAS RAMBLAS (2/1) , Just a Wesley Ward include. Not gonna write anything on the rest
I'll play a tri here
2 w/ 8,10 w/ 3,7,8,10
The 7 doesn't look a freak , so its ok to single hereComment -
Race 6 is a 90k MSW going a mile and 1/8th's
You have to use the Entry #1 LUCKY CURLIN & 1A ENFORCEABLE (9/5) , Just bottom line. #5 COWTOWN (4/1) as well ADDING the #9 GHOSTOFTHEMAMBO (10/1) , Just curious Mott turning this around so quick and Junior gets the call...
I'll use the 1,5,9
Play a tri 5,9 w/ 5,9 w/ 1,3,8Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 08-21-19, 06:00 PM.Comment -
R3 $1 Tri 4 w/ 2,3,5,7 ($12)
R4 $2 Tri 1 w/ 3 w/ 4 ($2)
R5 $2 Tri 2 w/ 8,10 w/ 3,7,8,10 ($12)
R6 $2 Tri 5,9 w/ 5,9 w/ 1,3,8 ($12)
SO far, taking a break, might cap rest of card tonight or tomorrow...
Small risk day
Playing a $4.50 early pick 5 lol
3x1x1x1x3Comment -
Good write ups LKID. GL.Comment -
Race 7 is a 78k MSW going a mile flat
#2 GO ZAPPEM (5/1) , Horse took a little money in debut 10 months ago, tried to get on grass and ran anyway in slop, so nothing to learn from that. Horse hasn't been working steadily either, but jose does stick around for the new barn. Mixed feelings, same can be said w/ #5 FREDDYMO FACTOR (9/2), improved tremendously in the 2nd try, hasn't raced in 6 weeks and adds the blinkers. The last was also off a long layoff, makes sense underneath. #7 THE GREAT JOHANNA (4/1) , After not showing much on the dirt in the first 5 races, they put this one on the turf in a sprint and was flying late after terrible start. Been working great, and should love the added distance on the grass for this one. Santana Sticks around. Expecting an underlay here since was 31/1 last time and already expecting less than $10 a ticket. Top Pick so far either way. #9 BLAME IT ON MOM (3/1), is trying the grass for the first time and the breeding makes sense. Took money in each and this is 3rd off the bench. Horse should improve but not for me @ this price. #10 TATTERAZI (5/2) , Defintley deserves a second chance after that debut, this 100k purchase did take money in the opener, and wouldn't surprise me at all.
The #7 GREAT JOHANNA (4/1) is the only one that could get my win money hereComment -
The 8th is a 40k AOC going a mile and 1/8th's
#1 CALCULATED RISKER (4/1), Has been getting hit at the window lately and this will be 6th different venue in as many races. I always keep an eye on the Finger Lake shippers and have many successes at this meet with them. Normally at a bigger price than this, but into mischief's have fired at this meet and this one shows some tactical speed. This horse won 7 times in the 26 race career and is 2 1-0-1 at the spa. Form is there and after b2b wins (albeit lower level) ran 3rd last out to a next time winner. Manny gets back aboard and has some experience with this one including a win here last year. Player for sure. #2 FIERY OPAL (3/1) , won here earlier in the meet , then went to philly , shortened up and ran 3rd beaten by a a length +, horse was moving late and seems to prefer the added distance, pretty quick turnaround here by Arriga Antonio who is 6 1-1-1 at saratoga this meet. Huge upgrade in the cockpit, for this once 200k purchase. 30th race coming for this 5 year old and that last win here was at this distance, surprisingly the only time they ran this distance. What bothers me here, is this a type of horse that cost 200k and had high hopes, never really worked out, but did cross the 280k earnings pool. They been running a lot to get that money. If Irad wasn't enticed here, I would be trying to look elsewhere. Mixed feelings. #3 BLUEGRASSCAT'S SMILE (5/2), this 6 year old has done well banking over 300k, cashed a lot of checks, but seems to have lost the nose for the wire. Hasn't won a race listed on the form and is coming off the bench. I think you'll get better than the 5/2 ML price w/ Rajiv aboard. Must use and something I can't explain is telling me this one is the winner. #4 SHAMROCK KID (8/1), was claimed 2 back from Mr. Cox' barn for 30k, went str8 into a 74k allowance and won by 3. Proceeded to drop down and didn't show up, shot their load on that big win. Think they got all they wanted outta this one. Prefer others. You know the #5 Storm Prophet (9/5), has been taking care of. Went from Linda' barn to Rudy's , and now to MR. Atras. But this once 225k purchase doesn't show a win on the form, and only 3 lifetime in 28 tries. Im very happy to rip up a ticket if this chalk crosses the wire first.#6 PLAYTHATFUNNYMUSIC (12/1), is interesting. This one deserves another chance 2nd off the claim. Seems like the connections agree turning this one around rather quickly. Note that Hernandez was aboard in the last victory, Should sit the trip on the outside, as I think the #4SHAMROCK KID will go to the lead with Luis aboard. Could be a player and enjoy the added distance.
In conclusion I like the #1 CALCULATED RISKER (4/1) and/or the #3 BLUEGRASSCAT'S SMILE (5/2) for the win money.
I'd consider an Exacta 1,3 w/ 1,2,3,6Comment
