Drf race of the day discussion

mrginandtonic · 02-22-14, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Well, 4 out of the first 6 races were won by Castellano. Does anyone else know how to win?

Fvckin Castellano just got his 6th win of the day on Reload. Unbelievable and I put him to run 2nd. Damn it. Now I really doubt he is gonna get his 7th win today!!

mrginandtonic · 02-22-14, 05:28 PM

Wow, I'm shocked Top Billing opened @ 1-2

harthebar · 02-22-14, 05:35 PM

who do you like in the fountain

im going with almost famous

mrginandtonic · 02-22-14, 05:38 PM

Gonna go with Commissioner, can't take Top Billing at such a short price.

mrginandtonic · 03-01-14, 01:21 AM

Race of the Day: Saturday The Gotham-G3 @ 1 1/16 at Aqueduct.

Five horse here produced at least one 90+ Beyer (2-In Trouble, 4-Uncle Sigh, 1-Noble Cornerstone, 1a-Samraat, 8-Extraseyhippzster). I imagine one of these will probably win. But the one that I am most interested in is the 5-Monopolize. A few things that I really like is that he is trained by Todd Pletcher and owned by Repole Stable. Although he has not done anything other than win his maiden, I just can't believe that a horse that cost $500k as a yearling out of Bernadini (A.P. Indy) and Jaramar Rain (Thunder Gulch) cannot run a step. He is getting blinkers for the 1st time. I think that will help him. I think he will be closer to the pace and will get first shot to leaders turning for home. At 30-1 ML, I think he will outrun his odds. The other $500K yearling is the 10-Harpoon, looking at his form, I just don't think he is that fast. I gonna key the 5-Monopolize with the 90+ players and hope for the best.

As usual, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

no1here · 03-02-14, 04:23 PM

Daily Racing Form: Page Not Found: 400

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/FreeRace.do?trackId=GP&country=USA&raceDate=20140302&dayEvening=D&raceNumber=9#past-performance-race/9

Ticket#:2421946 Mar 02 04:18 PM	Mar 02 04:18:10 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #174498 Mar-02 GUL R9 10.00 SBR TRI 2/3,7,9/3,7,9	60.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2421948 Mar 02 04:18 PM	Mar 02 04:18:37 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #174499 Mar-02 GUL R9 4.00 SBR TRI 7/2,3,9/2,3,9	24.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2421949 Mar 02 04:19 PM	Mar 02 04:19:15 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #174500 Mar-02 GUL R9 3.00 SBR SPR 2/3,7,9/3,7,9/3,7,9	18.00 / 0.00

TonyP · 03-09-14, 12:44 PM

anyone playing these daily?

mrginandtonic · 03-12-14, 12:09 PM

Been busy lately, couldn't play much ponies. Anyways, today's DRF Race of the Day is R8 @ Gulfstream Park going 1 1/16. This race on paper looks very simple, we have a lone speed in the 1-Social Inclusion and one class horse in 4-Honor Code. Honor Code is the ML favorite @ 3-5 and the 1-Social Inclusion is @ 3-1. The fact that there are only 5 horses in this race and only one speed horse. I am going go with the 1-Social Inclusion. He is out of Pioneer of the Nile (Empire Maker) and Saint Bernadette (Saint Ballado) so I don't think the distance is gonna be an issue. He broke out of gate 1 last time so the rail probably is not gonna bother him. My concern is that both trainer and jockey are having a tough meet and the trainer stats on sprint/route is not that great. Still I am going taking the lone speed and hopefully the Honor Code runs out of real estate before he catches the 1. GL every one.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

JBEX · 03-12-14, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Been busy lately, couldn't play much ponies. Anyways, today's DRF Race of the Day is R8 @ Gulfstream Park going 1 1/16. This race on paper looks very simple, we have a lone speed in the 1-Social Inclusion and one class horse in 4-Honor Code. Honor Code is the ML favorite @ 3-5 and the 1-Social Inclusion is @ 3-1. The fact that there are only 5 horses in this race and only one speed horse. I am going go with the 1-Social Inclusion. He is out of Pioneer of the Nile (Empire Maker) and Saint Bernadette (Saint Ballado) so I don't think the distance is gonna be an issue. He broke out of gate 1 last time so the rail probably is not gonna bother him. My concern is that both trainer and jockey are having a tough meet and the trainer stats on sprint/route is not that great. Still I am going taking the lone speed and hopefully the Honor Code runs out of real estate before he catches the 1. GL every one.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

agree 100%..don't think they care whether hc wins this one and like social inclusion
for the reasons you said.. I'm guessing 9/5 on si

TonyP · 03-13-14, 06:20 AM

IM on the road all the time , it is difficult for me to do these, currently in route to kewadin mi then tennessee then back out to cali. Will try to look at these to give my .02

mrginandtonic · 03-13-14, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by TonyP

IM on the road all the time , it is difficult for me to do these, currently in route to kewadin mi then tennessee then back out to cali. Will try to look at these to give my .02

Awesome. Would love to hear your opinions!!

no1here · 03-15-14, 11:28 AM

Daily Racing Form: Page Not Found: 400

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/FreeRace.do?trackId=OP&country=USA&raceDate=20140315&dayEvening=D&raceNumber=10#past-performance-race/10

#8 kobe's back over 3-4-7 for super

no1here · 03-15-14, 11:39 AM

ended up with these bets. First win bet in decades for me!

Ticket#:2437471 Mar 15 12:30 PM	Mar 15 12:30:49 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #175633 Mar-15 OAK R10 5.00 SBR SPR 8/3,4,7/3,4,7/3,4,7	30.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2437475 Mar 15 12:33 PM	Mar 15 12:33:26 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #175634 Mar-15 OAK R10 1.00 SBR SPR 8/3,7/3,4,5,6,7/3,4,5,6,7	24.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2437484 Mar 15 12:35 PM	Mar 15 12:35:03 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #175636 Mar-15 OAK R10 5.00 SBR TRI 8/3,4,7/3,4,7	30.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2437487 Mar 15 12:35 PM	Mar 15 12:35:38 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #175637 Mar-15 OAK R10 10.00 SBR TRI 8/3/7	10.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2437489 Mar 15 12:36 PM	Mar 15 12:36:20 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #175638 Mar-15 OAK R10 2.00 SBR TRI 8/3,4,7/3,4,5,6,7	24.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2437490 Mar 15 12:37 PM	Mar 15 12:37:21 PM	RAC	Racing ticket #175639 Mar-15 OAK R10 150.00 SBR WIN 8	150.00 / 0.00

mrginandtonic · 03-15-14, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by no1here

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/F...rmance-race/10

#8 kobe's back over 3-4-7 for super

Thanks for posting no1here and GL. I like the 8 as well, but the only thing that bothers me that the fact Rosario is not riding, he opted for Strong Mandate. I think most would agree that 3,4, and 8 are the top choices as ML indicated. I am gonna take chance on the 6- Hoppertunity. I cannot believe they put him at 10-1 ML. I think this horse has a ton of upside. He broke his maiden 2nd out at 1 mile, had a trouble trip last out. I think Mike Smith is gonna position him right outside of the 3-Tapiture and take the first crack at him in the stretch. At 10-1 ML, I think there will be good value even he won't go off at that. GL to all.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

mrginandtonic · 03-15-14, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Thanks for posting no1here and GL. I like the 8 as well, but the only thing that bothers me that the fact Rosario is not riding, he opted for Strong Mandate. I think most would agree that 3,4, and 8 are the top choices as ML indicated. I am gonna take chance on the 6- Hoppertunity. I cannot believe they put him at 10-1 ML. I think this horse has a ton of upside. He broke his maiden 2nd out at 1 mile, had a trouble trip last out. I think Mike Smith is gonna position him right outside of the 3-Tapiture and take the first crack at him in the stretch. At 10-1 ML, I think there will be good value even he won't go off at that. GL to all.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

Hoppertunity (which was actually no. 5) survived the inquiry and objection, won at 5-1 which is kinda of what I think he will go off at. Till next time, GL everyone,

JBEX · 03-15-14, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Hoppertunity (which was actually no. 5) survived the inquiry and objection, won at 5-1 which is kinda of what I think he will go off at. Till next time, GL everyone,

good call

pulledclear · 03-15-14, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by no1here

ended up with these bets. First win bet in decades for me!

ticket#:2437471 mar 15 12:30 pm	mar 15 12:30:49 pm	rac	racing ticket #175633 mar-15 oak r10 5.00 sbr spr 8/3,4,7/3,4,7/3,4,7	30.00 / 0.00
ticket#:2437475 mar 15 12:33 pm	mar 15 12:33:26 pm	rac	racing ticket #175634 mar-15 oak r10 1.00 sbr spr 8/3,7/3,4,5,6,7/3,4,5,6,7	24.00 / 0.00
ticket#:2437484 mar 15 12:35 pm	mar 15 12:35:03 pm	rac	racing ticket #175636 mar-15 oak r10 5.00 sbr tri 8/3,4,7/3,4,7	30.00 / 0.00
ticket#:2437487 mar 15 12:35 pm	mar 15 12:35:38 pm	rac	racing ticket #175637 mar-15 oak r10 10.00 sbr tri 8/3/7	10.00 / 0.00
ticket#:2437489 mar 15 12:36 pm	mar 15 12:36:20 pm	rac	racing ticket #175638 mar-15 oak r10 2.00 sbr tri 8/3,4,7/3,4,5,6,7	24.00 / 0.00
ticket#:2437490 mar 15 12:37 pm	mar 15 12:37:21 pm	rac	racing ticket #175639 mar-15 oak r10 150.00 sbr win	150.00 / 0.00

goo lord

pulledclear · 03-15-14, 07:54 PM

Good Lord!

mrginandtonic · 03-16-14, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

good call

Tks, Jbex.

mrginandtonic · 03-16-14, 01:27 PM

DRF Race of the Day is SA Race 7- Santa Ana Stake @ 1 1/8 Turf. DRF analysts picks are 4-Topic and 6-Emollient. Looking at the form, Emollient is definitely the horse to beat. This filly is hard to read, she seems to run a bad race for no good reason. Also, she doesn't have a definitive running style. She has won wire to wire, from tactically placed and from come from behind. Is she that versatile and talented? I have my reservations. The ML is 1-1, it's too low for me to take. So I'm gonna try to beat her. The sleeper of the race is probably the 1-Miss Serendipity. Think that people will overlook because Stevens and Bejarano both abandoned her. I think I will get a line that is better than 4-1 ML. She earn a 93 Beyer last out, losing to Ponchatrain and Egg Drop, both are very good milers. I'm not sure if a mile is what she wants. I believe that Blanc ( an underrated turf rider) will sent her to the lead and control the pace. If she does that, I think she will have enough to hold off any closers. GL all.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

mrginandtonic · 03-16-14, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

DRF Race of the Day is SA Race 7- Santa Ana Stake @ 1 1/8 Turf. DRF analysts picks are 4-Topic and 6-Emollient. Looking at the form, Emollient is definitely the horse to beat. This filly is hard to read, she seems to run a bad race for no good reason. Also, she doesn't have a definitive running style. She has won wire to wire, from tactically placed and from come from behind. Is she that versatile and talented? I have my reservations. The ML is 1-1, it's too low for me to take. So I'm gonna try to beat her. The sleeper of the race is probably the 1-Miss Serendipity. Think that people will overlook because Stevens and Bejarano both abandoned her. I think I will get a line that is better than 4-1 ML. She earn a 93 Beyer last out, losing to Ponchatrain and Egg Drop, both are very good milers. I'm not sure if a mile is what she wants. I believe that Blanc ( an underrated turf rider) will sent her to the lead and control the pace. If she does that, I think she will have enough to hold off any closers. GL all.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

I think the 1 had a chance if she wasn't bumped, blocked by the 3. Oh well, better luck next time. Till then, GL all.

mrginandtonic · 03-19-14, 11:52 AM

Today's Race of the day is GP race 8, 1 mile on dirt. Not gonna write much, I'm gonna take 1- Sonja's Angel. I think she is the sharpest form right now. ML @ 3-1, I think it is worth a shot even though Castellano opted for the 8 horse. GL everyone.

As always, suggestions and comments are always welcome.

mrginandtonic · 03-19-14, 03:22 PM

Well, the 1-Sonja's Angel is 9-5, not sure if I like that. I am gonna a win bet on the 7-Pixie Devil, currently @ 8-1. He might be the fastest of all out the gate and hopefully can finish. GL all.

mrginandtonic · 03-19-14, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Well, the 1-Sonja's Angel is 9-5, not sure if I like that. I am gonna a win bet on the 7-Pixie Devil, currently @ 8-1. He might be the fastest of all out the gate and hopefully can finish. GL all.

The 7 made the front and made an effort, but couldn't hold on. The 1 made a run in the stretch but could hold off the 3.

Oh well, till next time, GL all.

mrginandtonic · 03-29-14, 04:54 PM

Race of the Day is the Florida Derby @ Gulfstream Park, not much to write, I am gonna take the most talented horse here and if he is gonna go to the Derby, he needs this race. My pick: 3-Cairo Prince. GL.

As usual, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

JBEX · 03-29-14, 05:03 PM

Florida Derby

#5 east hall (20-1)

Not sure what happened at Tampa last out but prior to that his beyers went up every race he ran on the dirt. Had to break 12 post two races back in FOY and still didn't run bad finishing 4th. Should get a nice set up here with considerable speed in the race. Likely to be an overlay and not a bad horse to use bottom of tris and supers

mrginandtonic · 03-29-14, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

Florida Derby

#5 east hall (20-1)

Not sure what happened at Tampa last out but prior to that his beyers went up every race he ran on the dirt. Had to break 12 post two races back in FOY and still didn't run bad finishing 4th. Should get a nice set up here with considerable speed in the race. Likely to be an overlay and not a bad horse to use bottom of tris and supers

Nice, will do. GL to us

Swift Thinking · 03-30-14, 08:30 AM

Gulf is such a speed bias track .You can hardly rate at that track and it set up perfect for Consitition and WildCAt red

mrginandtonic · 03-30-14, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by Swift Thinking

Gulf is such a speed bias track .You can hardly rate at that track and it set up perfect for Consitition and WildCAt red

I agree. I thought and hope that if he is gonna go to the Derby, he has to win this. My other pick was the 4-Constituion. And unfortunately, my narrowminded thinking that he will go to the Derby, made me single him in my Pick 4 and Pick 5. I was contemplating whether to single him or include Constitution, at the end, a bad mistake. Sometime emotions get into my judgement. A hard lession learned (again). Pick 4 paid over $1500, and Pick 5 paid over $11K.......

Swift Thinking · 03-30-14, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

I agree. I thought and hope that if he is gonna go to the Derby, he has to win this. My other pick was the 4-Constituion. And unfortunately, my narrowminded thinking that he will go to the Derby, made me single him in my Pick 4 and Pick 5. I was contemplating whether to single him or include Constitution, at the end, a bad mistake. Sometime emotions get into my judgement. A hard lession learned (again). Pick 4 paid over $1500, and Pick 5 paid over $11K.......

Impressed that you got to that stage yesterday to have been alive for pick 4/5 . Gulf yesterday was not a easy card at all to handicap . Anjaz the NY horse that Rajiv was on was coming off a layoff and had talent I didnt see the value in him at 5 to 1? Think his ML was 9/2 thought he would go off at 12 to 1 and then next race
Hey Leroy was not playable to me .

sucks you got to Florida Derby alive and 4 horses that finished 1-2-3-4 all figured

I knew Cario wasn't going to win cause just can't win on that track off pace . I figured the 2 speed horses

Swift Thinking · 03-30-14, 09:42 AM

Rosario was awful yesterday . He gave 2 horses real bad rides and very unlike him

mrginandtonic · 03-30-14, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by Swift Thinking

Impressed that you got to that stage yesterday to have been alive for pick 4/5 . Gulf yesterday was not a easy card at all to handicap . Anjaz the NY horse that Rajiv was on was coming off a layoff and had talent I didnt see the value in him at 5 to 1? Think his ML was 9/2 thought he would go off at 12 to 1 and then next race
Hey Leroy was not playable to me .

sucks you got to Florida Derby alive and 4 horses that finished 1-2-3-4 all figured

I knew Cario wasn't going to win cause just can't win on that track off pace . I figured the 2 speed horses

Missed the first leg of the Pick 6 yesterday, so I was pissed. Anjaz, I took because of Harthebar on this forum, I had the 1 and 2 in that race. I was lucky to see that from Harthebar. The following race was a tough one, I had 4,5,6. If I remember correctly, that horse was riden by Alex Solis and he has been on that horse for past few races. I took a shot cuz his figures and odds were good. I think the next two weren't too bad. I took Micromange and Nevada Kid and Csaba. The next race I took Newsdad and both Kittens and Vertiformer. Then the last race, I WANTED Cairo Prince to win, I have always like him. But now, who knows, does he even have enough points to get into the Derby??

mrginandtonic · 04-05-14, 04:25 PM

Hmm, Wood Memorial. Can we bet against the favorites?? As of now, odds are not too bad for the two undefeated horses. But I am gonna take a shot at beating them. If pace makes the race, then I am gonna go with the 2-Wicked Strong. ML at 15-1, now 9-1. If pace collapses, then I think there is a good chance. If not, oh well....

Swift Thinking · 04-05-14, 11:15 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Hmm, Wood Memorial. Can we bet against the favorites?? As of now, odds are not too bad for the two undefeated horses. But I am gonna take a shot at beating them. If pace makes the race, then I am gonna go with the 2-Wicked Strong. ML at 15-1, now 9-1. If pace collapses, then I think there is a good chance. If not, oh well....

Great call . I couldn't be that horse . Javier wen out there with 7 strictly to penetrate with Social Inclusion

JBEX · 04-06-14, 12:33 AM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Hmm, Wood Memorial. Can we bet against the favorites?? As of now, odds are not too bad for the two undefeated horses. But I am gonna take a shot at beating them. If pace makes the race, then I am gonna go with the 2-Wicked Strong. ML at 15-1, now 9-1. If pace collapses, then I think there is a good chance. If not, oh well....

Nice call mgt.. Like what he did as a 2yo and what mikemca said about
him being compromised by the track and the post last two
at GP.. Just liked Kristo a little better and he had no real excuse.. California
Chrome ultra impressive and will probably be a sizeable favorite but winning
on the front not easy in the KD.. will be interesting