GinandTonic Random Plays

[JBEX]

Race ran pretty much the way I thought it would. 6 was sitting just behind the 7, try to catch Justify in the stretch but was just no match. Baffert is one amazing trainer, 1st Triple Crown in 30 something years and now breaks the curse of Apollo. Well done. 7-6 exacta paid better than I thought. All in all, made money today even though I missed out on the crazy Pick 3. Preakness is next for Justify and all will be well for him. Best of luck.

good call on good magic..was thinking after the race you have a horse who really is dominant on paper if speed figures mean anything to you. .already has won a big race on an off track and trained by baffert..he's the favorite and what's his name.. hmmm I forget ..oh yeah justify ..always have this mindset get a price in the derby and I understand 20/20 hindsight but you could have made a legitimate case this year to not get too fancy and bet the chalk

[mrginandtonic]

good call on good magic..was thinking after the race you have a horse who really is dominant on paper if speed figures mean anything to you. .already has won a big race on an off track and trained by baffert..he's the favorite and what's his name.. hmmm I forget ..oh yeah justify ..always have this mindset get a price in the derby and I understand 20/20 hindsight but you could have made a legitimate case this year to not get too fancy and bet the chalk

Yes, I pretty much made a strong case to myself. Justify was much the best on paper. Wasn't too sure about Magnum Moon because all the hype around him. But when Hart gave me his thoughts his last race, I know I can throw him out. The only unknown was Mendelssohn because the DRF Race of the Day gave so much credit to his last race. Dan Illman and Matt Bernier both pick him. I respect their opinion afterall they are the pros. I posted 6-Good Magic because I thought he had the best chance of getting to Justify. If not, it should be a good solid exacta play. I had to admit, Audible almost got there before Magic. If he did, I would have been in the red for the day for sure. Anyways, on to the Preakness, I will be interested if Baffert can do back to back Triple Crowns.

[JBEX]

he's probably going to be 1/5 in the preakness and there will be few challengers..I haven't seen if they made odds on it but I'd guess right now he's 3-2 or less to win the tc..if you happen to come across it let me know

[mrginandtonic]

CD

Race 6: 4- Skye Diamonds (ML 5-1) out of money

CD

7- Res Ipsa (ML 10-1) out of money

Didn’t get a chance to post my plays today..... post it Hart’s thread on what I liked.... anyways, for The Kentucky Derby

Race 12: 6- Good Magic (ML 12-1) 2nd, paid $9.20

The One million dollar colt, he closed out his 2 year campaign with a triple digit Breyer. His first race back was a little short, then improved next out to win the Bluegrass. I have to think that third start off layoff will make him even better and back to triple digit Beyers again. He is by Curlin (Smart Strike) out of Glinda the Good (Hard Spun), I would think the distance and the sloppy track shouldn’t be a problem. I like his tactical style and he should be sitting just behind Justify and follow him and wait to get the jump on him turn for home. At 12-1, I think it’s worth a few dollars. GL all

Total Wager: $1200.00
Total Return: $1153.60

[JBEX]

he's probably going to be 1/5 in the preakness and there will be few challengers..I haven't seen if they made odds on it but I'd guess right now he's 3-2 or less to win the tc..if you happen to come across it let me know

just saw william hill has justify (-130) to not win the triple crown..guess that means he's about even money to win the triple crown ?

[mrginandtonic]

SA

Race 1: 3- X S Gold (ML 7-2)

[mrginandtonic]

just saw william hill has justify (-130) to not win the triple crown..guess that means he's about even money to win the triple crown ?

I wonder what was the odds for American Pharaoh after he won the Derby?

[TonyP]

sa race 1 the #4 wins at a 1-1/8th with a good closing kick for cnak that was only mount today,the race this horse comes out of when finishing 2nd behind winner speakers who is entered in race 8 today at a mile take a look

[mrginandtonic]

sa race 1 the #4 wins at a 1-1/8th with a good closing kick for cnak that was only mount today,the race this horse comes out of when finishing 2nd behind winner speakers who is entered in race 8 today at a mile take a look

Not sure what to make of it in Race 8. Cuz I am not sure if the 4 finished with a good closing kick or the 3 got tired at the end. The 3 set some crazy fractions for this distance. He went 25, 45 and 1:09 for the first 6 furlongs. And the 3 almost pull it off. He should be a horse to watch for next out.

[TonyP]

Not sure what to make of it in Race 8. Cuz I am not sure if the 4 finished with a good closing kick or the 3 got tired at the end. The 3 set some crazy fractions for this distance. He went 25, 45 and 1:09 for the first 6 furlongs. And the 3 almost pull it off. He should be a horse to watch for next out.

was anyone else in race closing on the 4

[mrginandtonic]

SA

Race 6: 7- Whatta Flirt (ML 15-1)

[mrginandtonic]

was anyone else in race closing on the 4

5 pulled even at the top of stretch, then couldn’t keep up at the end, almost get second. Like I said, I don’t know what to make of race 8 if you are referring to the no 4-Speaker. I definitely think he has a chance to to win. But the racing dynamics is totally different for this 1 mile turf. To me, the reason I chose the 3 in race 1 was that going long from 1 mile to 1 1/8 in a race that the 3 could be the lone speed and his odds were good enough for me to take a shot. But he just set too fast of fractions for this group level IMO. But he almost lasted at the end and didn’t give up whic is a good sign to me. As for race 8, there are too many closers and not sure what kind of pace we will get. Tough race to cap. GL to you, I will have the 4 and 6 and 7 as well in my pick 3/4’s.

[TonyP]

5 pulled even at the top of stretch, then couldn’t keep up at the end, almost get second. Like I said, I don’t know what to make of race 8 if you are referring to the no 4-Speaker. I definitely think he has a chance to to win. But the racing dynamics is totally different for this 1 mile turf. To me, the reason I chose the 3 in race 1 was that going long from 1 mile to 1 1/8 in a race that the 3 could be the lone speed and his odds were good enough for me to take a shot. But he just set too fast of fractions for this group level IMO. But he almost lasted at the end and didn’t give up whic is a good sign to me. As for race 8, there are too many closers and not sure what kind of pace we will get. Tough race to cap. GL to you, I will have the 4 and 6 and 7 as well in my pick 3/4’s.

I do and thats why I told you .

[TonyP]

SA

Race 6: 7- Whatta Flirt (ML 15-1)

got the help from smity thowing the race

[mrginandtonic]

5 pulled even at the top of stretch, then couldn’t keep up at the end, almost get second. Like I said, I don’t know what to make of race 8 if you are referring to the no 4-Speaker. I definitely think he has a chance to to win. But the racing dynamics is totally different for this 1 mile turf. To me, the reason I chose the 3 in race 1 was that going long from 1 mile to 1 1/8 in a race that the 3 could be the lone speed and his odds were good enough for me to take a shot. But he just set too fast of fractions for this group level IMO. But he almost lasted at the end and didn’t give up whic is a good sign to me. As for race 8, there are too many closers and not sure what kind of pace we will get. Tough race to cap. GL to you, I will have the 4 and 6 and 7 as well in my pick 3/4’s.

Tough race to cap, might as well go for a long shot....

Race 8: 2- Battleground State (ML 15-1)

[TonyP]

looked like van dyk and smity both werent ready to ride after riding at cd yesterday

[JBEX]

hey guys


like the 2-jerry's thunder in the last @ santa anita.. any opinion?

[JBEX]

hey guys


like the 2-jerry's thunder in the last @ santa anita.. any opinion?

nope.. they claim the winner for 50k two back.and try vs straight maidens bringing him back in a week.. does nothing and they're ready to give him up for 20k this race.. winners share about 11k so they really take a loss if he's claimed and wins.. don't know if he was

[mrginandtonic]

hey guys


like the 2-jerry's thunder in the last @ santa anita.. any opinion?

Sorry JBEX, didn't see this till now. I was too upset after the 8th race. Had the 6 all along, then change my mind last minute. Lost all the exotic wagers......

Oh well, till next time... have fun at the races

[mrginandtonic]

SA

Race 1: 3- X S Gold (ML 7-2) 2nd, paid $4.80

SA

Race 6: 7- Whatta Flirt (ML 15-1) out of money

Tough race to cap, might as well go for a long shot....

Race 8: 2- Battleground State (ML 15-1) out of money

Total Wager: $1212.00
Total Return: $1158.40

[mrginandtonic]

SA

Race 9: 11- Love of Art (ML 8-1)

[mrginandtonic]

SA

Race 9: 11- Love of Art (ML 8-1)

Total Wager: $1216.00
Total Return: $1158.40

[mrginandtonic]

Pick 6 Carryover at Santa Anita, so I will be playing there. Here is what I like so far....

Race 4: 6,7,8
Race 5: 1,4,7
Race 6: 4,8,10,11
Race 7: 2,6,8
Race 8: 4,5,7,8
Race 9: 3,4,5,7,9

Obviously, I won’t be playing this ticket......

anyone else playing?

[JBEX]

one that I like that you left out is R5 #8 secret offer (5-2) ...get the 0/29 trainer as not a positive but I'm actually glad he's bad cause otherwise she'd be too low.. that type of gradual fade line vs msw on the turf I find translates well when they drop.. it's a modest, speed oriented pedigree and drop itself doesn't bother me...working very solid coming up to the race

[mrginandtonic]

one that I like that you left out is R5 #8 secret offer (5-2) ...get the 0/29 trainer as not a positive but I'm actually glad he's bad cause otherwise she'd be too low.. that type of gradual fade line vs msw on the turf I find translates well when they drop.. it's a modest, speed oriented pedigree and drop itself doesn't bother me...working very solid coming up to the race

Kinda bump out cuz of all these scratches, not sure if km gonna play anymore

[JBEX]

Kinda bump out cuz of all these scratches, not sure if km gonna play anymore

same here ..i'm out and the write-up horse is scratched

[mrginandtonic]

Pick 6 Carryover at Santa Anita, so I will be playing there. Here is what I like so far....

Race 4: 6,7,8 (8 was second, paid $3.20)
Race 5: 1,4,7 (1 won, paid $5.60 $3.20)
Race 6: 4,8,10,11 (11 was second paid $25.40)
Race 7: 2,6,8 (2 was scratch, 8 won, paid $15.40, $6.40)
Race 8: 4,5,7,8 (5 won, paid $42.40, $15.60)
Race 9: 3,4,5,7,9 (5 won, paid $10.00, $4.40)

Obviously, I won’t be playing this ticket......

anyone else playing?

For those who are curious how would this ticket would have done....

I am so angry at myself....

May 13

3:11 PM

Santa Anita

6

0.50

P4 (PWHL)

2, 4, 10, 11 / 6, 8, 9 / 5, 7 / 4, 9

$24.00

$0.00

May 13

3:12 PM

Santa Anita

6

0.50

P4 (PWHL)

2, 11 / 6 / 5 / 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9

$7.00

$0.00

Of course, I didn't play any pick 3's or DD

[mrginandtonic]

With all these bad weathers around the major tracks, I am gonna have one play from Santa Anita which the DRF Race of the Day

SA

Race 5: 7- Move Over (ML 7-2)
Race 5: 3- Giddymeister (ML 20-1)

This race is very interesting because the ML favorite is the 1- Armor Plate which is coming off of a almost 6 months layoff with the inside post. Looks to me he may try to go to the lead from that post, but there are quite a few front runners in this race. None of them seems to be reliable to go wire to wire. I am expecting the pace to be fast and collapse. If this happens, the 7- Move Over seems to be the logical choice. He has the class and the experiences on turf. However, I am not a 100% sold on his ability to close on time. I think he prefers a little more distance like a mile. This is why I am also take a chance on the 3- Giddymeister. He is bred for turf and I like the way he closed on his last race which is his first start and be able to close and win by 2 lengths. Although his Beyer is a little weak @ 65, but with this group, it's not totally out of reach. If he improves in his 2nd start and upgrade to turf surface, I think he has a good shot and may be even win this. His ML is 20-1 which makes it a little more tempting for me to place the WP wager. The experts at DRF pick the 7- Move Over and 6- Calaxman. GL everyone.

[mrginandtonic]

With all these bad weathers around the major tracks, I am gonna have one play from Santa Anita which the DRF Race of the Day

SA

Race 5: 7- Move Over (ML 7-2)
Race 5: 3- Giddymeister (ML 20-1)

This race is very interesting because the ML favorite is the 1- Armor Plate which is coming off of a almost 6 months layoff with the inside post. Looks to me he may try to go to the lead from that post, but there are quite a few front runners in this race. None of them seems to be reliable to go wire to wire. I am expecting the pace to be fast and collapse. If this happens, the 7- Move Over seems to be the logical choice. He has the class and the experiences on turf. However, I am not a 100% sold on his ability to close on time. I think he prefers a little more distance like a mile. This is why I am also take a chance on the 3- Giddymeister. He is bred for turf and I like the way he closed on his last race which is his first start and be able to close and win by 2 lengths. Although his Beyer is a little weak @ 65, but with this group, it's not totally out of reach. If he improves in his 2nd start and upgrade to turf surface, I think he has a good shot and may be even win this. His ML is 20-1 which makes it a little more tempting for me to place the WP wager. The experts at DRF pick the 7- Move Over and 6- Calaxman. GL everyone.

I guess my play will only be the 7 since the 3 is scratched.

[mrginandtonic]

With all these bad weathers around the major tracks, I am gonna have one play from Santa Anita which the DRF Race of the Day

SA

Race 5: 7- Move Over (ML 7-2) winner, paid $7.20 and $3.60
Race 5: 3- Giddymeister (ML 20-1) scratched

This race is very interesting because the ML favorite is the 1- Armor Plate which is coming off of a almost 6 months layoff with the inside post. Looks to me he may try to go to the lead from that post, but there are quite a few front runners in this race. None of them seems to be reliable to go wire to wire. I am expecting the pace to be fast and collapse. If this happens, the 7- Move Over seems to be the logical choice. He has the class and the experiences on turf. However, I am not a 100% sold on his ability to close on time. I think he prefers a little more distance like a mile. This is why I am also take a chance on the 3- Giddymeister. He is bred for turf and I like the way he closed on his last race which is his first start and be able to close and win by 2 lengths. Although his Beyer is a little weak @ 65, but with this group, it's not totally out of reach. If he improves in his 2nd start and upgrade to turf surface, I think he has a good shot and may be even win this. His ML is 20-1 which makes it a little more tempting for me to place the WP wager. The experts at DRF pick the 7- Move Over and 6- Calaxman. GL everyone.

Total Wager: $1220.00
Total Return: $1169.20

[mrginandtonic]

PIM

Race 6: Dr. Bolt (ML 20-1)

[Easy-Rider 66]

PIM

Race 6: Dr. Bolt (ML 20-1)

A fast closing 2nd. Needed him to win for a contest. Started slow too bad. Good call.

[mrginandtonic]

A fast closing 2nd. Needed him to win for a contest. Started slow too bad. Good call.

Yeah, almost got it, that would have put back closer to the black.... oh well

[mrginandtonic]

SA

Race 1: 4- Proud ‘n’ Ready (ML 4-1)

[mrginandtonic]

Forgot to post my Black Eye Susan play here....

SA

Race 8: 8- Extreme Heat (ML 15-1)